Diego Hernandez

SS DSL Cubs Red

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Cubs Red	78	.233/.403/.350	0	6	47	—	.143/.299/.206
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	188	.219/.302/.309	1	4	75	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	57	.223/.306/.320	0	1	80	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	150	.226/.310/.329	1	3	83	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed83

K%80

Chase%66

wOBA55

wRC+51

ISO50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJett Williams (age 19) · José Mejía (age 18) · Alirio Ferrebus (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj PA

wRC+75

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .299 / .306

PA72

HR0

K%24

BB%8

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$36M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	78	60	14	3	2	0	11	12	6	6	5	233	403	350	753	117	286	15	14	350	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	78	63	9	2	1	0	8	15	6	6	5	143	299	206	505	63	181	19	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	78	63	9	2	1	0	8	15	6	6	5	143	299	206	505	63	184	19	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	78	60	14	3	2	0	11	12	6	6	5	233	403	350	753	117	286	15	14	350	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	78	64	9	2	1	0	8	15	6	6	5	141	299	203	502	62	181	19	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	78	64	9	2	1	0	8	15	6	6	5	141	299	203	502	62	181	19	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	188	166	36	6	3	1	15	44	5	4	1	219	302	309	610	90	289	23	8	280	75	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	165	146	32	6	2	1	13	39	5	4	1	223	306	320	626	97	291	24	8	286	80	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	309	272	62	11	4	3	25	72	9	7	2	226	310	329	640	103	293	23	8	291	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	420	371	86	15	6	5	34	97	12	10	3	229	313	338	651	109	294	23	8	296	86	-7	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.8
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	499	443	102	18	6	7	40	115	13	12	3	231	315	346	661	115	294	23	8	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	553	489	114	20	7	8	45	126	14	13	4	233	316	352	669	119	295	23	8	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.3
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	588	520	121	21	7	9	48	134	15	14	4	234	317	355	673	121	296	23	8	304	92	-6	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	608	537	126	22	8	9	50	139	16	14	4	235	318	357	675	122	296	23	8	305	92	-5	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	619	547	129	23	8	10	51	141	16	14	4	235	318	358	676	123	296	23	8	305	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	621	549	130	23	8	10	51	143	16	13	4	234	317	356	672	122	295	23	8	304	92	-6	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.5
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	617	546	127	22	8	9	50	143	16	11	3	232	315	351	666	119	295	23	8	301	90	-7	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	608	539	124	22	7	9	49	143	15	9	3	230	312	345	657	115	293	24	8	298	88	-9	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.0
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	60%	598	530	120	21	7	8	48	142	15	6	2	227	309	338	646	111	292	24	8	294	85	-11	+0	-2	+6	+13	0.7
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	62%	584	519	116	20	7	7	46	141	14	2	2	223	304	328	632	105	289	24	8	288	81	-13	-0	-3	+6	+13	0.2
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	63%	566	504	110	19	6	6	44	140	13	1	1	218	298	316	615	99	286	25	8	281	76	-16	-0	-4	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	57	50	11	2	1	0	5	13	2	1	0	223	306	320	626	97	291	23	9	286	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	150	133	29	5	2	1	12	35	4	3	1	226	310	329	640	103	293	23	8	291	83	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	228	202	46	8	3	3	18	53	6	5	1	229	313	338	651	109	294	23	8	296	86	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	282	249	58	10	4	4	23	65	8	7	2	231	315	346	661	115	294	23	8	300	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	318	281	66	12	4	5	26	73	8	7	2	233	316	352	669	119	295	23	8	303	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	335	296	69	12	4	5	27	77	9	8	2	234	317	355	673	121	296	23	8	304	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	345	305	71	13	4	5	28	79	9	8	2	235	318	357	675	122	296	23	8	305	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	350	309	73	13	4	6	29	80	9	8	2	235	318	358	676	123	296	23	8	305	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	345	305	71	13	4	5	28	79	9	7	2	234	317	356	672	122	295	23	8	304	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	339	299	69	12	4	5	28	79	9	6	2	232	315	351	666	119	295	23	8	301	90	-4	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	353	312	72	13	4	5	29	83	9	5	2	230	312	345	657	115	293	24	8	298	88	-5	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.6
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	60%	360	319	73	13	4	5	29	86	9	4	1	227	309	338	646	111	292	24	8	294	85	-7	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	62%	361	320	71	12	4	4	29	87	9	1	1	223	304	328	632	105	289	24	8	288	81	-8	-0	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	63%	355	316	69	12	4	4	28	88	8	1	1	218	298	316	615	99	286	25	8	281	76	-10	-0	-2	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4178	3696	848	150	50	57	339	977	108	71	21	229	313	343	656	114	295	23	8	298	87	-62	+6	-6	+45	+91	7.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	132	23	8	9	53	152	17	11	3	230	314	344	658	115	294	23	8	298	87	-10	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7505	6639	1521	267	93	101	608	1747	197	138	45	229	312	343	655	114	294	23	8	297	87	-110	+10	-10	+80	+161	13.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	132	23	8	9	53	151	17	12	4	230	313	344	658	115	294	23	8	297	87	-10	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Spike Owen'83-'95 * career totals — 13 seasons, 5,615 PA	8.5	5,615	46	82	242*	322*	356*	+55	+30	15.6	15.3
/162	664	5	10	+6.5	+3.6	1.8	pk7: 15
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.4	4,250	58	73	231	310	345	+46	+27	10.4	8.8
/162	664	9	11	+7.1	+4.2	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Diego Hernandez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	217/299/306	89	289	0	2	24%	8%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	46→54	35→50	53→60	44	214/285/281	67	280	1	11	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/274/278	66	288	4	15	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Brennen Davis 2019 · A	19	48→43	36→50	51→45	46	221/300/290	68	306	3	12	26%	8%	72	-0.7	233/303/375	142	314	15	8	29%	7%	93	+0.8	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	45→48	36→50	56→50	48	210/272/282	72	247	3	16	16%	6%	59	-1.7	217/279/313	96	271	9	15	22%	6%	69	-0.9	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Angel Cepeda 2024 · A	18	45→43	37→45	52→55	46	205/294/283	79	301	4	9	30%	9%	68	-1.0	205/276/298	93	338	8	17	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/276/300	101	335	10	19	40%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	44→49	37→55	49→50	45	205/273/280	75	288	3	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	244/281/380	136	295	14	15	22%	4%	84	+0.2	251/287/411	161	323	17	11	27%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	43→53	37→55	50	50	203/282/289	86	254	3	13	20%	8%	65	-1.2	228/282/352	124	298	11	12	26%	6%	78	-0.3	267/319/412	145	327	15	13	22%	6%	104	+1.4
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0

Diego Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps