Player 803723 — OGILVIE

Player 803723— Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age — —/— A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION230 act + 153 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .322 / .335

PA153

HR2

K%23

BB%10

BABIP298

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 31

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER31

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	A	DET	—	230	196	45	9	2	1	25	43	8	9	0	230	341	311	652	82	288	19	11	290	80	-5	+2	+0	-4	+7	-0.1
YTD	—	A	DET	—	230	188	48	9	2	1	33	30	8	9	0	255	389	340	729	85	297	13	14	341	119	+5	+2	+0	-4	+7	0.9
ROS	—	A	DET	0%	153	134	31	6	1	2	15	36	3	4	0	231	322	335	657	104	294	23	10	295	84	-3	+1	+0	-3	+4	-0.0
ROS	—	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	275	68	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	A	DET	—	230	197	45	9	2	1	25	43	8	9	0	228	341	310	650	81	286	19	11	290	80	-5	+2	+0	-4	+7	-0.1
TOT	—	A	DET	—	383	330	76	15	3	3	40	79	11	13	0	230	333	321	654	91	292	21	10	292	82	-8	+3	+0	-7	+11	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	DET	0%	459	402	91	17	3	6	45	106	9	9	1	226	318	328	646	102	290	23	10	296	85	-8	+1	+0	-8	+13	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	DET	0%	502	438	100	19	3	7	49	116	10	10	1	228	320	333	653	105	291	23	10	299	87	-7	+2	+0	-9	+14	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	DET	0%	532	466	106	20	3	8	51	122	10	10	1	227	317	335	652	107	291	23	10	301	89	-7	+2	+0	-10	+15	0.0
2030	25	MLB	DET	0%	554	485	112	21	4	9	53	127	11	11	1	231	321	346	667	115	290	23	10	302	90	-6	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.1
2031	25	MLB	DET	0%	570	499	116	22	4	10	55	131	11	11	1	232	322	353	675	120	290	23	10	303	90	-6	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.1
2032	25	MLB	DET	0%	582	510	118	22	4	10	56	134	11	11	2	231	321	349	670	118	290	23	10	304	91	-6	+1	+0	-10	+16	0.1
2027	25	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	277	70	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	280	73	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	283	75	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	284	76	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	285	76	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	285	76	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3352	2934	674	127	22	52	324	772	65	66	7	230	320	341	661	111	292	23	10	301	88	-44	+10	+0	-60	+95	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	131	25	4	10	63	150	13	13	1	230	321	341	662	111	294	23	10	301	88	-9	+2	+0	-12	+18	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,519	55	68	230	316	341	-40	+0	2.2	2.3
	/162	664	10	13	230	316	341	-7.5	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 803723 (OGILVIE)	25	57	31	51	59	230/333/321	91	292	3	13	21%	10%	82	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Nielsen 2007 · A	25	51→60	39→40	43→40	48	242/312/328	86	302	7	4	21%	8%	82	+0.5	254/310/349	95	303	7	4	18%	6%	86	+0.8	264/316/362	98	308	7	3	16%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Roy Morales 2021 · A	26	47	38→30	51→45	46	224/287/306	82	283	5	10	22%	7%	66	-0.6	262/325/339	77	314	6	8	17%	8%	90	+1.0	282/346/349	67	333	5	7	16%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Cutter Dykstra 2014 · A	25	48→53	38→40	52→55	47	224/295/304	81	307	5	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	225/290/308	83	316	7	11	29%	8%	67	-0.5	221/282/297	76	309	7	9	29%	7%	60	-0.8
✕Matt Thayer 2007 · A	25	49→46	38→40	50	46	232/292/315	82	298	5	14	23%	7%	70	-0.3	229/297/301	72	307	4	12	25%	8%	69	-0.4	236/315/281	45	322	2	12	24%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Maikol Gonzalez 2011 · A	25	51→60	37→40	53→60	46	236/295/318	82	305	2	17	22%	7%	72	-0.2	218/287/301	83	305	4	16	27%	8%	64	-0.8	277/343/327	50	327	2	35	14%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Andy Simunic 2011 · A	25	49→58	36→30	52→50	48	227/299/290	63	313	3	14	26%	9%	67	-0.5	231/285/296	65	316	5	14	26%	6%	62	-0.9	255/298/292	36	333	2	17	22%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Justin Maffei 2016 · A	24	50	37→40	50	46	233/299/306	74	305	3	11	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/299/300	72	302	4	11	24%	8%	69	-0.4	224/300/271	47	301	1	11	23%	8%	60	-0.2
✕Kevin Kaczmarski 2017 · A	25	53→56	39→40	53→50	45	248/297/354	106	314	4	12	22%	6%	82	+0.5	246/309/324	78	322	3	11	23%	8%	79	+0.3	249/319/314	65	327	3	12	23%	8%	79	+0.1
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→47	39→40	54→55	47	236/300/319	83	304	6	15	23%	8%	74	-0.1	220/304/299	79	290	6	18	24%	10%	72	-0.2	210/305/287	77	272	7	21	23%	11%	68	-0.4
✕Joseph Bonadonna 2011 · A	25	49	40	51→50	44	230/292/327	97	317	6	13	28%	7%	73	-0.1	201/260/287	86	290	6	15	31%	6%	50	-1.8	143/200/190	47	210	4	22	32%	5%	-2	-1.7
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A	25	50→51	39→40	53→55	50	232/309/319	87	314	6	17	26%	10%	79	+0.3	221/300/314	93	310	7	17	28%	9%	74	-0.1	179/288/250	72	261	5	31	30%	12%	53	-0.3
✕Collin Radack 2016 · A	24	50→51	37→30	48→50	43	231/302/298	67	317	4	11	26%	6%	71	-0.3	230/294/295	65	322	4	11	28%	7%	66	-0.6	241/301/262	21	346	0	11	28%	7%	56	-0.4
✕Jonny Tucker 2007 · A	24	51→54	38→40	48→55	50	239/299/325	86	288	4	12	18%	7%	76	+0.0	245/303/328	83	288	4	14	15%	7%	77	+0.1	249/308/331	82	290	4	18	14%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Scott Savastano 2010 · A	24	53→57	39→45	52→45	48	252/313/341	89	316	6	9	22%	7%	85	+0.7	245/299/357	112	307	10	6	22%	7%	84	+0.6	242/295/360	118	302	10	4	22%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Gus Milner 2009 · A	25	48→50	41→40	50	45	230/291/330	100	308	7	14	26%	7%	74	-0.1	213/264/303	90	308	7	9	31%	6%	55	-1.4	192/237/267	75	286	7	5	34%	4%	32	-2.0
✕David MacKinnon 2021 · A	26	47→50	39→45	47→30	55	218/318/303	85	302	6	5	27%	12%	79	+0.3	233/307/368	135	300	12	4	25%	9%	91	+1.1	233/310/376	143	294	13	2	24%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Jordan George 2017 · A	25	51	39→40	46→40	52	237/317/332	96	307	5	8	23%	10%	85	+0.7	232/307/340	108	280	10	4	20%	9%	83	+0.6	223/304/323	100	266	10	2	19%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Tyler Smith 2016 · AA	25	51→54	39→40	47→50	49	240/310/329	89	310	6	9	23%	9%	82	+0.5	220/273/306	86	284	7	7	24%	6%	59	-1.1	205/253/287	82	263	7	5	24%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Steve Tolleson 2008 · A	24	50→53	39→45	49→50	52	236/313/328	92	304	6	14	23%	10%	82	+0.5	248/308/360	112	305	9	13	20%	8%	89	+0.9	255/312/378	123	303	11	12	19%	7%	91	+0.9