Kahlil Watson — OGILVIE

Kahlil WatsonLF Columbus Clippers

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 23 L/R 5'9" / 178 lbs AAA K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.4 · 2029

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .269 / .349

PA190

HR6

SB10

K%37

BB%8

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗41

PWR

45↗53

SPD

55↗56

FLD

30↗49

EYE

51↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.9M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.9M
2031	Arb-3	$1M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$0.9M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$6M		$6M	+$0.5M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	42	36	11	2	1	0	5	10	1	4	1	.306	.405	.417	.821	.111	.423	24	12	.372	143	+2	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.3
2022	19	A	2 teams	376	343	51	11	2	7	24	195	5	16	3	.149	.215	.254	.469	.105	.303	52	6	.210	19	-34	+2	+0	-4	+11	-2.6
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	341	297	52	11	0	9	31	115	8	25	3	.175	.271	.303	.574	.128	.242	34	9	.256	54	-18	+4	+0	-4	+10	-0.8
2024	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	407	371	66	12	2	13	30	165	3	15	9	.178	.245	.326	.571	.148	.270	41	7	.250	50	-23	-1	+0	-4	+12	-1.7
2025	22	AA	2 teams	429	382	77	15	5	13	34	154	8	17	7	.202	.281	.369	.650	.168	.292	36	8	.284	76	-12	+1	+0	-5	+12	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	101	86	15	3	1	3	14	37	1	7	2	.174	.297	.337	.634	.163	.261	37	14	.296	85	-2	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.1
ROS	23	MLB	CLE	89	80	16	3	1	3	8	33	1	3	1	.200	.281	.375	.656	.175	.280	37	9	.282	74	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
TOT	23	MLB	CLE	190	166	31	6	2	6	22	70	2	10	3	.187	.289	.355	.645	.169	.278	37	12	.289	80	-4	+1	-0	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 56%	CLE	489	431	87	17	3	16	49	151	6	18	6	.202	.292	.367	.659	.165	.269	31	10	.298	86	-8	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.0
2028	25	MLB 74%	CLE	517	454	95	18	4	17	52	156	6	18	6	.209	.299	.379	.678	.170	.272	30	10	.304	91	-5	+1	-2	-6	+15	0.3
2029	26	MLB 89%	CLE	532	467	99	19	4	18	54	158	6	18	6	.212	.302	.385	.687	.173	.274	30	10	.307	93	-4	+1	-2	-6	+15	0.4
2030	27	MLB	CLE	537	471	100	19	4	18	55	159	6	18	6	.212	.303	.384	.687	.172	.274	30	10	.307	93	-4	+1	-2	-6	+15	0.4
2031	28	MLB	CLE	536	470	99	19	4	18	55	160	6	17	5	.211	.301	.383	.684	.172	.274	30	10	.306	92	-5	+1	-3	-6	+15	0.3
2032	29	MLB	CLE	528	462	97	19	3	18	55	159	6	15	5	.210	.302	.381	.683	.171	.273	30	10	.304	91	-5	+1	-4	-6	+15	0.1
2033	30	MLB	CLE	519	454	94	18	3	17	54	158	6	14	4	.207	.300	.372	.672	.165	.271	30	10	.301	88	-7	+1	-4	-6	+15	-0.1
2034	31	MLB	CLE	506	443	90	17	3	16	52	156	6	11	3	.203	.295	.363	.659	.160	.269	31	10	.297	86	-8	+1	-5	-5	+14	-0.3
2035	32	MLB	CLE	488	430	85	16	3	15	50	153	5	9	3	.198	.289	.353	.642	.156	.268	31	10	.292	82	-10	+1	-6	-5	+14	-0.7
2036	33	MLB	CLE	459	404	80	15	3	14	47	147	5	7	2	.198	.289	.354	.643	.156	.266	32	10	.287	78	-12	+1	-6	-5	+13	-0.9
2037	34	MLB	CLE	413	364	69	13	2	12	42	136	4	5	1	.190	.280	.335	.616	.146	.264	33	10	.280	73	-13	+1	-7	-4	+12	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7208	6359	1268	244	47	224	697	2365	88	230	71	.199	.287	.358	.646	.159	.274	33	10	.289	79	-169	+18	-45	-77	+204	-7.0
/ 162G	—			650	573	114	22	4	20	63	213	8	21	6	.199	.287	.356	.643	.157	.273	33	10	.289	79	-15	+2	-4	-7	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	42	33	13	3	2	0	8	7	1	4	1	.394	.524	.606	1.130	.212	.500	17	19	.491	234	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2022	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	358	324	75	16	5	9	27	127	4	16	3	.231	.299	.395	.694	.164	.346	35	8	.307	93	-3	+2	—	—	+10	0.9
2022	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	18	11	3	2	0	1	5	5	1	0	0	.273	.529	.727	1.257	.455	.333	28	28	.493	235	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	341	285	61	13	0	12	43	92	8	25	3	.214	.333	.386	.719	.172	.263	27	13	.323	105	+2	+4	—	—	+10	1.6
2024	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	407	359	79	15	2	16	42	125	3	15	9	.220	.307	.407	.714	.187	.285	31	10	.317	101	+0	-1	—	—	+12	1.1
2025	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	176	149	38	7	1	8	22	47	3	10	2	.255	.362	.477	.839	.221	.312	27	12	.368	140	+8	+1	—	—	+5	1.4
