Ryan Prager
P
Hill City Howlers
Age 23
LHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.5%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 2 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | 30.4% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 2.18 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 2 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | 30.4% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 1.95 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Hill City Howlers | 14 | 3 | 32 | 135 | 48 | 19 | 2 | 21% | 2.3 | 28.1% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 2.2% | 3.13 | 4.02 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CLE | 18 | 0 | 19 | 82 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.5% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 51 | 217 | 67 | 27 | 4 | — | — | 31.0% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 2.1% | 3.58 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 3.83 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 70 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 16 | 5 | 36 | 158 | 45 | 25 | 3 | 31% | 2.2 | 28.4% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 1.9% | 3.25 | 3.75 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 28 | 200 | 878 | 249 | 139 | 17 | 31% | 2.2 | 28.4% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 1.9% | 3.25 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Prager (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.5% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.21 | 24.1% | 15.1% | 20 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Josh Simpson L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 80 |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 79 |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.77 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 2.1% | .271 | 5.25 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 39 | +1.48 | 3.77 | 132 | 77 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .280 | 3.65 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 63 | +0.08 | 2.91 | 141 | 76 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.79 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .366 | 4.10 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 177 | +0.31 | 3.37 | 275 | 76 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.19 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .324 | 4.51 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.32 | 4.19 | 201 | 74 |
| Dante Biasi L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 74 |
| Brady Basso L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 73 |
| Jordan Woods L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 73 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 72 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.54 | 23.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .259 | 4.09 | 19.9% | 7.5% | 106 | +0.55 | 3.54 | 206 | 72 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.97 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .382 | 3.85 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 311 | -0.12 | 3.10 | 381 | 72 |
| Jeffrey Springs L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.13 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .265 | 3.59 | 25.7% | 16.0% | 233 | -0.54 | 1.39 | 861 | 72 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 72 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.11 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | .320 | 5.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 73 | +1.86 | 4.11 | 158 | 72 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 72 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | .283 | 4.48 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.05 | 4.48 | 110 | 72 |
| Jordan Fowler L 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.98 | 17.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | .276 | 4.30 | 13.2% | 5.3% | 70 | -0.68 | 4.30 | 124 | 72 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 72 |
| Michael Johnson L 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 72 |