Frank Mozzicato
P
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 23
LHP
6'3" / 175 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141150vR 159
ERA6.27
FIP6.27
K%16.3%
BB%19.5%
K-BB%-3.3%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 113 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 19 | 19 | 69 | 306 | 89 | 51 | 6 | 100% | 3.6 | 21.5% | 19.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.30 | 4.87 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 19 | 19 | 69 | 306 | 89 | 51 | 6 | 100% | 3.6 | 29.1% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 2.0% | 4.30 | 3.87 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 93 | 413 | 130 | 67 | 12 | 100% | 4.4 | 23.6% | 18.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.65 | 5.32 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 93 | 413 | 130 | 67 | 12 | 100% | 4.4 | 31.5% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 2.9% | 4.65 | 4.14 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 22 | 22 | 102 | 427 | 91 | 62 | 9 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.4% | 16.7% | -0.3% | 2.9% | 3.45 | 5.41 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 22 | 22 | 102 | 427 | 91 | 62 | 9 | 100% | 4.6 | 21.3% | 14.5% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 3.45 | 4.29 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 20 | 93 | 419 | 85 | 75 | 12 | 83% | 3.9 | 16.1% | 20.0% | -3.9% | 3.1% | 5.03 | 5.97 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 20 | 93 | 419 | 85 | 75 | 12 | 83% | 3.9 | 20.3% | 17.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 5.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 20 | 11 | 48 | 246 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 55% | 2.4 | 19.4% | 21.0% | -1.6% | 5.9% | 8.75 | 7.33 | -1.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 44 | 53 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.3% | 19.5% | -3.3% | 3.1% | 6.27 | 6.27 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | KC | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 19.5% | -3.3% | 3.1% | 6.27 | 6.27 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | KC | — | — | 113 | 520 | 103 | 100 | 20 | — | — | 19.9% | 19.3% | 0.6% | 3.9% | 7.33 | 6.72 | -1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | KC | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 16.3% | 19.5% | -3.3% | 3.1% | 6.27 | 5.89 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | KC | 22 | 22 | 125 | 527 | 95 | 87 | 16 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.1% | 16.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.85 | 5.71 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | KC | 22 | 22 | 126 | 533 | 103 | 78 | 16 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.3% | 14.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.51 | 5.36 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | KC | 21 | 21 | 126 | 533 | 106 | 76 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.9% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 5.34 | 5.26 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | KC | 21 | 21 | 124 | 525 | 105 | 74 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 5.29 | 5.27 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | KC | 20 | 20 | 121 | 510 | 101 | 73 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.8% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.33 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | KC | 10 | 10 | 55 | 232 | 42 | 38 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 18.1% | 16.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.85 | 5.71 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | KC | 14 | 14 | 84 | 355 | 68 | 52 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.3% | 14.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.51 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | KC | 17 | 17 | 100 | 422 | 84 | 60 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.9% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 5.34 | 5.26 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | KC | 18 | 18 | 106 | 448 | 89 | 63 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 5.29 | 5.27 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | KC | 18 | 18 | 108 | 456 | 90 | 65 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.8% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.33 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 77 | 77 | 455 | 1920 | 375 | 280 | 59 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.42 | 4.98 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 165 | 123 | 26 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.42 | 4.98 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 93 | 405 | 1811 | 349 | 345 | 59 | 88% | 3.8 | 19.3% | 19.0% | 0.2% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 5.69 | -1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 46 | 200 | 894 | 172 | 170 | 29 | 88% | 3.8 | 19.3% | 19.0% | 0.2% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 5.69 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Frank Mozzicato (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.27 | 16.3% | 19.5% | 3.1% | — | 5.44 | 19.1% | 4.0% | 377 | -0.83 | — | — | — |
| Doug Nikhazy L 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.61 | 21.9% | 16.9% | 4.0% | .304 | 4.79 | 20.5% | 8.0% | 253 | -0.82 | 4.20 | 458 | 76 |
| Brett Adcock L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.22 | 17.4% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 301 | 73 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2024 · 5.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.86 | 13.6% | 16.7% | 3.3% | .209 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 128 | 72 |
| Cole Kirschsieper L 2025 · 5.23 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.23 | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.23 | 105 | 71 |
| Jhordany Mezquita L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.15 | 17.8% | 15.5% | 2.9% | .321 | 5.54 | 22.4% | 14.0% | 14 | +0.39 | 3.02 | 223 | 70 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2025 · 5.24 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.24 | 17.5% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .264 | 5.72 | 11.5% | -8.3% | 43 | +0.48 | 4.55 | 218 | 69 |
| John Doxakis L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.16 | 18.2% | 11.9% | 3.8% | .252 | 4.74 | 17.9% | 3.8% | 113 | -0.42 | 3.21 | 332 | 69 |
| Luis De La Torre L 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.47 | 22.7% | 20.1% | 3.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 173 | 67 |
| Matt Imhof L 2025 · 5.73 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.73 | 15.9% | 21.3% | 2.3% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.99 | 131 | 67 |
| Gabriel Cotto L 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.43 | 13.9% | 13.5% | 3.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.02 | 236 | 67 |
| Jaylen Nowlin L 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.61 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 4.5% | .299 | 5.08 | 20.4% | 2.2% | 85 | -0.53 | 3.48 | 357 | 67 |
| Gabriel Noguera L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 3.5% | .310 | 7.74 | 19.1% | -8.6% | 27 | +2.40 | 4.41 | 174 | 65 |
| Joel Valdez L 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.72 | 17.1% | 17.4% | 3.4% | .266 | 3.43 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 116 | -2.29 | 2.84 | 324 | 64 |
| Garrett Williams L 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.24 | 14.5% | 16.2% | 2.4% | .335 | 4.43 | 19.3% | 4.5% | 162 | -0.81 | 3.36 | 470 | 64 |
| Jake Zokan L 2027 · 5.12 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.12 | 12.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.80 | 24.2% | 22.5% | 37 | -3.32 | 1.80 | 120 | 64 |
| Bryce Hubbart L 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.10 | 15.5% | 13.8% | 2.8% | .313 | 4.90 | 19.3% | 6.1% | 68 | -0.20 | 4.73 | 181 | 64 |
| John Kilichowski L 2026 · 6.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 6.78 | 14.0% | 16.3% | 5.1% | .377 | 5.26 | 17.6% | 1.4% | 38 | -1.52 | 3.98 | 115 | 64 |
| Eddie Campbell L 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.08 | 13.5% | 10.7% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.37 | 13.7% | -3.8% | 140 | +1.29 | 5.08 | 250 | 64 |
| Zack Thompson L 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 23 | SP | 6.16 | 16.3% | 13.5% | 5.0% | .334 | 4.39 | 23.6% | 10.8% | 296 | -1.77 | 2.03 | 402 | 64 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 124 | 18.9% | 15.5% | 1.19 | 5.60 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |