Max Roberts
P
Birmingham Barons
Age 29
LHP
6'6" / 190 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105114vR 123
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%23.4%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 10 | 7 | 24 | 114 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 70% | 2.4 | 10.7% | 9.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.18 | 4.79 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 10 | 7 | 24 | 114 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 70% | 2.4 | 15.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 5.18 | 3.80 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 5 | 34 | 157 | 39 | 21 | 3 | 28% | 1.9 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.97 | 5.07 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 5 | 34 | 157 | 39 | 21 | 3 | 28% | 1.9 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 3.97 | 3.81 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 48 | 218 | 68 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.9% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 5.29 | 4.03 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 48 | 218 | 68 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.2% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 2.3% | 5.29 | 3.31 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 27 | 0 | 27 | 126 | 43 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 5.67 | 4.36 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 27 | 0 | 27 | 126 | 43 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.1% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 3.2% | 5.67 | 3.73 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 48 | 215 | 63 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 18.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.12 | 5.22 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 48 | 215 | 63 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.3% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 1.9% | 4.12 | 3.75 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 0 | 16 | 70 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.3% | 10.0% | 24.3% | 4.3% | 5.06 | 3.82 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 0 | 16 | 70 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.3% | 10.0% | 24.3% | 4.3% | 5.06 | 3.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 23 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.38 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 84 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 146 | 12 | 197 | 900 | 203 | 132 | 26 | 8% | 1.3 | 22.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 148 | 12 | 200 | 914 | 206 | 134 | 26 | 8% | 1.3 | 22.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Max Roberts (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 23.4% | 11.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.75 | 23.0% | 11.6% | 23 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 81 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 80 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 79 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 79 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 79 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 79 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 79 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 78 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 76 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 76 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 76 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.56 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | .300 | 3.44 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -1.12 | 2.81 | 223 | 76 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 76 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 75 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 75 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 75 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 75 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 74 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .253 | 3.69 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 161 | -0.35 | 2.69 | 703 | 74 |
| Dan Runzler L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.24 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.47 | 3.77 | 127 | 73 |