Austin Gordon
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 23
RHP
6'5" / 210 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.8 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION75 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
K%20.3%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 136 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 21 | 21 | 84 | 375 | 95 | 27 | 12 | 100% | 4.0 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 5.44 | 4.70 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 21 | 21 | 84 | 375 | 95 | 27 | 12 | 100% | 4.0 | 25.3% | 7.2% | 18.1% | 3.2% | 5.44 | 3.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 17 | 17 | 75 | 325 | 70 | 28 | 13 | 100% | 4.4 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.30 | 5.46 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 62 | 260 | 53 | 21 | 8 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 136 | 585 | 123 | 49 | 21 | — | — | 21.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 4.98 | 5.07 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 20.3% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.18 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 57 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.5% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 60 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.2% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 3.2% | 4.41 | 4.36 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 61 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 4.37 | 4.34 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 60 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 3.2% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.5% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 40 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.2% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 48 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 51 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 30 | 176 | 744 | 166 | 60 | 23 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.3% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 3.96 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 68 | 26 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.3% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 38 | 38 | 159 | 700 | 130 | 62 | 31 | 100% | 4.2 | 18.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 5.38 | 5.05 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 48 | 200 | 881 | 163 | 78 | 39 | 100% | 4.2 | 18.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 5.38 | 5.05 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Austin Gordon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% | — | 4.38 | 22.1% | 14.0% | 191 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Perez R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.02 | 18.0% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 14.1% | 6.7% | 217 | +0.97 | 4.02 | 285 | 90 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 89 |
| Chad Patrick R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 88 |
| Trent Palmer R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 87 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 86 |
| Bryce Jarvis R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.78 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 3.8% | .276 | 5.00 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 296 | +0.22 | 4.22 | 513 | 85 |
| Cody Morris R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .362 | 2.86 | 31.1% | 20.9% | 96 | -1.14 | 2.26 | 256 | 85 |
| Blake Burkhalter R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 17.3% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .317 | 3.73 | 16.7% | 5.6% | 103 | +0.15 | 3.58 | 173 | 84 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.00 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 4.2% | .236 | 4.59 | 22.3% | 3.9% | 180 | -0.41 | 4.20 | 311 | 83 |
| Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 83 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.63 | 21.8% | 10.4% | 1.9% | .261 | 4.10 | 24.1% | 14.3% | 117 | +0.47 | 3.63 | 209 | 83 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 83 |
| Seth Shuman R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.14 | 18.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | .297 | 4.40 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 109 | -0.74 | 3.05 | 338 | 83 |
| Riley Thompson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.88 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .288 | 5.29 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.41 | 4.52 | 340 | 83 |
| Andrés Machado R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.02 | 16.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% | .350 | 4.87 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 266 | +0.85 | 3.64 | 530 | 83 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 83 |
| Logan Workman R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.30 | 19.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .287 | 3.81 | 20.4% | 12.5% | 362 | -0.49 | 3.73 | 540 | 82 |
| Colin Peluse R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.32 | 20.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | .299 | 6.05 | 15.0% | 6.8% | 236 | +1.73 | 3.02 | 417 | 82 |
| Nick Sinacola R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.07 | 20.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% | .313 | 3.91 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 166 | -0.16 | 3.53 | 357 | 82 |
| Drew McDaniel R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.72 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 4.0% | .307 | 6.57 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 61 | +1.85 | 4.72 | 200 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 63 | 21.8% | 8.2% | 1.23 | 4.45 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |