Ryan Ritter
2B Albuquerque Isotopes| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 438 | .257/.387/.397 | 9 | 20 | 92 | — | .233/.314/.339 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAACOL | 260 | .303/.406/.610 | 16 | 3 | 118 | — | .250/.332/.469 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBCOL | 207 | .241/.297/.337 | 1 | 3 | 67 | 0.4 | |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA/ROKCOL | 304 | .304/.419/.433 | 5 | 11 | 104 | — | .277/.368/.385 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBCOL | 21 | .158/.200/.158 | 0 | 0 | -6 | -0.0 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 26 | MLBCOL | 107 | .236/.313/.370 | 2 | 6 | 83 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ56% MLB | 27 | MLBCOL | 159 | .234/.312/.367 | 3 | 8 | 82 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ62% MLB | 28 | MLBCOL | 182 | .232/.310/.362 | 4 | 9 | 81 | 0.2 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 29 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 320 | 414 | 680 | 1.094 | 360 | 333 | 10 | 7 | 466 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 29 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 276 | 200 | 476 | 40 | 286 | 38 | 10 | 235 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 201 | 170 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 69 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 265 | 369 | 441 | 810 | 176 | 406 | 34 | 11 | 358 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 295 | 246 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 72 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 305 | 410 | 606 | 1.016 | 301 | 356 | 24 | 13 | 432 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 373 | 318 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 88 | 16 | 17 | 0 | 270 | 371 | 403 | 774 | 132 | 353 | 24 | 9 | 349 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 65 | 40 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 150 | 477 | 350 | 827 | 200 | 211 | 29 | 28 | 404 | 159 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 207 | 187 | 45 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 61 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 297 | 337 | 634 | 96 | 349 | 29 | 5 | 281 | 67 | -8 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 260 | 218 | 66 | 13 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 54 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 303 | 406 | 610 | 1.016 | 307 | 336 | 21 | 13 | 432 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 158 | 358 | 273 | 38 | 5 | 163 | -6 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -0.0 | |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 276 | 226 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 57 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 323 | 431 | 460 | 891 | 137 | 412 | 21 | 12 | 392 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 28 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 296 | 143 | 439 | 48 | 133 | 25 | 18 | 229 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 228 | 206 | 48 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 69 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 233 | 288 | 320 | 609 | 87 | 343 | 30 | 5 | 270 | 69 | -8 | +0 | +3 | +6 | +5 | 0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 29 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 345 | 577 | 922 | 308 | 237 | 14 | 3 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 241 | 192 | 434 | 38 | 264 | 45 | 7 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 201 | 178 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 95 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 185 | 268 | 303 | 571 | 118 | 333 | 47 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 295 | 257 | 60 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 99 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 233 | 321 | 428 | 749 | 195 | 310 | 34 | 9 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 373 | 330 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 109 | 16 | 17 | 0 | 233 | 314 | 339 | 654 | 106 | 318 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 207 | 187 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 61 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 287 | 316 | 603 | 86 | 349 | 29 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -8 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 260 | 228 | 57 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 69 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 250 | 332 | 469 | 801 | 219 | 301 | 27 | 9 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 158 | 358 | 273 | 38 | 5 | 159 | -6 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -0.0 | |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 276 | 236 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 68 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 297 | 383 | 411 | 794 | 114 | 382 | 25 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 28 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 222 | 130 | 353 | 43 | 97 | 36 | 11 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 29 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 345 | 577 | 922 | 308 | 286 | 14 | 3 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL Rockies | — | 29 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 320 | 414 | 680 | 1.094 | 360 | 333 | 10 | 7 | 466 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 525 | 460 | 95 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 207 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 207 | 294 | 359 | 653 | 152 | 329 | 39 | 8 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 525 | 441 | 124 | 25 | 4 | 24 | 62 | 152 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 281 | 387 | 519 | 906 | 238 | 370 | 29 | 12 | 393 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 384 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 128 | 23 | 20 | 0 | 234 | 323 | 341 | 664 | 107 | 332 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 438 | 358 | 92 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 53 | 107 | 23 | 20 | 0 | 257 | 387 | 397 | 784 | 140 | 342 | 24 | 12 | 357 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 415 | 100 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 130 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 241 | 312 | 400 | 712 | 159 | 320 | 28 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 467 | 405 | 111 | 22 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 115 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 274 | 358 | 484 | 842 | 210 | 342 | 25 | 9 | 365 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 325 | 278 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 87 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 266 | 354 | 363 | 718 | 97 | 370 | 27 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 325 | 266 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 72 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 293 | 405 | 414 | 819 | 120 | 382 | 22 | 12 | 363 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 29 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 345 | 577 | 922 | 308 | 237 | 14 | 3 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 525 | 463 | 95 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 207 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 205 | 294 | 356 | 650 | 151 | 316 | 39 | 8 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 385 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 128 | 23 | 20 | 0 | 234 | 323 | 340 | 663 | 106 | 318 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 421 | 100 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 130 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 238 | 312 | 394 | 707 | 157 | 322 | 28 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 325 | 284 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 87 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 261 | 354 | 356 | 710 | 95 | 350 | 27 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 385 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 128 | 23 | 20 | 0 | 234 | 323 | 340 | 663 | 106 | 318 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 421 | 100 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 130 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 238 | 312 | 394 | 707 | 157 | 322 | 28 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 325 | 284 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 87 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 261 | 354 | 356 | 710 | 95 | 350 | 27 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | COL | 45% | 375 | 334 