Colt Emerson — OGILVIE

Colt EmersonSS Tacoma Rainiers

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AAA HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 3.7 · 2032

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .307 / .359

PA207

HR5

SB10

K%25

BB%8

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

52↗61

PWR

47↗51

SPD

50↘49

FLD

49↗54

EYE

50↗58

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.5peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

NTCDEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$3M	+2.0	$16M	+$13M
2028	Pre-Arb	$10M	+2.6	$22M	+$12M
2029	Arb-1	$13M	+3.1	$27M	+$14M
2030	Arb-2	$15M	+3.4	$31M	+$16M
2031	Arb-3	$16M	+3.6	$33M	+$17M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+3.7	$35M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$19M	+3.5	$34M	+$15M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+3.2	$32M	+$7M
Totals		$118M		$232M	+$114M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	A	2 teams	114	97	30	8	0	2	12	27	5	8	0	.309	.412	.454	.866	.144	.412	24	11	.373	143	+6	+2	+0	+1	+3	1.2
2024	19	A	3 teams	394	341	75	16	1	4	39	93	11	23	2	.220	.320	.308	.628	.088	.287	24	10	.281	73	-12	+4	+0	+4	+11	0.8
2025	20	A+	3 teams	600	533	124	24	4	13	44	145	15	14	5	.233	.309	.366	.675	.133	.290	24	7	.297	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	73	65	14	5	0	2	5	25	2	6	2	.215	.292	.385	.676	.169	.316	34	7	.276	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	21	MLB	SEA	134	119	28	6	1	3	11	35	3	4	1	.235	.316	.378	.694	.143	.291	26	8	.301	89	-2	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.4
TOT	21	MLB	SEA	207	184	42	11	1	5	16	60	5	10	3	.228	.307	.380	.688	.152	.308	29	8	.292	82	-4	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 64%	SEA	545	483	111	23	2	13	46	127	11	16	4	.230	.311	.366	.678	.137	.284	23	8	.307	93	-4	+2	+1	+6	+15	2.0
2028	23	MLB 92%	SEA	589	520	125	25	3	16	52	133	12	16	4	.240	.324	.392	.716	.152	.286	23	9	.317	100	+0	+2	+1	+6	+17	2.6
2029	24	MLB	SEA	618	545	132	26	3	18	56	137	12	16	4	.242	.326	.400	.726	.158	.288	22	9	.324	106	+4	+2	+1	+7	+18	3.1
2030	25	MLB	SEA	634	558	137	27	3	19	59	139	12	15	4	.246	.331	.407	.737	.161	.290	22	9	.328	109	+7	+1	+1	+7	+18	3.4
2031	26	MLB	SEA	642	565	139	27	3	20	60	141	12	15	4	.246	.331	.411	.742	.165	.290	22	9	.331	111	+8	+1	+1	+7	+18	3.6
2032	27	MLB	SEA	642	564	139	27	3	20	61	142	12	14	3	.246	.333	.411	.744	.165	.291	22	10	.331	111	+8	+2	+1	+7	+18	3.7
2033	28	MLB	SEA	637	559	137	26	3	20	61	142	12	13	3	.245	.332	.410	.742	.165	.290	22	10	.330	111	+8	+1	+0	+7	+18	3.5
2034	29	MLB	SEA	627	549	134	26	3	19	61	141	12	11	2	.244	.333	.406	.739	.162	.290	22	10	.328	109	+6	+1	-1	+7	+18	3.2
2035	30	MLB	SEA	617	540	129	25	2	18	60	141	12	10	2	.239	.328	.393	.721	.154	.289	23	10	.325	107	+5	+1	-1	+7	+17	3.0
2036	31	MLB	SEA	602	528	125	24	2	17	58	140	11	8	1	.237	.325	.386	.711	.150	.288	23	10	.322	104	+3	+1	-2	+6	+17	2.6
2037	32	MLB	SEA	584	512	120	23	2	16	56	139	11	7	0	.234	.323	.381	.704	.146	.287	24	10	.317	101	+1	+1	-3	+6	+17	2.3
2038	33	MLB	SEA	554	486	112	21	2	15	53	136	10	6	0	.230	.319	.374	.693	.144	.286	25	10	.312	97	-2	+1	-3	+6	+16	1.8
2039	34	MLB	SEA	507	445	101	19	2	13	48	129	9	5	0	.227	.315	.366	.681	.139	.285	25	9	.306	92	-4	+1	-4	+5	+14	1.2
2040	35	MLB	SEA	450	397	88	16	2	11	42	119	8	5	0	.222	.309	.355	.664	.134	.284	26	9	.299	87	-7	+1	-5	+5	+13	0.7
2041	36	MLB	SEA	389	343	72	13	1	8	36	107	7	4	0	.210	.298	.324	.622	.114	.282	28	9	.290	80	-9	+1	-6	+4	+11	0.2
2042	37	MLB	SEA	324	285	60	11	1	6	30	92	6	4	0	.211	.299	.319	.618	.109	.279	28	9	.281	73	-10	+1	-7	+3	+9	-0.3
2043	38	MLB	SEA	254	225	45	8	1	4	23	74	4	3	0	.200	.286	.298	.583	.098	.275	29	9	.271	65	-10	+1	-7	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10457	9194	2163	421	44	275	968	2479	207	217	39	.235	.322	.380	.702	.145	.291	24	9	.314	99	-14	+28	-33	+112	+296	39.7
/ 162G	—			650	571	134	26	3	17	60	154	13	13	2	.235	.321	.380	.701	.145	.290	24	9	.314	99	-1	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	A	Modesto Nuts	79	63	19	6	0	1	11	14	4	4	0	.302	.430	.444	.875	.143	.375	18	14	.396	161	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	35	28	15	4	0	1	6	6	1	4	0	.536	.629	.786	1.414	.250	.667	17	17	.605	321	+9	+1	—	—	+1	1.1
2024	19	A+	Everett AquaSox	139	120	27	5	0	2	15	30	4	9	1	.225	.331	.317	.648	.092	.284	22	11	.303	90	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	19	A	Modesto Nuts	193	150	44	12	1	2	35	27	6	6	1	.293	.445	.427	.872	.133	.341	14	18	.395	161	+13	+1	—	—	+5	2.0
2024	19	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	62	54	20	9	0	0	6	14	1	8	0	.370	.443	.537	.980	.167	.488	23	10	.426	184	+6	+2	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	20	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	27	22	8	2	0	2	3	6	1	1	1	.364	.462	.727	1.189	.364	.400	22	11	.488	232	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	20	AA	Arkansas Travelers	161	142	40	10	1	3	14	31	4	7	0	.282	.362	.430	.792	.148	.339	19	9	.354	129	+5	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	412	342	96	16	5	11	54	68	10	6	4	.281	.394	.453	.847	.173	.316	17	13	.375	145	+21	-0	—	—	+12	3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colt Emerson (OGILVIE)	21	52→61	47→51	50→49	58	.228/.307/.359	.131	.290	5	4	25%	8%	90	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	52→58	41→45	48→50	53	.248/.314/.348	.100	.291	8	13	17%	8%	88	+0.9	.222/.296/.324	.102	.270	9	9	20%	9%	75	-0.0	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
●Vaughn Grissom 2023 · MLB	22	54→63	47→50	54→55	47	.269/.331/.403	.135	.312	15	19	19%	6%	110	+2.4	.261/.324/.385	.124	.312	12	15	19%	7%	102	+1.9	.252/.317/.372	.120	.303	11	13	20%	7%	93	+0.9
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	46→52	47→60	48→50	48	.228/.298/.366	.138	.291	14	13	26%	8%	87	+0.8	.216/.287/.334	.118	.296	10	14	28%	8%	74	-0.1	.243/.309/.437	.195	.311	23	11	28%	8%	105	+1.3
✕Gavin Lux 2020 · MLB	22	50→58	49→50	50	47	.250/.307/.403	.153	.310	16	12	25%	8%	99	+1.7	.249/.315/.391	.142	.314	15	9	24%	9%	100	+1.7	.263/.338/.380	.117	.334	8	5	22%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Alek Thomas 2022 · AAA	22	50→52	48→50	50	44	.246/.306/.398	.152	.324	13	12	27%	7%	98	+1.6	.240/.291/.381	.141	.289	14	11	21%	6%	87	+0.8	.235/.283/.368	.133	.274	14	11	19%	6%	78	+0.1
