Graham Osman
P
Dayton Dragons
+0.0
WAR
Age 25
LHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
A+
ERA5.02
FIP5.02
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.1%
BB%13.1%
K-BB%7.0%
IP59
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL2525
CMD3030
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 6 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.93 | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 25 | 4 | 66 | 302 | 72 | 49 | 2 | 17.8% | 19.0% | 0.6% | 4.50 | 4.33 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 26 | 2 | 56 | 265 | 52 | 40 | 8 | 15.1% | 17.4% | 3.3% | 4.98 | 5.82 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 46 | 40 | 7 | 18.3% | 15.9% | 2.9% | 5.53 | 5.53 | -0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 64 | 269 | 50 | 41 | 7 | 18.5% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 5.10 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 48 | 38 | 7 | 19.0% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 5.39 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 59 | — | 59 | 249 | 48 | 37 | 7 | 19.4% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 5.32 | 5.32 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 58 | — | 58 | 245 | 48 | 36 | 7 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 5.29 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 57 | — | 57 | 239 | 47 | 35 | 7 | 19.5% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 5.29 | 5.32 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 55 | — | 55 | 232 | 45 | 34 | 7 | 19.3% | 14.6% | 3.1% | 5.34 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 53 | — | 53 | 224 | 43 | 33 | 7 | 19.1% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 5.41 | 5.45 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 40 | 32 | 7 | 18.8% | 14.9% | 3.2% | 5.49 | 5.54 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 18.5% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 5.58 | 5.64 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 35 | 30 | 7 | 18.1% | 15.3% | 3.4% | 5.68 | 5.75 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 44 | — | 44 | 184 | 33 | 29 | 6 | 17.8% | 15.5% | 3.5% | 5.79 | 5.87 | -0.5 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 30 | 27 | 6 | 17.3% | 15.8% | 3.6% | 5.92 | 6.00 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 59 | 6 | 137 | 626 | 113 | 109 | 10 | 18.0% | 17.5% | 1.7% | 4.28 | 4.71 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 9 | 200 | 916 | 165 | 160 | 15 | 18.0% | 17.5% | 1.7% | 4.28 | 4.71 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Graham Osman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.53 | 18.3% | 15.9% | 2.9% | — | 5.34 | 19.3% | 4.5% | 176 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.70 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.22 | 4.70 | 137 | 90 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.73 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 212 | 89 |
| Nick Lee L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.02 | 19.0% | 19.7% | 1.9% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 102 | 88 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 161 | 87 |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.03 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.5% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 101 | 85 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2027 · 5.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.30 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.18 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.12 | 3.42 | 154 | 85 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.06 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 2.1% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 136 | 84 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 6.19 | 15.3% | 17.1% | 4.0% | .275 | 4.98 | 19.5% | -8.3% | 18 | -1.21 | 4.91 | 223 | 83 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.77 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.1% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 107 | 83 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.89 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 146 | 83 |
| Frank Garces L 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.62 | 16.7% | 13.3% | 4.1% | .267 | 4.40 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 114 | -1.22 | 4.40 | 306 | 82 |
| Brian Moran L 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 82 |
| Luis Ysla L 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.38 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 1.1% | .326 | 5.37 | 18.5% | 4.3% | 180 | +0.99 | 3.78 | 378 | 82 |
| Anderson Polanco L 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.94 | 19.9% | 20.9% | 3.4% | .298 | 5.02 | 18.9% | 2.6% | 47 | -0.92 | 4.09 | 316 | 82 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.18 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.10 | 3.46 | 145 | 81 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.93 | 16.1% | 13.2% | 4.6% | .245 | 3.85 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 159 | -2.08 | 3.50 | 300 | 81 |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.39 | 17.4% | 13.2% | 2.0% | .308 | 5.57 | 13.9% | 1.8% | 49 | +1.18 | 4.08 | 212 | 81 |
| Houston Harding L 2026 · 5.75 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.75 | 17.9% | 15.0% | 4.1% | .307 | 4.39 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 98 | -1.36 | 3.41 | 195 | 80 |
| John Kilichowski L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.93 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.3% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.05 | 115 | 80 |
| Winston Lavendier L 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.06 | 17.8% | 12.9% | 3.4% | .344 | 4.95 | 14.2% | 4.7% | 21 | -0.11 | 2.98 | 179 | 80 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.