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 97 | 9 | 20 | 4 | 223 | 302 | 342 | 643 | 118 | 289 | 26 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -7 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +8 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | COL | 45% | 107 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 236 | 313 | 370 | 683 | 134 | 304 | 26 | 7 | 307 | 83 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 56% | 285 | 254 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 74 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 222 | 301 | 339 | 640 | 117 | 289 | 26 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -6 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 62% | 296 | 264 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 78 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 220 | 299 | 334 | 634 | 114 | 288 | 26 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -7 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 63% | 291 | 261 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 77 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 218 | 296 | 329 | 625 | 110 | 287 | 26 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -7 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 63% | 287 | 257 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 77 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 215 | 293 | 321 | 614 | 106 | 285 | 27 | 8 | 280 | 75 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 56% | 159 | 142 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 234 | 312 | 367 | 679 | 133 | 304 | 26 | 8 | 305 | 82 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 62% | 182 | 162 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 48 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 232 | 310 | 362 | 672 | 130 | 303 | 26 | 8 | 302 | 81 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 63% | 183 | 163 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 49 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 230 | 307 | 355 | 662 | 125 | 301 | 27 | 8 | 299 | 78 | -5 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 63% | 182 | 162 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 227 | 303 | 347 | 650 | 120 | 300 | 27 | 8 | 294 | 75 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 934 | 835 | 194 | 33 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 256 | 21 | 34 | 7 | 232 | 304 | 350 | 654 | 117 | 315 | 27 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -26 | +4 | +2 | +9 | +20 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 581 | 135 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 178 | 15 | 24 | 5 | 232 | 304 | 348 | 652 | 115 | 316 | 27 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -18 | +3 | +1 | +6 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3181 | 2811 | 640 | 116 | 23 | 64 | 239 | 924 | 91 | 123 | 21 | 228 | 309 | 354 | 662 | 126 | 313 | 29 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -42 | +8 | +2 | +11 | +35 | 1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 131 | 24 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 189 | 19 | 25 | 4 | 228 | 310 | 355 | 665 | 127 | 315 | 29 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -17 | +3 | +1 | +4 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 276 PAwOBA .384 → .340 (−44)K% 20.7% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.65% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×1.018 | 30.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.018 | 6.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×1.018 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.11% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .384 → .340; ISO .137 → .114; BABIP .412 → .382. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Rockies · 28 PAwOBA .233 → .150 (−83)K% 25.0% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 10.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 2.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 5.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .233 → .150; ISO .048 → .033; BABIP .133 → .097. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 260 PAwOBA .422 → .343 (−79)K% 20.8% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.77% | ÷0.945 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.08% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.73% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×1.033 | 19.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.93% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.033 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.028 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×1.033 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.76% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 6.94% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .422 → .343; ISO .307 → .235; BABIP .336 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAHartford Yard Goats · 373 PAwOBA .340 → .286 (−54)K% 23.6% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.59% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.12% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.29% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 3.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷1.041 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 24.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.39% | ÷1.102 | ×0.860 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.04% | ÷0.916 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.62% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 108, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .340 → .286; ISO .132 → .111; BABIP .353 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFresno Grizzlies · 295 PAwOBA .425 → .322 (−103)K% 24.4% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.41% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 8.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.37% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.99% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 21.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.05% | ÷0.946 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷0.941 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 1.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.186 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 6.91% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 97, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .425 → .322; ISO .301 → .207; BABIP .356 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Spokane Indians · 201 PAwOBA .351 → .246 (−105)K% 34.3% → 47.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.33% | ÷0.983 | ×1.350 | — | — | 47.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.95% | ÷1.075 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.99% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 2.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.72% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 23.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.90% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 7.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.936 | ×0.820 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.94% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 4.70% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 87, K 97, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .351 → .246; ISO .176 → .120; BABIP .406 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAHartford Yard Goats · 29 PAwOBA .230 → .189 (−41)K% 37.9% → 44.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.93% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 3.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.065 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 20.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .230 → .189; ISO .040 → .033; BABIP .286 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rockies · 29 PAwOBA .453 → .324 (−129)K% 10.3% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.34% | ÷0.980 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.981 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 4.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.90% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.035 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 7.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.979 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 13.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 3.77% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 96, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .453 → .324; ISO .360 → .262; BABIP .333 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .