Max Roberts
P Birmingham Barons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26 | A+HOU | 27 | 0 | 27 | 5.67 | 3.73 | 34.1% | 13.5% | — | K 26.3% · BB 15.5% · FIP 4.63 | |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX3 levels | 38 | 0 | 48 | 4.12 | 3.75 | 29.3% | 16.3% | — | K 23.0% · BB 18.0% · FIP 4.94 | |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX3 levels | 15 | 0 | 16 | 5.06 | 3.85 | 34.3% | 10.0% | — | K 34.3% · BB 10.0% · FIP 3.82 | |
| 2026 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 30 | MLBCWS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.80 | 23.2% | 12.9% | -0.0 | ||
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 31 | MLBCWS | 7 | 0 | 7 | 4.88 | 4.96 | 22.8% | 12.9% | -0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | 10 | 7 | 24 | 114 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 70% | 2.4 | 10.7% | 9.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.18 | 4.79 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Mariners | 10 | 7 | 24 | 114 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 70% | 2.4 | 15.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 5.18 | 3.80 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 18 | 5 | 34 | 157 | 39 | 21 | 3 | 28% | 1.9 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.97 | 4.85 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 18 | 5 | 34 | 157 | 39 | 21 | 3 | 28% | 1.9 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 3.97 | 3.81 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 48 | 218 | 68 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.9% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 5.29 | 4.27 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 48 | 218 | 68 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.2% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 2.3% | 5.29 | 3.31 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | 27 | 0 | 27 | 126 | 43 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 5.67 | 4.63 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ RAW | Asheville Tourists | 27 | 0 | 27 | 126 | 43 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.1% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 3.2% | 5.67 | 3.73 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 48 | 215 | 63 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 18.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.12 | 4.94 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 48 | 215 | 63 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 18.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.12 | 4.94 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 48 | 215 | 63 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.3% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 1.9% | 4.12 | 3.75 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 15 | 0 | 16 | 70 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.3% | 10.0% | 24.3% | 4.3% | 5.06 | 3.82 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 15 | 0 | 16 | 70 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.3% | 10.0% | 24.3% | 4.3% | 5.06 | 3.82 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 15 | 0 | 16 | 70 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.3% | 10.0% | 24.3% | 4.3% | 5.06 | 3.85 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | CWS | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.88 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | CWS | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.88 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.88 | 4.58 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 122 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.88 | 4.58 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 146 | 12 | 197 | 900 | 203 | 132 | 26 | 8% | 1.3 | 22.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.61 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 148 | 12 | 200 | 914 | 206 | 134 | 26 | 8% | 1.3 | 22.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.61 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AABirmingham Barons · 8 IPFIP 6.58 → 9.44 (+2.85)K% 30.0% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 30.00% | — | ×0.810 | 24.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 15.00% | — | ×1.100 | 16.50% |
| HR / BF /BF | 7.50% | ÷0.784 | ×1.200 | 11.48% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 57).
Result: FIP 6.58 → 9.44, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 35 IPFIP 2.88 → 4.11 (+1.23)K% 30.9% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 30.92% | — | ×0.770 | 23.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.16% | — | ×1.150 | 15.13% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.32% | ÷0.817 | ×1.250 | 2.01% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 63).
Result: FIP 2.88 → 4.11, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABirmingham Barons · 12 IPFIP 5.94 → 7.21 (+1.27)K% 25.5% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 25.45% | — | ×0.810 | 20.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 23.64% | — | ×1.100 | 26.00% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.64% | ÷0.935 | ×1.200 | 4.67% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 87).
Result: FIP 5.94 → 7.21, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Asheville Tourists · 27 IPFIP 3.67 → 4.63 (+0.97)K% 34.1% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 34.13% | — | ×0.770 | 26.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.49% | — | ×1.150 | 15.52% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.17% | ÷1.218 | ×1.250 | 3.26% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 144).
Result: FIP 3.67 → 4.63, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Everett AquaSox · 42 IPFIP 3.39 → 4.27 (+0.88)K% 32.3% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 32.29% | — | ×0.770 | 24.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.50% | — | ×1.150 | 14.37% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.60% | ÷1.237 | ×1.250 | 2.63% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 147).
Result: FIP 3.39 → 4.27, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AModesto Nuts · 6 IPFIP 2.61 → 3.38 (+0.77)K% 23.1% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 23.08% | — | ×0.740 | 17.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.54% | — | ×1.180 | 13.62% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.855 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 71).
Result: FIP 2.61 → 3.38, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AModesto Nuts · 23 IPFIP 3.53 → 5.08 (+1.55)K% 29.6% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 29.59% | — | ×0.740 | 21.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 14.29% | — | ×1.180 | 16.86% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.04% | ÷0.861 | ×1.300 | 3.08% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 72).
Result: FIP 3.53 → 5.08, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAATacoma Rainiers · 11 IPFIP 4.10 → 4.47 (+0.37)K% 16.9% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 16.95% | — | ×0.880 | 14.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.86% | — | ×1.050 | 12.46% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.69% | ÷0.970 | ×1.100 | 1.92% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 94).
Result: FIP 4.10 → 4.47, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).