Player 837965 — OGILVIE

Player 837965— DSL Rangers Blue

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION87 act + 71 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .338 / .361

PA71

HR1

K%24

BB%11

BABIP302

ISO131

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	TEX	—	87	69	21	6	1	1	14	13	4	2	0	304	448	464	912	159	364	15	16	375	145	+4	+0	+0	-2	+2	0.6
YTD	—	ROK	TEX	—	87	61	23	7	1	1	22	9	4	2	0	377	563	574	1.137	197	431	10	25	502	242	+14	+0	+0	-2	+2	1.6
ROS	—	ROK	TEX	0%	71	61	14	3	1	1	8	17	2	2	0	230	338	361	699	131	304	24	11	312	97	-0	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
ROS	—	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		306	—	—	297	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	TEX	—	87	70	21	6	1	1	14	13	4	2	0	300	448	457	905	157	357	15	16	375	145	+4	+0	+0	-2	+2	0.6
TOT	—	ROK	TEX	—	158	130	35	9	2	2	22	30	6	4	0	269	399	415	814	146	337	19	14	347	123	+4	+1	+0	-3	+4	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TEX	0%	160	138	31	7	1	2	18	37	3	4	1	225	327	333	660	109	298	23	11	309	94	-1	+0	+0	-3	+5	0.1
2028	25	MLB	TEX	0%	306	263	60	13	2	4	34	71	6	9	2	228	330	338	668	110	297	23	11	311	96	-1	+1	+0	-5	+9	0.3
2029	25	MLB	TEX	0%	404	349	81	18	3	6	44	94	8	12	3	232	332	352	684	120	297	23	11	312	97	-1	+1	+0	-7	+11	0.4
2030	25	MLB	TEX	0%	469	406	95	21	3	8	51	109	9	14	3	234	333	360	692	126	296	23	11	313	98	-1	+2	+0	-8	+13	0.5
2031	25	MLB	TEX	0%	514	443	105	23	4	9	56	120	10	16	4	237	336	368	704	131	296	23	11	314	98	-1	+2	+0	-9	+15	0.6
2032	25	MLB	TEX	0%	545	471	111	24	4	10	59	127	10	17	4	236	333	367	701	132	296	23	11	314	99	-1	+2	+0	-10	+15	0.7
2033	25	MLB	TEX	0%	567	489	114	25	4	10	62	132	11	17	4	233	333	362	695	129	296	23	11	315	99	-1	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.7
2034	25	MLB	TEX	0%	584	504	119	26	4	11	64	136	11	18	4	236	335	369	704	133	295	23	11	315	100	-0	+2	+0	-10	+17	0.8
2027	25	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		299	—	—	296	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		299	—	—	298	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	300	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	301	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	301	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	302	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	302	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	303	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3620	3124	730	160	26	61	396	843	70	109	25	234	333	360	693	126	299	23	11	313	98	-8	+12	+0	-65	+103	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	132	29	5	11	71	151	13	20	4	235	335	364	699	128	301	23	11	313	98	-1	+2	+0	-12	+18	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Grégor Blancolast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,301 PA	9	3,301	26	120	256	340	350	-9	-5	7.7	8.5
	/162	664	5	24	256	340	350	-1.8	-1.0	1.5	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,707	61	111	233	328	358	-41	+0	6.7	6.6
	/162	664	11	20	233	328	358	-7.3	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 6
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837965 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	269/399/415	146	337	2	4	19%	14%	123	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
●Scott Sizemore 2009 · A	24	47→56	40→50	50	50	225/297/324	100	277	6	14	20%	8%	76	+0.0	251/320/394	143	314	13	12	23%	8%	103	+1.9	256/334/411	154	321	15	10	23%	9%	109	+2.2
✕Steve Tolleson 2008 · A	24	50→53	39→45	49→50	52	236/313/328	92	304	6	14	23%	10%	82	+0.5	248/308/360	112	305	9	13	20%	8%	89	+0.9	255/312/378	123	303	11	12	19%	7%	91	+0.9
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	47→53	41→50	54→50	47	223/295/331	108	303	8	11	27%	8%	76	+0.1	244/308/384	140	316	13	15	26%	8%	95	+1.4	252/316/405	153	320	16	17	25%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Conner Crumbliss 2012 · A	25	48→50	39→45	51→50	58	224/322/312	88	281	5	14	20%	12%	83	+0.6	217/313/338	121	265	12	14	21%	11%	86	+0.8	209/306/339	130	248	14	14	21%	11%	82	+0.4
●Tyler Black 2023 · A	23	46→54	41→50	50→60	55	216/317/322	106	289	7	14	26%	12%	84	+0.6	241/332/395	154	315	14	30	26%	10%	108	+2.3	242/335/399	157	317	14	35	26%	10%	107	+1.7
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→47	39→40	54→55	47	236/300/319	83	304	6	15	23%	8%	74	-0.1	220/304/299	79	290	6	18	24%	10%	72	-0.2	210/305/287	77	272	7	21	23%	11%	68	-0.4
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A	25	50→51	39→40	53→55	50	232/309/319	87	314	6	17	26%	10%	79	+0.3	221/300/314	93	310	7	17	28%	9%	74	-0.1	179/288/250	72	261	5	31	30%	12%	53	-0.3
●Rolando Acosta 2008 · A	25	45→55	41→50	51→45	44	219/279/316	97	283	8	8	25%	7%	65	-0.7	252/300/352	100	305	7	17	19%	6%	83	+0.6	284/331/408	124	327	14	8	17%	5%	106	+1.1
✕Danny Muno 2013 · A	24	47→53	40→45	54→50	50	222/301/315	92	294	6	18	25%	10%	74	-0.1	232/313/341	109	298	10	12	24%	10%	86	+0.8	230/312/334	104	293	10	11	23%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Ed Lucas 2007 · A	25	50→56	38→50	51→50	45	239/287/320	80	298	5	16	21%	6%	69	-0.4	242/295/342	100	306	8	15	22%	7%	78	+0.2	248/313/367	119	310	12	15	23%	8%	90	+0.7
●Austin Gauthier 2023 · A	24	48→58	39→45	50	53	213/321/302	89	333	5	9	33%	12%	81	+0.4	248/340/355	107	329	8	11	24%	11%	101	+1.8	254/345/358	104	329	7	11	23%	11%	101	+1.6
●Connor Hollis 2021 · A	26	47→57	42→45	48→55	45	225/299/332	106	299	9	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	255/323/369	114	337	10	15	25%	8%	97	+1.5	265/339/380	115	351	10	18	25%	9%	103	+1.2
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	77	+0.1	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	71	-0.3	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	37	-0.5
✕Collin Cowgill 2010 · A	24	47→56	42→50	52→55	43	223/292/336	113	310	9	11	29%	7%	76	+0.1	252/308/372	120	310	10	20	21%	7%	92	+1.2	258/313/374	116	314	10	23	20%	7%	90	+0.9
●Jordan Parraz 2009 · A	24	51→58	43→50	50	46	247/314/362	115	311	9	17	23%	7%	92	+1.2	257/322/386	129	317	10	9	21%	6%	102	+1.8	264/328/399	135	324	11	6	21%	6%	103	+1.4
●TJ Friedl 2021 · AA	25	46→54	41→50	55	48	219/300/323	104	284	8	19	24%	8%	76	+0.1	235/304/377	142	276	14	17	19%	7%	92	+1.2	248/339/390	142	278	16	18	16%	10%	108	+2.0
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→47	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	85	+0.7	225/280/320	95	320	6	8	29%	6%	66	-0.6	218/274/305	87	319	4	6	31%	6%	58	-0.9
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0