Jesus Flores

C DSL Rangers Blue

Age 18 L/R ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#911ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Rangers B…	87	.377/.563/.574	1	2	118	—	.265/.425/.412
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBTEX	197	.227/.326/.323	2	5	88	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBTEX	36	.230/.329/.334	0	1	92	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBTEX	99	.233/.332/.344	1	3	95	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA99

wRC+99

K%95

BB%95

Chase%91

ISO83

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJosue De Paula (age 19) · Jackson Holliday (age 19) · Evan Carter (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj PA

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .323 / .320

PA48

HR0

K%21

BB%11

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$54M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+1.0	$4M	+$1M
2038	Arb-3	$9M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$14M		$25M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	61	23	7	1	1	22	9	4	2	0	377	563	574	1.137	197	431	10	25	502	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	68	18	5	1	1	15	11	4	2	0	265	425	412	837	147	278	13	17	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	68	18	5	1	1	15	11	4	2	0	265	425	412	837	147	304	13	17	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	61	23	7	1	1	22	9	4	2	0	377	563	574	1.137	197	431	10	25	502	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	68	18	5	1	1	15	11	4	2	0	265	425	412	837	147	278	13	17	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	87	68	18	5	1	1	15	11	4	2	0	265	425	412	837	147	278	13	17	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	197	170	39	8	2	2	21	42	4	5	1	227	326	323	649	96	290	21	11	298	88	-3	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	106	92	22	5	1	1	11	23	2	3	1	231	329	334	663	103	292	22	10	304	92	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2029	20	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	204	176	41	9	2	2	22	43	4	6	2	234	332	343	675	110	293	21	11	308	95	-1	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.7
2030	21	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	326	281	67	14	3	4	35	69	7	10	4	236	334	351	685	115	294	21	11	312	97	-1	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	423	367	86	18	3	6	45	90	8	13	5	238	335	358	693	120	295	21	11	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.7
2032	23	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	445	386	92	19	3	7	47	94	9	14	5	240	335	364	700	125	296	21	11	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.9
2033	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	445	386	93	19	3	8	47	94	9	14	5	241	336	367	704	127	297	21	11	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+8	+10	2.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	445	386	93	19	3	8	47	94	9	14	5	241	337	369	706	128	297	21	11	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+8	+10	2.0
2035	26	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	445	386	93	19	3	8	47	94	9	13	5	241	337	370	707	129	296	21	11	320	102	+1	+1	+0	+8	+10	2.0
2036	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	445	387	92	19	3	8	47	95	8	13	5	240	335	367	703	127	296	21	11	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.9
2037	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	445	387	91	19	3	7	47	96	8	13	5	238	333	362	696	124	295	22	11	315	100	-0	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.8
2038	29	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	445	387	91	19	3	7	47	97	8	13	5	235	331	356	686	120	293	22	11	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.6
2039	30	MLB MLE	TEX	60%	445	388	90	18	3	7	46	98	8	12	6	232	327	348	674	115	291	22	10	307	94	-3	+0	-2	+8	+10	1.3
2040	31	MLB MLE	TEX	62%	426	372	85	17	3	6	44	96	7	11	7	228	322	337	659	110	288	23	10	301	90	-5	-1	-3	+8	+9	0.8
2041	32	MLB MLE	TEX	63%	407	355	79	16	3	5	42	93	7	10	8	222	316	324	640	102	284	23	10	293	85	-7	-1	-4	+7	+9	0.4
2042	33	MLB MLE	TEX	63%	387	339	72	14	2	4	39	91	6	10	10	215	308	309	617	94	279	24	10	284	78	-10	-2	-4	+7	+8	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	36	31	6	1	0	0	4	8	1	1	0	230	329	334	663	104	291	22	11	304	92	-0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	99	86	20	4	1	1	11	21	2	3	1	233	332	344	676	111	292	21	11	309	95	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.4
2030	21	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	177	152	36	7	1	3	19	38	4	5	2	236	334	353	687	117	293	21	11	313	97	-1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
2031	22	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	239	207	50	10	2	4	25	51	5	7	3	238	335	361	695	123	294	21	10	316	99	-0	+0	+0	+4	+5	1.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	256	222	54	11	2	5	27	54	5	8	3	240	335	367	703	127	295	21	11	318	101	+0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2033	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	254	220	54	11	2	5	27	54	5	8	3	241	336	370	707	129	296	21	11	320	102	+1	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2034	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	252	218	53	10	2	5	27	53	5	8	3	242	337	372	709	131	296	21	11	321	102	+1	+0	+0	+4	+5	1.1
2035	26	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	252	218	53	10	2	5	27	53	5	8	3	242	337	373	710	131	295	21	11	321	102	+1	+0	+0	+4	+5	1.1
2036	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	247	214	52	10	2	5	26	53	5	7	3	240	336	370	706	130	295	21	11	319	101	+0	+0	+0	+4	+5	1.1
2037	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	244	211	50	10	2	4	26	52	5	7	3	238	334	365	699	127	294	21	11	317	100	-0	+0	-0	+4	+5	1.0
2038	29	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	259	225	52	10	2	4	27	56	5	7	3	236	331	358	689	123	292	22	10	313	97	-1	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.9
2039	30	MLB CTX	TEX	60%	268	233	54	11	2	4	28	59	5	7	3	232	327	350	677	117	290	22	10	308	94	-2	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2040	31	MLB CTX	TEX	62%	263	229	52	10	2	4	27	59	5	7	4	228	322	339	661	111	287	22	10	302	90	-3	-0	-2	+5	+6	0.5
2041	32	MLB CTX	TEX	63%	256	224	50	10	2	3	26	59	4	7	5	222	316	326	642	104	283	23	10	294	85	-5	-1	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2042	33	MLB CTX	TEX	63%	246	215	47	9	2	3	25	58	4	6	6	215	308	310	618	95	278	24	10	284	78	-6	-1	-3	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3348	2905	683	134	26	55	352	728	65	96	45	235	331	356	687	121	294	22	11	311	96	-16	+1	-9	+60	+73	11.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	133	26	5	11	68	141	13	19	9	236	332	358	690	122	294	22	10	311	96	-3	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5974	5185	1214	251	42	89	633	1288	114	172	78	234	331	350	681	116	293	22	11	311	96	-27	+3	-15	+105	+128	19.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	133	27	5	10	69	140	12	19	8	236	332	355	686	119	295	22	11	311	96	-3	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Rangers Blue · 87 PAwOBA .491 → .343 (−147)K% 10.3% → 12.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.34%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	12.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	25.29%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	17.70%
HBP% /PA	4.60%	—	×0.700	—	—	3.22%
Singles /BIP	26.92%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	—	18.31%
Doubles /BIP	13.46%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	—	8.08%
Triples /BIP	1.92%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	—	1.15%
Home runs /BIP	1.92%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	0.90%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment.

Result: wOBA .491 → .343; ISO .197 → .124; BABIP .431 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	5.5	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#2Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#3John Stearns'74-'84 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,082 PA	4.6	3,082	46	91	253*	337*	403*	+46	+0	16.5	16.5
/162	664	10	20	+9.8	+0.1	3.6	pk7: 16
#4Johnny Edwards'61-'74 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,132 PA	7.7	5,132	81	15	240*	313*	380*	+92	+0	16.7	16.2
/162	664	10	2	+11.9	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 16
#5Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.1	3,396	52	98	235	327	353	+61	+36	13.9	11.3
/162	664	10	19	+11.9	+7.0	2.7	pk7: 9
#6Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Flores (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	225/323/320	95	290	0	1	21%	11%	88	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Josue De Paula 2024 · A	19	52→54	38→50	51→55	52	242/326/327	85	316	5	14	23%	10%	89	+0.5	236/331/360	124	307	12	20	25%	12%	99	+1.3	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	48→58	38→50	47→55	59	223/318/314	92	250	4	11	12%	11%	84	+0.1	240/302/336	96	303	6	18	21%	6%	82	+0.0	260/322/413	154	311	16	25	21%	5%	109	+1.8
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
●Kevin McGonigle 2024 · A	19	51→57	39→50	47→50	54	240/319/330	90	294	6	15	20%	10%	87	+0.4	261/339/405	144	289	14	15	14%	10%	112	+2.2	271/359/435	164	294	17	13	14%	12%	126	+2.5
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	50→54	41→50	47→55	54	238/323/346	109	290	6	7	19%	10%	93	+0.8	235/304/342	107	293	8	18	21%	8%	84	+0.2	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Colt Emerson 2024 · A	19	56→51	43→45	54→50	49	261/343/383	122	348	9	14	26%	9%	109	+2.0	239/321/362	123	313	11	13	25%	9%	96	+1.0	231/311/363	132	302	13	14	26%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	47→52	41→50	52→45	54	220/296/329	109	252	6	14	15%	9%	78	-0.3	234/279/319	85	286	5	8	19%	5%	69	-0.9	240/289/360	120	286	11	4	19%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	43	41→45	45	56	204/303/316	112	273	7	8	26%	12%	79	-0.2	186/265/271	85	280	6	5	33%	9%	55	-2.0	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Victor Ortega 2023 · A	19	47	37→45	43→45	52	219/302/295	76	287	4	6	24%	10%	74	-0.6	212/314/272	60	270	2	7	19%	12%	74	-0.6	222/329/302	80	289	4	3	21%	12%	84	+0.1
✕Miguel Rodríguez 2024 · A	18	48	35→40	45	58	218/327/282	64	261	2	10	16%	11%	82	-0.0	223/312/301	78	263	5	7	16%	9%	80	-0.2	228/321/301	73	263	6	6	15%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Walker Jenkins 2024 · A	19	53	45→50	53→55	45	257/305/391	134	308	11	11	20%	6%	95	+1.0	245/323/376	131	300	11	17	21%	9%	99	+1.3	248/332/390	141	301	14	20	21%	10%	103	+1.0
✕Axiel Plaz 2023 · A	17	48→51	42→50	51→40	49	225/310/341	116	302	7	7	26%	9%	87	+0.4	180/268/296	116	277	12	3	37%	8%	62	-1.4	209/276/363	155	262	21	2	29%	7%	78	-0.2
●Chance Sisco 2014 · A	19	54→64	38→50	47→40	47	247/319/327	80	341	5	6	27%	8%	86	+0.3	281/335/373	92	363	6	4	22%	7%	102	+1.5	296/352/391	94	378	6	3	22%	7%	110	+1.5

Jesus Flores

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps