Deyer Zapata — OGILVIE

Deyer Zapata P Visalia Rawhide

Age 22 LHP 6'0" / 150 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 126

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%20.4%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%8.7%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	16	6	36	152	35	14	1	38%	2.3	15.7%	11.5%	4.1%	1.0%	3.22	3.78	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	16	6	36	152	35	14	1	38%	2.3	23.0%	9.2%	13.8%	0.7%	3.22	2.69	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	12	10	44	184	51	21	2	83%	3.7	18.8%	14.3%	4.6%	1.7%	2.44	4.25	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Black	12	10	44	184	51	21	2	83%	3.7	27.7%	11.4%	16.3%	1.1%	2.44	2.81	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	15	0	35	155	41	19	4	0%	2.3	18.0%	15.3%	2.7%	4.1%	3.89	5.79	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	15	0	35	155	41	19	4	0%	2.3	18.0%	15.3%	2.7%	4.1%	3.89	5.79	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	15	0	35	155	41	19	4	0%	2.3	26.5%	12.3%	14.2%	2.6%	3.89	3.88	—
2025	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	6	0	15	64	14	5	1	0%	2.5	16.2%	9.2%	7.0%	1.6%	1.20	3.77	—
2025	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	6	0	15	64	14	5	1	0%	2.5	16.2%	9.2%	7.0%	1.6%	1.20	3.77	—
2025	21	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	6	0	15	64	14	5	1	0%	2.5	21.9%	7.8%	14.1%	1.6%	1.20	3.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	ARI	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	20.4%	11.7%	8.7%	3.0%	4.87	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	31	0	32	137	29	15	4	0%	1.0	21.5%	10.6%	10.9%	2.9%	4.70	4.62	-0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	15	0	16	68	15	7	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.6%	10.9%	2.9%	4.70	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	14	7	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.6%	10.9%	2.9%	4.70	4.24	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	88	25	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.6%	10.9%	2.9%	4.70	4.24	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		49	16	130	555	97	73	12	33%	2.7	17.4%	13.2%	4.2%	2.2%	2.90	4.49	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	25	200	852	148	113	18	33%	2.7	17.4%	13.2%	4.2%	2.2%	2.90	4.49	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deyer Zapata (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	20.4%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.62	21.5%	10.9%	32	-0.25	—	—	—
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	86
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	82
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	80
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.29	32.8%	19.4%	102	-1.28	3.04	255	78
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	78
Juliandry Higuera L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	20.0%	9.4%	2.3%	.358	4.64	13.8%	-0.3%	43	+0.77	3.87	197	77
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	76
Chase Watkins L 2022 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.346	4.34	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.30	232	76
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	76
Jack Patterson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	.299	3.10	19.4%	7.9%	80	-1.62	3.10	127	75
Joey Marciano L 2017 · 3.97 FIP	22	SW	3.97	15.1%	11.8%	1.2%	.266	4.99	16.3%	6.1%	153	+1.02	3.65	330	75
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.30	335	75
Josh Hendrickson L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	21	SW	3.80	21.8%	6.7%	3.1%	.250	4.67	19.3%	10.9%	110	+0.87	3.80	365	74
Matt Walker L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	16.7%	13.3%	1.5%	.324	4.62	15.5%	4.0%	94	+0.41	4.21	156	74
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.80	17.3%	7.9%	201	-0.84	2.95	245	74
Jack O'Loughlin L 2022 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	17.0%	13.7%	2.6%	.269	4.81	17.0%	6.8%	239	-0.02	3.78	348	74
Andre Wheeler L 2015 · 3.82 FIP	23	SW	3.82	16.8%	11.5%	1.2%	.321	5.17	16.5%	4.4%	87	+1.35	3.82	150	73
Estevan Gonzalez L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	23	SW	4.77	14.1%	10.7%	2.8%	.322	4.86	14.7%	0.1%	130	+0.09	4.58	195	73
Shane McCain L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.8%	9.7%	3.0%	.324	4.75	16.6%	10.0%	125	+0.41	4.34	201	73
Cameron Ming L 2018 · 3.80 FIP	22	SU	3.80	17.7%	7.1%	2.4%	.308	5.54	14.3%	4.9%	49	+1.74	3.80	111	72