Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 12 | 61 | 261 | 83 | 46 | 3 | 75% | 3.8 | 22.1% | 21.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.26 | 4.85 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 12 | 61 | 261 | 83 | 46 | 3 | 75% | 3.8 | 31.8% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 1.1% | 3.26 | 3.28 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 8 | 28 | 126 | 29 | 19 | 1 | 100% | 3.5 | 15.2% | 20.1% | -4.9% | 0.0% | 4.45 | 4.36 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 8 | 28 | 126 | 29 | 19 | 1 | 100% | 3.5 | 23.0% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 0.8% | 4.45 | 3.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 11 | 6 | 44 | 190 | 55 | 24 | 0 | 55% | 4.0 | 19.7% | 15.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 2.66 | 3.44 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TB | 3 | 3 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 7.4 | 22.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | TB | — | — | 66 | 283 | 76 | 34 | 3 | — | — | 26.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 0.9% | 3.28 | 3.80 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TB | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TB | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.98 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 88 | 18 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 35 | 26 | 133 | 577 | 114 | 112 | 4 | 74% | 3.8 | 19.8% | 19.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 3.32 | 4.28 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 39 | 200 | 868 | 172 | 168 | 6 | 74% | 3.8 | 19.8% | 19.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 3.32 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeremy Pilon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 22.8% | 11.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.36 | 23.3% | 12.9% | 23 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Blake Townsend L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 86 |
| Pablo Aldonis L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.25 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .324 | 2.67 | 21.9% | 13.1% | 68 | -1.58 | 1.89 | 135 | 83 |
| Benony Robles L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .262 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 4.5% | 135 | +1.42 | 3.58 | 271 | 83 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 83 |
| Yereny Teus L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.59 | 23.3% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .276 | 3.80 | 23.0% | 7.5% | 68 | +0.21 | 2.98 | 166 | 82 |
| Jordan Woods L 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.61 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .329 | 4.13 | 20.3% | 7.4% | 112 | -0.48 | 3.74 | 143 | 81 |
| Johan Simon L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.42 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% | .302 | 4.50 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 41 | +1.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 81 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 80 |
| Antonio Jimenez L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 4.34 | 19.4% | 7.8% | 248 | +0.94 | 3.31 | 422 | 79 |
| Luis Moncada L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 12.0% | 1.5% | .278 | 3.85 | 17.6% | 5.7% | 68 | +0.04 | 3.81 | 296 | 79 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 78 |
| Raúl Alcantara L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.46 | 19.6% | 12.8% | 2.5% | .295 | 4.64 | 19.0% | 4.2% | 229 | +0.18 | 3.82 | 396 | 78 |
| Ryan Wilson L 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.43 | 18.5% | 8.8% | 1.4% | .395 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 7.9% | 155 | +0.84 | 3.43 | 222 | 76 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 75 |
| Boston Bateman L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.10 | 23.0% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 153 | 75 |
| Jaylen Nowlin L 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.48 | 26.8% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .352 | 5.07 | 19.1% | 6.1% | 254 | +1.59 | 3.48 | 357 | 75 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 75 |
| Michael Kennedy L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.23 | 17.5% | 10.7% | 2.3% | .311 | 5.21 | 17.0% | 6.1% | 60 | +0.98 | 3.54 | 237 | 74 |
| Nate Peterson L 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 74 |
| Caden Grice L 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.23 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .282 | 5.28 | 17.3% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.05 | 4.23 | 105 | 74 |