Jake Higginbotham
P
St. Paul Saints
Age 30
LHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION18 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 94103vR 113
ERA4.10
FIP4.10
K%22.7%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%15.0%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Danville Braves | 13 | 0 | 34 | 142 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 2.6 | 17.2% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.65 | 5.15 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Danville Braves | 13 | 0 | 34 | 142 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 2.6 | 25.4% | 8.5% | 16.9% | 2.8% | 2.65 | 3.57 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Rome Braves | 33 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 63 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 18.8% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.07 | 5.13 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Rome Braves | 33 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 63 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 25.4% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 2.0% | 3.07 | 3.39 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 9 | 0 | 11 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 44.4% | 5.6% | 38.9% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.05 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 9 | 0 | 11 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 44.4% | 5.6% | 38.9% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.81 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 48 | 0 | 51 | 226 | 48 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.46 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 48 | 0 | 51 | 226 | 48 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 2.2% | 4.73 | 3.55 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 1 | 58 | 247 | 53 | 24 | 4 | 3% | 1.5 | 16.6% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 2.97 | 4.12 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 1 | 58 | 247 | 53 | 24 | 4 | 3% | 1.5 | 21.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 1.6% | 2.97 | 3.41 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 41 | 2 | 62 | 265 | 78 | 12 | 10 | 5% | 1.5 | 23.8% | 5.0% | 18.9% | 5.1% | 4.33 | 4.53 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 41 | 2 | 62 | 265 | 78 | 12 | 10 | 5% | 1.5 | 29.4% | 4.5% | 24.9% | 3.8% | 4.33 | 3.26 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 65 | 296 | 79 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 1.6% | 4.71 | 3.39 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 65 | 296 | 79 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.7% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 1.4% | 4.71 | 2.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 14 | 0 | 18 | 86 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.66 | 8.52 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | MIN | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 65 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 4.10 | 4.10 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | MIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 4.10 | 4.10 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 86 | 373 | 87 | 30 | 15 | — | — | 23.4% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 4.1% | 5.04 | 5.01 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 7 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 22.7% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 4.10 | 3.72 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 60 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 60 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.32 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 55 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 4.43 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 49 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 4.64 | 4.79 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 4.43 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 4.64 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 94 | 0 | 99 | 417 | 92 | 36 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 3.3% | 4.44 | 4.17 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 73 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 3.3% | 4.44 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 244 | 3 | 358 | 1546 | 314 | 146 | 54 | 1% | 1.5 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 3.95 | 4.51 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 2 | 200 | 864 | 176 | 82 | 30 | 1% | 1.5 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 3.95 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Higginbotham (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.10 | 22.7% | 7.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.54 | 22.0% | 13.4% | 176 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.17 | 22.9% | 6.6% | 2.1% | .314 | 3.73 | 25.3% | 14.9% | 55 | +0.56 | 2.81 | 223 | 83 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 83 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 79 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 78 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 78 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 78 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 78 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 77 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 77 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 77 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2025 · 3.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.02 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 146 | 76 |
| Franklin Morales L 2025 · 3.36 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.36 | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | .271 | 4.06 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.70 | 3.36 | 101 | 75 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.42 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% | .202 | 4.09 | 25.3% | 15.6% | 85 | -0.33 | 2.37 | 296 | 75 |
| Jake Diekman L 2025 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .241 | 3.03 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.22 | 2.33 | 455 | 75 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 75 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2029 · 3.05 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.05 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 1.2% | .352 | 3.71 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 89 | +0.66 | 3.05 | 117 | 75 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.21 | 17.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.01 | 20.2% | 13.5% | 84 | +0.80 | 3.21 | 241 | 75 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 75 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.44 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.2% | .290 | 3.67 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.23 | 3.44 | 152 | 74 |
| Aaron Loup L 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 24.0% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .364 | 2.51 | 25.1% | 18.8% | 82 | -0.69 | 2.07 | 363 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 61 | 22.2% | 8.4% | 1.24 | 4.34 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |