Jackson Cox
P
Spokane Indians
Age 22
RHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.8 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129119vR 110
ERA4.85
FIP4.85
K%20.8%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 146 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 10 | 9 | 31 | 149 | 32 | 20 | 2 | 90% | 3.1 | 15.9% | 15.8% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 7.26 | 4.46 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 10 | 9 | 31 | 149 | 32 | 20 | 2 | 90% | 3.1 | 21.5% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 1.3% | 7.26 | 3.81 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 23 | 23 | 85 | 341 | 92 | 25 | 12 | 100% | 3.7 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 3.39 | 5.91 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 23 | 23 | 85 | 341 | 92 | 25 | 12 | 100% | 3.7 | 27.0% | 7.3% | 19.6% | 3.5% | 3.39 | 3.65 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 17 | 16 | 86 | 372 | 116 | 38 | 14 | 94% | 5.1 | 24.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 4.27 | 5.04 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 60 | 251 | 52 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 4.85 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 5.14 | 5.14 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | COL | — | — | 146 | 623 | 168 | 62 | 23 | — | — | 27.0% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 3.7% | 4.51 | 4.96 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 20.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 5.14 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 62 | 261 | 57 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.1 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 63 | 267 | 61 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.8% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.52 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 63 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 3.3% | 4.51 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 63 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 4.46 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | COL | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 62 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 6.3 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 4.46 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | COL | 6 | 6 | 30 | 127 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 3.9% | 4.99 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | COL | 8 | 8 | 44 | 186 | 42 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.8% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 3.8% | 4.87 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | COL | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 51 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 3.8% | 4.79 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | COL | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 55 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 3.8% | 4.74 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | COL | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 56 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 3.9% | 4.74 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 41 | 240 | 1012 | 233 | 90 | 39 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.0% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 3.8% | 4.81 | 4.39 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 75 | 33 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.0% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 3.8% | 4.81 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 48 | 202 | 862 | 183 | 96 | 40 | 96% | 4.0 | 21.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 4.36 | 5.28 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 47 | 200 | 852 | 180 | 95 | 40 | 96% | 4.0 | 21.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 4.36 | 5.28 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jackson Cox (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.85 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 3.5% | — | 4.54 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 189 | -0.31 | — | — | — |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 91 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 90 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 89 |
| Austin Gordon R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.70 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .315 | 5.46 | 17.4% | 7.9% | 75 | +0.76 | 4.70 | 159 | 89 |
| Curtis Taylor R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.10 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.42 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 96 | -0.68 | 2.58 | 408 | 88 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 88 |
| Marcelo Perez R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.02 | 18.0% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 14.1% | 6.7% | 217 | +0.97 | 4.02 | 285 | 88 |
| Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 87 |
| Bryce Jarvis R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.78 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 3.8% | .276 | 5.00 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 296 | +0.22 | 4.22 | 513 | 87 |
| Jared Karros R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 87 |
| Gabriel Hughes R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.02 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 4.6% | .302 | 3.95 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 143 | -1.07 | 2.58 | 210 | 87 |
| CJ Van Eyk R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.01 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.47 | 15.2% | 5.3% | 127 | -0.54 | 3.95 | 411 | 86 |
| Mike Vasil R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.71 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.60 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +0.89 | 3.71 | 429 | 86 |
| Garrett Burhenn R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.19 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | .333 | 4.44 | 16.9% | 8.8% | 341 | +0.25 | 4.19 | 433 | 86 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.00 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 4.2% | .236 | 4.59 | 22.3% | 3.9% | 180 | -0.41 | 4.20 | 311 | 86 |
| Christian Roa R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.02 | 19.6% | 12.4% | 3.6% | .321 | 4.92 | 22.7% | 6.2% | 260 | -0.10 | 4.38 | 406 | 85 |
| Will Sanders R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.17 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 4.0% | .297 | 4.04 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 167 | -1.13 | 3.89 | 259 | 85 |
| Mason Hickman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.38 | 20.2% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .288 | 5.37 | 24.0% | 10.8% | 181 | +0.99 | 4.38 | 300 | 84 |
| Cody Morris R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .362 | 2.86 | 31.1% | 20.9% | 96 | -1.14 | 2.26 | 256 | 84 |
| Jarrod Cande R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.43 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .330 | 5.02 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 212 | +0.59 | 4.37 | 292 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 63 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 1.30 | 4.59 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |