Kikito Severino
P
Charleston RiverDogs
Age 24
LHP
5'11" / 145 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%22.9%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 2 | 15 | 10 | 53 | 247 | 59 | 28 | 1 | 67% | 3.5 | 16.2% | 14.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 3.74 | 3.92 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 2 | 15 | 10 | 53 | 247 | 59 | 28 | 1 | 67% | 3.5 | 23.9% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 0.4% | 3.74 | 2.70 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 13 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 16 | 1 | 46% | 2.9 | 11.9% | 12.5% | -0.6% | 1.1% | 1.41 | 4.28 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 13 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 16 | 1 | 46% | 2.9 | 17.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 0.6% | 1.41 | 3.23 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 22 | 5 | 44 | 218 | 35 | 36 | 4 | 23% | 2.0 | 11.9% | 19.5% | -7.6% | 2.1% | 6.18 | 5.70 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 22 | 5 | 44 | 218 | 35 | 36 | 4 | 23% | 2.0 | 16.1% | 16.5% | -0.5% | 1.8% | 6.18 | 5.16 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | TB | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 25 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 3.94 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 71 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 21 | 135 | 625 | 85 | 97 | 8 | 42% | 2.7 | 13.6% | 15.6% | -2.0% | 1.3% | 3.87 | 4.63 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 74 | 31 | 200 | 926 | 126 | 144 | 12 | 42% | 2.7 | 13.6% | 15.6% | -2.0% | 1.3% | 3.87 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kikito Severino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.32 | 23.3% | 14.0% | 26 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Brady Basso L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 80 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 78 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 3.54 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 62 | -1.69 | 3.54 | 186 | 76 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 76 |
| Jordan Woods L 2024 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 76 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2029 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 76 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 74 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 74 |
| Samuel Strickland L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | .337 | 3.71 | 20.5% | 14.3% | 133 | -1.15 | 3.09 | 277 | 73 |
| Nick Maronde L 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 73 |
| Angel Perdomo L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.47 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 1.4% | .315 | 4.10 | 32.7% | 17.7% | 100 | +0.63 | 2.79 | 540 | 73 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 73 |
| Ismael Guillón L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.28 | 24.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | .206 | 4.45 | 20.1% | 6.0% | 100 | +0.17 | 4.28 | 193 | 72 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 72 |
| Tommy Vail L 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.91 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .237 | 5.18 | 19.7% | 3.3% | 81 | +1.27 | 3.91 | 151 | 71 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 71 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 71 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.99 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 196 | 71 |
| Zack Thompson L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.67 | 23.7% | 9.6% | 208 | +0.95 | 2.03 | 402 | 71 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 1.15 | 4.38 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |