Caden Monke — OGILVIE

Caden Monke P Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 26 LHP 6'3" / 170 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134143vR 151

ERA6.19

FIP6.19

K%18.7%

BB%21.3%

K-BB%-2.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	0	14	55	17	7	1	0%	1.2	30.9%	12.7%	18.2%	1.8%	1.32	3.10	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	11	0	14	55	17	7	1	0%	1.2	30.9%	12.7%	18.2%	1.8%	1.32	3.10	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	30	1	67	306	75	34	11	3%	2.2	18.9%	12.8%	6.1%	4.3%	6.04	5.48	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	30	1	67	306	75	34	11	3%	2.2	24.5%	11.1%	13.4%	3.6%	6.04	4.52	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	3	0	3	15	4	3	0	0%	1.1	26.7%	20.0%	6.7%	0.0%	2.70	3.38	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	3	0	3	15	4	3	0	0%	1.1	26.7%	20.0%	6.7%	0.0%	2.70	3.38	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	3	0	3	15	4	3	0	0%	1.1	26.7%	20.0%	6.7%	0.0%	2.70	3.40	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	54	269	63	46	6	0%	1.2	19.0%	19.3%	-0.4%	2.6%	6.96	5.38	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	54	269	63	46	6	0%	1.2	19.0%	19.3%	-0.4%	2.6%	6.96	5.38	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	54	269	63	46	6	0%	1.2	23.4%	17.1%	6.3%	2.2%	6.96	4.76	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	36	0	45	222	61	46	1	0%	1.3	22.3%	22.8%	-0.5%	0.5%	5.96	4.40	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	36	0	45	222	61	46	1	0%	1.3	22.3%	22.8%	-0.5%	0.5%	5.96	4.40	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	KC	36	0	45	222	61	46	1	0%	1.3	27.5%	20.7%	6.8%	0.5%	5.96	3.65	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	KC	6	0	6	25	5	5	1	0%	1.0	18.7%	21.3%	-2.5%	2.9%	6.19	6.19	-0.1
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	KC	—	—	51	247	66	51	2	—	—	26.6%	20.8%	5.8%	0.7%	5.98	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	KC	66	0	69	291	56	59	9	0%	1.0	19.2%	20.1%	-1.0%	3.0%	6.02	6.04	-1.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	KC	64	0	67	282	55	55	9	0%	1.0	19.4%	19.5%	-0.1%	3.1%	5.95	5.99	-1.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	KC	61	0	64	270	52	52	9	0%	1.0	19.3%	19.2%	0.2%	3.2%	5.97	6.04	-1.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	KC	25	0	26	110	21	22	3	0%	1.0	19.2%	20.1%	-1.0%	3.0%	6.02	6.04	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	KC	38	0	40	169	33	33	5	0%	1.1	19.4%	19.5%	-0.1%	3.1%	5.95	5.99	-0.6
2029	29	MLB CTX	KC	43	0	45	190	37	36	6	0%	1.0	19.3%	19.2%	0.2%	3.2%	5.97	6.04	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	469	91	91	15	0%	1.0	19.3%	19.5%	-0.2%	3.1%	5.97	5.64	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	164	27	0%	1.1	19.3%	19.5%	-0.2%	3.1%	5.97	5.64	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		126	1	184	867	179	152	22	1%	1.5	20.7%	17.5%	3.2%	2.6%	5.88	4.99	-3.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	1	200	944	195	165	24	1%	1.5	20.7%	17.5%	3.2%	2.6%	5.88	4.99	-3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Caden Monke (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.19	18.7%	21.3%	2.9%	—	6.02	19.3%	-0.3%	200	-0.17	—	—	—
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	91
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	83
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	82
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	80
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	80
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	78
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	77
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	77
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	76
Trevor Seidenberger L 2016 · 6.29 FIP	24	SU	6.29	13.1%	14.9%	4.4%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	101	75
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	75
Yoan Aybar L 2022 · 6.04 FIP	25	SU	6.04	20.9%	19.7%	4.0%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	166	74
Cam Booser L 2016 · 6.61 FIP	24	SU	6.61	19.8%	28.0%	3.0%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	309	73
Cody Beckman L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	26	SU	5.27	19.3%	14.9%	3.5%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	189	73
Evan Lee L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	26	SU	5.38	17.2%	25.3%	0.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	129	72
Houston Harding L 2023 · 5.74 FIP	25	SU	5.74	17.9%	15.0%	4.1%	.307	4.83	14.4%	3.1%	142	-0.91	3.41	239	72
Estevan Gonzalez L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SU	5.21	12.1%	13.3%	2.6%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	195	72
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	72
Dante Biasi L 2023 · 6.65 FIP	25	SU	6.65	20.1%	18.4%	5.3%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	4.91	224	72
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	19.2%	20.0%	1.17	6.03
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99