Kyren Paris — OGILVIE

Kyren Paris2B Salt Lake Bees

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION249 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5557vR 64

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .273 / .313

PA166

HR4

SB10

K%35

BB%10

BABIP267

ISO129

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 25 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT25

Whiff%

1017.9%

xwOBA

100.261

POWER60

Barrel%

7311.6

Avg EV

3688.0

Bat Spd

6873.2

EYE55

Chase%

6229.5%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.0

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 199 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

151

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

255

267

▶R

ISO

191

158

◀◀L

BABIP

210

272

▶▶R

29.2%

41.1%

◀◀L

BB%

4.2%

9.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.3M
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	3 teams	—	206	181	33	6	4	3	21	89	4	22	4	182	282	309	591	127	337	43	10	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	3 teams	—	206	172	46	7	7	4	30	64	4	22	4	267	388	459	848	192	404	31	15	378	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	3 teams	—	513	454	84	19	3	14	41	194	13	35	4	185	272	333	604	148	285	38	8	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	3 teams	—	513	422	101	20	5	11	72	155	13	35	4	239	366	389	755	149	352	30	14	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	560	486	110	25	1	14	63	200	8	47	5	226	325	368	693	142	350	36	11	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	560	455	110	23	1	14	92	168	8	47	5	242	377	389	766	147	349	30	16	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	3 teams	—	310	275	33	6	2	5	26	137	2	17	2	120	201	211	412	91	203	44	8	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	3 teams	—	310	267	42	8	3	5	32	105	2	17	2	157	251	266	517	109	228	34	10	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	3 teams	—	349	304	54	8	4	13	32	137	9	21	3	178	275	359	634	181	263	39	9	280	72	-11	+3	+1	+1	+10	0.5
2025	23	MLB	3 teams	—	349	290	63	10	4	13	45	112	9	21	3	217	339	414	753	197	299	32	13	335	115	+6	+3	+1	+1	+10	2.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	LAA	—	249	216	43	10	1	4	28	95	1	16	5	199	294	310	604	111	325	38	11	269	64	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
YTD	24	AAA	LAA	—	249	204	49	12	1	5	39	74	1	16	5	240	363	382	746	142	344	30	16	335	115	+4	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.4
ROS	24	AAA	LAA	55%	166	147	27	5	1	4	16	58	2	10	2	184	273	313	586	129	277	35	10	276	69	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
ROS	24	MLB	LAA	55%	91	81	15	3	0	2	9	32	1	5	1	185	275	296	571	111	276	35	10	267	62	-4	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
FULL	24	AAA	LAA	—	340	297	58	13	1	6	37	127	2	21	6	195	289	306	595	111	311	37	11	268	63	-14	+2	+0	+1	+10	-0.1
TOT	24	AAA	LAA	—	415	363	70	15	2	8	44	153	3	26	7	193	285	311	597	118	301	37	11	272	66	-16	+2	+0	+1	+12	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	LAA	56%	390	345	67	12	2	12	38	137	4	20	5	194	282	345	627	151	277	35	10	283	74	-11	+2	+1	+1	+11	0.4
2028	26	MLB	LAA	56%	421	373	73	13	2	14	41	147	4	22	5	196	282	354	636	158	278	35	10	288	79	-10	+2	+1	+2	+12	0.6
2029	27	MLB	LAA	55%	425	376	73	13	2	14	42	149	4	22	5	194	282	351	633	157	277	35	10	288	79	-10	+2	+1	+2	+12	0.6
2027	25	MLB	LAA	56%	218	193	38	7	1	7	21	76	2	11	3	197	282	352	635	155	276	35	10	273	67	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2028	26	MLB	LAA	56%	236	209	41	7	1	8	23	83	2	12	3	196	282	354	636	158	276	35	10	279	72	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2029	27	MLB	LAA	55%	235	208	40	7	1	8	23	82	2	12	3	192	279	351	630	159	276	35	10	279	72	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1025	908	168	30	4	32	97	366	11	51	11	185	271	333	604	148	265	36	9	268	63	-43	+6	+2	+11	+29	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	107	19	3	20	62	232	7	32	7	186	273	333	606	148	267	36	10	268	63	-27	+4	+1	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	3340	2941	554	107	21	93	320	1248	50	216	35	188	279	334	613	146	285	37	10	274	68	-122	+29	+3	+16	+95	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	108	21	4	18	62	243	10	42	7	189	280	334	613	145	287	37	10	274	68	-24	+6	+1	+3	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	55	52	12	2	1	1	2	20	1	4	0	231	273	365	638	135	355	36	4	284	76	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	19	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	136	106	29	5	6	2	27	41	3	16	4	274	434	491	924	217	429	30	20	410	172	+11	+2	—	—	+4	1.7
2021	19	ROK	ACL Angels	—	15	14	5	0	0	1	1	3	0	2	0	357	400	571	971	214	400	20	7	427	185	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2022	20	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	51	39	14	2	0	3	10	14	2	5	0	359	510	641	1.151	282	500	27	20	498	239	+8	+1	—	—	+1	1.1
2022	20	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	392	328	75	18	5	8	49	117	9	28	4	229	344	387	731	159	330	30	12	328	109	+4	+4	—	—	+11	1.9
2022	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	70	55	12	0	0	0	13	24	2	2	0	218	386	218	604		387	34	19	306	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	21	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	46	40	4	0	0	0	4	17	1	3	0	100	200	100	300		174	37	9	155	-23	-6	+1	+2	+6	+1	0.3
2023	21	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	514	415	106	23	1	14	88	151	7	44	5	255	393	417	809	161	365	29	17	366	139	+22	+7	—	—	+15	4.5
2024	22	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	59	51	6	2	0	1	7	17	0	1	0	118	220	216	436	98	152	29	12	208	17	-6	+0	-2	+1	+2	-0.5
2024	22	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	159	139	29	5	2	4	16	52	0	8	1	209	290	360	650	151	294	33	10	286	77	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
2024	22	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	92	77	7	1	1	0	9	36	2	8	1	91	202	130	332	39	159	39	10	165	-16	-12	+1	—	—	+3	-0.8
2025	23	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	140	126	24	4	1	6	10	59	3	7	1	190	264	381	645	190	295	42	7	287	78	-4	+1	+1	+1	+4	0.4
2025	23	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	137	111	25	3	3	6	20	37	4	11	1	225	363	468	831	243	275	27	15	364	137	+6	+2	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	23	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	72	53	14	3	0	1	15	16	2	3	1	264	443	377	820	113	351	22	21	374	144	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	245	217	34	6	1	7	21	93	4	11	1	157	242	290	532	134	231	38	9	243	44	-15	+2	+1	+8	+7	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,009	33	51	191	274	349	+4	+1	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	22	33	191	274	349	+2.4	+0.7	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyren Paris (OGILVIE)	24	25	60	60	55	193/285/311	118	301	8	26	37%	11%	66	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeter Downs 2023 · MLB	25	30→40	49→50	53→55	39	174/246/309	136	243	19	22	36%	7%	52	-1.6	199/281/339	140	276	15	22	32%	8%	73	-0.1	191/286/326	134	264	12	27	30%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	42→43	52→55	56→55	41	217/280/383	166	298	20	23	34%	7%	84	+0.6	203/276/341	138	281	16	17	32%	8%	72	-0.2	188/269/315	127	256	15	16	31%	9%	59	-0.7
✕Pedro León 2023 · AAA	25	39→44	48→55	53→55	45	191/295/337	145	304	16	31	39%	10%	80	+0.4	218/290/385	167	318	20	24	36%	7%	89	+1.0	221/285/392	171	317	22	26	36%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→38	54→60	53→50	37	208/268/384	176	312	22	17	40%	7%	79	+0.3	213/276/406	193	274	27	11	32%	7%	89	+0.9	206/270/403	197	248	29	10	30%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	37→43	51→50	54→55	39	198/262/353	154	282	19	23	36%	7%	69	-0.4	186/253/322	136	267	16	20	35%	7%	57	-1.2	163/237/289	126	233	14	21	35%	7%	38	-1.6
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	43→42	49→50	58→60	47	220/294/377	156	286	16	28	28%	8%	88	+0.9	208/278/359	151	291	16	25	32%	8%	76	+0.1	191/261/336	146	274	15	24	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Sergio Garcia 2013 · AAA	22	40	48→45	54→60	38	210/257/348	138	274	17	26	30%	5%	65	-0.7	212/245/313	101	297	10	25	31%	4%	49	-1.8	231/255/354	123	300	13	17	28%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	41→44	43→45	60	46	205/272/319	114	263	11	32	26%	8%	63	-0.8	204/276/304	100	278	9	28	28%	8%	61	-1.0	193/270/284	91	271	9	30	30%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Travis Witherspoon 2013 · AA	24	44→47	47→50	55	41	223/274/354	131	295	15	24	29%	6%	73	-0.1	204/259/325	121	281	13	22	31%	7%	59	-1.1	186/242/293	107	257	12	24	32%	7%	41	-1.6
✕Ryan Kreidler 2023 · MLB	25	41→44	48→50	52→55	44	208/287/345	137	294	16	17	33%	8%	77	+0.1	192/272/329	137	274	17	20	34%	8%	67	-0.5	185/267/314	129	265	14	19	33%	9%	58	-0.7
✕Oswald Peraza 2023 · MLB	23	45→52	50	57→60	41	234/284/381	148	293	18	31	27%	5%	85	+0.7	215/279/345	130	270	16	25	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/267/320	115	269	15	25	28%	6%	60	-0.6
✕Gabriel Cancel 2022 · AAA	25	36→46	53→55	54→50	34	197/243/368	171	284	22	19	39%	5%	65	-0.7	195/257/321	126	312	14	14	40%	7%	58	-1.2	170/244/275	106	277	12	10	41%	8%	38	-0.9
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2017 · MLB	25	42→48	48→60	59→55	37	213/253/363	150	293	15	26	32%	5%	66	-0.6	212/255/352	140	301	13	20	33%	5%	63	-0.8	218/266/399	181	293	20	14	32%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→33	50→55	56→55	36	199/252/348	149	299	18	20	39%	6%	63	-0.9	198/244/367	169	274	22	18	36%	5%	65	-0.7	186/231/364	178	245	24	19	35%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Alexander Canario 2023 · AAA	23	36→34	58→60	53→50	38	203/263/401	197	283	27	17	38%	7%	82	+0.5	215/278/394	179	307	23	11	36%	7%	86	+0.8	210/275/374	164	298	21	8	35%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Wilkin Ramirez 2010 · AAA	24	45→49	49→55	57→55	37	223/271/367	144	326	16	27	36%	6%	76	+0.0	215/261/379	164	306	20	19	35%	5%	74	-0.1	240/274/397	157	307	17	16	27%	4%	80	+0.2
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA	25	44→45	46→45	55→70	46	221/294/354	133	287	14	29	27%	8%	82	+0.5	225/330/346	121	289	12	41	24%	11%	96	+1.5	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	49→55	53→55	42	219/285/370	151	290	16	19	30%	7%	82	+0.5	213/277/349	136	287	15	21	30%	7%	73	-0.1	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4