Andrew Pinckney — OGILVIE

Andrew PinckneyOF Rochester Red Wings

Age 25 R/R 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION319 act + 212 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .299 / .370

PA212

HR6

SB10

K%35

BB%6

BABIP354

ISO128

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED74

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2032	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$17M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	182	164	44	5	1	4	11	54	7	10	3	268	341	384	725	116	377	30	6	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	182	158	50	7	1	4	17	38	7	10	3	316	407	449	856	133	397	21	9	386	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	580	535	118	20	4	7	28	214	13	27	10	221	276	312	588	92	351	37	5	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	580	520	134	22	4	8	43	167	13	27	10	258	330	362	691	104	363	29	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	509	462	113	8	1	18	32	168	12	34	5	245	310	383	693	139	342	33	6	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	509	450	121	9	2	20	44	148	12	34	5	269	350	431	781	162	356	29	9	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	WSH	—	319	293	74	7	1	10	21	116	2	17	6	253	307	386	693	133	381	36	7	298	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.3
YTD	25	AAA	WSH	—	319	283	81	8	1	12	31	97	2	17	6	286	361	449	810	163	394	30	10	358	132	+12	+1	+0	-2	+9	2.0
ROS	25	AAA	WSH	10%	212	194	47	5	1	6	13	74	3	10	3	241	299	370	669	128	348	35	6	295	84	-4	+1	+1	-1	+6	0.3
ROS	25	MLB	WSH	10%	21	20	4	0	0	1	1	7	0	1	0	200	238	350	588	150	348	33	5	286	77	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
FULL	25	AAA	WSH	—	340	313	78	7	1	11	22	123	2	18	6	249	303	383	686	134	372	36	6	297	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.3
TOT	25	AAA	WSH	—	531	487	121	12	2	16	34	190	5	27	9	248	304	379	683	131	370	36	6	297	85	-9	+2	+1	-3	+15	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	WSH	28%	574	525	126	14	2	17	37	195	7	25	7	240	299	371	670	131	343	34	6	299	87	-8	+2	+2	-3	+16	0.9
2028	27	MLB	WSH	36%	589	537	128	15	2	17	40	195	7	26	8	238	300	369	668	130	338	33	7	301	89	-8	+2	+2	-4	+17	1.0
2029	28	MLB	WSH	41%	594	541	129	16	2	17	41	195	7	25	7	238	301	370	670	131	335	33	7	301	89	-8	+2	+1	-4	+17	1.0
2030	29	MLB	WSH	43%	593	539	128	16	2	17	42	194	7	23	7	237	301	369	670	132	333	33	7	300	88	-8	+2	+1	-4	+17	0.8
2031	30	MLB	WSH	44%	589	536	126	15	2	17	41	194	7	21	6	235	298	366	664	131	332	33	7	297	85	-10	+2	+0	-4	+17	0.5
2032	31	MLB	WSH	45%	581	528	123	15	2	16	41	193	7	18	5	233	297	360	657	127	329	33	7	293	82	-12	+2	-1	-3	+16	0.2
2027	26	MLB	WSH	28%	158	145	35	4	1	5	10	54	2	7	2	241	299	386	686	145	343	34	6	290	80	-4	+1	+1	-1	+4	0.1
2028	27	MLB	WSH	36%	211	192	46	5	1	6	14	70	3	9	3	240	301	370	671	130	338	33	7	292	82	-4	+1	+1	-1	+6	0.2
2029	28	MLB	WSH	41%	243	221	52	6	1	7	17	80	3	10	3	235	299	367	665	131	335	33	7	292	82	-5	+1	+1	-1	+7	0.2
2030	29	MLB	WSH	43%	253	230	55	7	1	7	18	83	3	10	3	239	303	370	672	130	333	33	7	291	81	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2031	30	MLB	WSH	44%	259	236	56	7	1	7	18	85	3	9	3	237	300	364	664	127	332	33	7	288	79	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2032	31	MLB	WSH	45%	260	237	55	7	1	7	18	87	3	8	2	232	295	359	653	127	329	33	7	284	76	-7	+1	-0	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1405	1281	303	36	6	40	96	466	17	54	16	237	298	368	666	131	337	33	7	289	80	-32	+4	+2	-8	+40	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	141	17	3	19	44	216	8	25	7	238	299	373	672	135	338	33	7	289	80	-15	+2	+1	-4	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	5003	4561	1082	129	19	136	326	1676	77	219	61	237	299	363	662	126	341	33	7	295	84	-92	+19	+6	-30	+142	4.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	141	17	2	18	42	218	10	28	8	238	299	364	663	126	342	34	6	295	84	-12	+2	+1	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	17	17	4	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	1	235	235	235	471		308	24	0	213	21	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	83	68	22	1	1	1	13	18	2	3	1	324	446	412	858	88	429	22	16	394	160	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2023	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	82	73	24	6	0	3	4	16	5	6	1	329	402	534	937	205	389	20	5	414	175	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2024	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	93	83	21	2	1	1	7	37	3	5	1	253	333	337	671	84	444	40	8	309	95	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	487	437	113	20	3	7	36	130	10	22	9	259	329	366	695	108	351	27	7	313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+14	1.4
2025	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	509	450	121	9	2	20	44	148	12	34	5	269	350	431	781	162	356	29	9	348	125	+14	+5	—	—	+14	3.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,417	41	55	238	297	369	-8	+4	1.2	1.2
	/162	664	19	26	238	297	369	-4.0	+1.9	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Pinckney (OGILVIE)	25	32	55	74	42	248/304/379	131	370	16	27	36%	6%	85	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brewer Hicklen 2022 · AA	26	44→43	51→55	60	40	219/289/375	157	325	20	33	37%	8%	85	+0.7	199/279/367	168	305	21	33	39%	8%	80	+0.4	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
●Jake McCarthy 2022 · MLB	25	41→51	49→50	63→60	42	207/272/361	154	294	15	30	34%	8%	75	-0.0	258/320/395	137	318	13	34	22%	7%	103	+1.9	272/336/397	125	324	11	37	18%	7%	107	+1.9
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Greg Jones 2023 · AA	25	46→43	47→50	63→65	36	213/281/348	134	353	15	38	41%	6%	75	-0.0	202/263/321	119	366	13	41	45%	6%	60	-1.0	199/265/303	105	363	11	54	45%	6%	53	-0.7
✕Justin Dean 2022 · AA	25	45→49	45	59→65	38	213/284/338	126	325	13	27	36%	6%	74	-0.1	202/282/305	103	323	10	33	37%	8%	64	-0.8	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕J.P. Martínez 2023 · AAA	27	45→44	48→50	63→65	43	215/292/362	146	324	15	31	36%	9%	83	+0.6	213/293/343	130	319	12	37	34%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/324	120	306	11	45	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2017 · MLB	25	42→48	48→60	59→55	37	213/253/363	150	293	15	26	32%	5%	66	-0.6	212/255/352	140	301	13	20	33%	5%	63	-0.8	218/266/399	181	293	20	14	32%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Monte Harrison 2021 · MLB	25	46→44	46→50	59→60	33	213/267/338	126	360	14	29	43%	6%	66	-0.6	206/269/343	137	379	17	34	46%	7%	69	-0.4	189/253/314	125	358	16	38	48%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Adam Engel 2017 · AAA	25	44→48	41→50	61→60	40	211/268/314	102	303	7	33	31%	6%	59	-1.1	206/263/323	117	291	10	20	31%	6%	60	-1.0	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Cam Eden 2023 · AA	25	41→48	46→40	61→65	39	201/273/325	124	314	14	38	38%	7%	66	-0.6	201/271/292	91	300	8	42	33%	7%	56	-1.3	191/263/268	77	283	6	49	32%	7%	44	-1.2
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Justin Maxwell 2010 · MLB	26	44	51→60	59→60	44	221/293/377	156	305	19	31	33%	8%	88	+0.9	219/300/386	167	319	20	25	35%	10%	93	+1.3	223/297/433	210	304	27	17	34%	9%	101	+0.9
●Jose Siri 2019 · AA	24	39→49	49→65	59→55	33	204/242/356	151	294	16	22	36%	4%	60	-1.0	209/255/345	136	332	15	23	40%	5%	63	-0.9	236/285/460	223	322	30	25	35%	5%	104	+1.3
✕Jared Oliva 2021 · MLB	25	46→45	43→50	56→65	41	221/282/331	110	303	10	26	29%	6%	71	-0.3	211/263/323	112	294	8	23	30%	5%	59	-1.1	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→33	50→55	56→55	36	199/252/348	149	299	18	20	39%	6%	63	-0.9	198/244/367	169	274	22	18	36%	5%	65	-0.7	186/231/364	178	245	24	19	35%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Keon Broxton 2016 · AAA	26	47→48	49→55	58→60	40	227/283/383	156	332	16	25	35%	7%	84	+0.6	218/290/386	168	342	19	35	39%	9%	89	+0.9	199/280/366	166	324	20	40	42%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	42→43	52→55	56→55	41	217/280/383	166	298	20	23	34%	7%	84	+0.6	203/276/341	138	281	16	17	32%	8%	72	-0.2	188/269/315	127	256	15	16	31%	9%	59	-0.7
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	43→42	49→50	58→60	47	220/294/377	156	286	16	28	28%	8%	88	+0.9	208/278/359	151	291	16	25	32%	8%	76	+0.1	191/261/336	146	274	15	24	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Nate Eaton 2023 · MLB	26	46→49	46→50	60	44	226/292/355	129	295	13	29	27%	7%	82	+0.5	218/266/356	138	283	16	27	28%	5%	70	-0.3	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2