Ty Floyd
P
Dayton Dragons
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 106
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
K%21.5%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 8 | 8 | 28 | 109 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 3.5 | 21.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 3.25 | 5.29 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 8 | 8 | 28 | 109 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 3.5 | 28.4% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 3.7% | 3.25 | 3.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 8 | 6 | 24 | 101 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 75% | 3.0 | 16.2% | 19.7% | -3.5% | 3.3% | 3.75 | 6.03 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 52 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.72 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 81 | 342 | 80 | 38 | 10 | — | — | 23.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 58 | 244 | 54 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 58 | 244 | 55 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 57 | 240 | 54 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 55 | 233 | 52 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 53 | 223 | 49 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 4.67 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 50 | 209 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 4.82 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 42 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 43 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 43 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 40 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 21.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 4.87 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 41 | 245 | 1033 | 229 | 103 | 34 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.32 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 84 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 16 | 14 | 52 | 210 | 39 | 33 | 8 | 88% | 3.2 | 18.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.48 | 5.65 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 54 | 200 | 813 | 152 | 127 | 32 | 88% | 3.2 | 18.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.48 | 5.65 | -0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ty Floyd (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 21.5% | 10.4% | 3.1% | — | 4.52 | 22.3% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 83 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.62 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.26 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.36 | 1.21 | 621 | 82 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 82 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 80 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 80 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.64 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 3.9% | .261 | 4.28 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 173 | -0.36 | 3.41 | 368 | 78 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 78 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 77 |
| James McArthur R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.53 | 19.7% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .310 | 4.16 | 22.1% | 13.7% | 194 | +0.63 | 3.53 | 352 | 77 |
| Sean Mooney R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 77 |
| Sean Harney R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 76 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 76 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 75 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 75 |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.67 | 21.0% | 13.0% | 4.9% | .274 | 4.57 | 17.5% | -0.1% | 110 | -1.10 | 3.43 | 242 | 75 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 75 |
| Trent Palmer R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 75 |
| Matt Ball R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.63 | 21.3% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 312 | 75 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.20 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 26.8% | 18.7% | 54 | -0.22 | 3.63 | 209 | 75 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 55 | 22.1% | 10.0% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |