Jack O'Loughlin
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 26
LHP
6'5" / 223 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145154vR 163
ERA6.45
FIP6.45
K%13.8%
BB%17.3%
K-BB%-3.5%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+0.6 (22%)
SI (2%)
CU (16%)
CH (10%)
FB-2.5 (52%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 14 | 61 | 250 | 52 | 23 | 2 | 100% | 4.4 | 15.3% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 2.64 | 3.83 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 14 | 61 | 250 | 52 | 23 | 2 | 100% | 4.4 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 0.8% | 2.64 | 2.95 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 27 | 6 | 52 | 226 | 50 | 27 | 4 | 22% | 1.9 | 17.0% | 13.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.01 | 5.15 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 27 | 6 | 52 | 226 | 50 | 27 | 4 | 22% | 1.9 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 1.8% | 4.01 | 3.74 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 124 | 544 | 118 | 52 | 9 | 93% | 4.6 | 18.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 3.99 | 4.11 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 124 | 544 | 118 | 52 | 9 | 93% | 4.6 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 1.7% | 3.99 | 3.40 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 10 | 83 | 387 | 86 | 39 | 18 | 28% | 2.3 | 20.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 5.88 | 5.69 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 10 | 83 | 387 | 86 | 39 | 18 | 28% | 2.3 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 5.88 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 10 | 46 | 225 | 32 | 36 | 7 | 53% | 2.4 | 11.8% | 18.1% | -6.3% | 3.6% | 6.70 | 6.35 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 10 | 46 | 225 | 32 | 36 | 7 | 53% | 2.4 | 14.2% | 16.0% | -1.8% | 3.1% | 6.70 | 6.06 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | COL | 10 | 10 | 60 | 251 | 35 | 44 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 13.8% | 17.3% | -3.5% | 3.5% | 6.45 | 6.45 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 10 | 10 | 59 | 247 | 37 | 41 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.8% | 16.6% | -1.8% | 3.5% | 6.26 | 6.28 | -1.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 9 | 9 | 57 | 240 | 37 | 39 | 9 | 100% | 6.3 | 15.3% | 16.2% | -0.9% | 3.6% | 6.17 | 6.21 | -1.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 16 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 14.8% | 16.6% | -1.8% | 3.5% | 6.26 | 6.28 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 23 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.3% | 16.2% | -0.9% | 3.6% | 6.17 | 6.21 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 10 | 70 | 302 | 44 | 47 | 10 | 71% | 5.0 | 14.7% | 15.5% | -0.7% | 3.4% | 5.99 | 5.65 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 29 | 200 | 862 | 125 | 134 | 29 | 72% | 5.0 | 14.7% | 15.5% | -0.7% | 3.4% | 5.99 | 5.65 | -0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 123 | 65 | 365 | 1632 | 283 | 195 | 52 | 53% | 3.0 | 17.3% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.89 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 36 | 200 | 893 | 155 | 107 | 28 | 53% | 3.0 | 17.3% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.89 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack O'Loughlin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.45 | 13.8% | 17.3% | 3.5% | — | 6.25 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 115 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Cole Reynolds L 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.26 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 2.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.81 | 108 | 73 |
| Brooks Gosswein L 2024 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.58 | 15.2% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 165 | 69 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2024 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 67 |
| Eric Stout L 2026 · 7.00 FIP | 26 | SW | 7.00 | 16.3% | 13.8% | 6.4% | .299 | 5.02 | 25.6% | 9.2% | 83 | -1.98 | 3.35 | 411 | 67 |
| Jake Miednik L 2026 · 6.54 FIP | 26 | SP- | 6.54 | 10.5% | 14.6% | 4.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.55 | 126 | 65 |
| Brian Holmes L 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 6.01 | 15.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 205 | 64 |
| Doug Nikhazy L 2026 · 6.26 FIP | 26 | SP- | 6.26 | 19.0% | 16.7% | 4.9% | .379 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 458 | 64 |
| Cody Dickson L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.52 | 15.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 354 | 64 |
| Matt Stalcup L 2026 · 6.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 6.06 | 11.5% | 12.7% | 4.2% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 145 | 63 |
| Mike Kickham L 2026 · 6.65 FIP | 26 | SW | 6.65 | 10.4% | 27.2% | 1.8% | .222 | 3.59 | 16.6% | 12.0% | 194 | -3.06 | 3.00 | 368 | 63 |
| Dalton Rogers L 2025 · 6.26 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.26 | 15.8% | 18.5% | 3.9% | .198 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 326 | 63 |
| Kevin Smith L 2025 · 6.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 6.28 | 17.5% | 16.2% | 4.8% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 248 | 63 |
| Zach King L 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.45 | 14.1% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 278 | 62 |
| Ian Clarkin L 2026 · 6.07 FIP | 26 | SP- | 6.07 | 8.3% | 12.2% | 3.9% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 335 | 61 |
| Mason Miller L 2024 · 6.05 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.05 | 12.8% | 18.6% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 150 | 61 |
| Adam Scott L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.27 | 21.1% | 13.5% | 4.1% | .317 | 4.96 | 16.5% | -3.6% | 46 | -0.31 | 4.53 | 315 | 60 |
| Mitch Stallings L 2026 · 5.92 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.92 | 16.8% | 11.5% | 5.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.18 | 108 | 59 |
| Nick Allgeyer L 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.30 | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.6% | .284 | 6.21 | 19.3% | 5.2% | 81 | +0.91 | 3.58 | 390 | 59 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2026 · 5.90 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.90 | 17.0% | 13.4% | 4.6% | .276 | 6.06 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 261 | +0.16 | 3.53 | 688 | 59 |
| Anderson Polanco L 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.41 | 18.9% | 16.3% | 3.4% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 316 | 59 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 14.6% | 16.7% | 1.38 | 6.30 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |