Fernando Sanchez

Fernando Sanchez P San Antonio Missions

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 198 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.11

FIP5.11

K%15.8%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%3.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	13	1	33	143	41	22	0	8%	2.5	19.5%	19.2%	0.3%	0.0%	4.64	3.89	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 2	13	1	33	143	41	22	0	8%	2.5	28.7%	15.4%	13.3%	0.0%	4.64	2.62	—
2021	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	1	1	3	12	2	4	0	100%	2.7	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	0.0%	6.75	5.91	—
2021	20	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	1	1	3	12	2	4	0	100%	2.7	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	0.0%	6.75	6.10	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	10	32	144	46	20	2	67%	2.2	24.8%	11.8%	13.0%	3.0%	4.73	4.17	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	10	32	144	46	20	2	67%	2.2	31.9%	13.9%	18.1%	1.4%	4.73	2.91	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	25	6	76	356	82	33	10	24%	3.0	17.0%	10.9%	6.1%	3.3%	6.54	4.83	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	25	6	76	356	82	33	10	24%	3.0	17.0%	10.9%	6.1%	3.3%	6.54	4.83	—
2023	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	25	6	76	356	82	33	10	24%	3.0	23.0%	9.3%	13.8%	2.8%	6.54	3.96	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	11	76	341	88	28	2	46%	3.2	20.0%	9.7%	10.3%	0.8%	3.42	3.09	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	11	76	341	88	28	2	46%	3.2	20.0%	9.7%	10.3%	0.8%	3.42	3.09	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	11	76	341	88	28	2	46%	3.2	25.8%	8.2%	17.6%	0.6%	3.42	2.24	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	74	301	68	32	2	0%	2.1	15.8%	11.8%	4.0%	1.1%	2.80	3.84	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	74	301	68	32	2	0%	2.1	15.8%	11.8%	4.0%	1.1%	2.80	3.84	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	74	301	68	32	2	0%	2.1	22.6%	10.6%	12.0%	0.7%	2.80	2.91	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	20	15	66	297	69	46	6	75%	3.3	18.9%	16.2%	2.7%	2.4%	5.45	4.85	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	20	15	66	297	69	46	6	75%	3.3	18.9%	16.2%	2.7%	2.4%	5.45	4.85	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	SD	15	10	49	225	58	34	4	67%	3.3	25.8%	15.1%	10.7%	1.8%	5.11	3.81	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	SD	5	5	17	72	11	12	2	100%	3.3	15.3%	16.7%	-1.4%	2.8%	6.48	5.45	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	SD	1	1	6	27	4	3	1	100%	6.4	15.8%	12.6%	3.2%	2.5%	5.11	5.11	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	72	324	73	49	7	—	—	22.6%	15.3%	7.4%	2.1%	5.42	4.88	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	67	0	70	296	50	36	8	0%	1.0	17.0%	12.2%	4.8%	2.5%	5.01	4.99	-0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	66	0	69	291	51	35	8	0%	1.0	17.5%	12.1%	5.4%	2.6%	4.97	4.98	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	64	0	67	282	50	34	8	0%	1.0	17.7%	12.1%	5.6%	2.7%	4.99	5.03	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	SD	61	0	64	270	47	33	8	0%	1.0	17.6%	12.2%	5.3%	2.9%	5.07	5.14	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	30	0	31	131	22	16	3	0%	1.0	17.0%	12.2%	4.8%	2.5%	5.01	4.99	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	42	0	44	186	33	22	5	0%	1.0	17.5%	12.1%	5.4%	2.6%	4.97	4.98	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	49	0	51	215	38	26	6	0%	1.0	17.7%	12.1%	5.6%	2.7%	4.99	5.03	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	SD	50	0	52	220	39	27	6	0%	1.0	17.6%	12.2%	5.3%	2.9%	5.07	5.14	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	131	91	20	0%	1.0	17.5%	12.2%	5.3%	2.7%	5.01	4.66	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	148	103	23	0%	1.1	17.5%	12.2%	5.3%	2.7%	5.01	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		134	44	360	1594	298	204	29	33%	2.7	18.7%	12.8%	5.9%	1.8%	4.58	4.14	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	24	200	886	166	113	16	33%	2.7	18.7%	12.8%	5.9%	1.8%	4.58	4.14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fernando Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	15.8%	12.6%	2.5%	—	5.00	17.4%	5.2%	206	-0.11	—	—	—
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	85
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	84
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	84
Drake Britton L 2015 · 4.69 FIP	26	SW	4.69	11.1%	9.7%	2.4%	.268	4.79	8.0%	-2.2%	41	+0.10	4.69	125	83
Alec Gamboa L 2022 · 5.36 FIP	25	SW	5.36	14.8%	13.1%	3.4%	.287	3.96	15.8%	4.0%	169	-1.40	1.46	439	79
Kyle Hunter L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	12.5%	11.5%	1.5%	.258	4.49	12.6%	4.6%	144	+0.17	4.32	188	77
Brad Hand L 2015 · 3.95 FIP	25	SW	3.95	16.4%	7.6%	2.3%	.326	2.71	32.9%	25.0%	241	-1.24	0.84	577	77
Matt Crouse L 2015 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	12.0%	6.3%	2.0%	.276	4.40	12.2%	4.3%	268	+0.41	3.99	342	74
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	74
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	74
Seth Lonsway L 2023 · 5.20 FIP	24	SP-	5.20	13.8%	15.3%	2.4%	.317	4.17	15.2%	4.4%	313	-1.03	3.35	498	73
Jose Molina L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SW	4.17	14.4%	8.9%	2.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	144	73
Cody Dickson L 2017 · 5.48 FIP	25	SW	5.48	15.9%	14.6%	3.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.88	354	73
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	72
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	72
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	72
Mason Green L 2023 · 5.28 FIP	24	SW	5.28	17.9%	16.7%	2.9%	.278	4.24	18.4%	6.3%	262	-1.04	3.68	448	72
Max Herrmann L 2018 · 4.76 FIP	25	SW	4.76	13.2%	10.5%	2.6%	.388	3.93	11.1%	-1.3%	71	-0.83	3.93	168	72
Colin Rodgers L 2018 · 4.36 FIP	24	SW	4.36	16.8%	9.7%	2.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	313	72
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	17.1%	12.3%	1.03	5.03
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04