Victor Cabreja
P
Greensboro Grasshoppers
Age 24
LHP
6'3" / 180 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126135vR 145
ERA5.60
FIP5.60
K%10.0%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%-1.3%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 120 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 14 | 6 | 35 | 144 | 36 | 15 | 1 | 43% | 2.5 | 17.0% | 13.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 4.67 | 3.75 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 14 | 6 | 35 | 144 | 36 | 15 | 1 | 43% | 2.5 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 0.7% | 4.67 | 2.70 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 13 | 4 | 35 | 138 | 32 | 16 | 1 | 31% | 2.7 | 15.8% | 14.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.34 | 4.20 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 13 | 4 | 35 | 138 | 32 | 16 | 1 | 31% | 2.7 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.7% | 2.34 | 3.01 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 12 | 0 | 20 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 12.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.43 | 5.79 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 12 | 0 | 20 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.6% | 4.4% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 4.43 | 4.03 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 15 | 100 | 401 | 51 | 29 | 6 | 62% | 4.2 | 9.3% | 8.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.89 | 4.33 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 15 | 100 | 401 | 51 | 29 | 6 | 62% | 4.2 | 12.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 2.89 | 3.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 22 | 4 | 53 | 242 | 44 | 27 | 11 | 18% | 2.4 | 14.0% | 12.8% | 1.2% | 5.7% | 6.84 | 6.66 | -1.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 28 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.0% | 11.3% | -1.3% | 2.8% | 5.60 | 5.60 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.0% | 11.3% | -1.3% | 2.8% | 5.60 | 5.60 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 120 | 526 | 72 | 59 | 19 | — | — | 13.8% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.14 | 6.07 | -0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 10.0% | 11.3% | -1.3% | 2.8% | 5.60 | 5.22 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 37 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.9% | 10.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.38 | 5.31 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 42 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.21 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.9% | 10.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.38 | 5.31 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 28 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.21 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 75 | 316 | 44 | 34 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.28 | 4.84 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 118 | 91 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.28 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 29 | 242 | 1016 | 128 | 109 | 28 | 34% | 2.8 | 12.6% | 10.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.05 | 4.91 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 24 | 200 | 840 | 106 | 90 | 23 | 34% | 2.8 | 12.6% | 10.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.05 | 4.91 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Victor Cabreja (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.60 | 10.0% | 11.3% | 2.8% | — | 5.23 | 13.8% | 2.9% | 136 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Drake Britton L 2028 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.82 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 2.6% | .268 | 4.93 | 8.0% | -2.2% | 41 | +0.11 | 4.82 | 125 | 87 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 79 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2028 · 4.44 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.44 | 12.5% | 11.5% | 1.7% | .258 | 4.48 | 12.6% | 4.6% | 144 | +0.04 | 4.44 | 188 | 75 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.77 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.67 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 179 | -0.10 | 4.57 | 242 | 74 |
| Hayden Frank L 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.29 | 17.2% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.29 | 109 | 74 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 72 |
| Seth Lonsway L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.11 | 13.8% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .317 | 3.99 | 16.0% | 5.0% | 272 | -1.12 | 3.33 | 457 | 72 |
| Luis Moncada L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.94 | 13.2% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 296 | 71 |
| Kenny Hernandez L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.97 | 15.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .332 | 3.93 | 16.5% | 5.8% | 74 | -1.04 | 3.20 | 424 | 70 |
| Helmis Rodriguez L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.60 | 11.0% | 12.3% | 1.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 336 | 70 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 3.54 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 62 | -1.69 | 3.54 | 186 | 70 |
| Elniery García L 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 11.4% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 325 | 70 |
| Nestor Bautista L 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.54 | 6.9% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.36 | 21.7% | 17.6% | 92 | -2.18 | 1.76 | 108 | 70 |
| Jackson Stoeckinger L 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.62 | 13.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 184 | 69 |
| Jeff Malm L 2026 · 6.46 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.46 | 12.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | .339 | 3.12 | 22.0% | 14.8% | 48 | -3.34 | 3.12 | 101 | 69 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.99 | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .243 | 5.79 | 16.6% | 5.7% | 210 | +0.80 | 3.58 | 371 | 69 |
| Michael Velasquez L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.26 | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 201 | 69 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2029 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.75 | 3.04 | 120 | 68 |
| Colin Rodgers L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.49 | 16.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 313 | 68 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 12.5% | 11.0% | 1.09 | 5.40 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |