Jordan Yost

SS Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 20 L/R A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP40OGV rank#242ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202619ADET378.252/.372/.35441876—.222/.316/.304
2027PROJMLE20MLBDET488.229/.304/.334710820.4
2028PROJ43% MLB21MLBDET149.229/.305/.34023870.3
2029PROJ61% MLB22MLBDET248.232/.309/.35045900.7
Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed89
K%88
Whiff%85
Z-Con%82
BB%54
Chase%53
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 15, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 81%
CompsHoy Park (age 20) · Pedro Ramírez (age 20) · Canaan Smith-Njigba (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .302 / .331
PA210
HR3
K%22
BB%8
ISO105
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.91.90.30.71.01.31.41.41.41.21.00.827282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$63M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.4$8M+$7M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.4$7M+$7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$7M+$6M
2035Arb-1$4M+1.2$5M+$3M
2036Arb-2$6M+1.0$4M+$2M
2037Arb-3$7M+0.8$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $13M $32M +$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202619 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 378314 791434 51539 181 252372354725 102288 1413 333 76 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202619 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 378329 731233 36729 181 222316304619 82268 1910 280 76 — — — — — —
202619 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 378329 731233 36729 181 222316304619 82272 1910 280 76 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 378314 791434 51539 181 252372354725 102288 1413 333 76 — — — — — —
202619 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 378330 731233 36729 181 221316303619 82268 1910 280 76 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202619 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 378330 731233 36729 181 221316303619 82268 1910 280 76 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEDET 0% 488438 1001937 411076 102 229304334638 105285 228 289 82 -10 +1 +0 +5 +11 0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEDET 43% 345308 711326 29755 72 233309348657 115286 228 297 87 -5 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.7
202922 MLB MLEDET 61% 408364 871638 35876 92 236312358670 122287 219 302 90 -5 +1 +1 +4 +9 1.1
203023 MLB MLEDET 68% 455407 971839 39976 102 238315365679 126288 219 306 93 -4 +1 +2 +5 +10 1.5
203124 MLB MLEDET 70% 505449 10820311 441077 112 240316370686 130289 219 308 95 -3 +1 +3 +5 +11 1.8
203225 MLB MLEDET 70% 541482 11622312 471157 122 240317373690 132289 219 310 96 -3 +2 +4 +6 +12 2.0
203326 MLB MLEDET 71% 551491 11922412 481177 122 240317372689 132289 219 309 96 -3 +2 +4 +6 +12 2.1
203427 MLB MLEDET 69% 551491 11722312 481187 112 239316370686 131289 219 308 95 -4 +1 +4 +6 +12 2.0
203528 MLB MLEDET 69% 545486 11421311 471187 92 237314365679 128288 229 306 93 -5 +1 +3 +6 +12 1.7
203629 MLB MLEDET 67% 532474 11221311 461167 72 235311359671 124287 229 302 91 -6 +1 +2 +6 +12 1.4
203730 MLB MLEDET 72% 520464 10820310 451156 51 232308352660 120285 229 298 88 -8 +1 +1 +6 +11 1.1
203831 MLB MLEDET 75% 501447 1031939 431136 11 228303343646 114283 239 292 84 -10 -0 +1 +5 +11 0.7
203932 MLB MLEDET 77% 480432 961738 401105 11 223297331628 107279 238 285 79 -12 -0 -0 +5 +10 0.3
202821 MLB CTXDET 43% 149133 30612 13322 31 229305340646 111282 219 292 87 -2 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.3
202922 MLB CTXDET 61% 248222 51924 21533 51 232309350658 118283 218 297 90 -3 +1 +1 +3 +5 0.7
203023 MLB CTXDET 68% 310276 651226 27664 71 234311356667 122283 219 301 93 -3 +1 +2 +3 +7 1.0
203124 MLB CTXDET 70% 351313 741427 30745 82 236313361674 126284 219 303 95 -2 +1 +2 +4 +8 1.3
203225 MLB CTXDET 70% 380339 801528 33815 82 236313364677 128285 219 305 96 -2 +1 +3 +4 +8 1.4
203326 MLB CTXDET 71% 389347 811528 34825 82 236313364677 128284 219 305 96 -2 +1 +3 +4 +8 1.4
203427 MLB CTXDET 69% 382341 801528 33825 82 235312361674 126284 219 303 95 -2 +1 +3 +4 +8 1.4
203528 MLB CTXDET 69% 374333 771427 33815 61 233310357667 124283 229 301 93 -3 +1 +2 +4 +8 1.2
203629 MLB CTXDET 67% 356318 741427 31784 51 231308351659 120282 229 297 91 -4 +1 +1 +4 +8 1.0
203730 MLB CTXDET 72% 372333 761427 32824 31 228304344649 116281 229 293 88 -5 +0 +1 +4 +8 0.8
203831 MLB CTXDET 75% 375336 751426 32854 11 225300335635 110278 239 288 84 -7 -0 +0 +4 +8 0.5
203932 MLB CTXDET 77% 370332 731326 31854 10 220294323617 104275 238 280 79 -9 +0 -0 +4 +8 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 40563623 8361552376 35088150 6315 231307349656 118283 229 297 89 -46 +7 +18 +43 +88 11.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 13425412 561418 102 231307349657 119282 229 297 89 -7 +1 +3 +7 +14 1.8
Career— MLE — 65225811 136425140125 565140688 11723 235312356668 121287 229 300 89 -71 +11 +26 +66 +133 16.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 13525412 561409 122 233311352663 119285 229 300 89 -7 +1 +3 +7 +14 1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 378 PAwOBA .328 → .280 (−48)K% 14.0% → 19.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.02%÷1.000×1.360——19.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.49%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0309.59%
HBP% /PA2.38%—×0.780—×1.0301.91%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.000×0.920×1.002×1.03021.10%
Doubles /BIP5.36%÷1.000×0.830×1.002×1.0304.59%
Triples /BIP1.15%÷1.000×0.910×1.002×1.0301.08%
Home runs /BIP1.53%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0301.26%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .328 → .280; ISO .102 → .088; BABIP .288 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).