Jake Higginbotham
P
San Antonio Missions
+0.6
WAR
Age 30
LHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.2%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%12.9%
IP61
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF6060
CTRL5555
CMD6565
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Danville Braves | 13 | 0 | 34 | 142 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 17.2% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 2.65 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Rome Braves | 33 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 63 | 26 | 5 | 18.8% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 3.07 | 4.71 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 9 | 0 | 11 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 48 | 0 | 51 | 226 | 48 | 18 | 5 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.73 | 4.31 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 39 | 1 | 58 | 247 | 53 | 24 | 4 | 16.6% | 10.8% | 2.0% | 2.97 | 4.18 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 41 | 2 | 62 | 265 | 78 | 12 | 10 | 23.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.33 | 4.41 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 47 | 0 | 65 | 296 | 79 | 28 | 4 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 1.6% | 4.71 | 3.37 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | SD | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 60 | 20 | 7 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 4.04 | 4.04 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SD | 59 | — | 59 | 249 | 57 | 20 | 7 | 23.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SD | 56 | — | 56 | 239 | 55 | 20 | 7 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 4.24 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SD | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 51 | 19 | 7 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.35 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | SD | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 48 | 19 | 7 | 22.2% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.46 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | SD | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 45 | 18 | 7 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | SD | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 230 | 3 | 340 | 1460 | 296 | 137 | 42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 3.70 | 4.16 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 2 | 200 | 858 | 174 | 81 | 25 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 3.70 | 4.16 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Higginbotham (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.04 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.24 | 22.9% | 14.6% | 169 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.23 | 22.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | .314 | 3.70 | 25.3% | 14.9% | 55 | +0.47 | 2.83 | 223 | 85 |
| Brandon Mann L 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 84 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.54 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 4.2% | .268 | 7.97 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.43 | 2.98 | 145 | 83 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.77 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.44 | 3.70 | 181 | 80 |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.05 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .352 | 3.11 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.06 | 2.64 | 113 | 80 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 80 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.39 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .269 | 2.98 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.41 | 1.81 | 421 | 79 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.33 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .245 | 3.85 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.48 | 3.06 | 244 | 78 |
| Jake Diekman L 2025 · 3.23 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.23 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.7% | .241 | 3.08 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.15 | 2.32 | 455 | 78 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 3.03 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.70 | 2.38 | 306 | 78 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 78 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.34 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 3.8% | .202 | 4.17 | 25.3% | 15.6% | 85 | -0.17 | 2.37 | 296 | 77 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.66 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | .342 | 2.89 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.77 | 2.89 | 101 | 76 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.83 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.4% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 204 | 76 |
| David Huff L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.48 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | .271 | 4.07 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.59 | 3.48 | 158 | 76 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.42 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.24 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.18 | 3.24 | 163 | 76 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2025 · 3.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.05 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 146 | 75 |
| Franklin Morales L 2025 · 3.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.33 | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | .271 | 4.03 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.70 | 3.33 | 101 | 75 |
| Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.81 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.63 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.18 | 4.62 | 249 | 74 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.