Mason Green
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
+0.4
WAR
Age 27
LHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.6 · 2029
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.2%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%9.6%
IP82
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2029
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 4 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 22 | 22 | 112 | 490 | 106 | 51 | 8 | 16.2% | 12.2% | 1.7% | 4.34 | 4.20 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 26 | 9 | 73 | 331 | 77 | 48 | 8 | 17.9% | 16.7% | 2.9% | 5.52 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 24 | 17 | 108 | 465 | 112 | 51 | 12 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 3.32 | 4.79 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 39 | 8 | 76 | 328 | 80 | 39 | 5 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 1.3% | 3.93 | 3.72 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 4 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.25 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | COL | 15 | 15 | 82 | 346 | 73 | 40 | 9 | 21.2% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 4.60 | 4.60 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | COL | — | — | 86 | 371 | 80 | 44 | 9 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 4.49 | 4.39 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | COL | 15 | 15 | 83 | 350 | 74 | 39 | 9 | 21.2% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.58 | 4.59 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | COL | 15 | 15 | 81 | 342 | 72 | 38 | 9 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.61 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | COL | 14 | 14 | 78 | 331 | 76 | 34 | 9 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.38 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | COL | 14 | 14 | 76 | 320 | 73 | 33 | 9 | 22.8% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.45 | +0.5 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 73 | 307 | 69 | 32 | 9 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.54 | +0.4 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 70 | 293 | 65 | 31 | 9 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.64 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 66 | 279 | 61 | 30 | 9 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.75 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 62 | 263 | 56 | 29 | 9 | 21.4% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 4.79 | 4.87 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | COL | 58 | — | 58 | 246 | 52 | 28 | 8 | 21.0% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.92 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 119 | 56 | 378 | 1658 | 307 | 221 | 36 | 18.5% | 13.3% | 2.2% | 4.12 | 4.43 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 30 | 200 | 876 | 162 | 117 | 19 | 18.5% | 13.3% | 2.2% | 4.12 | 4.43 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mason Green (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 21.2% | 11.6% | 2.6% | — | 4.53 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 242 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .323 | 3.91 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.68 | 3.82 | 324 | 81 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.83 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .311 | 4.07 | 17.1% | 9.9% | 231 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 454 | 80 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2024 · 3.87 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.87 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 236 | 79 |
| Tommy Vail L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.86 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 2.4% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 151 | 79 |
| Misael Siverio L 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.90 | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.6% | .343 | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 63 | +0.38 | 3.90 | 185 | 79 |
| Miguel Pena L 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.03 | 16.8% | 8.2% | 2.4% | .288 | 5.12 | 16.0% | 9.0% | 68 | +1.09 | 2.93 | 282 | 79 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.66 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 203 | 79 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.28 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 310 | 78 |
| Ryan Bollinger L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.57 | 17.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 112 | 78 |
| Chipper Smith L 2024 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 109 | 77 |
| Felix Doubront L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.97 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .304 | 4.04 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.07 | 3.44 | 291 | 77 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.14 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 300 | 77 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2023 · 5.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.02 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.6% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.02 | 116 | 76 |
| Orlando Lara L 2029 · 4.15 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.15 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .348 | 4.07 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 230 | -0.08 | 3.83 | 426 | 76 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | .246 | 5.93 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.40 | 4.53 | 179 | 76 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.55 | 17.0% | 12.8% | 2.3% | .308 | 4.06 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 81 | -0.49 | 3.37 | 353 | 76 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.44 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.3% | .289 | 5.28 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | -0.16 | 5.28 | 128 | 75 |
| Charlie McDaniel L 2023 · 3.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.80 | 17.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 100 | 75 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.78 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 381 | 74 |
| Alex Troop L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.06 | 17.8% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .275 | 5.20 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 43 | +0.14 | 2.92 | 379 | 74 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.8M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.4M |
| Totals | $5M | $11M | +$7M | ||