Kahlil Watson — OGILVIE

Kahlil WatsonLF Columbus Clippers

Age 23 L/R 5'9" / 178 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION334 act + 222 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .285 / .371

PA222

HR7

SB11

K%34

BB%9

BABIP295

ISO160

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT41

xwOBA

100.242

POWER53

Barrel%

508.2

Avg EV

5289.3

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED56

Sprint

6628.1

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.3M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	42	36	10	2	1	0	5	10	1	4	1	278	381	389	770	111	385	24	12	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	42	33	13	3	2	0	8	7	1	4	1	394	524	606	1.130	212	500	17	19	491	234	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	376	342	48	10	2	7	25	201	5	16	3	140	210	243	452	102	297	53	7	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	376	335	78	18	5	10	32	132	5	16	3	233	309	406	715	173	345	35	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	341	296	52	13	0	9	32	118	8	25	3	176	274	311	585	135	247	35	9	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	341	285	61	13	0	12	43	92	8	25	3	214	333	386	719	172	263	27	13	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	371	64	12	1	14	30	168	3	15	9	173	240	323	564	151	260	41	7	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	359	79	15	2	16	42	125	3	15	9	220	307	407	714	187	285	31	10	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	429	381	74	15	5	13	35	166	8	17	7	194	276	362	638	168	296	39	8	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	429	368	92	20	6	16	48	119	8	17	7	250	349	467	816	217	321	28	11	357	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	CLE	—	334	300	65	14	1	11	29	113	3	23	7	217	292	380	672	163	303	34	9	292	81	-7	+2	+0	-4	+9	0.1
YTD	23	AAA	CLE	—	334	289	71	16	1	13	40	99	3	23	7	246	343	443	786	197	324	30	12	349	125	+9	+2	+0	-4	+9	1.7
ROS	23	AAA	CLE	100%	222	199	42	9	1	7	19	75	2	11	3	210	285	371	656	160	294	34	9	294	83	-4	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
ROS	23	MLB	CLE	100%	223	200	42	9	1	7	19	75	2	11	3	210	285	370	655	160	294	34	9	286	77	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
FULL	23	AAA	CLE	—	557	500	107	23	2	18	48	188	5	34	10	214	289	376	665	162	300	34	9	289	80	-13	+3	-1	-6	+16	-0.1
TOT	23	AAA	CLE	—	556	499	107	23	2	18	48	188	5	34	10	214	290	376	666	162	300	34	9	293	82	-11	+3	-1	-6	+16	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CLE	65%	579	519	112	22	3	20	49	188	6	27	7	216	291	385	676	170	293	32	8	301	88	-8	+3	-3	-6	+16	0.3
2028	25	MLB	CLE	65%	567	507	112	22	3	20	49	179	6	27	7	221	297	394	692	174	293	32	9	305	92	-5	+3	-3	-6	+16	0.5
2029	26	MLB	CLE	65%	561	501	111	22	3	19	49	174	6	27	7	222	299	391	690	170	293	31	9	307	93	-4	+3	-2	-6	+16	0.6
2030	27	MLB	CLE	65%	556	496	110	22	3	19	49	172	6	26	7	222	299	393	693	171	292	31	9	307	93	-4	+2	-2	-6	+16	0.6
2027	24	MLB	CLE	65%	376	337	74	15	2	13	32	122	4	18	5	220	295	392	687	172	293	32	9	293	82	-8	+2	-2	-4	+11	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	CLE	65%	369	330	73	14	2	13	32	116	4	17	5	221	298	394	692	173	293	31	9	297	86	-6	+1	-2	-4	+10	0.0
2029	26	MLB	CLE	65%	365	326	72	14	2	13	32	113	4	17	5	221	298	396	694	175	293	31	9	299	87	-5	+1	-2	-4	+10	0.1
2030	27	MLB	CLE	65%	361	322	71	14	2	12	32	112	4	17	5	220	299	388	687	168	293	31	9	299	87	-5	+1	-2	-4	+10	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1694	1515	332	66	9	58	147	538	18	80	23	219	296	389	685	170	295	32	9	296	84	-30	+7	-8	-18	+48	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	126	25	3	22	56	206	7	31	9	217	293	384	677	167	292	32	9	296	84	-11	+3	-3	-7	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	4080	3648	735	149	22	128	342	1451	51	195	54	201	279	360	639	158	289	36	8	283	75	-116	+17	-11	-44	+116	-3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	117	24	4	20	54	231	8	31	9	201	278	360	638	158	290	36	8	283	75	-18	+3	-2	-7	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	42	33	13	3	2	0	8	7	1	4	1	394	524	606	1.130	212	500	17	19	491	234	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2022	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	358	324	75	16	5	9	27	127	4	16	3	231	299	395	694	164	346	35	8	307	93	-3	+2	—	—	+10	0.9
2022	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	18	11	3	2	0	1	5	5	1	0	0	273	529	727	1.257	455	333	28	28	493	235	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	341	285	61	13	0	12	43	92	8	25	3	214	333	386	719	172	263	27	13	323	105	+2	+4	—	—	+10	1.6
2024	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	359	79	15	2	16	42	125	3	15	9	220	307	407	714	187	285	31	10	317	101	+0	-1	—	—	+12	1.1
2025	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	176	149	38	7	1	8	22	47	3	10	2	255	362	477	839	221	312	27	12	368	140	+8	+1	—	—	+5	1.4
2025	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	253	219	54	13	5	8	26	72	5	7	5	247	340	461	801	215	326	28	10	350	126	+7	-1	—	—	+7	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,831	61	87	219	289	385	-20	-1	1.6	1.6
	/162	664	22	32	219	289	385	-7.1	-0.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kahlil Watson (OGILVIE)	23	30→41	45→53	55→56	50	214/290/376	162	300	18	34	34%	9%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Josh Lowe 2021 · AA	23	41→51	49→55	52→60	42	209/275/352	144	299	17	20	35%	8%	73	-0.1	247/306/415	168	344	19	26	32%	8%	102	+1.9	256/314/436	180	349	20	31	31%	7%	108	+1.9
●Derek Fisher 2017 · AAA	23	45→52	48→55	55	45	221/295/360	139	316	16	20	34%	9%	84	+0.6	233/304/401	168	327	20	18	33%	9%	98	+1.6	231/306/412	181	317	23	18	33%	9%	98	+1.2
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	46→55	52→55	42	202/273/338	137	283	13	17	32%	7%	69	-0.4	210/275/344	134	293	13	18	31%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	42→43	52→55	56→55	41	217/280/383	166	298	20	23	34%	7%	84	+0.6	203/276/341	138	281	16	17	32%	8%	72	-0.2	188/269/315	127	256	15	16	31%	9%	59	-0.7
✕Gage Workman 2023 · AA	23	38→48	47→60	57→55	30	179/228/324	145	332	14	22	48%	6%	46	-2.0	207/265/367	160	347	18	21	42%	7%	73	-0.1	235/291/430	195	347	22	24	37%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Leody Taveras 2022 · MLB	23	42→52	49→50	55	44	215/274/366	151	278	16	22	29%	7%	76	+0.1	242/293/384	142	305	15	19	25%	7%	89	+0.9	247/297/378	132	305	13	20	23%	7%	87	+0.7
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	37→46	48→60	54→50	36	196/246/338	142	285	17	16	37%	6%	57	-1.2	225/294/422	197	299	25	12	32%	8%	100	+1.7	224/302/430	206	282	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Pedro León 2023 · AAA	25	39→44	48→55	53→55	45	191/295/337	145	304	16	31	39%	10%	80	+0.4	218/290/385	167	318	20	24	36%	7%	89	+1.0	221/285/392	171	317	22	26	36%	6%	85	+0.5
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	35→45	48→65	51→50	38	185/248/327	142	271	17	15	37%	6%	56	-1.3	209/265/356	147	285	15	14	31%	7%	70	-0.3	211/299/435	223	292	31	7	37%	10%	103	+1.1
✕Wilyer Abreu 2023 · AA	24	41→51	49→60	51→50	48	203/295/344	141	301	17	19	36%	11%	81	+0.4	231/311/412	181	294	23	14	28%	10%	105	+2.1	236/315/436	200	281	26	11	25%	10%	108	+1.7
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	43→44	50→55	54→55	43	218/288/365	147	310	19	18	35%	9%	82	+0.5	217/283/362	145	296	16	16	30%	8%	79	+0.3	220/292/381	161	277	17	23	26%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Ernesto Martinez Jr. 2022 · A	23	44→52	48→50	59→55	39	213/283/354	141	321	15	24	36%	7%	78	+0.2	217/290/352	135	305	15	20	32%	8%	80	+0.4	229/297/366	138	300	14	11	27%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Ronny Simon 2023 · AA	23	39→49	52→50	56→55	39	210/253/374	164	262	21	22	29%	5%	70	-0.3	234/287/359	125	298	13	24	25%	6%	79	+0.3	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Estevan Florial 2022 · MLB	24	39→49	48→55	47→60	41	197/265/341	144	297	16	15	38%	8%	66	-0.6	216/281/379	163	322	18	29	36%	8%	83	+0.6	210/277/376	166	312	19	35	37%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Drew Waters 2023 · MLB	24	44→53	48→55	56→55	40	214/277/355	141	323	16	22	37%	7%	75	-0.0	231/293/377	146	336	14	21	33%	7%	87	+0.8	230/293/371	141	331	12	21	32%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	39→38	47→50	54→55	43	198/273/336	137	281	14	17	33%	8%	69	-0.4	191/270/311	120	270	12	17	32%	8%	62	-0.9	168/253/270	102	226	10	19	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2013 · AAA	25	42→52	46→55	58→60	39	210/267/336	126	302	13	32	34%	6%	66	-0.6	224/267/338	114	322	11	29	32%	5%	65	-0.7	237/298/404	167	340	15	21	33%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Taylor Trammell 2022 · MLB	24	41→46	50→55	47→55	44	210/284/359	150	288	18	12	33%	8%	79	+0.3	220/302/395	175	297	21	18	31%	10%	96	+1.5	208/300/381	173	279	21	23	32%	11%	90	+0.6
●Will Benson 2022 · AAA	24	34→44	54→55	53→55	44	182/274/361	178	284	22	15	41%	10%	76	+0.1	225/325/404	179	323	19	22	33%	12%	108	+2.3	225/329/410	185	318	19	26	32%	12%	109	+1.7