Graham Osman
P
Dayton Dragons
Age 25
LHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140149vR 159
ERA6.25
FIP6.25
K%14.6%
BB%19.3%
K-BB%-4.8%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 99 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 37.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.93 | 1.52 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 37.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.93 | 1.55 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 4 | 66 | 302 | 72 | 49 | 2 | 16% | 2.6 | 17.8% | 19.0% | -1.2% | 0.5% | 4.50 | 4.29 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 4 | 66 | 302 | 72 | 49 | 2 | 16% | 2.6 | 23.8% | 16.2% | 7.6% | 0.7% | 4.50 | 3.54 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 26 | 2 | 56 | 265 | 52 | 40 | 8 | 8% | 2.2 | 15.1% | 17.4% | -2.2% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 5.68 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 26 | 2 | 56 | 265 | 52 | 40 | 8 | 8% | 2.2 | 19.6% | 15.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 5.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 20 | 0 | 29 | 158 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.1% | 16.0% | -1.9% | 5.5% | 9.73 | 6.97 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 43 | 57 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.6% | 19.3% | -4.8% | 2.8% | 6.25 | 6.25 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.6% | 19.3% | -4.8% | 2.8% | 6.25 | 6.25 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 99 | 454 | 72 | 79 | 15 | — | — | 15.9% | 17.4% | -1.6% | 3.4% | 7.26 | 6.46 | -1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 14.6% | 19.3% | -4.8% | 2.8% | 6.25 | 5.87 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 48 | 54 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 18.3% | -2.2% | 2.9% | 6.02 | 6.00 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 48 | 51 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 17.7% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.90 | 5.91 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 20 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 18.3% | -2.2% | 2.9% | 6.02 | 6.00 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 30 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 17.7% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.90 | 5.91 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 70 | 0 | 74 | 312 | 51 | 56 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 17.9% | -1.5% | 2.9% | 5.95 | 5.57 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 138 | 152 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 17.9% | -1.5% | 2.9% | 5.95 | 5.57 | -0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 77 | 6 | 160 | 765 | 131 | 134 | 18 | 8% | 2.1 | 17.1% | 17.5% | -0.3% | 2.4% | 5.39 | 5.18 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 96 | 7 | 200 | 954 | 164 | 167 | 23 | 8% | 2.1 | 17.1% | 17.5% | -0.3% | 2.4% | 5.39 | 5.18 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Graham Osman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.25 | 14.6% | 19.3% | 2.8% | — | 5.96 | 16.4% | -1.6% | 139 | -0.29 | — | — | — |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.16 | 15.3% | 17.1% | 4.0% | .275 | 4.98 | 19.5% | -8.3% | 18 | -1.18 | 4.80 | 223 | 84 |
| Chris Nunn L 2025 · 5.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.94 | 13.9% | 16.8% | 3.4% | .350 | 3.97 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 37 | -1.97 | 3.26 | 180 | 82 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 82 |
| Sean Keselica L 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.58 | 15.9% | 18.5% | 2.7% | .226 | 4.53 | 18.0% | 3.5% | 52 | -1.05 | 2.77 | 235 | 80 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.23 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 2.9% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 161 | 77 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.23 | 14.8% | 20.2% | 1.5% | .243 | 4.40 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 81 | -0.83 | 1.71 | 206 | 77 |
| Josh D. Smith L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 11.5% | 17.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 3.89 | 19.9% | 8.2% | 222 | -1.50 | 3.09 | 335 | 77 |
| John Kilichowski L 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 76 |
| Trevor Seidenberger L 2025 · 6.50 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.50 | 13.1% | 14.9% | 4.8% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 101 | 76 |
| Anderson Polanco L 2026 · 6.02 FIP | 25 | SW | 6.02 | 19.9% | 20.9% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.41 | 18.9% | 2.6% | 47 | -0.61 | 4.00 | 316 | 75 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 75 |
| Caden Monke L 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.28 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.73 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 34 | -1.55 | 3.73 | 152 | 73 |
| Brandon Neeck L 2026 · 6.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.46 | 16.8% | 16.7% | 4.8% | .298 | 3.88 | 28.8% | 9.1% | 38 | -2.58 | 3.74 | 171 | 73 |
| Houston Harding L 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.80 | 17.9% | 15.0% | 4.2% | .307 | 4.93 | 14.8% | 2.9% | 135 | -0.87 | 3.39 | 232 | 73 |
| Davis Schwab L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 20.3% | 18.7% | 3.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 114 | 73 |
| Levi Prater L 2024 · 6.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.57 | 15.8% | 23.5% | 3.3% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.57 | 110 | 72 |
| Steve Hajjar L 2024 · 6.73 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.73 | 15.0% | 25.6% | 3.0% | .150 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 141 | 71 |
| Luis De Paula L 2025 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 16.4% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 125 | 71 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2025 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 11.5% | 19.8% | 2.0% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.55 | 218 | 71 |
| John Doxakis L 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 17.0% | 19.0% | 2.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 332 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 15.8% | 18.4% | 1.11 | 6.06 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |