Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 16 | 1 | 26 | 117 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 6% | 1.6 | 16.3% | 15.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 3.12 | 3.62 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 16 | 1 | 26 | 117 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 6% | 1.6 | 23.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 3.12 | 2.56 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 41 | 0 | 55 | 236 | 41 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.1% | 13.1% | 1.0% | 5.3% | 6.38 | 6.45 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 41 | 0 | 55 | 236 | 41 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.4% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 6.38 | 4.79 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 28 | 0 | 32 | 152 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 13.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.26 | 6.27 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 28 | 0 | 32 | 152 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 4.26 | 4.43 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 40 | 0 | 42 | 196 | 48 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 18.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 4.71 | 4.44 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 40 | 0 | 42 | 196 | 48 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 1.0% | 4.71 | 3.72 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 2 | 32 | 163 | 24 | 32 | 2 | 8% | 1.2 | 12.1% | 21.0% | -8.8% | 1.5% | 8.35 | 5.56 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 2 | 32 | 163 | 24 | 32 | 2 | 8% | 1.2 | 14.7% | 19.6% | -4.9% | 1.2% | 8.35 | 5.39 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 0 | 20 | 85 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 4.91 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 4.67 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 96 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 151 | 3 | 187 | 864 | 137 | 138 | 26 | 2% | 1.2 | 15.8% | 15.9% | -0.1% | 3.0% | 5.53 | 5.41 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 161 | 3 | 200 | 924 | 146 | 147 | 27 | 2% | 1.2 | 15.8% | 15.9% | -0.1% | 3.0% | 5.53 | 5.41 | -0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Austin Briggs (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.91 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 2.8% | — | 5.05 | 20.4% | 7.5% | 20 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 81 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.24 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.47 | 3.77 | 127 | 81 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 81 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 80 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.02 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .303 | 3.36 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.66 | 3.36 | 113 | 78 |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.88 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 1.7% | .234 | 3.56 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 99 | -0.32 | 1.59 | 309 | 78 |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 78 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 77 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.93 | 17.1% | 15.7% | 4.2% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 153 | 75 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 74 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 74 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 74 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 74 |
| Adam Loewen L 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 73 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 73 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .230 | 4.72 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 35 | +0.64 | 3.58 | 127 | 73 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 72 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .304 | 5.19 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +0.67 | 2.68 | 256 | 72 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.22 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 269 | 72 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 71 |