Daniel Tillo
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 30
LHP
6'5" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%22.4%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 10 | 9 | 37 | 157 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 90% | 3.7 | 13.9% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 0.9% | 4.42 | 3.02 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 10 | 9 | 37 | 157 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 90% | 3.7 | 20.4% | 3.8% | 16.6% | 0.6% | 4.42 | 2.20 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 134 | 597 | 100 | 65 | 6 | 100% | 5.2 | 12.7% | 12.6% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 4.76 | 4.58 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 134 | 597 | 100 | 65 | 6 | 100% | 5.2 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 4.76 | 3.64 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 23 | 131 | 558 | 85 | 54 | 6 | 79% | 4.5 | 11.9% | 11.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.72 | 4.44 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 23 | 131 | 558 | 85 | 54 | 6 | 79% | 4.5 | 15.2% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 3.72 | 3.64 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 5 | 29 | 125 | 27 | 20 | 1 | 25% | 1.4 | 17.5% | 16.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 4.03 | 4.38 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 5 | 29 | 125 | 27 | 20 | 1 | 25% | 1.4 | 21.6% | 16.0% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 4.03 | 3.76 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 19 | 5 | 25 | 111 | 23 | 13 | 1 | 26% | 1.3 | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 0.9% | 4.01 | 3.33 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 19 | 5 | 25 | 111 | 23 | 13 | 1 | 26% | 1.3 | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 0.9% | 4.01 | 3.34 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 17 | 4 | 25 | 127 | 17 | 24 | 2 | 24% | 1.5 | 11.8% | 19.8% | -8.1% | 1.6% | 9.59 | 5.47 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 17 | 4 | 25 | 127 | 17 | 24 | 2 | 24% | 1.5 | 13.4% | 18.9% | -5.5% | 1.6% | 9.59 | 5.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | SF | 2 | 2 | 15 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.3 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SF | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SF | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.4 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.30 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 72 | 381 | 1675 | 224 | 203 | 26 | 60% | 3.1 | 13.4% | 12.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.59 | 4.36 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 38 | 200 | 880 | 118 | 106 | 14 | 60% | 3.1 | 13.4% | 12.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.59 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daniel Tillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.68 | 22.1% | 11.6% | 20 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 76 |
| Roy Merritt L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 67 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2024 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 64 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.41 | 22.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 153 | 64 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 64 |
| Travis Blackley L 2028 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 64 |
| Brian Flynn L 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 62 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.86 | 17.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 523 | 61 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 60 |
| Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 58 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2024 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 58 |
| Everett Teaford L 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 58 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 57 |
| Max Green L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.33 | 15.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 169 | 55 |
| Mike Kickham L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.00 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .311 | 5.91 | 18.8% | 8.7% | 61 | +1.91 | 3.00 | 368 | 55 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.68 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .214 | 4.11 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 107 | +0.43 | 3.68 | 146 | 55 |
| Logan Darnell L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.97 | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 430 | 54 |
| Aríel Miranda L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.31 | 17.9% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 431 | 53 |
| David Huff L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 53 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.64 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .354 | 3.90 | 10.5% | 4.4% | 59 | -0.74 | 3.90 | 137 | 53 |