Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 10 | 9 | 24 | 116 | 37 | 21 | 1 | 90% | 2.4 | 21.7% | 22.6% | -0.9% | 1.7% | 3.38 | 5.09 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 10 | 9 | 24 | 116 | 37 | 21 | 1 | 90% | 2.4 | 31.9% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 0.9% | 3.38 | 3.18 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 12 | 32 | 149 | 61 | 40 | 0 | 80% | 2.1 | 30.4% | 23.8% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 5.34 | 3.55 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 12 | 32 | 149 | 61 | 40 | 0 | 80% | 2.1 | 40.9% | 26.8% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 5.34 | 3.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 16 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 92 | 49 | 3 | 56% | 3.4 | 29.3% | 24.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.96 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | PIT | 3 | 3 | 18 | 75 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.3% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.90 | 4.90 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27.3% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.90 | 4.90 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 73 | 307 | 113 | 62 | 5 | — | — | 36.6% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 1.7% | 2.68 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | PIT | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 23 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 27.4% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | PIT | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 27.4% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 27.4% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.24 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 224 | 122 | 20 | 100% | 4.6 | 27.4% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 41 | 30 | 111 | 497 | 139 | 120 | 6 | 73% | 2.7 | 27.9% | 24.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 3.24 | 4.45 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 74 | 54 | 200 | 895 | 250 | 215 | 11 | 73% | 2.7 | 27.9% | 24.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 3.24 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reinold Navarro (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.90 | 27.3% | 16.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.62 | 27.4% | 12.4% | 20 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Adam Serwinowski L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.80 | 27.3% | 18.7% | 1.2% | .255 | 4.51 | 21.9% | 8.1% | 272 | +0.71 | 3.80 | 299 | 81 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2028 · 6.01 FIP | 21 | SP | 6.01 | 25.7% | 20.5% | 4.5% | .290 | 4.96 | 21.5% | 7.4% | 106 | -1.05 | 4.38 | 121 | 79 |
| Blake Townsend L 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 77 |
| Luichi Casilla L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.59 | 22.4% | 20.2% | 1.5% | .372 | 1.94 | 20.9% | 16.1% | 10 | -2.65 | 1.94 | 110 | 74 |
| Luke Little L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .200 | 2.91 | 28.0% | 12.2% | 155 | -1.09 | 2.76 | 250 | 73 |
| Javier Chacon L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.42 | 22.5% | 13.1% | 4.7% | .295 | 4.69 | 20.3% | 3.5% | 94 | -0.73 | 4.63 | 181 | 72 |
| Spencer Giesting L 2028 · 5.67 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.67 | 20.8% | 16.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 4.35 | 19.1% | 7.7% | 394 | -1.32 | 3.48 | 433 | 72 |
| Gabe Morales L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.12 | 19.3% | 21.0% | 1.8% | .313 | 4.56 | 22.9% | 8.7% | 124 | -0.56 | 2.92 | 268 | 68 |
| Deyer Zapata L 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.37 | 18.8% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .309 | 5.40 | 17.5% | 4.0% | 50 | +1.03 | 3.61 | 130 | 68 |
| Luke Fox L 2029 · 5.14 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.14 | 21.8% | 19.2% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.07 | 21.5% | 8.4% | 118 | -1.07 | 2.79 | 148 | 67 |
| Jordan Woods L 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.61 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .329 | 4.13 | 20.3% | 7.4% | 112 | -0.48 | 3.74 | 143 | 67 |
| Brady Aiken L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.79 | 20.0% | 13.7% | 1.2% | .443 | 5.83 | 11.0% | -8.9% | 132 | +2.04 | 3.79 | 156 | 67 |
| Caden Grice L 2029 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.23 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .282 | 5.28 | 17.3% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.05 | 4.23 | 105 | 66 |
| Hagen Smith L 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.05 | 27.4% | 19.3% | 3.3% | .247 | 4.82 | 29.9% | 13.2% | 52 | -0.23 | 4.82 | 128 | 66 |
| Nate Payne L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.44 | 22.2% | 19.9% | 1.3% | .259 | 4.87 | 25.5% | 16.0% | 75 | +0.43 | 4.44 | 131 | 66 |
| Deivi Diaz L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.73 | 20.4% | 11.6% | 1.6% | .369 | 4.50 | 13.5% | -2.3% | 57 | +0.77 | 3.73 | 161 | 66 |
| Francisco Morao L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.00 | 18.9% | 15.7% | 0.9% | .292 | 4.02 | 21.8% | 4.6% | 33 | +0.02 | 4.00 | 131 | 66 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 65 |
| Jackson Humphries L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.37 | 19.8% | 14.0% | 2.1% | .302 | 6.27 | 20.7% | 0.6% | 223 | +1.90 | 4.37 | 280 | 65 |
| Jagger Haynes L 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.14 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 1.9% | .303 | 5.26 | 17.9% | 3.4% | 302 | +1.12 | 4.14 | 328 | 65 |