Jack O'Loughlin — OGILVIE

Jack O'Loughlin P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 26 LHP 6'5" / 223 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136144vR 153

ERA6.29

FIP6.29

K%13.0%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%-2.5%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL2525

CMD2020

K†3030

SL+0.6 (22%)

SI (2%)

CU (16%)

CH (10%)

FB-2.5 (52%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	14	61	250	52	23	2	100%	4.4	15.3%	10.4%	4.8%	1.2%	2.64	3.78	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	14	61	250	52	23	2	100%	4.4	20.8%	9.2%	11.6%	0.8%	2.64	2.95	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	27	6	52	226	50	27	4	22%	1.9	17.0%	13.7%	3.3%	2.6%	4.01	4.83	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	27	6	52	226	50	27	4	22%	1.9	22.1%	11.9%	10.2%	1.8%	4.01	3.74	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	25	124	544	118	52	9	93%	4.6	17.6%	9.3%	8.3%	2.0%	3.99	3.90	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	25	124	544	118	52	9	93%	4.6	17.6%	9.3%	8.3%	2.0%	3.99	3.90	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	25	124	544	118	52	9	93%	4.6	21.7%	9.6%	12.1%	1.7%	3.99	3.40	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	10	83	387	86	39	18	28%	2.3	19.5%	9.0%	10.5%	5.5%	5.88	5.61	-1.0
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	10	83	387	86	39	18	28%	2.3	19.5%	9.0%	10.5%	5.5%	5.88	5.61	-1.0
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	10	83	387	86	39	18	28%	2.3	22.2%	10.1%	12.1%	4.7%	5.88	5.27	-0.7
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	10	46	225	32	36	7	53%	2.4	11.1%	15.5%	-4.4%	3.6%	6.70	6.11	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	10	46	225	32	36	7	53%	2.4	11.1%	15.5%	-4.4%	3.6%	6.70	6.11	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	10	46	225	32	36	7	53%	2.4	14.2%	16.0%	-1.8%	3.1%	6.70	6.06	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			4	0	10	47	6	5	1	0%	2.4	12.8%	10.6%	2.1%	2.1%	4.66	4.76	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	COL	1	1	5	21	3	3	1	100%	5.0	13.0%	15.5%	-2.5%	3.5%	6.29	6.29	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	COL	12	12	73	309	43	46	11	100%	6.1	14.0%	14.9%	-0.9%	3.5%	6.11	6.13	-1.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	12	12	71	300	44	44	11	100%	5.9	14.6%	14.6%	-0.1%	3.6%	6.03	6.08	-0.9
2029	29	MLB MLE	COL	11	11	68	287	42	42	11	100%	6.2	14.8%	14.6%	0.2%	3.7%	6.05	6.12	-0.9
2030	30	MLB MLE	COL	11	11	64	269	39	40	10	100%	5.8	14.7%	14.8%	-0.1%	3.9%	6.15	6.25	-0.9
2027	27	MLB CTX	COL	5	5	31	131	18	20	5	100%	6.2	14.0%	14.9%	-0.9%	3.5%	6.11	6.13	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	8	8	45	190	28	28	7	100%	5.6	14.6%	14.6%	-0.1%	3.6%	6.03	6.08	-0.6
2029	29	MLB CTX	COL	8	8	49	207	31	30	8	100%	6.1	14.8%	14.6%	0.2%	3.7%	6.05	6.12	-0.6
2030	30	MLB CTX	COL	8	8	51	215	32	32	8	100%	6.4	14.7%	14.8%	-0.1%	3.9%	6.15	6.25	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		33	29	186	790	114	114	29	88%	5.6	14.5%	14.5%	-0.0%	3.6%	6.01	5.69	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	32	200	851	123	123	31	88%	5.6	14.5%	14.5%	-0.0%	3.6%	6.01	5.69	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		123	65	365	1632	273	177	49	53%	3.0	16.7%	10.9%	5.9%	3.0%	4.53	4.72	-3.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	36	200	893	149	97	27	53%	3.0	16.7%	10.9%	5.9%	3.0%	4.53	4.72	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack O'Loughlin (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.29	13.0%	15.5%	3.5%	—	6.11	14.5%	-0.3%	212	-0.18	—	—	—
Seth Lonsway L 2023 · 5.20 FIP	24	SP-	5.20	13.8%	15.3%	2.4%	.317	4.17	15.2%	4.4%	313	-1.03	3.35	498	76
Brooks Gosswein L 2023 · 5.61 FIP	24	SP-	5.61	15.2%	17.9%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	165	68
Eric Stout L 2019 · 6.84 FIP	26	SW	6.84	16.3%	13.8%	6.1%	.299	4.91	25.6%	9.2%	83	-1.93	3.32	411	68
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	68
Jake Miednik L 2022 · 6.12 FIP	26	SP-	6.12	10.5%	14.6%	3.8%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	1.55	126	67
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	66
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	66
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	66
Matt Stalcup L 2016 · 6.20 FIP	26	SW	6.20	11.5%	12.7%	4.5%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	145	66
Mason Green L 2023 · 5.28 FIP	24	SW	5.28	17.9%	16.7%	2.9%	.278	4.24	18.4%	6.3%	262	-1.04	3.68	448	65
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	65
Cody Dickson L 2017 · 5.48 FIP	25	SW	5.48	15.9%	14.6%	3.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.88	354	64
Ian Clarkin L 2021 · 6.28 FIP	26	SP-	6.28	8.3%	12.2%	4.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	335	64
Mike Kickham L 2015 · 6.80 FIP	26	SW	6.80	10.4%	27.2%	2.1%	.222	3.62	16.6%	12.0%	194	-3.18	3.00	368	63
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	63
Nick Allgeyer L 2022 · 5.17 FIP	26	SW	5.17	18.6%	9.8%	4.4%	.284	5.70	18.2%	6.1%	81	+0.53	3.74	390	63
Kevin Smith L 2022 · 6.20 FIP	25	SW	6.20	17.5%	16.2%	4.6%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	248	63
Matthew Spann L 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SW	5.15	15.1%	16.9%	2.2%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	173	62
Adam Scott L 2022 · 5.27 FIP	26	SW	5.27	21.1%	13.5%	4.1%	.317	4.70	15.6%	-1.7%	46	-0.57	4.17	315	61
Bryan Sammons L 2021 · 6.16 FIP	26	SP-	6.16	17.0%	13.4%	5.1%	.276	5.56	20.3%	11.1%	261	-0.60	3.58	688	59

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	14.2%	14.9%	1.41	6.12
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78