Bryce Rainer
SS West Michigan Whitecaps| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | ADET | 149 | .288/.390/.448 | 5 | 9 | 97 | — | .246/.329/.392 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 508 | .253/.361/.450 | 19 | 17 | 75 | — | .208/.292/.356 |
| 2027PROJ11% MLB | 22 | MLBDET | 22 | .211/.295/.359 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 23 | MLBDET | 233 | .216/.300/.376 | 8 | 5 | 95 | 0.8 | |
| 2029PROJ65% MLB | 24 | MLBDET | 312 | .220/.304/.387 | 11 | 7 | 99 | 1.2 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 20 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 149 | 125 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 288 | 390 | 448 | 838 | 160 | 344 | 22 | 13 | 369 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 429 | 362 | 98 | 21 | 1 | 18 | 63 | 151 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 271 | 382 | 483 | 865 | 213 | 410 | 35 | 15 | 382 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 49 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 167 | 271 | 310 | 580 | 143 | 273 | 41 | 12 | 262 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 30 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 207 | 222 | 429 | 74 | 235 | 37 | 7 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 149 | 130 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 45 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 246 | 329 | 392 | 721 | 146 | 312 | 30 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 429 | 380 | 83 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 192 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 218 | 304 | 371 | 676 | 153 | 387 | 45 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 49 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 114 | 188 | 227 | 415 | 114 | 237 | 55 | 8 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 149 | 130 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 45 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 246 | 329 | 392 | 721 | 146 | 325 | 30 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 149 | 125 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 288 | 390 | 448 | 838 | 160 | 344 | 22 | 13 | 369 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 508 | 450 | 94 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 233 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 209 | 294 | 358 | 651 | 149 | 383 | 46 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 508 | 431 | 109 | 26 | 1 | 19 | 71 | 182 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 253 | 361 | 450 | 811 | 197 | 385 | 36 | 14 | 359 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 149 | 132 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 45 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 242 | 329 | 386 | 715 | 144 | 312 | 30 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 508 | 449 | 94 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 233 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 209 | 294 | 359 | 652 | 149 | 372 | 46 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 149 | 132 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 45 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 242 | 329 | 386 | 715 | 144 | 312 | 30 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 508 | 449 | 94 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 233 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 209 | 294 | 359 | 652 | 149 | 372 | 46 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | DET | 11% | 562 | 497 | 107 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 56 | 210 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 215 | 299 | 369 | 668 | 154 | 326 | 37 | 10 | 299 | 89 | -8 | +1 | +2 | +6 | +12 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | DET | 11% | 22 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 295 | 359 | 654 | 149 | 320 | 36 | 9 | 294 | 89 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | DET | 53% | 438 | 388 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 159 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 221 | 304 | 386 | 690 | 166 | 325 | 36 | 10 | 308 | 95 | -3 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | DET | 65% | 480 | 426 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 170 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 225 | 308 | 398 | 706 | 173 | 324 | 35 | 10 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | DET | 70% | 505 | 447 | 102 | 19 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 176 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 227 | 310 | 405 | 715 | 178 | 322 | 35 | 10 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +3 | +5 | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | DET | 72% | 518 | 458 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 20 | 51 | 177 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 229 | 311 | 408 | 720 | 180 | 320 | 34 | 10 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +3 | +6 | +11 | 2.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | DET | 71% | 521 | 461 | 106 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 176 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 229 | 311 | 406 | 717 | 177 | 318 | 34 | 10 | 318 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +3 | +6 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | DET | 71% | 517 | 458 | 104 | 19 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 175 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 227 | 309 | 401 | 710 | 174 | 317 | 34 | 10 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +6 | +11 | 2.0 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | DET | 69% | 506 | 448 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 173 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 225 | 306 | 395 | 702 | 171 | 316 | 34 | 10 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +11 | 1.7 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | DET | 68% | 494 | 440 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 171 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 222 | 303 | 388 | 691 | 166 | 314 | 35 | 10 | 308 | 94 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | DET | 68% | 477 | 425 | 92 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 46 | 167 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 298 | 378 | 677 | 160 | 311 | 35 | 10 | 302 | 91 | -5 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB MLE | DET | 67% | 456 | 408 | 87 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 161 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 292 | 366 | 658 | 153 | 307 | 35 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -8 | -0 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB MLE | DET | 73% | 421 | 377 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 151 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 285 | 351 | 636 | 144 | 301 | 36 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -10 | -0 | -2 | +5 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | DET | 53% | 233 | 206 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 85 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 300 | 376 | 676 | 160 | 319 | 36 | 10 | 302 | 95 | -1 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +5 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | DET | 65% | 312 | 276 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 111 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 220 | 304 | 387 | 691 | 167 | 318 | 36 | 10 | 308 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | DET | 70% | 353 | 313 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 123 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 306 | 394 | 700 | 171 | 317 | 35 | 10 | 312 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +4 | +8 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | DET | 72% | 372 | 329 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 127 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 224 | 307 | 397 | 705 | 173 | 315 | 34 | 10 | 313 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +4 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | DET | 71% | 371 | 328 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 125 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 224 | 307 | 395 | 702 | 171 | 312 | 34 | 10 | 312 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +4 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | DET | 71% | 366 | 325 | 72 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 124 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 222 | 305 | 390 | 695 | 168 | 312 | 34 | 10 | 310 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | +8 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | DET | 69% | 350 | 311 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 120 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 220 | 302 | 385 | 687 | 164 | 310 | 34 | 10 | 306 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +8 | 1.2 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | DET | 68% | 337 | 299 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 116 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 299 | 377 | 676 | 160 | 308 | 34 | 10 | 302 | 94 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | DET | 68% | 323 | 287 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 113 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 294 | 368 | 663 | 155 | 305 | 35 | 10 | 297 | 91 | -4 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB CTX | DET | 67% | 307 | 273 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 109 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 289 | 356 | 645 | 148 | 301 | 36 | 9 | 289 | 86 | -5 | -0 | -0 | +3 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB CTX | DET | 73% | 306 | 273 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 110 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 281 | 342 | 623 | 139 | 296 | 36 | 9 | 281 | 80 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3630 | 3220 | 703 | 129 | 11 | 123 | 355 | 1263 | 23 | 47 | 15 | 218 | 300 | 380 | 680 | 161 | 313 | 35 | 10 | 304 | 94 | -20 | +3 | +11 | +39 | +79 | 11.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 577 | 126 | 23 | 2 | 22 | 64 | 226 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 218 | 301 | 380 | 681 | 161 | 312 | 35 | 10 | 304 | 94 | -4 | +1 | +2 | +7 | +14 | 2.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6200 | 5502 | 1222 | 227 | 21 | 215 | 609 | 2213 | 37 | 99 | 31 | 222 | 304 | 388 | 692 | 166 | 324 | 36 | 10 | 307 | 94 | -32 | +5 | +17 | +59 | +120 | 17.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 129 | 24 | 2 | 23 | 64 | 232 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 224 | 306 | 392 | 698 | 168 | 325 | 36 | 10 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +1 | +2 | +7 | +14 | 2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 429 PAwOBA .373 → .297 (−76)K% 35.2% → 44.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.20% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 44.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 10.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 27.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 8.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 7.01% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .373 → .297; ISO .213 → .161; BABIP .410 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 49 PAwOBA .261 → .181 (−80)K% 40.8% → 55.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.82% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 55.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 12.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 11.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.69% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .261 → .181; ISO .143 → .095; BABIP .273 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 149 PAwOBA .367 → .311 (−56)K% 22.1% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.15% | ÷0.998 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.42% | ÷0.945 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.26% | ÷1.051 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.030 | 25.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.030 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.864 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 5.18% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .367 → .311; ISO .160 → .144; BABIP .344 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .