Frank Mozzicato — OGILVIE

Frank Mozzicato P Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 175 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION72 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137145vR 153

ERA6.30

FIP6.30

K%16.3%

BB%19.6%

K-BB%-3.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4550

CTRL3035

CMD3545

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	19	19	69	306	89	51	6	100%	3.6	21.5%	19.7%	1.9%	2.2%	4.30	5.00	—
2022	19	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	19	19	69	306	89	51	6	100%	3.6	29.1%	16.7%	12.4%	2.0%	4.30	3.87	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	93	413	130	67	12	100%	4.4	23.6%	18.9%	4.7%	3.5%	4.65	5.42	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	93	413	130	67	12	100%	4.4	23.6%	18.9%	4.7%	3.5%	4.65	5.42	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	93	413	130	67	12	100%	4.4	31.5%	16.2%	15.3%	2.9%	4.65	4.14	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	102	427	91	62	9	100%	4.6	16.4%	16.7%	-0.3%	2.7%	3.45	5.34	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	102	427	91	62	9	100%	4.6	16.4%	16.7%	-0.3%	2.7%	3.45	5.34	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	102	427	91	62	9	100%	4.6	21.3%	14.5%	6.8%	2.1%	3.45	4.29	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	20	93	419	85	75	12	83%	3.9	16.1%	20.0%	-3.9%	3.3%	5.03	6.06	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	20	93	419	85	75	12	83%	3.9	16.1%	20.0%	-3.9%	3.3%	5.03	6.06	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	20	93	419	85	75	12	83%	3.9	20.3%	17.9%	2.4%	2.9%	5.03	5.37	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	37	11	72	353	97	72	14	30%	1.9	22.3%	22.4%	-0.2%	4.8%	8.04	6.67	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	37	11	72	353	97	72	14	30%	1.9	22.3%	22.4%	-0.2%	4.8%	8.04	6.67	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	AA RAW	KC	37	11	72	353	97	72	14	30%	1.9	27.5%	20.4%	7.1%	4.0%	8.04	5.54	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	KC	6	0	6	25	4	5	1	0%	1.0	16.3%	19.6%	-3.3%	3.1%	6.30	6.30	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	KC	—	—	78	378	101	77	15	—	—	26.7%	20.3%	6.4%	3.9%	7.91	6.65	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	KC	22	22	125	527	95	87	16	100%	5.7	18.1%	16.6%	1.6%	3.1%	5.88	5.74	-1.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	KC	22	22	126	533	103	78	16	100%	5.7	19.3%	14.6%	4.6%	3.1%	5.54	5.38	-0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	KC	21	21	126	533	106	76	16	100%	6.0	19.9%	14.2%	5.7%	3.1%	5.36	5.28	-0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	KC	21	21	124	525	105	74	16	100%	5.9	19.9%	14.1%	5.8%	3.1%	5.31	5.29	-0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	KC	20	20	121	510	101	73	16	100%	6.0	19.8%	14.3%	5.5%	3.2%	5.35	5.38	-0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	KC	19	19	115	487	95	71	16	100%	6.1	19.6%	14.5%	5.1%	3.4%	5.44	5.51	-0.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	KC	18	18	108	458	88	68	16	100%	6.0	19.2%	14.8%	4.4%	3.6%	5.59	5.68	-0.9
2027	24	MLB CTX	KC	10	10	55	232	42	38	7	100%	5.5	18.1%	16.6%	1.6%	3.1%	5.88	5.74	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	KC	14	14	84	355	68	52	11	100%	6.0	19.3%	14.6%	4.6%	3.1%	5.54	5.38	-0.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	KC	17	17	100	422	84	60	13	100%	5.9	19.9%	14.2%	5.7%	3.1%	5.36	5.28	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	KC	18	18	106	448	89	63	14	100%	5.9	19.9%	14.1%	5.8%	3.1%	5.31	5.29	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	KC	18	18	108	456	90	65	15	100%	6.0	19.8%	14.3%	5.5%	3.2%	5.35	5.38	-0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	KC	18	18	105	443	87	64	15	100%	5.8	19.6%	14.5%	5.1%	3.4%	5.44	5.51	-0.7
2033	30	MLB CTX	KC	17	17	100	422	81	63	15	100%	5.9	19.2%	14.8%	4.4%	3.6%	5.59	5.68	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		111	111	658	2780	542	406	89	100%	5.9	19.5%	14.6%	4.9%	3.2%	5.46	5.07	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	165	123	27	100%	5.9	19.5%	14.6%	4.9%	3.2%	5.46	5.07	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		123	93	428	1918	379	372	64	76%	3.5	19.8%	19.4%	0.4%	3.3%	4.96	5.71	-5.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	43	200	896	177	174	30	76%	3.5	19.8%	19.4%	0.4%	3.3%	4.96	5.71	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Frank Mozzicato (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.30	16.3%	19.6%	3.1%	—	5.47	19.1%	4.0%	377	-0.83	—	—	—
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2023 · 5.99 FIP	21	SP-	5.99	13.6%	16.7%	3.5%	.209	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	128	71
Noah Dean L 2023 · 5.83 FIP	22	SP-	5.83	21.1%	28.1%	1.7%	.343	5.14	23.3%	4.2%	154	-0.69	4.41	217	71
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	71
Joel Valdez L 2023 · 5.73 FIP	23	SP-	5.73	17.1%	17.4%	3.4%	.266	3.42	22.0%	10.0%	116	-2.31	2.84	324	70
Doug Nikhazy L 2023 · 5.39 FIP	23	SP	5.39	21.9%	16.9%	3.6%	.304	4.73	19.6%	8.6%	256	-0.66	4.16	461	70
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	69
Jhordany Mezquita L 2021 · 5.16 FIP	23	SP-	5.16	17.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.321	5.10	22.4%	14.0%	14	-0.06	3.02	223	69
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	68
Brooks Gosswein L 2022 · 5.13 FIP	23	SP	5.13	14.7%	14.8%	2.5%	.328	5.61	15.2%	-2.7%	66	+0.48	5.13	165	68
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	68
Matt Imhof L 2016 · 5.68 FIP	22	SP-	5.68	15.9%	21.3%	2.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	131	68
Nathan Kirby L 2018 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	17.7%	16.2%	2.7%	.318	3.84	25.3%	8.7%	38	-1.28	3.84	145	65
Gabriel Cotto L 2023 · 5.23 FIP	23	SP-	5.23	13.9%	13.5%	2.9%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	5.02	236	63
Ian Clarkin L 2018 · 5.33 FIP	23	SP-	5.33	9.3%	11.2%	2.9%	.290	6.01	8.1%	-4.9%	82	+0.68	3.79	335	63
John Doxakis L 2022 · 5.12 FIP	23	SP	5.12	18.2%	11.9%	3.8%	.252	4.77	17.6%	4.3%	113	-0.35	3.19	332	61
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	61
Shane Dawson L 2017 · 5.77 FIP	23	SP-	5.77	9.8%	10.3%	4.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	373	60
Develson Aria L 2023 · 6.47 FIP	22	SW	6.47	16.7%	28.6%	2.1%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	137	59
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	59
Steve Hajjar L 2023 · 5.59 FIP	22	SP	5.59	17.4%	23.3%	1.8%	.231	7.00	15.0%	-10.6%	40	+1.41	3.67	141	59

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.8	121	19.0%	15.3%	1.23	5.60
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77