José Mejía — OGILVIE

José Mejía3B Hillsboro Hops

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION484 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP276

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$12M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	26	9	1	0	0	6	3	2	7	2	346	500	385	885	38	391	9	18	417	168	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	150	45	9	1	2	24	16	4	28	6	300	410	413	823	113	326	9	13	376	140	+9	+3	—	—	+4	1.6
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	158	124	34	9	1	2	26	16	6	6	5	274	423	411	834	137	296	10	16	378	142	+8	-1	—	—	+3	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	28	8	1	0	0	4	4	2	7	2	286	412	321	733	36	302	12	12	308	95	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	159	36	7	1	2	15	24	4	28	6	226	309	321	630	94	253	13	8	275	72	-6	+3	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	158	134	29	7	1	2	16	24	6	6	5	216	327	328	655	112	230	15	10	278	74	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	28	8	1	0	0	4	4	2	7	2	286	412	321	733	36	333	12	12	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	26	9	1	0	0	6	3	2	7	2	346	500	385	885	38	391	9	18	417	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	159	36	7	1	2	15	24	4	28	6	226	309	321	630	94	256	13	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	150	45	9	1	2	24	16	4	28	6	300	410	413	823	113	326	9	13	376	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	158	134	29	7	1	2	16	24	6	6	5	216	327	328	655	112	245	15	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	158	124	34	9	1	2	26	16	6	6	5	274	423	411	834	137	296	10	16	378	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	28	8	1	0	0	4	4	2	7	2	286	412	321	733	36	302	12	12	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	157	36	7	1	2	15	24	4	28	6	229	309	325	634	96	253	13	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	158	135	29	7	1	2	16	24	6	6	5	215	327	326	653	111	230	15	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	28	8	1	0	0	4	4	2	7	2	286	412	321	733	36	302	12	12	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	157	36	7	1	2	15	24	4	28	6	229	309	325	634	96	253	13	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	158	135	29	7	1	2	16	24	6	6	5	215	327	326	653	111	230	15	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	ARI	—	484	426	86	17	2	6	47	116	5	18	5	202	289	293	582	92	259	24	10	264	64	-20	+2	+0	+2	+10	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	ARI	—	136	107	32	7	2	3	27	21	2	4	1	299	449	486	935	187	349	15	20	418	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ RAW	ARI	—	348	292	68	15	1	4	44	63	3	14	4	233	336	332	668	99	278	18	13	303	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	ARI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		270	22	11	276	73	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	ARI	—	493	434	87	17	2	6	48	118	5	18	5	200	287	290	578	90	257	24	10	264	65	-21	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	43%	384	339	75	15	2	6	37	84	5	9	3	221	307	330	637	109	274	22	10	291	83	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	61%	565	499	114	23	3	11	54	122	7	13	4	228	312	353	665	124	276	22	10	299	88	-8	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.8
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	68%	582	514	119	24	3	12	56	124	7	12	4	232	315	360	675	128	278	21	10	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	70%	581	513	120	24	3	13	56	122	7	12	4	234	318	368	686	135	279	21	10	308	95	-4	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	70%	576	508	118	23	3	13	56	121	7	12	3	232	317	366	683	134	279	21	10	310	96	-3	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	71%	569	501	117	23	3	13	56	119	7	11	3	234	319	369	688	136	279	21	10	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	69%	560	492	116	23	3	13	56	118	7	11	3	236	323	374	697	138	278	21	10	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	69%	551	484	113	22	3	13	55	117	7	10	3	233	321	372	692	138	278	21	10	310	96	-3	+1	-1	+2	+12	1.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	73%	541	475	110	22	2	12	55	115	6	10	3	232	319	362	681	131	277	21	10	308	94	-4	+1	-1	+2	+12	1.0
2036	30	MLB MLE	ARI	76%	531	466	107	21	2	12	54	115	6	9	3	230	317	361	678	131	276	22	10	305	93	-5	+1	-2	+2	+12	0.7
2037	31	MLB MLE	ARI	78%	521	457	103	20	2	11	53	114	6	8	2	225	314	350	664	125	273	22	10	301	90	-6	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.5
2038	32	MLB MLE	ARI	79%	485	427	94	18	2	10	49	108	6	7	2	220	309	342	651	122	270	22	10	295	86	-8	+1	-4	+2	+11	0.1
2039	33	MLB MLE	ARI	80%	456	402	87	16	2	9	46	104	5	6	2	216	305	333	638	117	266	23	10	288	81	-10	+0	-4	+2	+10	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	ARI	43%	167	147	34	7	1	3	16	37	2	4	1	231	315	354	669	122	280	22	10	286	83	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	61%	344	304	70	15	2	6	33	74	4	8	2	230	314	352	666	122	282	22	10	293	88	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.5
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	68%	397	351	82	17	2	8	38	84	5	8	3	234	317	362	679	128	284	21	10	299	92	-4	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.7
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	70%	404	357	85	18	2	9	39	85	5	8	3	238	322	375	697	137	285	21	10	302	95	-3	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	70%	405	357	85	18	2	9	40	85	5	8	2	238	323	375	699	137	285	21	10	304	96	-2	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	71%	402	354	85	18	2	9	40	84	5	8	2	240	326	379	704	138	285	21	10	305	96	-2	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	69%	388	341	81	17	2	9	39	81	5	8	2	238	325	378	703	141	284	21	10	305	96	-2	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	69%	378	332	78	16	2	8	38	80	5	7	2	235	323	367	690	133	284	21	10	304	96	-2	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	73%	394	346	81	17	2	8	40	84	5	7	2	234	322	364	686	130	283	21	10	302	94	-3	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.7
2036	30	MLB CTX	ARI	76%	402	353	82	17	2	8	41	87	5	7	2	232	321	360	681	127	282	22	10	299	93	-4	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.6
2037	31	MLB CTX	ARI	78%	405	356	82	17	2	8	41	89	5	6	2	230	318	357	675	126	279	22	10	295	90	-5	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.4
2038	32	MLB CTX	ARI	79%	383	337	75	15	2	7	39	85	4	6	2	223	311	341	652	119	276	22	10	289	86	-6	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.1
2039	33	MLB CTX	ARI	80%	365	321	71	14	2	7	37	83	4	5	2	221	309	343	652	121	271	23	10	283	81	-8	+0	-3	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4834	4256	991	206	25	99	481	1038	59	90	27	233	319	363	682	130	284	21	10	298	91	-47	+7	-11	+17	+105	7.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	133	28	3	13	65	140	8	12	4	233	319	360	680	128	284	22	10	298	91	-6	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7281	6406	1467	289	35	152	719	1537	95	171	52	229	316	356	672	127	277	21	10	302	91	-68	+10	-15	+25	+150	10.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	131	26	3	14	64	137	8	15	5	229	315	358	673	129	276	21	10	302	91	-6	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	8.5	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
/162	664	18	5	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.3	4,836	105	90	230	313	359	+17	+9	10.9	9.3
/162	664	14	12	+2.4	+1.2	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Mejía (OGILVIE)	20	50	30	50	60	211/295/301	91	270	3	8	23%	9%	73	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	53	39→40	48→60	52	250/330/338	87	313	5	15	20%	9%	93	+0.8	245/315/330	85	282	6	20	14%	7%	86	+0.3	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Edgar Munoz 2012 · A	20	55	37→30	47→55	51	258/328/330	72	294	4	18	13%	7%	91	+0.6	217/276/281	64	262	4	17	18%	6%	59	-1.6	213/265/283	70	260	6	19	20%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	243/318/320	77	276	7	9	14%	6%	85	+0.2	217/284/305	88	264	7	7	19%	7%	69	-0.9	193/256/279	86	239	6	6	21%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Luis Perez 2011 · A	20	49	36→30	48→50	54	228/311/303	75	269	3	10	15%	9%	78	-0.3	224/279/332	108	274	8	9	20%	6%	73	-0.6	221/258/355	134	277	11	6	24%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Gorge Munoz 2016 · A	20	48	38→40	50→55	48	225/295/308	83	273	5	19	19%	7%	74	-0.6	203/254/284	81	275	6	13	27%	5%	53	-2.1	183/226/255	73	252	6	13	29%	3%	34	-1.1
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→55	38→45	48→50	49	218/287/306	88	288	3	11	24%	8%	70	-0.9	245/307/361	116	300	9	13	20%	7%	90	+0.6	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Jeferson Morales 2019 · A	20	47→48	38→45	50	54	218/320/316	97	274	3	15	20%	10%	86	+0.3	207/295/325	118	259	9	9	22%	9%	78	-0.3	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	54	40→45	51→50	51	257/326/355	98	290	6	10	14%	7%	96	+1.0	226/293/318	92	282	7	8	21%	6%	75	-0.5	215/272/344	129	278	15	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	54	218/314/294	76	289	3	19	23%	10%	78	-0.3	190/273/272	82	291	5	10	33%	10%	57	-1.8	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	50	40→45	51→50	44	234/303/337	103	302	5	13	23%	6%	83	+0.1	213/264/311	98	288	6	9	27%	5%	62	-1.4	195/238/286	91	273	8	8	31%	4%	44	-0.9
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	74	-0.5	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.5	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	118	+1.1
✕Dyan Jorge 2023 · A	20	48→49	39→30	45→60	46	227/286/316	89	284	6	12	22%	7%	72	-0.7	225/276/291	66	305	4	18	25%	6%	61	-1.5	215/265/265	50	296	2	22	27%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Yohander Martinez 2022 · A	20	50	36→30	46→50	52	230/318/289	59	304	4	11	24%	10%	78	-0.3	208/313/274	66	285	5	7	26%	10%	74	-0.5	178/307/225	47	252	4	6	27%	12%	62	-0.4
✕Erick Brito 2022 · A	20	51→44	34→30	51→55	54	233/321/287	54	305	2	17	22%	10%	79	-0.2	210/274/271	61	272	2	18	22%	7%	57	-1.8	216/273/282	66	280	2	23	22%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Andy Paz 2013 · A	20	49	36→40	44→45	51	228/300/296	67	288	2	6	20%	8%	72	-0.7	194/255/266	72	271	5	5	28%	7%	49	-2.4	214/269/283	68	275	5	4	23%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Carlos Arroyo 2021 · A	20	48	36→30	49→50	48	224/281/291	67	257	4	15	14%	6%	64	-1.3	213/270/287	74	250	4	12	16%	6%	59	-1.7	147/213/203	56	245	5	15	40%	5%	17	-1.6
✕Francisco Aponte 2011 · A	20	51	34→30	52→60	53	234/311/288	54	289	2	20	18%	9%	75	-0.5	218/283/281	63	275	2	15	19%	8%	62	-1.4	205/243/263	58	255	0	10	19%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→30	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	86	+0.3	212/313/285	73	291	4	7	26%	10%	76	-0.4	204/326/266	62	270	4	7	22%	12%	75	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps