Andrew PinckneyOF
Rochester Red Wings
Age 25
R/R
6'4" / 215 lbs
AAA
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.5 · 2028
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .276 / .329
PA320
HR8
SB15
K%35
BB%6
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
32→32
PWR
55→55
SPD
74→74
FLD
55→55
EYE
41→41
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.4M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $6M | +$2M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 182 | 165 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 52 | 7 | 10 | 3 | .267 | .335 | .382 | .717 | .115 | .367 | 29 | 5 | .308 | 94 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 580 | 534 | 120 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 212 | 13 | 27 | 10 | .225 | .281 | .311 | .592 | .086 | .356 | 37 | 5 | .261 | 58 | -28 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -1.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 509 | 463 | 110 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 31 | 174 | 12 | 34 | 5 | .238 | .302 | .371 | .674 | .134 | .339 | 34 | 6 | .293 | 82 | -10 | +5 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 67 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 0 | .194 | .254 | .290 | .544 | .097 | .423 | 52 | 7 | .259 | 56 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | WSH | 253 | 231 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 94 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .212 | .275 | .325 | .600 | .113 | .323 | 37 | 6 | .272 | 66 | -10 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +7 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | WSH | 320 | 293 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 129 | 4 | 15 | 2 | .208 | .270 | .317 | .588 | .109 | .342 | 40 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -13 | +2 | +1 | -2 | +9 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 19% | WSH | 365 | 330 | 75 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 107 | 6 | 15 | 3 | .227 | .296 | .361 | .656 | .133 | .297 | 29 | 7 | .294 | 83 | -7 | +2 | +1 | -2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 27% | WSH | 388 | 351 | 80 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 112 | 6 | 15 | 3 | .228 | .296 | .365 | .661 | .137 | .297 | 29 | 7 | .296 | 85 | -7 | +2 | +1 | -2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 33% | WSH | 401 | 362 | 81 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 115 | 6 | 15 | 3 | .224 | .294 | .356 | .650 | .133 | .297 | 29 | 7 | .296 | 85 | -7 | +2 | +1 | -2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 38% | WSH | 400 | 361 | 81 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 115 | 6 | 14 | 2 | .224 | .295 | .357 | .652 | .133 | .296 | 29 | 8 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 42% | WSH | 398 | 359 | 80 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 116 | 6 | 13 | 2 | .223 | .294 | .357 | .650 | .134 | .294 | 29 | 8 | .292 | 81 | -8 | +2 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 45% | WSH | 387 | 349 | 76 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 114 | 6 | 11 | 1 | .218 | .289 | .344 | .633 | .126 | .293 | 29 | 7 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +2 | -1 | -2 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 49% | WSH | 370 | 333 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 111 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .219 | .292 | .342 | .634 | .123 | .291 | 30 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -10 | +2 | -2 | -2 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB 57% | WSH | 341 | 308 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 105 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .214 | .284 | .334 | .618 | .120 | .290 | 31 | 7 | .278 | 71 | -11 | +2 | -3 | -2 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB 67% | WSH | 298 | 270 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 94 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .207 | .277 | .319 | .596 | .111 | .288 | 32 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -11 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4872 | 4416 | 991 | 127 | 24 | 122 | 334 | 1521 | 87 | 190 | 35 | .224 | .292 | .347 | .639 | .123 | .311 | 31 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -128 | +24 | -7 | -29 | +138 | -0.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 589 | 132 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 45 | 203 | 12 | 25 | 5 | .224 | .293 | .345 | .638 | .121 | .311 | 31 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -17 | +3 | -1 | -4 | +18 | -0.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 17 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .235 | .235 | .235 | .471 | .000 | .308 | 24 | 0 | .213 | 21 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +0 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 83 | 68 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .324 | .446 | .412 | .858 | .088 | .429 | 22 | 16 | .394 | 160 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 82 | 73 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .329 | .402 | .534 | .937 | .205 | .389 | 20 | 5 | .414 | 175 | +7 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 93 | 83 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .253 | .333 | .337 | .671 | .084 | .444 | 40 | 8 | .309 | 95 | -1 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 487 | 437 | 113 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 130 | 10 | 22 | 9 | .259 | .329 | .366 | .695 | .108 | .351 | 27 | 7 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | — | — | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 509 | 450 | 121 | 9 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 148 | 12 | 34 | 5 | .269 | .350 | .431 | .781 | .162 | .356 | 29 | 9 | .348 | 125 | +14 | +5 | — | — | +14 | 3.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Andrew Pinckney (OGILVIE) | 25 | 32 | 55 | 74 | 41 | .212/.276/.329 | .117 | .311 | 8 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 69 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Brewer Hicklen 2022 · AA |
26 | 43→41 | 49→55 | 60 | 39 | .210/.280/.354 | .144 | .324 | 18 | 32 | 39% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .202/.281/.373 | .171 | .308 | 21 | 33 | 39% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .193/.279/.373 | .180 | .281 | 22 | 38 | 37% | 8% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA |
25 | 41→42 | 45 | 62→60 | 45 | .206/.275/.333 | .127 | .274 | 13 | 35 | 29% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .213/.276/.339 | .126 | .288 | 13 | 35 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .215/.278/.338 | .123 | .290 | 14 | 35 | 30% | 7% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Adam Engel 2017 · AAA |
25 | 44→48 | 40→50 | 61→60 | 40 | .209/.265/.309 | .100 | .296 | 7 | 33 | 31% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .206/.263/.325 | .119 | .289 | 10 | 21 | 31% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .227/.287/.366 | .138 | .305 | 13 | 23 | 28% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jorge Mateo 2020 · AAA |
25 | 40→46 | 43→50 | 59→65 | 35 | .200/.239/.322 | .123 | .289 | 9 | 25 | 34% | 4% | 49 | -1.8 | .215/.256/.344 | .129 | .298 | 11 | 24 | 31% | 4% | 63 | -0.9 | .217/.264/.366 | .149 | .272 | 14 | 44 | 25% | 5% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2017 · MLB |
25 | 41→48 | 47→55 | 59→55 | 37 | .210/.250/.352 | .142 | .291 | 13 | 25 | 32% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.252/.342 | .132 | .302 | 12 | 21 | 33% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .212/.259/.378 | .167 | .294 | 18 | 14 | 34% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Greg Jones 2023 · AA |
25 | 46→43 | 47→50 | 63→65 | 35 | .211/.277/.347 | .137 | .355 | 15 | 37 | 42% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .204/.265/.330 | .126 | .367 | 14 | 40 | 45% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .195/.255/.320 | .124 | .359 | 15 | 51 | 47% | 6% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA |
24 | 43→41 | 43→50 | 64→70 | 45 | .209/.271/.325 | .116 | .275 | 9 | 35 | 26% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .210/.278/.335 | .125 | .278 | 13 | 49 | 28% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .208/.280/.353 | .146 | .256 | 18 | 61 | 26% | 9% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Monte Harrison 2021 · MLB |
25 | 45→43 | 46→50 | 58→60 | 33 | .208/.264/.335 | .127 | .358 | 15 | 27 | 44% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.268/.334 | .131 | .366 | 16 | 34 | 45% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .184/.249/.300 | .116 | .344 | 15 | 38 | 47% | 7% | 46 | -1.1 |
|
✕Cam Eden 2023 · AA |
25 | 42→49 | 45→40 | 61→65 | 38 | .204/.273/.327 | .123 | .318 | 13 | 37 | 38% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .204/.274/.298 | .094 | .303 | 8 | 43 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.267/.274 | .079 | .286 | 6 | 49 | 32% | 7% | 47 | -1.0 |
|
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA |
26 | 46→47 | 44→45 | 59→60 | 46 | .220/.309/.338 | .117 | .303 | 11 | 30 | 29% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .222/.314/.329 | .107 | .299 | 10 | 22 | 27% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .216/.313/.311 | .095 | .285 | 9 | 20 | 25% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
●Jake McCarthy 2022 · MLB |
25 | 42→52 | 47→50 | 62→60 | 41 | .208/.271/.352 | .144 | .298 | 14 | 29 | 34% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .258/.321/.398 | .140 | .320 | 13 | 34 | 22% | 7% | 104 | +2.0 | .274/.338/.399 | .126 | .325 | 11 | 37 | 18% | 7% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
✕Justin Dean 2022 · AA |
25 | 44→47 | 44→45 | 58→65 | 39 | .210/.280/.329 | .119 | .316 | 12 | 27 | 35% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .198/.276/.296 | .098 | .321 | 9 | 32 | 38% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .208/.288/.296 | .088 | .322 | 8 | 47 | 35% | 9% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jose Siri 2019 · AA |
24 | 40→50 | 48→60 | 58→55 | 33 | .206/.243/.354 | .148 | .296 | 16 | 22 | 36% | 4% | 60 | -1.0 | .205/.250/.336 | .131 | .323 | 15 | 22 | 39% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .227/.276/.431 | .204 | .317 | 27 | 25 | 36% | 5% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕J.P. Martínez 2023 · AAA |
27 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 62→65 | 43 | .210/.289/.348 | .138 | .323 | 13 | 30 | 37% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .212/.293/.344 | .132 | .312 | 13 | 37 | 33% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.290/.325 | .120 | .298 | 11 | 45 | 32% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→34 | 52→60 | 55 | 36 | .201/.255/.362 | .161 | .296 | 21 | 19 | 39% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .202/.249/.372 | .170 | .277 | 22 | 19 | 35% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .192/.237/.369 | .177 | .251 | 24 | 19 | 34% | 5% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Marland Williams 2006 · AA |
25 | 41→38 | 42→45 | 61→60 | 38 | .203/.248/.310 | .108 | .289 | 10 | 31 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .184/.242/.301 | .117 | .317 | 12 | 31 | 43% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .155/.221/.272 | .117 | .290 | 13 | 34 | 48% | 7% | 27 | -1.8 |
|
✕Bubba Thompson 2023 · MLB |
25 | 51→56 | 46→50 | 66→65 | 36 | .247/.285/.379 | .132 | .343 | 14 | 42 | 31% | 4% | 84 | +0.6 | .225/.269/.329 | .104 | .322 | 9 | 39 | 31% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .204/.249/.284 | .080 | .298 | 6 | 41 | 32% | 5% | 40 | -1.3 |
|
✕Tyler Tolbert 2023 · A |
25 | 40→48 | 39→45 | 70→65 | 42 | .190/.259/.286 | .096 | .283 | 5 | 39 | 33% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .212/.268/.313 | .101 | .299 | 7 | 40 | 30% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .217/.271/.316 | .099 | .300 | 8 | 48 | 29% | 5% | 58 | -0.9 |
|
✕Justin Maxwell 2010 · MLB |
26 | 43→45 | 52→60 | 59→60 | 44 | .222/.292/.385 | .163 | .301 | 20 | 30 | 32% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .220/.301/.384 | .164 | .319 | 19 | 26 | 34% | 10% | 93 | +1.3 | .221/.295/.429 | .208 | .301 | 26 | 17 | 34% | 9% | 97 | +0.7 |
|
✕Jared Oliva 2021 · MLB |
25 | 46 | 41→50 | 56→65 | 42 | .222/.284/.324 | .101 | .303 | 9 | 26 | 28% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.268/.324 | .108 | .300 | 8 | 23 | 29% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .224/.292/.359 | .135 | .282 | 14 | 55 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |