Caden Monke
P
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 26
LHP
6'3" / 170 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137146vR 155
ERA6.10
FIP6.10
K%18.7%
BB%20.8%
K-BB%-2.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 0 | 14 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.9% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 1.8% | 1.32 | 3.10 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 0 | 14 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.9% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 1.8% | 1.32 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 30 | 1 | 67 | 306 | 75 | 34 | 11 | 3% | 2.2 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.04 | 5.38 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 30 | 1 | 67 | 306 | 75 | 34 | 11 | 3% | 2.2 | 24.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 6.04 | 4.52 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.7% | 20.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 3.38 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.7% | 20.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 3.40 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 54 | 269 | 63 | 46 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 19.3% | -0.4% | 2.4% | 6.96 | 5.28 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 54 | 269 | 63 | 46 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.4% | 17.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 6.96 | 4.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 24 | 0 | 34 | 154 | 47 | 30 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.7% | 21.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 4.28 | 3.73 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 55 | 61 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 20.8% | -2.0% | 2.9% | 6.10 | 6.10 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 20.8% | -2.0% | 2.9% | 6.10 | 6.10 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 104 | 450 | 102 | 91 | 8 | — | — | 22.8% | 20.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 5.51 | 5.33 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.7% | 20.8% | -2.0% | 2.9% | 6.10 | 5.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 56 | 57 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 19.7% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 5.94 | 5.96 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 55 | 54 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 19.0% | 0.4% | 3.0% | 5.88 | 5.92 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 21 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 19.7% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 5.94 | 5.96 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 33 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 19.0% | 0.4% | 3.0% | 5.88 | 5.92 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 55 | 55 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 19.3% | -0.0% | 3.0% | 5.91 | 5.56 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 164 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 19.3% | -0.0% | 3.0% | 5.91 | 5.56 | -0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 114 | 1 | 172 | 799 | 168 | 134 | 20 | 1% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 16.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 5.55 | 4.83 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 133 | 1 | 200 | 929 | 195 | 156 | 23 | 1% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 16.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 5.55 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Caden Monke (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.10 | 18.7% | 20.8% | 2.9% | — | 5.94 | 19.3% | -0.1% | 136 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 91 |
| Brian Marconi L 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.96 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 101 | 83 |
| Dale Stanavich L 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 4.0% | .254 | 5.12 | 24.8% | 13.6% | 23 | -0.62 | 3.14 | 167 | 82 |
| C.J. Widger L 2026 · 6.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.20 | 18.5% | 18.8% | 4.1% | .278 | 5.25 | 17.5% | -1.3% | 22 | -0.95 | 3.71 | 105 | 82 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 2.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 136 | 81 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 80 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2025 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.23 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 2.9% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 161 | 80 |
| Davis Schwab L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 20.3% | 18.7% | 3.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 114 | 78 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.63 | 22.7% | 20.5% | 3.4% | .293 | 8.93 | 19.2% | 3.7% | 31 | +3.30 | 3.86 | 189 | 78 |
| John Kilichowski L 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 77 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 77 |
| Randy Labaut L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.91 | 17.1% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .244 | 5.21 | 18.7% | 4.4% | 98 | +0.30 | 1.91 | 302 | 76 |
| Gil Luna L 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.82 | 20.6% | 28.0% | 1.7% | .237 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 113 | 76 |
| Jared Beck L 2026 · 7.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 7.12 | 16.8% | 35.4% | 1.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 158 | 76 |
| Yoan Aybar L 2025 · 5.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.64 | 20.9% | 19.7% | 3.3% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 166 | 75 |
| Will Lamb L 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 74 |
| Cam Booser L 2024 · 6.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.73 | 19.8% | 28.0% | 3.2% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 290 | 73 |
| Trevor Seidenberger L 2024 · 6.50 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.50 | 13.1% | 14.9% | 4.8% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 101 | 73 |
| Cody Beckman L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.42 | 19.3% | 14.9% | 3.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 189 | 73 |
| Eric Torres L 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.68 | 21.6% | 19.9% | 3.4% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 155 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 19.1% | 19.8% | 1.14 | 5.97 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |