Kahlil Watson — OGILVIE

Kahlil WatsonLF Columbus Clippers

Age 23 L/R 5'9" / 178 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION503 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP286

ISO153

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT41

xAVG

100.209

POWER53

Barrel%

427.1

Avg EV

5289.3

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED56

Sprint

7128.3

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$3M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	42	33	13	3	2	0	8	7	1	4	1	394	524	606	1.130	212	500	17	19	491	219	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	358	324	75	16	5	9	27	127	4	16	3	231	299	395	694	164	346	35	8	307	94	-3	+2	—	—	+8	0.7
2022	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	18	11	3	2	0	1	5	5	1	0	0	273	529	727	1.257	455	333	28	28	493	220	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	341	285	61	13	0	12	43	92	8	25	3	214	333	386	719	172	263	27	13	323	105	+2	+4	—	—	+7	1.3
2024	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	359	79	15	2	16	42	125	3	15	9	220	307	407	714	187	285	31	10	317	101	+0	-1	—	—	+9	0.9
2025	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	176	149	38	7	1	8	22	47	3	10	2	255	362	477	839	221	312	27	12	368	135	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.3
2025	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	253	219	54	13	5	8	26	72	5	7	5	247	340	461	801	215	326	28	10	350	123	+7	-1	—	—	+5	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	42	36	10	2	1	0	5	10	1	4	1	278	381	389	770	111	397	24	12	356	127	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	358	330	50	10	3	6	21	187	4	16	3	152	211	255	466	103	302	52	6	205	25	-32	+2	—	—	+8	-2.3
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	18	13	3	2	0	1	3	7	1	0	0	231	412	615	1.027	385	240	39	17	400	157	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	341	297	50	11	0	9	31	121	8	25	3	168	265	296	561	128	234	35	9	253	57	-17	+4	—	—	+7	-0.6
2024	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	372	65	12	2	12	29	155	3	15	9	175	240	315	555	140	253	38	7	245	52	-23	-1	—	—	+9	-1.5
2025	22	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	176	156	31	5	1	5	15	59	3	10	2	199	282	340	621	141	266	34	9	272	70	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2025	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	253	226	46	11	5	6	19	93	5	7	5	204	280	376	656	173	294	37	8	279	75	-8	-1	—	—	+5	-0.3
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	42	36	10	2	1	0	5	10	1	4	1	278	381	389	770	111	385	24	12	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	42	33	13	3	2	0	8	7	1	4	1	394	524	606	1.130	212	500	17	19	491	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	376	343	53	12	3	7	24	194	5	16	3	155	220	268	489	114	315	52	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	376	335	78	18	5	10	32	132	5	16	3	233	309	406	715	173	345	35	9	316	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	341	297	50	11	0	9	31	121	8	25	3	168	265	296	561	128	238	35	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	341	285	61	13	0	12	43	92	8	25	3	214	333	386	719	172	263	27	13	323	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	372	65	12	2	12	29	155	3	15	9	175	240	315	555	140	255	38	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	359	79	15	2	16	42	125	3	15	9	220	307	407	714	187	285	31	10	317	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	429	382	76	16	5	11	34	152	8	17	7	199	278	353	632	154	291	35	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	429	368	92	20	6	16	48	119	8	17	7	250	349	467	816	217	321	28	11	357	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	42	36	10	2	1	0	5	10	1	4	1	278	381	389	770	111	397	24	12	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	376	344	53	12	3	7	24	194	5	16	3	154	220	267	488	113	299	52	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	341	299	50	11	0	9	31	121	8	25	3	167	265	294	559	127	234	35	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	372	65	12	2	12	29	155	3	15	9	175	240	315	555	140	253	38	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	429	384	76	16	5	11	34	152	8	17	7	198	278	352	630	154	283	35	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	341	299	50	11	0	9	31	121	8	25	3	167	265	294	559	127	234	35	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	372	65	12	2	12	29	155	3	15	9	175	240	315	555	140	253	38	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	429	384	76	16	5	11	34	152	8	17	7	198	278	352	630	154	283	35	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	CLE	—	503	448	93	20	1	14	42	164	9	31	14	208	289	350	639	143	288	33	8	284	78	-13	+1	+0	-5	+11	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	23	MLB RAW	CLE	—	91	88	21	6	0	1	3	32	0	9	1	239	264	341	605	102	364	35	3	270	78	-2	+1	+0	-5	+2	-0.4
YTD	23	AAA RAW	CLE	—	412	342	84	17	1	19	56	110	9	22	13	246	365	468	833	222	300	27	14	367	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	MLB RAW	CLE	—	91	88	21	6	0	1	3	32	0	9	1	239	264	341	605	102	364	35	3	270	69	-3	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	23	AAA MLE	CLE	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		287	33	11	290	82	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	23	MLB CTX	CLE	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		286	33	11	277	82	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	CLE	—	100	96	22	6	0	1	4	35	0	9	1	229	260	323	583	94	350	35	4	270	78	-3	+1	-0	-1	+2	-0.0
TOT	23	AAA MLE	CLE	—	512	456	94	20	1	14	43	167	9	31	14	206	287	346	634	140	287	33	8	284	78	-13	+1	-0	-5	+11	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	543	485	105	21	2	17	45	166	8	26	9	216	294	373	667	157	288	31	8	300	89	-7	+2	-2	-6	+12	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	561	499	110	22	2	18	48	167	9	26	10	220	300	381	681	160	289	30	9	305	93	-5	+1	-2	-6	+12	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	561	499	111	22	2	19	48	164	9	26	10	222	302	389	691	166	289	29	9	308	94	-4	+1	-2	-6	+12	0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	556	495	110	22	2	18	48	162	8	26	9	222	301	384	685	162	288	29	9	308	95	-4	+2	-2	-6	+12	0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	548	487	107	21	2	18	48	161	8	25	9	220	300	382	682	162	288	29	9	307	94	-4	+1	-3	-6	+12	0.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	536	476	104	21	2	17	47	158	8	22	8	218	299	378	678	160	286	29	9	305	92	-5	+1	-4	-6	+12	-0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	524	465	102	20	2	17	46	156	8	20	7	219	301	381	681	161	285	30	9	302	90	-6	+1	-4	-6	+11	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	353	314	68	14	1	11	30	108	6	17	6	217	297	373	670	156	287	31	8	287	89	-5	+1	-2	-4	+8	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	365	325	71	14	1	12	31	108	6	17	6	218	298	378	677	160	288	30	8	293	93	-3	+1	-2	-4	+8	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	365	325	71	14	1	12	31	107	6	17	6	218	298	378	677	160	288	29	8	296	94	-2	+1	-2	-4	+8	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	361	322	71	14	1	12	31	105	5	17	6	220	299	382	681	161	288	29	9	296	95	-2	+1	-2	-4	+8	0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	356	317	70	14	1	12	31	104	5	16	6	221	300	385	685	164	287	29	9	295	94	-3	+1	-2	-4	+8	0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	348	309	67	13	1	11	31	103	5	14	5	217	299	372	671	155	286	30	9	293	92	-3	+1	-2	-4	+8	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	341	303	66	13	1	11	30	102	5	13	5	218	299	376	675	158	284	30	9	290	90	-4	+1	-3	-4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2498	2223	485	96	7	81	216	740	38	111	40	218	298	377	675	159	285	30	9	293	82	-22	+6	-14	-27	+54	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	126	25	2	21	56	193	10	29	10	218	298	377	675	159	285	30	9	293	82	-6	+2	-4	-7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5433	4844	1004	202	25	163	454	1769	83	248	85	207	286	360	647	153	285	33	8	289	82	-34	+9	-21	-41	+83	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	120	24	3	20	54	212	10	30	10	207	286	362	648	155	284	33	8	289	82	-6	+2	-4	-7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,837	89	130	221	296	382	-30	-2	2.8	2.7
/162	664	21	30	-7.1	-0.4	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kahlil Watson (OGILVIE)	23	30→41	45→53	55→56	50	208/286/354	146	287	7	13	32%	8%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Derek Fisher 2017 · AAA	23	45→50	48→55	55	45	223/295/365	143	312	16	20	32%	9%	86	+0.3	230/301/396	166	321	20	18	33%	9%	97	+1.1	225/302/403	177	309	23	18	33%	9%	95	+0.7
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	49→55	59→55	47	205/293/360	155	287	16	24	33%	10%	86	+0.3	245/323/418	173	327	19	21	29%	9%	109	+2.0	229/312/387	159	297	19	21	28%	9%	96	+0.9
●Josh Lowe 2021 · AA	23	41→51	46→55	53→60	43	208/272/338	131	294	14	20	33%	8%	72	-0.7	241/302/401	160	339	17	26	32%	8%	97	+1.1	252/311/424	172	347	18	31	31%	8%	103	+1.3
✕Bradley Zimmer 2016 · AA	23	46→51	46→50	58→60	41	227/295/358	132	315	14	28	31%	6%	86	+0.3	225/295/359	134	338	13	28	35%	8%	86	+0.3	229/307/355	126	348	13	28	35%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	47→50	58→55	46	200/276/339	139	268	15	19	30%	9%	74	-0.5	213/284/345	132	280	14	17	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
●Wilyer Abreu 2023 · AA	24	41→49	48→60	51→50	50	205/299/344	139	299	16	19	34%	11%	84	+0.2	232/313/410	178	296	22	14	28%	10%	104	+1.6	246/323/456	210	288	25	9	24%	10%	114	+1.9
✕Leody Taveras 2022 · MLB	23	41→51	47→50	55	44	207/267/342	135	274	14	22	29%	7%	71	-0.8	239/290/373	134	304	13	19	25%	7%	86	+0.3	245/296/373	128	305	13	20	23%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Akil Baddoo 2022 · MLB	23	50→53	50	58→55	49	248/319/414	167	326	17	20	28%	10%	106	+1.8	227/306/369	142	300	14	23	27%	10%	92	+0.7	211/293/366	155	276	16	28	28%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	51→55	56→55	42	220/284/382	162	298	19	23	32%	7%	86	+0.3	202/275/330	128	280	14	17	31%	8%	72	-0.7	185/267/299	114	254	13	16	31%	9%	59	-1.1
●Ronny Simon 2023 · AA	23	39→49	51→50	56→60	39	211/255/370	159	265	20	22	29%	5%	73	-0.6	230/286/350	120	294	11	24	24%	7%	80	-0.2	266/329/370	104	332	7	30	21%	8%	98	+0.9
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→50	48→50	55	46	234/298/377	143	301	16	24	27%	8%	91	+0.6	226/293/350	124	292	12	15	25%	8%	82	+0.0	225/293/333	108	284	10	17	23%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2012 · AA	24	43→53	43→55	59→60	42	208/274/326	117	310	10	34	34%	8%	70	-0.9	221/268/337	116	312	12	31	31%	5%	70	-0.9	244/304/419	175	340	17	21	31%	7%	98	+0.7
✕Brett Jackson 2012 · AAA	23	47→51	48→50	55	45	229/300/380	151	326	15	19	33%	9%	92	+0.7	191/263/323	132	323	13	17	41%	8%	65	-1.2	166/242/288	122	297	11	17	45%	8%	47	-1.7
✕Forrest Wall 2019 · AA	23	44→54	41→45	53→70	42	215/272/311	97	294	8	23	29%	6%	65	-1.2	217/277/323	106	306	8	22	30%	7%	70	-0.8	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
●Josh Kroeger 2006 · MLB	23	43→53	44→50	51→50	39	217/258/337	120	283	12	15	28%	5%	66	-1.1	233/274/367	134	292	14	10	24%	5%	79	-0.2	256/302/400	145	301	16	15	20%	6%	94	+0.8
●Esteury Ruiz 2022 · AA	23	42→52	45→50	59→70	40	214/269/340	126	284	13	35	29%	6%	72	-0.7	256/326/388	132	318	12	60	22%	6%	103	+1.6	264/338/395	131	327	12	74	22%	6%	107	+1.2
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	43→42	48→50	58→60	47	219/291/369	150	281	15	28	27%	8%	86	+0.3	206/275/345	139	286	14	25	31%	8%	75	-0.5	190/261/322	133	270	13	24	33%	8%	62	-0.9
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	45→52	48→55	51→55	44	224/288/368	143	289	15	21	27%	7%	84	+0.2	210/273/359	149	279	16	17	30%	7%	78	-0.3	189/253/336	146	255	17	17	32%	7%	62	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps