Ignacio Briceno
P
Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 25
LHP
5'11" / 155 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123132vR 141
ERA5.43
FIP5.43
K%14.2%
BB%13.5%
K-BB%0.7%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 14 | 0 | 24 | 107 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 12.7% | 12.9% | -0.1% | 2.9% | 2.22 | 5.23 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 14 | 0 | 24 | 107 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 2.22 | 3.88 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 17 | 0 | 28 | 109 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 18.7% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 2.39 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 17 | 0 | 28 | 109 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 27.5% | 5.5% | 22.0% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 1.62 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 18 | 0 | 27 | 118 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.63 | 4.53 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 18 | 0 | 27 | 118 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.4% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 1.7% | 2.63 | 3.17 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 17 | 1 | 26 | 115 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 6% | 1.5 | 14.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 4.10 | 3.09 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 17 | 1 | 26 | 115 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 6% | 1.5 | 21.7% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 4.10 | 2.23 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 32 | 0 | 50 | 218 | 43 | 22 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.6% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 3.38 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 32 | 0 | 50 | 218 | 43 | 22 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 2.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | DET | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 42 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.2% | 13.5% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 5.43 | 5.43 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | DET | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 47 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.28 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | DET | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 48 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.22 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | DET | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.28 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | DET | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 30 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.22 | 5.22 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 70 | 0 | 73 | 309 | 50 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.24 | 4.85 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 137 | 109 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.24 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 98 | 1 | 156 | 667 | 103 | 73 | 6 | 1% | 1.6 | 15.5% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 2.76 | 3.67 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 125 | 1 | 200 | 853 | 132 | 94 | 7 | 1% | 1.6 | 15.5% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 2.76 | 3.67 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ignacio Briceno (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.43 | 14.2% | 13.5% | 2.6% | — | 5.24 | 16.1% | 3.2% | 139 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 93 |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 12.1% | 13.3% | 2.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 195 | 86 |
| Cody Stull L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 11.9% | 10.4% | 2.8% | .310 | 3.19 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 81 | -1.72 | 2.54 | 264 | 85 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.79 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 2.1% | .284 | 5.74 | 18.7% | -4.6% | 22 | +0.95 | 4.12 | 234 | 85 |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 17.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .308 | 5.43 | 13.9% | 1.8% | 49 | +1.11 | 4.08 | 212 | 84 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.23 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 2.9% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 161 | 83 |
| Fred Schlichtholz L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.83 | 15.5% | 13.4% | 2.5% | .343 | 3.76 | 22.3% | 16.4% | 35 | -1.07 | 3.76 | 175 | 83 |
| Joey DeNato L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 12.3% | 15.1% | 1.4% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 167 | 83 |
| Justin Thomas L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.23 | 13.1% | 10.4% | 1.7% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 105 | 83 |
| Kumar Nambiar L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 14.0% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 221 | 82 |
| Chris Nunn L 2025 · 5.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.94 | 13.9% | 16.8% | 3.4% | .350 | 3.97 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 37 | -1.97 | 3.26 | 180 | 82 |
| Brian Moran L 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 82 |
| Will Lamb L 2026 · 5.79 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.79 | 15.3% | 11.7% | 4.5% | .280 | 5.47 | 20.0% | 6.0% | 67 | -0.32 | 3.56 | 178 | 82 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 81 |
| Luis Ysla L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 0.8% | .326 | 5.47 | 18.5% | 4.3% | 180 | +1.21 | 3.58 | 378 | 81 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2028 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.75 | 3.04 | 120 | 81 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.16 | 15.3% | 17.1% | 4.0% | .275 | 4.98 | 19.5% | -8.3% | 18 | -1.18 | 4.80 | 223 | 81 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.41 | 13.2% | 13.5% | 1.3% | .336 | 3.78 | 18.6% | 9.9% | 28 | -0.63 | 2.96 | 159 | 81 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 80 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.44 | 12.5% | 11.5% | 1.7% | .258 | 4.48 | 12.6% | 4.6% | 144 | +0.04 | 4.44 | 188 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 15.5% | 13.1% | 1.04 | 5.31 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |