Roberto Medina

P FCL Rays
Age 22 LHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK
Overview
ROKPROSPECT
ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202520ROKTB170252.922.8622.0%12.8%—K 15.0% · BB 16.1% · FIP 3.87
202621ROKTB160206.306.5022.3%16.0%—K 15.2% · BB 19.9% · FIP 8.43
2027PROJ22MLBTB——05.555.5520.2%16.6%—
2028PROJ49% MLB23MLBTB9095.255.1321.3%14.2%-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsMatt Minnick (age 23) · Jackson Lancaster (age 24) · Brendan Nail (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122130vR 139
ERA5.55
FIP5.55
K%20.2%
BB%16.6%
K-BB%3.7%
Proj IP13
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.15 (13 IP)-0.2WAR
-0.1-0.12728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
202318ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay11113716753292100%3.321.6%21.7%-0.1%1.5%3.684.85—
202318ROK RAWDSL Tampa Bay11113716753292100%3.331.7%17.4%14.4%1.2%3.683.29—
202419ROK MLEFCL Rays112281213319218%2.518.5%19.6%-1.1%2.3%4.185.29—
202419ROK MLEFCL Rays112281213319218%2.518.5%19.6%-1.1%2.3%4.185.29—
202419ROK RAWFCL Rays112281213319218%2.527.3%15.7%11.6%1.7%4.183.71—
202520ROK MLEFCL Rays17025109241400%1.515.0%16.1%-1.1%0.0%2.923.87—
202520ROK MLEFCL Rays17025109241400%1.515.0%16.1%-1.1%0.0%2.923.87—
202520ROK RAWFCL Rays17025109241400%1.522.0%12.8%9.2%0.0%2.922.86—
202621ROK MLEFCL Rays1602094211550%1.215.2%19.9%-4.8%7.4%6.308.43—
202621ROK MLEFCL Rays1602094211550%1.215.2%19.9%-4.8%7.4%6.308.43—
202621ROK RAWFCL Rays1602094211550%1.222.3%16.0%6.4%5.3%6.306.50—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202722MLBTB——0——————20.2%16.6%3.7%3.1%5.555.55—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202823MLB MLETB1601773161020%1.121.3%14.2%7.2%3.0%5.255.13-0.1
202823MLB CTXTB909388510%1.021.3%14.2%7.2%3.0%5.255.13-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW809368510%1.121.3%14.2%7.2%3.0%5.254.75-0.0
/ 200 IP— RAW1900200844188118240%1.121.3%14.2%7.2%3.0%5.254.75-0.5
Career— MLE551310949189961224%2.018.1%19.6%-1.5%2.5%4.125.43-0.1
/ 200 IP— MLE101242008981631762224%2.018.1%19.6%-1.5%2.5%4.125.43-1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Rays · 20 IPFIP 6.15 → 8.43 (+2.28)K% 22.3% → 15.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF22.34%—×0.68015.19%
BB% (unintentional) /BF15.96%—×1.25019.95%
HR / BF /BF5.32%÷1.000×1.4007.45%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 6.15 → 8.43, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Rays · 25 IPFIP 2.87 → 3.87 (+1.00)K% 22.0% → 15.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF22.02%—×0.68014.97%
BB% (unintentional) /BF12.84%—×1.25016.06%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷0.809×1.4000.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 62).

Result: FIP 2.87 → 3.87, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Rays · 28 IPFIP 3.69 → 5.29 (+1.59)K% 27.3% → 18.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF27.27%—×0.68018.55%
BB% (unintentional) /BF15.70%—×1.25019.63%
HR / BF /BF1.65%÷1.002×1.4002.31%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.69 → 5.29, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKDSL Tampa Bay · 37 IPFIP 3.28 → 4.85 (+1.57)K% 31.7% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF31.74%—×0.68021.58%
BB% (unintentional) /BF17.37%—×1.25021.71%
HR / BF /BF1.20%÷1.121×1.4001.50%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 124).

Result: FIP 3.28 → 4.85, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).