Kameron Misner
CF Lehigh Valley IronPigs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAATB | 519 | .248/.362/.442 | 17 | 30 | 78 | — | .207/.294/.343 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBTB | 15 | .067/.067/.067 | 0 | 0 | -74 | -0.9 | |
| 2025 | 27 | AAATB | 165 | .210/.335/.442 | 8 | 9 | 57 | — | .164/.256/.295 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBTB | 217 | .213/.276/.345 | 5 | 8 | 68 | 0.2 | |
| 2026 | 28 | AAAPHI | 429 | .268/.369/.514 | 22 | 22 | 81 | — | .208/.285/.378 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBKC | 44 | .220/.256/.244 | 0 | 3 | 40 | -0.0 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 29 | MLBPHI | 107 | .211/.286/.363 | 3 | 5 | 80 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 30 | MLBPHI | 144 | .208/.283/.355 | 4 | 5 | 77 | -0.0 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 158 | 134 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 35 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 276 | 382 | 373 | 755 | 97 | 357 | 22 | 13 | 346 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 241 | 421 | 310 | 731 | 69 | 318 | 18 | 24 | 352 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 62 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 309 | 387 | 491 | 878 | 182 | 432 | 27 | 11 | 389 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Snappers | — | 400 | 340 | 83 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 119 | 7 | 24 | 2 | 244 | 353 | 424 | 776 | 179 | 338 | 30 | 12 | 346 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 102 | 78 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 205 | 380 | 513 | 893 | 308 | 231 | 33 | 20 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 510 | 415 | 104 | 25 | 1 | 16 | 86 | 155 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 251 | 387 | 431 | 818 | 181 | 356 | 30 | 17 | 368 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 519 | 421 | 95 | 25 | 5 | 21 | 91 | 186 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 226 | 366 | 458 | 824 | 233 | 339 | 36 | 18 | 363 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 15 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 133 | 200 | 67 | 0 | 60 | -74 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +0 | -0.9 | |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 519 | 439 | 109 | 26 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 152 | 5 | 30 | 3 | 248 | 362 | 442 | 804 | 194 | 338 | 29 | 14 | 358 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 217 | 197 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 69 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 213 | 276 | 345 | 621 | 132 | 296 | 32 | 7 | 276 | 68 | -8 | +1 | +3 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 165 | 138 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 43 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 210 | 335 | 442 | 777 | 232 | 239 | 26 | 15 | 345 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 44 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 256 | 244 | 500 | 24 | 375 | 39 | 5 | 225 | 40 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 429 | 366 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 22 | 56 | 121 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 268 | 369 | 514 | 883 | 246 | 335 | 28 | 13 | 384 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 276 | 253 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 96 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 206 | 261 | 312 | 573 | 107 | 305 | 35 | 7 | 256 | 60 | -13 | +1 | +3 | -3 | +6 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 158 | 140 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 207 | 293 | 264 | 557 | 57 | 304 | 30 | 9 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 38 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 156 | 289 | 188 | 477 | 31 | 248 | 26 | 16 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 62 | 57 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 263 | 323 | 421 | 744 | 158 | 395 | 34 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 400 | 356 | 64 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 157 | 7 | 24 | 2 | 180 | 264 | 306 | 571 | 126 | 281 | 39 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 510 | 441 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 60 | 183 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 209 | 312 | 349 | 661 | 141 | 312 | 36 | 12 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 519 | 448 | 78 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 64 | 221 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 174 | 280 | 328 | 608 | 154 | 289 | 43 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 15 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 133 | 200 | 67 | 0 | 59 | -74 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +0 | -0.9 | |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 519 | 460 | 95 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 180 | 5 | 30 | 3 | 207 | 294 | 343 | 637 | 137 | 307 | 35 | 10 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 217 | 197 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 69 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 203 | 266 | 330 | 596 | 127 | 296 | 32 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -8 | +1 | +3 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 165 | 146 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 164 | 256 | 295 | 551 | 130 | 214 | 30 | 10 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 44 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 256 | 244 | 500 | 24 | 375 | 39 | 5 | 227 | 40 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 429 | 384 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 145 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 208 | 285 | 378 | 662 | 169 | 278 | 34 | 9 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 196 | 172 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 57 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 203 | 297 | 262 | 559 | 58 | 296 | 29 | 11 | 261 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 196 | 163 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 42 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 270 | 390 | 362 | 752 | 92 | 350 | 21 | 15 | 347 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 564 | 503 | 95 | 28 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 217 | 9 | 30 | 6 | 189 | 270 | 316 | 586 | 127 | 302 | 38 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 564 | 473 | 116 | 32 | 3 | 19 | 77 | 170 | 9 | 30 | 6 | 245 | 361 | 446 | 807 | 201 | 336 | 30 | 14 | 358 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 510 | 441 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 60 | 183 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 209 | 312 | 349 | 661 | 141 | 319 | 36 | 12 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 510 | 415 | 104 | 25 | 1 | 16 | 86 | 155 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 251 | 387 | 431 | 818 | 181 | 356 | 30 | 17 | 368 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 519 | 448 | 78 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 64 | 221 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 174 | 280 | 328 | 608 | 154 | 298 | 43 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | Durham Bulls | — | 519 | 421 | 95 | 25 | 5 | 21 | 91 | 186 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 226 | 366 | 458 | 824 | 233 | 339 | 36 | 18 | 363 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 475 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 190 | 5 | 30 | 3 | 202 | 288 | 335 | 622 | 133 | 308 | 36 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 534 | 454 | 110 | 26 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 162 | 5 | 30 | 3 | 242 | 353 | 430 | 783 | 187 | 336 | 30 | 14 | 350 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 343 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 118 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 192 | 267 | 324 | 591 | 131 | 260 | 31 | 9 | 261 | 63 | -17 | +2 | +3 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 382 | 335 | 71 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 112 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 212 | 302 | 385 | 687 | 173 | 272 | 29 | 11 | 306 | 63 | -17 | +2 | +3 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 473 | 425 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 40 | 162 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 209 | 282 | 365 | 647 | 155 | 294 | 34 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 473 | 407 | 107 | 19 | 3 | 22 | 58 | 138 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 263 | 359 | 486 | 845 | 224 | 339 | 29 | 12 | 369 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 196 | 171 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 57 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 205 | 297 | 263 | 561 | 58 | 293 | 29 | 11 | 261 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 564 | 503 | 95 | 28 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 