Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.12 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.10 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 24 | 7 | 63 | 281 | 64 | 39 | 4 | 29% | 2.6 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 4.57 | 4.77 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 24 | 7 | 63 | 281 | 64 | 39 | 4 | 29% | 2.6 | 22.8% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 1.4% | 4.57 | 3.75 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 126 | 529 | 122 | 39 | 13 | 96% | 5.2 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 3.57 | 4.57 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 126 | 529 | 122 | 39 | 13 | 96% | 5.2 | 23.1% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 2.5% | 3.57 | 3.43 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 12 | 10 | 53 | 239 | 52 | 17 | 9 | 83% | 4.4 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 4.61 | 4.91 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 12 | 10 | 53 | 239 | 52 | 17 | 9 | 83% | 4.4 | 21.8% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 3.8% | 4.61 | 4.32 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 50 | 24 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 50 | 24 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 48 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 4.93 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 61 | 257 | 45 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 17.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 4.93 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 7 | 41 | 173 | 30 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 17 | 17 | 103 | 435 | 77 | 38 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 4.96 | 4.65 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 74 | 29 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 4.96 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 62 | 40 | 244 | 1055 | 188 | 109 | 34 | 65% | 3.9 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 4.03 | 4.67 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 33 | 200 | 866 | 154 | 90 | 28 | 65% | 3.9 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 4.03 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Braeden Fausnaught (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 16.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | — | 5.01 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 194 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 85 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | .246 | 6.63 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.65 | 4.98 | 179 | 83 |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 83 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 82 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.77 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .278 | 5.20 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.43 | 4.77 | 118 | 81 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 80 |
| Nick Additon L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.78 | 14.0% | 7.9% | 1.6% | .307 | 4.62 | 14.4% | 7.1% | 106 | +0.84 | 3.06 | 217 | 80 |
| Eric Wooten L 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 79 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2023 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 78 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 310 | 78 |
| Chipper Smith L 2024 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.83 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 109 | 77 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 77 |
| John Anderson L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 14.3% | 8.7% | 1.9% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 235 | 77 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 77 |
| James Gillheeney L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.80 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 129 | 75 |
| Michael Sansone L 2025 · 5.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.64 | 17.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 255 | 74 |
| Alex Troop L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.84 | 17.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .275 | 5.64 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 43 | +0.80 | 2.96 | 379 | 73 |
| Roy Merritt L 2029 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 73 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 72 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2028 · 5.16 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.16 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | .345 | 5.04 | 10.0% | 2.8% | 83 | -0.12 | 5.04 | 175 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 17.4% | 8.6% | 1.32 | 4.93 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |