Luis Garces

P DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 18 LHP ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	10	10	28	4.82	2.35	29.8%	14.0%	—	K 20.2% · BB 17.6% · FIP 3.62
2027PROJ	18	MLB—	3	3	17	5.11	5.11	22.4%	15.2%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLB—	2	2	13	4.89	4.80	22.9%	13.3%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJagger Haynes (age 20) · Ethan Lindow (age 18) · Roberto Medina (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.11

FIP5.11

K%22.4%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%7.2%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	10	10	28	121	36	17	0	100%	2.8	20.2%	17.6%	2.7%	0.0%	4.82	3.62	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	10	10	28	121	36	17	0	100%	2.8	20.2%	17.6%	2.7%	0.0%	4.82	3.62	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	10	10	28	121	36	17	0	100%	2.8	29.8%	14.0%	15.7%	0.0%	4.82	2.35	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	—	3	3	17	72	16	11	2	100%	5.7	22.4%	15.2%	7.2%	2.9%	5.11	5.11	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	5	5	26	112	26	15	3	100%	5.3	22.9%	13.3%	9.6%	2.9%	4.89	4.80	+0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	2	2	13	55	13	7	2	100%	6.5	22.9%	13.3%	9.6%	2.9%	4.89	4.80	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	13	55	13	7	2	100%	4.3	22.9%	13.3%	9.6%	2.9%	4.89	4.42	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	46	200	844	200	107	31	100%	4.3	22.9%	13.3%	9.6%	2.9%	4.89	4.42	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		10	10	28	121	24	21	0	100%	2.8	20.2%	17.6%	2.7%	0.0%	4.82	3.62	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	71	200	864	175	152	0	100%	2.8	20.2%	17.6%	2.7%	0.0%	4.82	3.62	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Garces (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	22.4%	15.2%	2.9%	—	4.80	22.9%	9.6%	26	-0.31	—	—	—
Jagger Haynes L 2023 · 4.25 FIP	20	SP	4.25	19.7%	13.0%	2.1%	.303	4.98	17.7%	3.9%	349	+0.73	4.25	374	84
Ethan Lindow L 2017 · 4.33 FIP	18	SP	4.33	19.1%	12.4%	2.3%	.329	2.95	19.8%	14.0%	111	-1.38	2.95	435	83
Roberto Medina L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	18	SP	4.85	21.6%	21.7%	1.5%	.313	5.67	16.4%	-2.1%	73	+0.82	3.87	109	79
Jeremy Gonzalez L 2023 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	19.6%	10.6%	2.2%	.290	4.53	14.4%	-1.1%	83	+0.51	3.39	148	78
Jordan Woods L 2024 · 4.51 FIP	20	SP	4.51	20.5%	10.3%	3.3%	.329	4.18	20.5%	8.3%	139	-0.33	3.92	170	78
Jacob Bresnahan L 2024 · 4.95 FIP	19	SP	4.95	20.2%	14.1%	3.2%	.292	3.92	23.2%	11.1%	208	-1.03	3.03	277	77
Jay Groome L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	18	SP	4.56	21.6%	14.8%	2.6%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	420	77
Jackson Humphries L 2023 · 4.48 FIP	19	SP	4.48	19.8%	14.0%	2.3%	.302	5.94	20.8%	1.5%	248	+1.46	4.48	305	77
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	76
Deyer Zapata L 2022 · 4.25 FIP	18	SP	4.25	18.8%	14.3%	1.7%	.309	5.18	17.5%	4.0%	50	+0.93	3.77	130	76
Reinold Navarro L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	17	SP	4.92	21.7%	22.6%	1.4%	.211	4.32	29.4%	5.7%	95	-0.60	3.55	119	76
Miguel Flores L 2024 · 4.30 FIP	19	SP	4.30	21.2%	16.5%	1.6%	.294	4.90	17.4%	-0.3%	127	+0.60	4.30	173	75
Mavis Graves L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	19	SP	6.17	18.8%	22.2%	3.3%	.365	4.16	23.9%	10.0%	243	-2.01	3.10	277	75
Frank Mozzicato L 2022 · 5.00 FIP	19	SP	5.00	21.5%	19.7%	2.2%	.306	5.60	18.6%	0.2%	288	+0.60	5.00	428	74
Nicolas Carreno L 2024 · 4.48 FIP	18	SP	4.48	21.3%	20.8%	1.0%	.243	4.64	20.6%	3.1%	122	+0.16	4.48	166	73
Jesus Gomez L 2019 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP	5.12	19.3%	12.4%	3.8%	.275	4.40	24.3%	9.8%	23	-0.72	4.22	121	72
Kris Bubic L 2018 · 3.97 FIP	20	SP	3.97	21.0%	13.8%	1.6%	.367	3.99	22.5%	13.0%	329	+0.02	2.13	755	71
Luke Little L 2021 · 4.02 FIP	20	SP-	4.02	25.8%	12.5%	2.8%	.200	2.91	28.0%	12.3%	155	-1.11	2.74	277	70
Dax Fulton L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	19	SP	4.48	18.6%	13.2%	2.3%	.311	3.78	22.8%	12.3%	151	-0.70	3.52	421	70
Josue Arias L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	18	SP	4.73	18.8%	18.6%	1.6%	.340	6.98	12.6%	-18.5%	50	+2.25	4.73	114	70