Cody Bowker P Clearwater Threshers
Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 212 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 0.7 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%24.6%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%14.5%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
K: +3.9 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+4KBB: -1.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -5.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-5CONTACTSTAM: +13.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +1.16 (100 IP)+1.2WAR
0.00.51.00.20.20.30.30.20.2+$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP—45
STUF4050
CTRL—50
CMD3045
K†6060
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2027
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1.0M+$0.3M
2030Arb-1$2M+0.3$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-2$2M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-3$3M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $4M +$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
202622A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws1614582418324788%3.625.7%11.7%14.0%3.8%4.994.47+0.1
ROS22MLBPHI884217944185100%5.324.6%10.0%14.5%3.0%4.334.33+0.1
ROS22MLBPHI——0——————24.6%10.0%14.5%3.1%4.364.36—
2026 TOT22MLBPHI——1004201274212——30.2%10.0%20.2%3.0%4.714.41+1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBPHI884418547185100%5.525.2%9.5%15.7%3.0%4.244.18+0.2
202824MLBPHI884519049176100%5.625.6%9.1%16.5%2.9%4.154.09+0.2
202925MLBPHI884619350176100%5.725.9%9.0%16.9%2.9%4.094.04+0.3
203026MLBPHI884619350176100%5.726.0%8.9%17.1%2.9%4.054.02+0.3
203127MLBPHI774519049176100%6.426.0%9.0%17.0%3.0%4.064.06+0.3
203228MLBPHI774418448176100%6.225.9%9.2%16.7%3.1%4.114.15+0.2
202723MLBPHI4422932393100%5.525.2%9.5%15.7%3.0%4.274.21+0.1
202824MLBPHI663113133124100%5.225.6%9.1%16.5%3.0%4.184.12+0.2
202925MLBPHI663715640145100%6.225.9%9.0%16.9%3.0%4.124.07+0.2
203026MLBPHI774016944155100%5.726.0%8.9%17.1%3.0%4.084.05+0.2
203127MLBPHI774117345165100%5.926.0%9.0%17.0%3.0%4.094.09+0.2
203228MLBPHI774016944155100%5.725.9%9.2%16.7%3.1%4.144.18+0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career—36362118892298127100%5.825.8%9.1%16.7%3.0%4.133.73+4.1
/ 200 IP—34342008442187726100%5.825.8%9.1%16.7%3.0%4.133.73+3.9
Career—1614582416228988%3.625.7%11.7%14.0%3.8%4.994.47+0.1
/ 200 IP—5549200836215983188%3.625.7%11.7%14.0%3.8%4.994.47+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Cody Bowker (OGILVIE) —— 4.33 24.6%10.0%3.0%— 4.10 25.5%16.4%134 -0.23 ———
Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP 23 SP 4.23 21.7%8.4%3.5%.329 3.55 21.5%12.4%178 -0.68 2.49 298 84
Ryan Garcia R 2028 · 3.87 FIP 24 SP 3.87 23.2%10.7%2.5%.239 5.71 20.0%6.1%278 +1.84 3.87 325 84
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 4.00 FIP 22 SP 4.00 21.9%9.8%2.7%.175 4.15 18.0%7.5%168 +0.15 3.59 307 83
Carmen Mlodzinski R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 22 SP 4.04 23.1%10.8%2.8%.311 3.85 20.9%11.1%236 -0.19 3.12 482 83
Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP 23 SP- 4.03 23.6%11.1%2.8%.312 5.16 22.3%9.9%93 +1.13 4.03 152 83
River Ryan R 2027 · 3.58 FIP 23 SP 3.58 26.1%12.2%2.1%.321 3.86 20.4%9.1%134 +0.28 2.13 218 83
Mike Vasil R 2026 · 3.71 FIP 22 SP 3.71 21.9%10.5%2.0%.264 4.60 19.1%9.4%359 +0.89 3.71 429 83
Brandon Young R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 22 SP 4.07 24.5%12.3%2.7%.297 3.46 22.4%14.1%150 -0.61 3.11 420 83
Tanner Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 22 SP 4.07 22.2%10.6%2.8%.292 5.42 19.5%6.0%244 +1.35 4.07 378 82
Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 22 SP- 3.85 20.9%11.4%2.0%.333 3.99 21.4%12.6%184 +0.14 2.91 439 82
Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 22 SP 4.36 22.8%8.8%3.8%.309 4.57 21.5%2.4%151 +0.21 4.05 215 82
Pat Gallagher R 2027 · 3.56 FIP 23 SP- 3.56 21.9%8.3%2.3%.284 3.43 20.0%10.3%195 -0.13 2.97 258 81
Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.67 FIP 22 SP 3.67 25.0%9.0%2.8%.341 3.99 20.4%9.7%242 +0.32 3.44 259 81
Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP 23 SP- 4.45 21.5%12.1%3.0%.275 4.09 25.9%14.9%121 -0.36 3.05 181 81
Nate Dohm R 2026 · 4.86 FIP 22 SP 4.86 21.1%11.5%3.8%.309 4.59 17.7%2.6%40 -0.27 4.59 115 81
Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 23 SP 3.92 20.3%9.9%2.3%.315 4.36 22.3%13.8%422 +0.44 3.76 537 81
Sam Benschoter R 2028 · 3.96 FIP 24 SP- 3.96 26.3%9.2%3.5%.344 5.03 18.9%8.4%306 +1.07 3.58 426 81
Jared Karros R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 22 SP 4.72 19.0%8.9%3.8%.290 5.32 17.8%8.3%120 +0.60 3.31 191 81
Ryan Jennings R 2028 · 3.29 FIP 24 SP- 3.29 23.4%11.9%1.2%.316 4.60 23.0%9.5%109 +1.31 3.29 142 80
Dylan DeLucia R 2027 · 3.65 FIP 23 SP 3.65 21.6%7.4%2.6%.241 5.26 18.3%7.9%176 +1.61 3.65 211 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION74425.6%9.2%1.154.15
Hansel Robles ('22)75925.3%10.1%1.163.86
Ryan Tepera ('22)74824.7%8.8%1.123.53
Trevor May ('23)85127.6%8.3%1.183.83
Dominic Leone ('23)74624.2%10.1%1.333.81
Daniel Hudson ('24)95225.5%8.9%1.133.75
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19