Ignacio Briceno
P
Lakeland Flying Tigers
+0.1
WAR
Age 25
LHP
5'11" / 155 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.2%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%11.3%
IP41
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 14 | 0 | 24 | 107 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 12.7% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 2.22 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 17 | 0 | 28 | 109 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 18.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 2.39 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 18 | 0 | 27 | 118 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 2.3% | 2.63 | 4.54 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 17 | 1 | 26 | 115 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 14.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 4.10 | 3.09 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 32 | 0 | 50 | 218 | 43 | 22 | 0 | 14.6% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 3.38 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | DET | 41 | — | 41 | 171 | 33 | 21 | 5 | 19.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% | 4.80 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | DET | 41 | — | 41 | 171 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | DET | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 20.3% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.71 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | DET | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 20.4% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | DET | 39 | — | 39 | 164 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 20.3% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.73 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | DET | 38 | — | 38 | 159 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | DET | 36 | — | 36 | 153 | 30 | 18 | 4 | 19.9% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | DET | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 29 | 17 | 4 | 19.6% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | DET | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 19.3% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | DET | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 25 | 16 | 4 | 18.9% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 5.11 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | DET | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 23 | 16 | 4 | 18.6% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 5.23 | 5.30 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 98 | 1 | 156 | 667 | 103 | 73 | 6 | 15.5% | 11.0% | 0.9% | 2.76 | 3.66 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 125 | 1 | 200 | 853 | 132 | 93 | 8 | 15.5% | 11.0% | 0.9% | 2.76 | 3.66 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ignacio Briceno (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.80 | 19.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% | — | 4.72 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 121 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Haylen Green L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 91 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.18 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.10 | 3.46 | 145 | 89 |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.39 | 17.4% | 13.2% | 2.0% | .308 | 5.57 | 13.9% | 1.8% | 49 | +1.18 | 4.08 | 212 | 87 |
| Brian Moran L 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 87 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.99 | 21.3% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .348 | 4.16 | 25.6% | 15.1% | 25 | +0.17 | 3.29 | 128 | 85 |
| Colton Johnson L 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 85 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.16 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.20 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.04 | 2.45 | 120 | 84 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .236 | 4.42 | 17.1% | 5.3% | 92 | -0.49 | 4.19 | 133 | 83 |
| Paul Fry L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 3.5% | .338 | 3.49 | 24.6% | 14.6% | 159 | -1.22 | 1.78 | 560 | 83 |
| John Beller L 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 170 | 83 |
| Will Gilbert L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 141 | 83 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2029 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 82 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.89 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 146 | 82 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .294 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.65 | 3.93 | 264 | 82 |
| Ryan Sherriff L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.27 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .317 | 3.29 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 135 | -0.98 | 2.97 | 245 | 82 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.77 | 19.2% | 11.2% | 1.6% | .335 | 4.51 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 80 | +0.74 | 3.58 | 206 | 82 |
| Max Schuh L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 19.2% | 13.6% | 2.7% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 118 | 81 |
| Sean Mellen L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.01 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 101 | 81 |
| Garvin Alston L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .173 | 4.24 | 16.0% | 3.8% | 130 | +0.15 | 4.08 | 232 | 81 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 2.7% | .341 | 8.17 | 20.1% | 1.1% | 25 | +4.12 | 3.97 | 158 | 81 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.