Jeremy Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Jeremy Gonzalez P ACL White Sox

Age 21 LHP 6'0" / 168 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113121vR 129

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%19.5%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%6.4%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	11	7	29	143	26	18	1	64%	2.6	12.4%	15.7%	-3.4%	0.8%	5.90	4.49	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	11	7	29	143	26	18	1	64%	2.6	18.2%	12.6%	5.6%	0.7%	5.90	3.62	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	10	10	36	153	44	13	3	100%	3.6	19.6%	10.6%	8.9%	2.2%	3.75	4.02	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	10	10	36	153	44	13	3	100%	3.6	19.6%	10.6%	8.9%	2.2%	3.75	4.02	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	10	10	36	153	44	13	3	100%	3.6	28.8%	8.5%	20.3%	2.0%	3.75	2.82	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	7	6	19	98	22	17	3	86%	2.7	15.3%	21.7%	-6.4%	4.0%	11.37	6.74	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	7	6	19	98	22	17	3	86%	2.7	15.3%	21.7%	-6.4%	4.0%	11.37	6.74	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	7	6	19	98	22	17	3	86%	2.7	22.4%	17.3%	5.1%	3.1%	11.37	5.52	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	20	3	34	148	31	14	0	15%	1.7	14.2%	11.8%	2.4%	0.0%	4.98	3.39	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	20	3	34	148	31	14	0	15%	1.7	14.2%	11.8%	2.4%	0.0%	4.98	3.39	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	20	3	34	148	31	14	0	15%	1.7	20.9%	9.5%	11.5%	0.0%	4.98	2.52	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	21	0	37	187	33	26	1	0%	1.7	14.0%	15.7%	-1.8%	0.9%	8.84	4.42	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	21	0	37	187	33	26	1	0%	1.7	14.0%	15.7%	-1.8%	0.9%	8.84	4.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	CWS	14	0	30	151	31	19	1	0%	2.1	20.5%	12.6%	7.9%	0.7%	7.58	3.32	—
2026	21	A RAW	CWS	7	0	7	36	2	7	0	0%	1.0	5.6%	19.4%	-13.9%	0.0%	14.14	5.09	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CWS	36	0	38	159	33	18	5	0%	1.0	21.0%	11.5%	9.5%	2.8%	4.83	4.73	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	CWS	18	0	19	80	17	9	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	11.5%	9.5%	2.8%	4.83	4.73	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	19	78	16	9	2	0%	1.0	21.0%	11.5%	9.5%	2.8%	4.83	4.35	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	97	22	0%	1.1	21.0%	11.5%	9.5%	2.8%	4.83	4.35	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		69	26	155	729	110	107	10	38%	2.2	15.1%	14.7%	0.4%	1.4%	6.56	4.45	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	34	200	941	142	138	13	38%	2.2	15.1%	14.7%	0.4%	1.4%	6.56	4.45	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeremy Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	19.5%	13.0%	2.9%	—	4.73	21.0%	9.5%	38	-0.34	—	—	—
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	83
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	82
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	81
Drew Harrington L 2016 · 4.18 FIP	21	SU	4.18	15.7%	9.6%	2.1%	.295	4.14	12.5%	5.4%	175	-0.04	3.17	190	81
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	81
Joey Marciano L 2017 · 3.97 FIP	22	SW	3.97	15.1%	11.8%	1.2%	.266	4.99	16.3%	6.1%	153	+1.02	3.65	330	80
Felix Polanco L 2021 · 5.49 FIP	21	SU	5.49	16.1%	13.0%	3.8%	.275	4.39	18.8%	6.2%	51	-1.10	3.68	105	80
Matt Walker L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	16.7%	13.3%	1.5%	.324	4.62	15.5%	4.0%	94	+0.41	4.21	156	77
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	77
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	77
Destin Dotson L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	21	SU	3.90	22.3%	12.2%	2.1%	.288	5.84	23.0%	3.1%	48	+1.94	2.90	113	77
Luis Silva L 2018 · 5.05 FIP	21	SU	5.05	14.1%	13.4%	2.6%	.311	6.59	8.7%	-7.4%	12	+1.54	4.48	107	77
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.30	335	76
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	76
Oriel Castro L 2022 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.5%	12.6%	2.4%	.333	6.44	16.0%	-5.3%	18	+1.81	4.63	129	76
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	76
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	76
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.40	163	75
Victor Cabreja L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	21	SW	4.18	15.8%	14.5%	1.1%	.213	5.20	11.8%	2.2%	185	+1.02	3.79	254	75
Zach Matson L 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	14.4%	10.9%	2.0%	.319	4.72	25.2%	10.0%	68	+0.33	4.39	187	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	20.5%	12.0%	1.11	4.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58