217 | 9 | 30 | 6 | 189 | 270 | 316 | 586 | 127 | 296 | 38 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 510 | 439 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 60 | 183 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 210 | 312 | 351 | 662 | 141 | 312 | 36 | 12 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 519 | 448 | 78 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 64 | 221 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 174 | 280 | 328 | 608 | 154 | 289 | 43 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 472 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 190 | 5 | 30 | 3 | 203 | 288 | 337 | 624 | 133 | 304 | 36 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 344 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 118 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 192 | 267 | 323 | 590 | 131 | 261 | 31 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 473 | 427 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 40 | 162 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 208 | 282 | 363 | 645 | 155 | 287 | 34 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 472 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 190 | 5 | 30 | 3 | 203 | 288 | 337 | 624 | 133 | 304 | 36 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 344 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 118 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 192 | 267 | 323 | 590 | 131 | 261 | 31 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 473 | 427 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 40 | 162 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 208 | 282 | 363 | 645 | 155 | 287 | 34 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | PHI | 45% | 380 | 341 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 115 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 209 | 285 | 355 | 639 | 146 | 277 | 30 | 9 | 287 | 80 | -9 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | PHI | 45% | 107 | 96 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 286 | 363 | 649 | 152 | 278 | 30 | 8 | 290 | 80 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | PHI | 53% | 272 | 244 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 83 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 206 | 281 | 348 | 629 | 142 | 275 | 31 | 9 | 282 | 77 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | PHI | 53% | 144 | 130 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 208 | 283 | 355 | 638 | 147 | 276 | 31 | 8 | 286 | 77 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 420 | 383 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 140 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 206 | 267 | 326 | 594 | 120 | 295 | 33 | 7 | 266 | 72 | -17 | +2 | +2 | -2 | +9 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 122 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 217 | 3 | 25 | 5 | 206 | 266 | 325 | 592 | 120 | 294 | 33 | 7 | 266 | 72 | -27 | +3 | +3 | -3 | +14 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3688 | 3264 | 645 | 147 | 19 | 86 | 362 | 1303 | 33 | 187 | 33 | 198 | 284 | 333 | 618 | 136 | 294 | 35 | 10 | 275 | 72 | -26 | +4 | +2 | -1 | +17 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 113 | 26 | 3 | 15 | 64 | 230 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 197 | 284 | 330 | 614 | 134 | 293 | 35 | 10 | 275 | 72 | -22 | +3 | +2 | -1 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 429 PAwOBA .377 → .288 (−89)K% 28.2% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.21% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 19.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 6.24% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .377 → .288; ISO .246 → .177; BABIP .335 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAADurham Bulls · 165 PAwOBA .338 → .252 (−86)K% 26.1% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.06% | ÷1.057 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.15% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.68% | ÷0.956 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 13.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.42% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 7.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.42% | ÷1.380 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.28% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 91, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 111, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .338 → .252; ISO .232 → .145; BABIP .239 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAADurham Bulls · 519 PAwOBA .350 → .284 (−66)K% 29.3% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.29% | ÷1.014 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.87% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 10.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.60% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×1.018 | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.06% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×1.018 | 7.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.018 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.92% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.98% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .350 → .284; ISO .194 → .145; BABIP .338 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAADurham Bulls · 519 PAwOBA .357 → .270 (−87)K% 35.8% → 42.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.84% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.53% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 12.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.72% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | ×0.958 | ×1.033 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.64% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×1.033 | 8.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.003 | ×0.970 | ×0.958 | ×1.033 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.94% | ÷1.137 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.68% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 101, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .357 → .270; ISO .233 → .163; BABIP .339 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 510 PAwOBA .360 → .294 (−66)K% 30.4% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.39% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.984 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 11.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 21.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷1.090 | ×0.910 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 7.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.955 | ×0.880 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.15% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.13% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 91, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .360 → .294; ISO .181 → .152; BABIP .356 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Beloit Snappers · 400 PAwOBA .340 → .251 (−89)K% 29.8% → 39.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.75% | ÷1.025 | ×1.350 | — | — | 39.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.054 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.27% | ÷1.049 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 17.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.95% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 8.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.98% | ÷1.082 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 3.81% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 110, 2B 91, 3B 95, K 105, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .340 → .251; ISO .179 → .132; BABIP .338 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 62 PAwOBA .379 → .309 (−69)K% 27.4% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.42% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.29% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 8.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 22.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.42% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 16.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.011 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.09% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 102, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .379 → .309; ISO .182 → .144; BABIP .432 → .395. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AClinton LumberKings · 158 PAwOBA .339 → .265 (−75)K% 22.2% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.15% | ÷1.019 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.29% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.28% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 24.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.085 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.51% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .339 → .265; ISO .097 → .072; BABIP .357 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .