Mason Green — OGILVIE

Mason Green P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 27 LHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA4.98

FIP4.98

K%19.9%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%6.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	0	5	19	7	1	0	0%	1.2	36.8%	5.3%	31.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.66	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	4	0	5	19	7	1	0	0%	1.2	36.8%	5.3%	31.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.90	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	112	490	106	51	8	100%	5.1	16.2%	12.2%	4.1%	1.7%	4.34	4.22	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	112	490	106	51	8	100%	5.1	21.6%	10.4%	11.2%	1.6%	4.34	3.50	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	26	9	73	331	77	48	8	35%	2.8	17.9%	16.7%	1.2%	2.9%	5.52	5.28	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	26	9	73	331	77	48	8	35%	2.8	17.9%	16.7%	1.2%	2.9%	5.52	5.28	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	26	9	73	331	77	48	8	35%	2.8	23.3%	14.5%	8.8%	2.4%	5.52	4.38	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	17	108	465	112	51	12	71%	4.5	18.7%	12.6%	6.1%	3.1%	3.32	4.80	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	17	108	465	112	51	12	71%	4.5	18.7%	12.6%	6.1%	3.1%	3.32	4.80	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	17	108	465	112	51	12	71%	4.5	24.1%	11.0%	13.1%	2.6%	3.32	3.88	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	8	76	328	80	39	5	21%	1.9	20.6%	12.9%	7.7%	1.2%	3.93	3.68	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	8	76	328	80	39	5	21%	1.9	20.6%	12.9%	7.7%	1.2%	3.93	3.68	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	8	76	328	80	39	5	21%	1.9	24.4%	11.9%	12.5%	1.5%	3.93	3.39	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	45	3	84	398	77	47	6	7%	1.9	16.1%	10.6%	5.4%	1.7%	5.06	4.00	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	45	3	84	398	77	47	6	7%	1.9	16.1%	10.6%	5.4%	1.7%	5.06	4.00	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	COL	45	3	84	398	77	47	6	7%	1.9	19.3%	11.8%	7.5%	1.5%	5.06	3.79	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	COL	6	0	6	27	5	4	1	0%	1.1	19.9%	13.8%	6.1%	2.6%	4.98	4.98	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	90	425	82	51	7	—	—	19.4%	11.9%	7.5%	1.6%	5.05	4.07	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	COL	126	0	132	557	112	74	15	0%	1.0	20.0%	13.3%	6.7%	2.8%	4.96	4.99	-0.6
2028	29	MLB MLE	COL	120	0	126	532	106	70	16	0%	1.1	19.9%	13.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.00	5.07	-0.7
2029	30	MLB MLE	COL	113	0	118	500	98	66	16	0%	1.0	19.7%	13.2%	6.5%	3.1%	5.10	5.20	-0.8
2027	28	MLB CTX	COL	53	0	56	236	47	32	7	0%	1.1	20.0%	13.3%	6.7%	2.8%	4.96	4.99	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	COL	70	0	74	312	62	41	9	0%	1.1	19.9%	13.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.00	5.07	-0.4
2029	30	MLB CTX	COL	79	0	83	350	69	46	11	0%	1.1	19.7%	13.2%	6.5%	3.1%	5.10	5.20	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		204	0	215	906	180	120	27	0%	1.1	19.8%	13.2%	6.7%	3.0%	5.03	4.72	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	168	112	25	0%	1.1	19.8%	13.2%	6.7%	3.0%	5.03	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		160	59	458	2031	364	259	43	37%	2.9	17.9%	12.7%	5.2%	2.1%	4.30	4.36	-2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	26	200	887	159	113	19	37%	2.9	17.9%	12.7%	5.2%	2.1%	4.30	4.36	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mason Green (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	19.9%	13.8%	2.6%	—	5.08	19.9%	6.7%	377	+0.10	—	—	—
Matt Whitehouse L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	27	SW	4.55	17.0%	12.8%	2.3%	.308	4.07	20.1%	9.2%	81	-0.48	3.37	353	71
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	70
Adam Wolf L 2023 · 3.95 FIP	26	SW	3.95	17.2%	11.5%	1.5%	.257	5.00	15.2%	6.5%	24	+1.05	3.91	383	70
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	69
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	69
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	67
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	66
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	66
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	66
Alec Gamboa L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	19.1%	14.4%	1.7%	.244	3.77	15.6%	7.6%	172	-0.46	1.46	439	66
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	66
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	65
Matt Tracy L 2016 · 3.89 FIP	27	SW	3.89	13.8%	8.3%	1.7%	.328	4.22	15.3%	5.5%	129	+0.33	3.24	298	65
Jose Molina L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SW	4.17	14.4%	8.9%	2.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	144	65
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	64
Chris Murphy L 2023 · 4.02 FIP	25	SW	4.02	21.5%	9.7%	2.8%	.344	3.80	20.9%	9.3%	107	-0.22	3.34	461	64
Josh D. Smith L 2017 · 4.05 FIP	27	SU	4.05	20.5%	12.6%	2.0%	.306	3.38	23.1%	12.3%	164	-0.67	3.17	335	64
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	64
Eric Jokisch L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	27	SW	4.64	12.4%	9.6%	2.5%	.330	3.93	15.2%	7.6%	283	-0.71	3.78	412	64
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	127	19.9%	13.4%	1.10	5.01
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32