Braeden Fausnaught P Reading Fightin Phils
Age 27 LHP 6'3" / 235 lbs AA peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111120vR 129
ERA4.88
FIP4.88
K%16.9%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%8.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
K: -2.9 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: +0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -2.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +4.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: -0.10 (70 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL5555
CMD5050
K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202223ROKFCL Phillies20263000%1.050.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%0.00-1.12
202223ROKFCL Phillies20263000%1.050.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%0.000.10
202324AClearwater Threshers247632816439429%2.616.9%16.4%0.5%1.9%4.574.77
202324AClearwater Threshers247632816439429%2.622.8%13.9%8.9%1.4%4.573.75
202425MIX2 levels2423126529122391396%5.218.0%8.4%9.6%3.5%3.574.57
202425MIX2 levels2423126529122391396%5.223.1%7.4%15.7%2.5%3.573.43
202526AAReading Fightin Phils1210532395217983%4.417.6%7.8%9.8%4.2%4.614.91
202526AAReading Fightin Phils1210532395217983%4.421.8%7.1%14.6%3.8%4.614.32
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBPHI121270296502410100%5.816.9%8.3%8.7%3.3%4.884.88-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBPHI111168287502410100%6.217.5%8.5%9.0%3.3%4.874.91-0.2
202829MLBPHI11116527448249100%5.917.7%8.8%8.9%3.5%4.934.99-0.3
202930MLBPHI10106125745239100%6.117.6%9.1%8.5%3.6%5.045.14-0.4
202728MLBPHI44261101994100%6.517.5%8.5%9.0%3.3%4.874.91-0.1
202829MLBPHI663615227135100%6.017.7%8.8%8.9%3.5%4.934.99-0.2
202930MLBPHI774117330166100%5.917.6%9.1%8.5%3.6%5.045.14-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career1717103435773815100%6.117.6%8.8%8.8%3.5%4.964.65+0.9
/ 200 IP33332008441497429100%6.017.6%8.8%8.8%3.5%4.964.65+1.8
Career624024410551881093465%3.917.8%10.3%7.4%3.2%4.034.67+2.1
/ 200 IP5133200866154902865%3.917.8%10.3%7.4%3.2%4.034.67+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Braeden Fausnaught (OGILVIE) 4.88 16.9%8.3%3.3% 5.01 17.6%8.8%194 +0.13
Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP 27 SP- 4.53 17.4%8.8%3.3%.311 4.31 17.2%9.9%300 -0.22 3.88 523 85
Danny Wirchansky L 2026 · 4.98 FIP 27 SP- 4.98 16.2%7.4%4.2%.246 6.63 13.0%0.2%68 +1.65 4.98 179 83
Justin Marks L 2026 · 4.56 FIP 27 SP- 4.56 15.4%10.5%2.6%.323 3.78 19.0%9.1%216 -0.78 3.75 324 83
Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 27 SP- 3.89 16.3%7.3%2.3%.373 4.65 13.4%4.8%78 +0.76 3.89 160 82
Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 4.77 FIP 27 SP- 4.77 12.6%10.7%2.5%.278 5.20 15.7%5.6%45 +0.43 4.77 118 81
T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.13 FIP 27 SP- 4.13 16.2%9.2%2.2%.276 3.39 300 80
Nick Additon L 2026 · 3.78 FIP 27 SP- 3.78 14.0%7.9%1.6%.307 4.62 14.4%7.1%106 +0.84 3.06 217 80
Eric Wooten L 2024 · 4.16 FIP 25 SP- 4.16 14.6%7.5%2.5%.316 4.16 116 79
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2023 · 4.93 FIP 24 SP- 4.93 16.0%10.1%3.5%.289 4.93 116 78
Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP 27 SP- 4.39 17.1%9.1%2.9%.311 3.08 310 78
Chipper Smith L 2024 · 3.83 FIP 25 SP- 3.83 15.6%9.5%1.5%.321 3.83 109 77
Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP 27 SP- 5.27 21.7%9.8%5.0%.289 5.37 15.7%5.0%26 +0.10 5.27 128 77
John Anderson L 2026 · 4.02 FIP 27 SP- 4.02 14.3%8.7%1.9%.367 4.02 235 77
Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP 26 SP- 5.52 17.8%8.2%5.2%.321 3.65 116 77
James Gillheeney L 2026 · 3.80 FIP 27 SP- 3.80 14.4%8.0%1.6%.300 3.80 129 75
Michael Sansone L 2025 · 5.64 FIP 26 SP- 5.64 17.0%9.3%5.1%.292 3.24 255 74
Alex Troop L 2026 · 4.84 FIP 27 SP- 4.84 17.8%10.9%3.4%.275 5.64 17.3%10.5%43 +0.80 2.96 379 73
Roy Merritt L 2029 · 4.01 FIP 30 SP- 4.01 13.3%5.9%2.3%.293 3.88 16.2%10.4%116 -0.13 3.88 129 73
Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.77 FIP 25 SP- 4.77 18.0%10.5%3.4%.274 4.77 154 72
Edgar Osuna L 2028 · 5.16 FIP 29 SP 5.16 10.6%8.2%3.5%.345 5.04 10.0%2.8%83 -0.12 5.04 175 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46617.4%8.6%1.324.93
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
JC Ramírez ('17)38317.0%7.7%1.304.33
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20