Nate Savino
P
Hillsboro Hops
Age 24
LHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110119vR 128
ERA4.84
FIP4.84
K%19.0%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%6.7%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 18 | 45 | 218 | 51 | 34 | 6 | 90% | 2.3 | 16.8% | 18.8% | -2.0% | 3.0% | 7.15 | 5.70 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 18 | 45 | 218 | 51 | 34 | 6 | 90% | 2.3 | 23.4% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 7.15 | 4.82 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 0 | 73 | 333 | 65 | 43 | 4 | 0% | 2.0 | 15.1% | 14.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 4.93 | 4.14 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 0 | 73 | 333 | 65 | 43 | 4 | 0% | 2.0 | 19.5% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 4.93 | 3.80 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 21 | 0 | 40 | 182 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.9 | 14.0% | 12.9% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 6.81 | 5.47 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ARI | 42 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.0% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 4.84 | 4.84 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 84 | 370 | 66 | 42 | 12 | — | — | 17.8% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 5.77 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.0% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 4.84 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 43 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 4.69 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 43 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 4.61 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 42 | 0 | 44 | 188 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 4.69 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 4.61 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 80 | 0 | 84 | 355 | 73 | 39 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 4.63 | 4.21 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 93 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 4.63 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 78 | 18 | 158 | 733 | 112 | 113 | 16 | 23% | 2.0 | 15.3% | 15.4% | -0.1% | 2.1% | 6.04 | 4.93 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 99 | 23 | 200 | 928 | 142 | 143 | 20 | 23% | 2.0 | 15.3% | 15.4% | -0.1% | 2.1% | 6.04 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nate Savino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.6% | — | 4.60 | 20.5% | 9.4% | 135 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Kelly Secrest L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.46 | 18.6% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.30 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 38 | -1.16 | 3.11 | 151 | 87 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 85 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 85 |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 85 |
| Jose Molina L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 18.6% | 11.8% | 1.3% | .313 | 4.23 | 14.4% | 5.5% | 83 | +0.50 | 3.73 | 144 | 85 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 85 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 84 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.93 | 15.6% | 9.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.15 | 16.3% | 0.5% | 152 | +0.22 | 3.88 | 244 | 84 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 2.2% | .329 | 5.86 | 17.6% | 2.4% | 49 | +1.22 | 4.64 | 107 | 83 |
| Jared Tobey L 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.11 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | .320 | 5.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 73 | +1.86 | 4.11 | 158 | 83 |
| Andre Wheeler L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 17.5% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .347 | 4.73 | 14.4% | 2.4% | 29 | -0.59 | 3.77 | 150 | 83 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.70 | 19.2% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .335 | 4.27 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 80 | +0.57 | 3.54 | 206 | 83 |
| Matt Minnick L 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 83 |
| Cy Nielson L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.57 | 20.9% | 12.7% | 2.9% | .361 | 4.55 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 40 | -0.02 | 3.01 | 201 | 83 |
| Cam Alldred L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.60 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.25 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 132 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 332 | 82 |
| Jake Drehoff L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 18.4% | 12.2% | 2.6% | .325 | 5.16 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 28 | +0.65 | 3.98 | 153 | 82 |
| Colton Johnson L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 82 |
| Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.92 | 19.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | .294 | 3.70 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 63 | -1.22 | 2.65 | 160 | 82 |
| Diego Barrera L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .310 | 4.40 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 70 | +0.74 | 3.62 | 137 | 81 |
| Felix Carvallo L 2024 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.41 | 17.7% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 132 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 45 | 20.1% | 11.4% | 1.01 | 4.68 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |