Scott Alexander
P
San Francisco Giants
Age 37
LHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116125vR 134
ERA4.78
FIP5.12
K%14.5%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%6.3%
ROS IP53
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.3
Whiff%
p1018.6%
K%
p109.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.437
SI (65%)
CH (14%)
SL-2.3 (21%)
FB-5.7 (65%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 69 | 275 | 53 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.6% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 1.7% | 2.73 | 3.38 | +1.1 |
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 69 | 275 | 53 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.3% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 1.8% | 2.73 | 3.33 | +1.1 |
| 2016 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 2 | 56 | 248 | 52 | 18 | 3 | 5% | 1.3 | 17.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 3.36 | 3.39 | +0.8 |
| 2016 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 2 | 56 | 248 | 52 | 18 | 3 | 5% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 1.2% | 3.36 | 2.90 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 77 | 317 | 63 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 1.1% | 2.70 | 3.22 | +1.5 |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 77 | 317 | 63 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 1.3% | 2.70 | 3.35 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 77 | 1 | 70 | 285 | 61 | 26 | 4 | 1% | 0.9 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 1.6% | 3.47 | 3.38 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 77 | 1 | 70 | 285 | 61 | 26 | 4 | 1% | 0.9 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 1.4% | 3.47 | 3.21 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 28 | 0 | 17 | 76 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.6 | 11.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.63 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 28 | 0 | 17 | 76 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.6 | 11.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.63 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 13 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.3% | 15.4% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.92 | 5.82 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 13 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.3% | 15.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.92 | 5.69 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 11.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 2.57 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.9% | 3.4% | 11.5% | 2.3% | 2.57 | 3.53 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 4 levels | 30 | 5 | 31 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 17% | 1.0 | 15.9% | 1.6% | 14.3% | 1.7% | 0.87 | 2.91 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 4 levels | 30 | 5 | 31 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 17% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 4.4% | 15.8% | 0.9% | 0.87 | 2.52 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 8 | 49 | 212 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 14% | 0.9 | 14.9% | 3.8% | 11.1% | 1.0% | 4.56 | 2.90 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 8 | 49 | 212 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 14% | 0.9 | 15.1% | 4.2% | 10.8% | 0.9% | 4.56 | 2.88 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 35 | MIX | 3 levels | 51 | 1 | 43 | 184 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 2% | 0.8 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 14.4% | 2.0% | 3.32 | 3.17 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 35 | MIX | 3 levels | 51 | 1 | 43 | 184 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 2% | 0.8 | 21.2% | 4.9% | 16.3% | 1.6% | 3.32 | 2.82 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 23 | 112 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 0.8 | 9.9% | 11.1% | -1.2% | 6.7% | 7.83 | 7.36 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 23 | 112 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 0.8 | 9.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 7.83 | 6.97 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | SF | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 32 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | SF | 43 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.25 | 5.56 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | SF | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.69 | 5.99 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | SF | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.25 | 5.56 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | SF | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.69 | 5.99 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 413 | 13 | 394 | 1650 | 276 | 131 | 36 | 3% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 3.71 | 3.90 | +6.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 210 | 7 | 200 | 838 | 140 | 66 | 18 | 3% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 3.71 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 461 | 17 | 470 | 1962 | 342 | 144 | 39 | 4% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 2.0% | 3.32 | 3.64 | +9.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 7 | 200 | 835 | 146 | 61 | 16 | 4% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 2.0% | 3.32 | 3.64 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Scott Alexander (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 14.5% | 8.2% | 3.3% | — | 5.76 | 12.8% | 3.6% | 84 | +0.64 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 405 | 77 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.02 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .400 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 159 | 66 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 39 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 38 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 38 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 37 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.16 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.16 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 113 | 37 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 36 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 37 | SU | 4.04 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .289 | 4.08 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.04 | 3.51 | 219 | 36 |
| Oscar Villarreal R 2024 · 5.28 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.28 | 8.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.54 | 135 | 35 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2024 · 6.00 FIP | 35 | SU | 6.00 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | .385 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.68 | 150 | 35 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 35 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 34 |
| Seunghwan Oh R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.30 | 18.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | .383 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.81 | 226 | 34 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.24 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 326 | 34 |
| Joe Blanton R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.94 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 240 | 32 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2025 · 5.07 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.07 | 17.5% | 12.7% | 3.3% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 132 | 31 |
| Edinson Volquez R 2025 · 6.14 FIP | 36 | SW | 6.14 | 13.3% | 16.0% | 3.9% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 498 | 22 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.02 | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 394 | 21 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 46 | 13.5% | 8.8% | 1.45 | 5.19 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |