Caden Monke
P
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
+0.0
WAR
Age 26
LHP
6'3" / 170 lbs
AA
ERA5.00
FIP5.00
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.5%
BB%13.8%
K-BB%7.7%
IP51
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL2020
CMD3030
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 11 | 0 | 14 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | 1.32 | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 30 | 1 | 67 | 306 | 75 | 34 | 11 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 4.3% | 6.04 | 5.47 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.70 | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 46 | 0 | 54 | 269 | 63 | 46 | 6 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 2.6% | 6.96 | 5.37 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 3 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 45 | 36 | 6 | 20.9% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 57 | 238 | 54 | 39 | 6 | 22.6% | 16.5% | 2.6% | 5.18 | 4.87 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 45 | 34 | 6 | 21.2% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 5.34 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 45 | 33 | 6 | 21.3% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 5.28 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | KC | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 44 | 32 | 6 | 21.3% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 5.27 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | KC | 47 | — | 47 | 199 | 42 | 31 | 6 | 21.1% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 5.29 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | KC | 46 | — | 46 | 192 | 40 | 30 | 6 | 20.9% | 15.5% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 5.40 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | KC | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 38 | 29 | 6 | 20.6% | 15.6% | 3.2% | 5.44 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | KC | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 36 | 28 | 6 | 20.3% | 15.8% | 3.3% | 5.53 | 5.58 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | KC | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 19.9% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 5.63 | 5.69 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | KC | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 31 | 26 | 6 | 19.5% | 16.2% | 3.5% | 5.74 | 5.81 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | KC | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 28 | 24 | 5 | 19.1% | 16.5% | 3.6% | 5.87 | 5.95 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 93 | 1 | 144 | 668 | 139 | 104 | 21 | 20.8% | 15.6% | 3.2% | 5.74 | 5.05 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 129 | 1 | 200 | 926 | 193 | 144 | 29 | 20.8% | 15.6% | 3.2% | 5.74 | 5.05 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Caden Monke (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.44 | 20.9% | 16.9% | 2.9% | — | 5.31 | 21.2% | 5.5% | 149 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Dale Stanavich L 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.63 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 3.8% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 144 | 87 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.28 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.54 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.74 | 3.00 | 226 | 85 |
| Nick Lee L 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.02 | 19.0% | 19.7% | 1.9% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 102 | 85 |
| Brian Marconi L 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.03 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.5% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 101 | 85 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.30 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.18 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.12 | 3.42 | 154 | 83 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.58 | 19.4% | 15.5% | 2.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 264 | 83 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.73 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 212 | 83 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.06 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 2.1% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 136 | 82 |
| Sean Keselica L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 1.9% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 235 | 82 |
| Jake Rice L 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.38 | 23.4% | 18.1% | 1.8% | .305 | 4.99 | 19.2% | 3.1% | 103 | +0.61 | 3.14 | 199 | 82 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 82 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 81 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2025 · 5.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 161 | 81 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.89 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 146 | 80 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2025 · 5.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.77 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.1% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 107 | 79 |
| Joseph Menefee L 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 23.3% | 17.4% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 134 | 79 |
| Will Lamb L 2026 · 5.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.75 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 178 | 78 |
| Noah Dean L 2024 · 5.60 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.60 | 21.1% | 18.6% | 3.5% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 206 | 78 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.54 | 19.0% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.35 | 17.2% | 1.8% | 74 | -0.19 | 3.66 | 330 | 78 |
| Justin Wright L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.43 | 14.7% | 13.7% | 1.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.28 | 109 | 77 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.