●Kolten Wong 2012 · A	21	51→60	45→50	48→55	48	.248/.300/.374	.126	.278	11	12	16%	6%	89	+0.9	.251/.296/.362	.111	.291	9	18	17%	5%	84	+0.6	.270/.354/.410	.140	.305	12	16	15%	9%	112	+2.0
✕Luis García Jr. 2022 · MLB	22	48→57	47→50	43→50	42	.243/.274/.376	.133	.279	15	6	20%	4%	79	+0.3	.266/.301/.412	.146	.307	15	9	18%	5%	99	+1.7	.270/.306/.407	.137	.308	14	13	17%	5%	97	+1.4
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	43→53	52→60	54→50	45	.225/.291/.400	.174	.276	20	15	26%	7%	93	+1.3	.234/.302/.399	.165	.280	20	13	23%	8%	97	+1.5	.237/.305/.454	.217	.309	28	3	32%	8%	109	+1.8
●Omar Infante 2003 · MLB	21	53→63	46→55	45→50	49	.263/.314/.394	.131	.295	14	8	17%	7%	100	+1.7	.242/.294/.363	.121	.282	11	12	18%	7%	83	+0.6	.299/.346/.396	.097	.334	7	5	12%	7%	110	+1.5
●Alejandro Kirk 2021 · MLB	22	52→59	46→50	50→40	55	.252/.325/.391	.138	.283	12	5	16%	9%	104	+2.0	.262/.341/.401	.139	.285	15	3	13%	10%	114	+2.7	.271/.356/.402	.130	.288	15	0	11%	11%	117	+1.9
●Colt Keith 2023 · A	21	49→53	46→55	53→45	45	.236/.300/.372	.137	.327	13	8	31%	8%	89	+0.9	.251/.308/.410	.159	.313	18	5	25%	7%	102	+1.8	.253/.314/.408	.154	.307	18	4	23%	8%	102	+1.6
●Domonic Brown 2010 · AA	22	50→55	46→55	52→55	46	.247/.303/.381	.133	.304	13	17	23%	7%	92	+1.2	.253/.313/.405	.152	.311	16	16	23%	8%	102	+1.9	.252/.317/.416	.164	.286	19	11	19%	8%	101	+1.4
●Jeremy Hermida 2007 · MLB	23	50→59	50→55	53→50	56	.250/.343/.413	.163	.304	17	14	23%	12%	118	+3.0	.264/.342/.431	.167	.324	18	8	23%	10%	121	+3.2	.266/.345/.430	.165	.323	19	5	22%	10%	117	+2.5
●Esteban Quiroz 2013 · AAA	21	47→57	42→55	49→45	45	.228/.281/.337	.109	.272	9	10	20%	6%	72	-0.2	.236/.300/.349	.113	.282	9	8	19%	7%	82	+0.5	.283/.357/.422	.139	.316	15	7	15%	9%	125	+2.2
✕Dilson Herrera 2015 · MLB	21	49→57	46→50	50	42	.244/.291/.378	.134	.311	13	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	.244/.293/.379	.135	.303	14	12	24%	6%	88	+0.9	.235/.284/.368	.133	.287	15	10	23%	6%	77	+0.1
●Corey Patterson 2001 · MLB	21	45→55	53→55	47→60	46	.235/.305/.404	.169	.290	21	12	26%	8%	100	+1.7	.244/.288/.392	.148	.296	17	16	23%	5%	89	+0.9	.265/.306/.437	.171	.323	18	24	23%	5%	103	+1.8
★Eric Hosmer 2012 · MLB	22	56→64	50→55	50	48	.280/.327/.439	.160	.318	17	10	18%	7%	117	+2.9	.273/.328/.418	.145	.307	16	12	16%	8%	112	+2.6	.291/.358/.463	.171	.327	22	5	17%	9%	129	+4.2
●CJ Abrams 2022 · AA	21	51→53	43→55	56→60	43	.247/.296/.367	.120	.312	8	21	23%	6%	85	+0.7	.247/.296/.379	.132	.295	13	29	20%	5%	89	+0.9	.248/.310/.428	.179	.287	18	35	20%	6%	104	+2.1
●Eddie Rosario 2014 · AA	22	51→55	48→60	46→50	42	.253/.292/.404	.151	.309	14	9	23%	5%	93	+1.3	.245/.276/.389	.144	.307	13	10	24%	4%	82	+0.5	.277/.313/.475	.198	.296	27	7	17%	5%	116	+2.8
●Brett Baty 2022 · AA	22	52→57	48→55	46→45	44	.247/.313/.393	.146	.352	15	8	32%	8%	99	+1.7	.251/.316/.415	.164	.334	21	5	30%	8%	107	+2.2	.241/.310/.405	.164	.306	23	3	28%	8%	98	+1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)