Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 11 | 7 | 29 | 143 | 26 | 18 | 1 | 64% | 2.6 | 12.4% | 15.7% | -3.4% | 0.7% | 5.90 | 4.42 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 11 | 7 | 29 | 143 | 26 | 18 | 1 | 64% | 2.6 | 18.2% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 0.7% | 5.90 | 3.62 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 10 | 10 | 36 | 153 | 44 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 3.6 | 19.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 1.9% | 3.75 | 3.82 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 10 | 10 | 36 | 153 | 44 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 3.6 | 28.8% | 8.5% | 20.3% | 2.0% | 3.75 | 2.82 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 7 | 6 | 19 | 98 | 22 | 17 | 3 | 86% | 2.7 | 15.3% | 21.7% | -6.4% | 3.7% | 11.37 | 6.60 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 7 | 6 | 19 | 98 | 22 | 17 | 3 | 86% | 2.7 | 22.4% | 17.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 11.37 | 5.52 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 20 | 3 | 34 | 148 | 31 | 14 | 0 | 15% | 1.7 | 14.2% | 11.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 4.98 | 3.39 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 20 | 3 | 34 | 148 | 31 | 14 | 0 | 15% | 1.7 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 4.98 | 2.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 19 | 0 | 32 | 164 | 28 | 21 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 13.8% | 13.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 8.44 | 3.67 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 50 | 239 | 45 | 28 | 2 | — | — | 18.7% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 0.9% | 7.00 | 3.94 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CWS | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 4.22 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 3.84 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 67 | 26 | 150 | 706 | 106 | 100 | 7 | 39% | 2.2 | 15.1% | 14.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 6.41 | 4.20 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 35 | 200 | 939 | 141 | 133 | 10 | 39% | 2.2 | 15.1% | 14.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 6.41 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeremy Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 22.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.22 | 23.3% | 14.2% | 20 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 84 |
| Harry Gustin L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 83 |
| Sam Long L 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .371 | 4.18 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.08 | 446 | 81 |
| Taylor Hearn L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 81 |
| Sean Mellen L 2028 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 80 |
| Ronny Agustin L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.70 | 22.1% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.90 | 20.2% | 3.5% | 81 | +0.20 | 3.13 | 158 | 80 |
| Josh Simpson L 2028 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 79 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 78 |
| Connor Curlis L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.49 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .306 | 6.24 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 172 | +2.75 | 3.49 | 309 | 78 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2028 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.79 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .366 | 4.10 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 177 | +0.31 | 3.37 | 275 | 77 |
| Kenny Rosenberg L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.65 | 20.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .313 | 4.79 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 361 | +1.14 | 3.34 | 755 | 77 |
| Chase Watkins L 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.48 | 3.27 | 232 | 77 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 77 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.09 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .208 | 4.77 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 223 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 77 |
| Destin Dotson L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.90 | 22.3% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .288 | 5.84 | 23.0% | 3.1% | 48 | +1.94 | 2.90 | 113 | 77 |
| Drew Harrington L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.18 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .295 | 4.11 | 12.5% | 5.4% | 175 | -0.07 | 3.19 | 190 | 76 |
| Christian Torres L 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.26 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 0.8% | .297 | 2.96 | 16.2% | 9.0% | 141 | -0.30 | 2.75 | 172 | 76 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .280 | 3.65 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 63 | +0.08 | 2.91 | 141 | 76 |
| Abdallah Aris L 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.63 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 109 | 76 |
| Denny Bentley L 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.85 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .318 | 2.88 | 25.4% | 10.3% | 58 | -1.97 | 2.88 | 175 | 75 |