Julio Robaina
P
Columbus Clingstones
Age 25
LHP
5'11" / 170 lbs
AA
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 53 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%21.1%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP53
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | GCL Astros | 11 | 4 | 25 | 118 | 27 | 17 | 1 | 36% | 2.3 | 15.6% | 18.0% | -2.4% | 1.2% | 6.84 | 4.72 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | GCL Astros | 11 | 4 | 25 | 118 | 27 | 17 | 1 | 36% | 2.3 | 22.9% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 0.8% | 6.84 | 3.50 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 1 | 35 | 147 | 47 | 20 | 0 | 8% | 2.9 | 23.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.72 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 1 | 35 | 147 | 47 | 20 | 0 | 8% | 2.9 | 32.0% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.12 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 9 | 77 | 330 | 88 | 25 | 4 | 53% | 4.5 | 20.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 1.2% | 3.74 | 3.18 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 9 | 77 | 330 | 88 | 25 | 4 | 53% | 4.5 | 26.7% | 7.6% | 19.1% | 1.2% | 3.74 | 2.46 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 23 | 17 | 81 | 391 | 84 | 60 | 11 | 74% | 3.5 | 17.4% | 16.9% | 0.5% | 3.1% | 6.81 | 5.49 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 23 | 17 | 81 | 391 | 84 | 60 | 11 | 74% | 3.5 | 21.5% | 15.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 6.81 | 5.02 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 26 | 16 | 116 | 492 | 114 | 48 | 6 | 62% | 4.5 | 18.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 0.9% | 3.18 | 3.36 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 26 | 16 | 116 | 492 | 114 | 48 | 6 | 62% | 4.5 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 1.2% | 3.18 | 3.05 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 12 | 69 | 303 | 64 | 23 | 10 | 75% | 4.3 | 17.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 5.11 | 5.17 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 12 | 69 | 303 | 64 | 23 | 10 | 75% | 4.3 | 21.1% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 4.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 9 | 8 | 41 | 166 | 38 | 12 | 3 | 89% | 4.6 | 18.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 2.41 | 3.73 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 9 | 53 | 223 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | ATL | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 94 | 389 | 85 | 32 | 10 | — | — | 21.9% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 2.5% | 3.59 | 4.17 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.13 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 53 | 223 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 6.6 | 21.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 52 | 220 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 5 | 5 | 33 | 139 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.6 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 9 | 57 | 241 | 52 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.10 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 31 | 31 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 77 | 24 | 100% | 6.4 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 114 | 67 | 443 | 1947 | 361 | 223 | 40 | 59% | 3.9 | 18.6% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 4.29 | 4.10 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 30 | 200 | 879 | 163 | 101 | 18 | 59% | 3.9 | 18.6% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 4.29 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Julio Robaina (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 21.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% | — | 4.48 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 105 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Magdic L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 81 |
| Nico Tellache L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 76 |
| Avery Weems L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.13 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | .323 | 5.19 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 38 | +0.06 | 2.46 | 227 | 76 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 75 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 75 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | 5.90 | 28.8% | 13.9% | 13 | +2.06 | 3.84 | 249 | 73 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 73 |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 73 |
| Brant Hurter L 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | .298 | 3.14 | 22.6% | 13.2% | 88 | -1.18 | 2.84 | 430 | 73 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.46 | 16.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | .322 | 5.74 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 172 | +0.28 | 2.22 | 286 | 72 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | .246 | 6.63 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.65 | 4.98 | 179 | 72 |
| Connor Oliver L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 72 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 72 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.67 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 1.6% | .355 | 5.01 | 14.7% | 3.6% | 93 | +1.34 | 3.10 | 381 | 72 |
| Edgar Barclay L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.79 | 24.5% | 13.6% | 3.7% | .307 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 4.9% | 157 | +0.81 | 2.06 | 402 | 71 |
| Jordan Carr L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.86 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.87 | 14.9% | 6.2% | 162 | +0.01 | 3.39 | 261 | 71 |
| Justin Marks L 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 71 |
| Eric Wooten L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 71 |
| Bryan Radziewski L 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.19 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 106 | 71 |
| Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.22 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.47 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 271 | +1.25 | 3.71 | 484 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 53 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 1.19 | 4.49 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |