Jake Higginbotham

Jake Higginbotham P St. Paul Saints

Age 30 LHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION18 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 93101vR 109

ERA3.98

FIP3.98

K%22.4%

BB%6.7%

K-BB%15.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL5555

CMD6565

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	13	0	34	142	36	12	4	0%	2.6	17.2%	10.6%	6.7%	3.9%	2.65	5.15	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	13	0	34	142	36	12	4	0%	2.6	25.4%	8.5%	16.9%	2.8%	2.65	3.57	—
2019	23	A MLE	Rome Braves	33	0	59	248	63	26	5	0%	1.8	18.8%	12.4%	6.4%	3.1%	3.07	4.77	—
2019	23	A RAW	Rome Braves	33	0	59	248	63	26	5	0%	1.8	25.4%	10.5%	14.9%	2.0%	3.07	3.39	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	0	11	36	16	2	0	0%	1.3	44.4%	5.6%	38.9%	0.0%	0.00	0.05	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	9	0	11	36	16	2	0	0%	1.3	44.4%	5.6%	38.9%	0.0%	0.00	0.81	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	48	0	51	226	48	18	5	0%	1.1	17.2%	8.8%	8.4%	2.9%	4.73	4.33	—
2022	26	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	48	0	51	226	48	18	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	8.0%	13.3%	2.2%	4.73	3.55	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	1	58	247	53	24	4	3%	1.5	16.6%	10.8%	5.8%	2.0%	2.97	4.17	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	1	58	247	53	24	4	3%	1.5	16.6%	10.8%	5.8%	2.0%	2.97	4.17	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	1	58	247	53	24	4	3%	1.5	21.5%	9.7%	11.7%	1.6%	2.97	3.41	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	41	2	62	265	78	12	10	5%	1.5	23.8%	5.0%	18.9%	4.8%	4.33	4.36	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	41	2	62	265	78	12	10	5%	1.5	23.8%	5.0%	18.9%	4.8%	4.33	4.36	—
2024	28	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	41	2	62	265	78	12	10	5%	1.5	29.4%	4.5%	24.9%	3.8%	4.33	3.26	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	65	296	79	28	4	0%	1.4	21.8%	9.3%	12.5%	1.6%	4.71	3.30	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	65	296	79	28	4	0%	1.4	21.8%	9.3%	12.5%	1.6%	4.71	3.30	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	65	296	79	28	4	0%	1.4	26.7%	9.5%	17.2%	1.4%	4.71	2.76	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	14	0	18	86	22	8	7	0%	1.3	20.4%	8.9%	11.6%	10.8%	8.66	8.44	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	14	0	18	86	22	8	7	0%	1.3	20.4%	8.9%	11.6%	10.8%	8.66	8.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AA RAW	MIN	4	0	6	25	7	2	1	0%	1.4	28.0%	8.0%	20.0%	4.0%	4.76	3.94	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	MIN	10	0	12	61	15	6	6	0%	1.2	24.6%	9.8%	14.8%	9.8%	10.50	7.67	—
ROS	30	MLB MLE	MIN	6	0	6	26	6	2	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	6.7%	15.7%	2.8%	3.98	3.98	+0.0
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	24	112	28	10	8	—	—	24.8%	8.7%	16.1%	6.9%	7.45	7.28	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	MIN	60	0	63	267	59	20	8	0%	1.1	22.1%	7.3%	14.8%	3.1%	4.14	4.22	+0.2
2028	32	MLB MLE	MIN	56	0	59	247	54	19	8	0%	1.0	21.8%	7.9%	13.9%	3.3%	4.33	4.45	+0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	MIN	22	0	23	97	21	7	3	0%	1.0	22.1%	7.3%	14.8%	3.1%	4.14	4.22	+0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	MIN	30	0	32	135	29	11	4	0%	1.1	21.8%	7.9%	13.9%	3.3%	4.33	4.45	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	56	237	52	18	8	0%	1.0	21.9%	7.6%	14.3%	3.2%	4.25	3.97	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	64	28	0%	1.1	21.9%	7.6%	14.3%	3.2%	4.25	3.97	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		244	3	358	1546	312	142	51	1%	1.5	20.2%	9.2%	11.0%	3.3%	3.95	4.39	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	2	200	864	174	80	29	1%	1.5	20.2%	9.2%	11.0%	3.3%	3.95	4.39	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Higginbotham (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.98	22.4%	6.7%	2.8%	—	4.33	21.9%	14.3%	122	+0.35	—	—	—
Buddy Boshers L 2018 · 3.22 FIP	30	SU	3.22	22.9%	6.6%	2.2%	.314	3.73	25.3%	14.9%	55	+0.51	2.80	223	83
Antonio Bastardo L 2016 · 4.43 FIP	30	SU	4.43	24.9%	9.8%	4.0%	.268	8.05	15.0%	-1.4%	20	+3.62	3.10	145	79
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	78
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	77
Jorge Ibarra L 2017 · 3.09 FIP	29	SU	3.09	19.3%	6.5%	1.4%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	2.55	146	77
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	77
Boone Logan L 2015 · 2.96 FIP	30	SU	2.96	26.2%	9.5%	1.6%	.352	3.05	29.7%	20.6%	78	+0.09	2.58	113	77
Fernando Abad L 2016 · 3.77 FIP	30	SU	3.77	20.7%	10.1%	2.1%	.271	2.95	21.8%	17.1%	88	-0.82	2.37	306	77
Franklin Morales L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	29	SU	3.37	15.9%	5.4%	1.7%	.271	4.02	15.0%	7.0%	39	+0.65	3.37	101	76
Jeremy Bleich L 2017 · 3.20 FIP	30	SU	3.20	17.6%	5.0%	1.7%	.307	3.97	20.2%	13.5%	84	+0.77	3.20	241	76
Brian Moran L 2019 · 3.40 FIP	30	SU	3.40	26.9%	10.0%	2.4%	.269	2.99	25.5%	18.5%	99	-0.41	1.80	421	76
Daniel Rodriguez L 2015 · 2.89 FIP	30	SU	2.89	20.2%	9.4%	0.6%	.256	4.17	16.3%	5.9%	234	+1.28	2.89	391	75
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	75
Manny Parra L 2015 · 2.88 FIP	32	SU	2.88	17.7%	3.8%	1.4%	.300	3.33	18.4%	8.1%	55	+0.45	2.43	114	74
Heriberto Ruelas L 2015 · 2.95 FIP	33	SU	2.95	19.1%	7.3%	1.0%	.352	3.57	16.2%	8.5%	89	+0.62	2.95	117	74
Tony Sipp L 2015 · 2.80 FIP	32	SU	2.80	28.7%	6.5%	2.4%	.267	4.45	23.8%	15.0%	120	+1.65	2.22	195	74
David Huff L 2015 · 3.40 FIP	30	SW	3.40	17.1%	3.8%	2.3%	.271	4.06	19.5%	14.6%	52	+0.66	3.40	158	74
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	74
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	74
Zach Phillips L 2017 · 2.85 FIP	30	SU	2.85	19.2%	8.6%	0.5%	.301	3.67	19.1%	10.6%	36	+0.82	2.33	202	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	22.1%	7.3%	1.18	4.14
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19