Fernando Sanchez
P
San Antonio Missions
Age 25
LHP
6'0" / 198 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116125vR 135
ERA5.13
FIP5.13
K%15.8%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%3.1%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | 13 | 1 | 33 | 143 | 41 | 22 | 0 | 8% | 2.5 | 19.5% | 19.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 4.64 | 3.89 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | 13 | 1 | 33 | 143 | 41 | 22 | 0 | 8% | 2.5 | 28.7% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 4.64 | 2.62 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.7 | 16.7% | 33.3% | -16.7% | 0.0% | 6.75 | 5.91 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.7 | 16.7% | 33.3% | -16.7% | 0.0% | 6.75 | 6.10 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 10 | 32 | 144 | 46 | 20 | 2 | 67% | 2.2 | 24.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.73 | 4.05 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 10 | 32 | 144 | 46 | 20 | 2 | 67% | 2.2 | 31.9% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 1.4% | 4.73 | 2.91 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 25 | 6 | 76 | 356 | 82 | 33 | 10 | 24% | 3.0 | 17.0% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 6.54 | 4.66 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 25 | 6 | 76 | 356 | 82 | 33 | 10 | 24% | 3.0 | 23.0% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 6.54 | 3.96 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 11 | 76 | 341 | 88 | 28 | 2 | 46% | 3.2 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 0.9% | 3.42 | 3.12 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 11 | 76 | 341 | 88 | 28 | 2 | 46% | 3.2 | 25.8% | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.6% | 3.42 | 2.24 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 74 | 301 | 68 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 2.80 | 3.88 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 74 | 301 | 68 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 22.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 0.7% | 2.80 | 2.91 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 13 | 8 | 37 | 164 | 42 | 28 | 3 | 62% | 2.8 | 21.2% | 18.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 5.40 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SD | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 43 | 35 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.8% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.13 | 5.13 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SD | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.13 | 5.13 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SD | — | — | 101 | 438 | 85 | 63 | 10 | — | — | 19.5% | 14.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 5.23 | 5.00 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SD | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 15.8% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.13 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SD | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 50 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 5.02 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SD | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 51 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 4.98 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SD | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 50 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.00 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SD | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 5.02 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 33 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 4.98 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SD | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.00 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 119 | 0 | 126 | 533 | 93 | 65 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 4.63 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 147 | 103 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 127 | 37 | 331 | 1461 | 277 | 186 | 24 | 29% | 2.6 | 19.0% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 4.49 | 4.03 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 22 | 200 | 884 | 167 | 113 | 15 | 29% | 2.6 | 19.0% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 4.49 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Fernando Sanchez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.13 | 15.8% | 12.7% | 2.5% | — | 5.01 | 17.4% | 5.2% | 206 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Matt Tracy L 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.04 | 14.7% | 5.5% | 208 | +0.03 | 3.24 | 298 | 82 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 81 |
| Alec Gamboa L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 14.8% | 13.1% | 3.4% | .287 | 4.11 | 16.6% | 3.2% | 169 | -1.26 | 1.46 | 404 | 81 |
| Drake Britton L 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.82 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 2.6% | .268 | 4.93 | 8.0% | -2.2% | 41 | +0.11 | 4.82 | 125 | 81 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .273 | 6.05 | 16.6% | 6.2% | 129 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 81 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.44 | 12.5% | 11.5% | 1.7% | .258 | 4.48 | 12.6% | 4.6% | 144 | +0.04 | 4.44 | 188 | 81 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.16 | 14.3% | 11.5% | 1.5% | .332 | 3.67 | 17.2% | 6.0% | 52 | -0.49 | 3.67 | 288 | 78 |
| Hayden Frank L 2024 · 5.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.29 | 17.2% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.29 | 109 | 78 |
| Brad Hand L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.96 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | .326 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 25.0% | 241 | -1.15 | 0.84 | 577 | 77 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 77 |
| Adam Wolf L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.01 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 2.2% | .292 | 4.17 | 16.8% | 5.9% | 109 | +0.16 | 3.91 | 383 | 76 |
| Matt Crouse L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.97 | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.0% | .276 | 4.32 | 12.2% | 4.3% | 268 | +0.35 | 3.97 | 342 | 75 |
| Jose Molina L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.23 | 14.4% | 8.9% | 2.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 144 | 75 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.79 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 2.1% | .284 | 5.74 | 18.7% | -4.6% | 22 | +0.95 | 4.12 | 234 | 75 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2028 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.75 | 3.04 | 120 | 74 |
| Braulio Lara L 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 74 |
| Cody Dickson L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.52 | 15.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 354 | 73 |
| Cody Stull L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 11.9% | 10.4% | 2.8% | .310 | 3.19 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 81 | -1.72 | 2.54 | 264 | 73 |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 73 |
| Trent Szkutnik L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.35 | 18.4% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 429 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 1.01 | 5.03 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |