Scott Alexander
P
San Francisco Giants
+0.0
WAR
Age 37
LHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
MLB
ERA4.51
FIP4.74
xFIP5.67
SIERA5.52
K%18.0%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%10.0%
IP19
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†4040
FB Velo
p1091.3
Whiff%
p1018.6%
K%
p109.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.437
SI (65%)
CH (14%)
SL-2.3 (21%)
FB-5.7 (65%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 45 | 0 | 69 | 275 | 53 | 19 | 5 | 17.6% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 2.73 | 3.50 | +1.2 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 44 | 2 | 56 | 248 | 52 | 18 | 3 | 17.3% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 3.36 | 3.43 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 65 | 0 | 77 | 317 | 63 | 31 | 4 | 20.8% | 9.9% | 1.1% | 2.70 | 3.19 | +1.7 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 77 | 1 | 70 | 285 | 61 | 26 | 4 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 1.4% | 3.47 | 3.29 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 28 | 0 | 17 | 76 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 11.8% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 3.63 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 13 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 17.3% | 15.4% | 3.6% | 2.92 | 5.57 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 24 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 11.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.57 | 4.02 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 30 | 5 | 31 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 15.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.87 | 2.82 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 56 | 8 | 49 | 212 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 14.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 4.56 | 2.84 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 51 | 1 | 43 | 184 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 3.32 | 3.16 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 28 | 0 | 23 | 112 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 9.9% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 7.83 | 7.09 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | SF | 19 | — | 19 | 81 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 16.3% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | SF | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 15.5% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 461 | 17 | 470 | 1962 | 342 | 144 | 37 | 17.4% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 3.32 | 3.58 | +9.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 7 | 200 | 835 | 146 | 61 | 16 | 17.4% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 3.32 | 3.58 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Scott Alexander (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.96 | 16.3% | 8.5% | 3.3% | — | 5.15 | 15.5% | 6.7% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.12 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 405 | 77 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.42 | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 138 | 71 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.15 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 3.0% | .400 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 159 | 67 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.57 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 395 | 66 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.57 | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 237 | 65 |
| J.A. Happ L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.92 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | .221 | 5.14 | 18.2% | 11.0% | 152 | +1.22 | 3.20 | 1,053 | 65 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.06 | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | .306 | 4.64 | 5.7% | -0.3% | 35 | +0.58 | 3.35 | 199 | 61 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 43 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 42 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 42 |
| Chris Narveson L 2024 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.63 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 249 | 40 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.45 | 12.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 445 | 39 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 39 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 38 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 37 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 37 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 37 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.24 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 113 | 37 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.87 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .289 | 4.16 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.29 | 3.50 | 219 | 37 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2024 · 5.83 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.83 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | .385 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 150 | 36 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.