Jackson Wolf
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 27
LHP
6'7" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION75 act + 74 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111120vR 129
ERA4.89
FIP4.89
K%18.4%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%7.8%
ROS IP74
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 149 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CH+0.8
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 7 | 15 | 65 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 2.1 | 27.0% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 4.0% | 3.00 | 4.72 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 7 | 15 | 65 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 2.1 | 36.9% | 10.8% | 26.2% | 1.5% | 3.00 | 2.17 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 130 | 536 | 142 | 50 | 17 | 96% | 5.2 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 4.37 | 5.33 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 130 | 536 | 142 | 50 | 17 | 96% | 5.2 | 26.5% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 3.2% | 4.37 | 3.77 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 129 | 525 | 136 | 33 | 17 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 14.7% | 3.3% | 4.18 | 3.99 | +2.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 129 | 525 | 136 | 33 | 17 | 100% | 4.8 | 25.9% | 6.3% | 19.6% | 3.2% | 4.18 | 3.47 | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 18 | 103 | 495 | 93 | 63 | 13 | 56% | 3.2 | 16.3% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 6.66 | 4.80 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 18 | 103 | 495 | 93 | 63 | 13 | 56% | 3.2 | 18.8% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 6.66 | 4.78 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 27 | 129 | 572 | 134 | 47 | 15 | 96% | 4.6 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 5.04 | 4.19 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 27 | 129 | 572 | 134 | 47 | 15 | 96% | 4.6 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 2.6% | 5.04 | 3.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 20 | 13 | 75 | 345 | 73 | 32 | 11 | 65% | 3.7 | 18.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 5.91 | 4.69 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 74 | 314 | 58 | 33 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SD | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 18.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | SD | — | — | 149 | 659 | 131 | 65 | 20 | — | — | 19.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 5.40 | 4.79 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | SD | — | — | 7 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 18.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SD | 14 | 14 | 84 | 356 | 66 | 37 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.91 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SD | 13 | 13 | 80 | 340 | 63 | 35 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SD | 13 | 13 | 76 | 320 | 65 | 31 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 4.87 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SD | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SD | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SD | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 46 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 4.87 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 25 | 25 | 149 | 630 | 118 | 63 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.90 | 4.49 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 846 | 158 | 85 | 27 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.90 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 139 | 116 | 580 | 2538 | 502 | 252 | 88 | 83% | 4.2 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 4.59 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 40 | 200 | 875 | 173 | 87 | 30 | 83% | 4.2 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jackson Wolf (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 18.4% | 10.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.92 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 240 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 81 |
| Chipper Smith L 2024 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.83 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 109 | 79 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2023 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 77 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.77 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .278 | 5.20 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.43 | 4.77 | 118 | 76 |
| Felix Doubront L 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.87 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.45 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.58 | 3.39 | 291 | 76 |
| Misael Siverio L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.00 | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.7% | .343 | 4.52 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 63 | +0.52 | 4.00 | 185 | 75 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 75 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | .246 | 6.63 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.65 | 4.98 | 179 | 75 |
| Nick Additon L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.78 | 14.0% | 7.9% | 1.6% | .307 | 4.62 | 14.4% | 7.1% | 106 | +0.84 | 3.06 | 217 | 75 |
| James Gillheeney L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.80 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 129 | 75 |
| Alex Troop L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.84 | 17.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .275 | 5.64 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 43 | +0.80 | 2.96 | 379 | 74 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 74 |
| Nate Fisher L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.34 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.0% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 229 | 74 |
| Miguel Pena L 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.14 | 16.8% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .288 | 5.94 | 16.0% | 9.0% | 68 | +1.80 | 2.86 | 282 | 74 |
| John Anderson L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 14.3% | 8.7% | 1.9% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 235 | 73 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 310 | 73 |
| Scott DeCecco L 2023 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.58 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.58 | 125 | 73 |
| Darin Gorski L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.79 | 15.2% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .323 | 4.39 | 15.0% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.40 | 4.39 | 206 | 73 |
| Steven Brault L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.35 | 19.8% | 10.1% | 3.0% | .301 | 3.75 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 70 | -0.60 | 3.14 | 691 | 72 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 81 | 19.0% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.89 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Sal Romano ('21) | 3 | 86 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 1.29 | 5.10 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |