Bryce RainerSS Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 21 L/R 6'3" / 195 lbs A HR +5%H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 3.0 · 2032
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .290 / .362
PA141
HR4
SB6
K%29
BB%8
MLB%10%
BAT: -8.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +1.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
3448
PWR
4260
SPD
5253
FLD
4254
EYE
4753
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.9peak
2032

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.7$24M+$23M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.9$27M+$26M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+3.0$29M+$28M
2033Arb-1$6M+2.9$29M+$23M
2034Arb-2$9M+2.7$27M+$18M
2035Arb-3$12M+2.5$26M+$14M
Totals $30M $162M +$132M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202520 ALakeland Flying Tigers 149129 31505 16471 93 .240.329.395.724 .155.325 3211 .312 97 -1 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202621 ALakeland Flying Tigers 4943 5201 5280 40 .116.208.233.441 .116.267 5710 .183 -2 -6 +1 +0 +1 +1 -0.3
ROS21 MLBDET 9283 17312 8301 20 .205.283.337.620 .133.289 339 .284 76 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.2
TOT21 MLBDET 141126 22513 13581 60 .175.257.302.559 .127.288 419 .249 49 -8 +1 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202722 MLB 32%DET 231206 47918 21582 61 .228.306.398.704 .170.272 259 .309 95 -1 +1 +0 +2 +7 0.9
202823 MLB 57%DET 336299 6913212 31823 81 .231.309.408.717 .177.275 249 .320 103 +1 +1 +1 +4 +10 1.6
202924 MLB 81%DET 409363 8616216 39984 91 .237.318.424.742 .187.277 2410 .327 109 +4 +1 +1 +4 +12 2.3
203025 MLBDET 450399 9517318 441074 101 .238.320.431.751 .193.279 2410 .332 112 +6 +2 +1 +5 +13 2.7
203126 MLBDET 474420 10118320 471134 101 .240.323.440.763 .200.279 2410 .335 114 +8 +2 +1 +5 +13 2.9
203227 MLBDET 484428 10218320 481165 101 .238.322.435.757 .196.279 2410 .335 115 +8 +2 +1 +5 +14 3.0
203328 MLBDET 486430 10218320 491174 101 .237.321.433.753 .195.279 2410 .334 114 +8 +2 +0 +5 +14 2.9
203429 MLBDET 480424 9918219 491174 91 .233.319.420.738 .186.278 2410 .332 112 +7 +1 -1 +5 +14 2.7
203530 MLBDET 472417 9717219 481174 90 .233.318.420.737 .187.277 2510 .329 110 +5 +2 -1 +5 +13 2.5
203631 MLBDET 460406 9417218 471164 80 .232.317.416.734 .185.275 2510 .325 107 +4 +2 -2 +5 +13 2.2
203732 MLBDET 442390 8916217 451144 70 .228.314.410.725 .182.273 2610 .320 103 +2 +1 -3 +5 +13 1.8
203833 MLBDET 413365 8114215 421093 70 .222.307.395.702 .173.272 2610 .314 99 -1 +1 -3 +4 +12 1.4
203934 MLBDET 368325 7112213 371003 60 .218.304.388.692 .169.270 2710 .307 93 -3 +1 -4 +4 +10 0.9
204035 MLBDET 315279 5910111 31892 50 .211.295.373.668 .161.267 2810 .299 87 -5 +1 -5 +3 +9 0.4
204136 MLBDET 258229 47818 25762 50 .205.289.354.643 .148.264 2910 .290 80 -6 +1 -6 +3 +7 -0.1
204237 MLBDET 195173 35616 19591 40 .202.285.353.638 .150.260 3010 .279 72 -6 +1 -7 +2 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 65145765 132223533247 646166555 13411 .229.313.410.723 .181.277 2610 .321 104 +27 +22 -27 +70 +185 28.2
/ 162G 650575 13223325 641665 131 .230.312.410.722 .181.276 2610 .321 104 +3 +2 -3 +7 +18 2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202520 ALakeland Flying Tigers 149125 36505 20331 93 .288.390.448.838 .160.344 2213 .369 141 +7 +1 +4 1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Bryce Rainer (OGILVIE) 21 34→48 42→60 52→53 53 .219/.290/.362 .143.291 43 29% 8% 83 +0.1
Colt Keith
2023 · A
21 49→53 46→55 53→45 45 .236/.300/.372 .137.327 138 31% 8% 89 +0.9 .251/.308/.410 .159.313 185 25% 7% 102 +1.8 .253/.314/.408.154.30718423%8%102+1.6
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2019 · A
21 41→51 49→60 52→60 35 .208/.255/.354 .145.313 1811 38% 6% 65 -0.7 .208/.268/.384 .176.302 2216 37% 7% 79 +0.3 .248/.322/.446.198.304273627%9%113+2.3
Colby Rasmus
2008 · AA
21 43→53 52→60 54→50 45 .225/.291/.400 .174.276 2015 26% 7% 93 +1.3 .234/.302/.399 .165.280 2013 23% 8% 97 +1.5 .237/.305/.454.217.30928332%8%109+1.8
James Outman
2019 · A
22 40→49 47→60 53→50 39 .203/.260/.335 .132.285 1511 34% 6% 63 -0.9 .196/.265/.334 .138.273 1613 33% 7% 65 -0.7 .223/.317/.418.195.310251434%10%107+2.0
Eddie Rosario
2013 · A
21 49→55 50→60 49→50 43 .249/.288/.408 .159.297 1712 23% 5% 93 +1.3 .245/.280/.388 .143.307 1310 24% 5% 84 +0.6 .277/.313/.475.198.29627717%5%116+2.8
Ian Stewart
2006 · A
21 45→52 50→60 46→45 43 .226/.288/.388 .162.304 164 30% 7% 88 +0.9 .235/.296/.391 .156.309 156 27% 7% 92 +1.2 .239/.315/.432.193.30423928%9%108+2.0
LaMonte Wade Jr.
2016 · A
22 46→54 45→55 55→45 53 .229/.307/.355 .125.265 1310 19% 9% 87 +0.8 .239/.318/.350 .111.280 108 17% 9% 91 +1.1 .238/.339/.417.179.27023420%12%114+1.9
Jason Martin
2017 · A
21 43→50 45→60 48→50 45 .216/.275/.346 .130.280 1213 27% 7% 71 -0.3 .222/.270/.365 .143.297 1512 29% 6% 74 -0.1 .218/.285/.408.191.27126829%8%90+0.7
Brian Goodwin
2013 · AA
22 46→52 47→60 48→50 48 .228/.298/.366 .138.291 1413 26% 8% 87 +0.8 .216/.287/.334 .118.296 1014 28% 8% 74 -0.1 .243/.309/.437.195.311231128%8%105+1.3
Bo Naylor
2021 · A
21 41→43 44→55 50 43 .203/.259/.325 .122.273 117 29% 7% 59 -1.1 .199/.278/.352 .153.276 1812 33% 9% 75 -0.0 .216/.308/.399.183.269221228%11%97+1.2
Corbin Carroll
2022 · A
21 48→54 44→60 57→60 46 .229/.300/.355 .126.326 1118 31% 9% 84 +0.6 .252/.333/.461 .209.312 2231 25% 9% 125 +3.5 .245/.332/.462.217.278243721%10%121+3.5
Brandon Marsh
2019 · A
21 47→57 42→50 52→50 41 .223/.282/.334 .110.330 910 33% 7% 71 -0.3 .223/.283/.328 .105.333 813 33% 7% 70 -0.3 .262/.344/.424.163.366161630%11%115+2.2
Lonnie Chisenhall
2010 · AA
21 42→52 51→55 48→45 41 .222/.268/.385 .163.267 195 25% 5% 79 +0.3 .237/.286/.385 .148.280 174 21% 5% 86 +0.8 .267/.320/.428.161.31017419%6%110+1.7
Junior Caminero
2023 · A
20 46→52 51→65 52→45 44 .239/.294/.391 .152.285 209 24% 6% 92 +1.2 .256/.303/.451 .195.298 276 24% 6% 111 +2.5 .258/.305/.479.221.28433522%6%116+2.6
Colin Moran
2014 · A
21 48→57 43→55 50→30 45 .234/.283/.345 .110.286 106 22% 6% 74 -0.1 .246/.290/.349 .103.318 93 24% 6% 77 +0.1 .271/.332/.429.158.32419021%8%111+1.6
Michael Harris II
2022 · A
21 49→57 42→55 56→55 41 .237/.286/.348 .111.312 919 26% 6% 76 +0.1 .271/.315/.439 .168.332 1821 23% 5% 112 +2.6 .278/.321/.456.177.328212121%5%116+2.7
Sean Rodríguez
2006 · A
21 43→49 45→60 49→50 53 .215/.299/.346 .130.255 1215 21% 10% 82 +0.5 .228/.299/.394 .166.292 1911 28% 7% 95 +1.4 .238/.311/.439.201.293251227%7%107+1.7
Jonathan India
2019 · A
22 43→51 45→50 51→50 45 .208/.290/.333 .125.296 1210 32% 8% 76 +0.0 .217/.304/.340 .123.297 1210 29% 9% 83 +0.6 .243/.342/.393.150.294171122%10%107+1.9
Agustín Ramírez
2023 · A
21 43→45 45→55 50 43 .213/.273/.339 .126.289 1210 30% 7% 69 -0.4 .229/.292/.389 .160.276 1913 24% 8% 90 +1.0 .230/.293/.405.176.264221622%7%92+1.1
Gunnar Henderson
2022 · AA
21 42→52 47→60 52→55 40 .202/.269/.338 .136.321 1411 39% 8% 67 -0.5 .249/.327/.442 .193.330 2114 29% 10% 118 +3.0 .266/.349/.487.221.327251525%10%137+4.7