2025	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	253	219	54	13	5	8	26	72	5	7	5	.247	.340	.461	.801	.215	.326	28	10	.350	126	+7	-1	—	—	+7	1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kahlil Watson (OGILVIE)	23	30→41	45→53	55→56	50	.193/.269/.349	.156	.284	6	6	37%	8%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Will Benson 2022 · AAA	24	35→45	52→55	53→55	44	.184/.270/.354	.170	.283	20	15	40%	10%	73	-0.1	.220/.318/.395	.175	.317	18	21	33%	12%	102	+1.9	.221/.322/.401	.180	.313	18	26	32%	12%	102	+1.4
●Derek Fisher 2017 · AAA	23	44→51	49→55	55	45	.219/.292/.364	.144	.309	17	20	33%	9%	83	+0.6	.229/.300/.394	.165	.320	20	18	33%	9%	95	+1.4	.226/.302/.402	.176	.310	23	18	33%	9%	95	+1.0
●Josh Lowe 2021 · AA	23	40→50	47→55	52→60	42	.204/.268/.338	.135	.294	15	19	35%	8%	67	-0.5	.243/.304/.413	.170	.341	19	26	32%	8%	101	+1.8	.255/.314/.435	.180	.350	20	31	31%	8%	108	+1.9
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	35→45	49→65	51→50	38	.187/.248/.334	.147	.268	18	13	36%	6%	58	-1.2	.207/.264/.356	.149	.280	16	14	31%	7%	70	-0.3	.209/.298/.431	.221	.291	31	7	37%	10%	102	+1.1
✕Nick Pratto 2022 · AAA	23	37→43	56→55	50	41	.198/.275/.393	.195	.292	24	12	40%	9%	85	+0.7	.202/.286/.375	.173	.297	21	8	37%	9%	85	+0.7	.189/.270/.330	.141	.287	17	8	38%	9%	64	-0.6
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	38→46	48→60	53→50	36	.199/.247/.340	.141	.285	16	15	35%	5%	58	-1.2	.223/.291/.421	.198	.297	25	12	33%	8%	98	+1.6	.224/.302/.431	.208	.280	28	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
●Estevan Florial 2022 · MLB	24	38→48	48→55	47→60	40	.195/.260/.338	.143	.297	16	15	38%	8%	63	-0.8	.218/.284/.380	.162	.323	18	29	36%	8%	85	+0.7	.213/.283/.381	.168	.313	20	35	36%	8%	82	+0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	41→47	49→55	51→55	43	.211/.270/.356	.146	.270	16	12	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.223/.290/.386	.163	.284	18	19	27%	8%	89	+0.9	.223/.295/.390	.167	.282	18	22	27%	9%	89	+0.8
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	36→41	48→55	48→50	44	.188/.265/.331	.144	.271	15	11	35%	9%	65	-0.7	.204/.278/.369	.165	.296	18	13	35%	9%	79	+0.3	.207/.288/.362	.155	.320	17	12	37%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→43	48→50	57→55	45	.200/.272/.345	.145	.264	16	19	30%	8%	71	-0.3	.213/.284/.353	.140	.278	16	18	28%	8%	78	+0.2	.213/.283/.350	.137	.276	16	17	28%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Brandon Allen 2009 · AA	23	40→47	53→55	49→50	37	.213/.258/.385	.172	.281	21	8	32%	5%	76	+0.0	.227/.297/.406	.179	.290	21	9	28%	8%	97	+1.5	.223/.306/.403	.181	.284	22	9	28%	10%	96	+1.4
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	41→45	45→55	52→55	42	.202/.273/.332	.129	.285	12	17	32%	7%	67	-0.5	.207/.273/.337	.130	.293	12	18	32%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.291/.388	.168	.274	20	25	27%	8%	88	+0.6
●Jack Suwinski 2022 · AA	24	39→41	51→60	45→50	43	.201/.278/.358	.157	.299	19	8	38%	9%	77	+0.1	.213/.300/.410	.197	.288	26	11	34%	10%	99	+1.7	.202/.293/.398	.196	.262	27	11	33%	10%	90	+0.9
●Wilyer Abreu 2023 · AA	24	42→48	48→60	51→50	48	.206/.299/.347	.142	.306	17	19	36%	11%	83	+0.6	.232/.314/.413	.181	.299	23	14	29%	10%	106	+2.2	.240/.318/.444	.204	.286	27	11	26%	10%	110	+1.8
●Matt Mervis 2022 · AAA	24	38→47	46→60	52→45	43	.195/.260/.322	.127	.265	14	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	.229/.295/.423	.194	.281	25	4	27%	7%	101	+1.8	.224/.295/.421	.197	.274	26	3	28%	8%	98	+1.3
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA	24	41→44	50→55	53→50	45	.206/.286/.363	.157	.300	18	12	36%	10%	82	+0.5	.219/.316/.410	.191	.291	23	10	31%	11%	106	+2.2	.213/.322/.409	.196	.275	24	9	30%	12%	106	+1.6
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	39→40	46→55	48→45	43	.198/.269/.330	.132	.286	14	10	34%	8%	66	-0.6	.209/.280/.354	.145	.285	17	7	31%	8%	76	+0.1	.204/.284/.367	.164	.263	21	5	30%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2022 · AA	23	36→46	50→60	45	40	.197/.250/.346	.149	.247	19	7	29%	6%	61	-1.0	.226/.287/.408	.182	.277	23	8	27%	8%	93	+1.3	.224/.290/.404	.180	.268	24	8	26%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA	23	38→37	49→55	49→45	41	.196/.267/.342	.146	.295	17	9	38%	8%	68	-0.5	.198/.271/.366	.168	.280	22	7	36%	9%	76	+0.0	.193/.273/.374	.181	.256	25	7	34%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Taylor Trammell 2022 · MLB	24	38→46	47→55	47→55	44	.198/.275/.330	.132	.278	16	13	33%	8%	68	-0.5	.215/.298/.388	.173	.291	21	17	32%	10%	93	+1.3	.205/.299/.385	.179	.274	22	23	32%	11%	90	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)