José Mejía — OGILVIE

José Mejía2B Visalia Rawhide

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.3 · 2032

wRC+†135

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .312 / .348

PA149

HR3

K%21

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

30→30

SPD

50→50

EYE

57↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.4peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+3.1	$29M	+$28M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.3	$32M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.3	$32M	+$32M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.2	$32M	+$26M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+3.0	$31M	+$21M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.8	$30M	+$16M
Totals		$33M		$187M	+$153M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	34	28	7	1	0	0	4	4	2	7	2	.250	.382	.286	.668	.036	.292	12	12	.303	90	-0	+1	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	178	158	36	7	1	2	16	24	4	28	6	.228	.315	.323	.637	.095	.258	13	9	.273	67	-7	+3	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	158	134	29	7	1	2	16	24	6	6	5	.216	.327	.328	.655	.112	.245	15	10	.276	69	-5	-1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	67	55	19	2	2	2	11	15	1	2	0	.345	.463	.564	1.026	.218	.447	22	16	.413	174	+6	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.8
ROS	20	MLB	ARI	82	73	19	3	1	2	8	17	1	2	0	.260	.341	.411	.752	.151	.307	21	10	.321	104	+0	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.3
TOT	20	MLB	ARI	149	128	38	5	3	4	19	32	2	4	0	.297	.396	.477	.873	.180	.370	21	13	.362	135	+6	+1	+0	+1	+4	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	ARI	242	212	54	10	2	5	25	46	3	5	1	.255	.342	.392	.733	.137	.301	19	10	.328	109	+3	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.1
2028	22	MLB 28%	ARI	358	312	80	14	3	8	38	67	5	8	2	.256	.346	.397	.744	.141	.300	19	11	.334	114	+5	+1	+0	+1	+10	1.8
2029	23	MLB 48%	ARI	434	378	99	18	4	11	47	80	6	9	2	.262	.353	.418	.771	.156	.300	18	11	.339	117	+9	+1	+0	+2	+12	2.4
2030	24	MLB 62%	ARI	485	422	110	20	4	12	53	89	7	10	2	.261	.353	.412	.765	.152	.301	18	11	.343	120	+11	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.8
2031	25	MLB 80%	ARI	513	444	116	21	4	13	57	93	7	10	2	.261	.354	.414	.769	.153	.301	18	11	.346	123	+13	+1	+0	+2	+15	3.1
2032	26	MLB 94%	ARI	528	456	119	21	4	14	60	96	7	10	2	.261	.356	.417	.772	.156	.302	18	11	.347	124	+14	+1	+0	+2	+15	3.3
2033	27	MLB	ARI	533	459	121	22	4	14	61	97	8	10	2	.264	.360	.420	.780	.157	.302	18	11	.347	124	+15	+1	+0	+2	+15	3.3
2034	28	MLB	ARI	532	459	119	21	4	14	61	98	7	10	1	.259	.355	.414	.769	.155	.301	18	11	.346	123	+14	+2	-1	+2	+15	3.2
2035	29	MLB	ARI	524	451	118	21	4	14	61	98	7	9	1	.262	.358	.419	.777	.157	.301	19	12	.344	122	+13	+1	-1	+2	+15	3.0
2036	30	MLB	ARI	515	443	114	20	4	13	60	98	7	9	0	.257	.355	.409	.763	.151	.299	19	12	.341	119	+11	+2	-2	+2	+15	2.8
2037	31	MLB	ARI	502	432	110	20	4	12	58	98	7	7	0	.255	.352	.403	.755	.148	.298	20	12	.337	116	+9	+1	-3	+2	+14	2.4
2038	32	MLB	ARI	484	419	103	18	3	11	56	97	6	7	0	.246	.343	.382	.725	.136	.297	20	12	.333	113	+7	+1	-4	+2	+14	2.1
2039	33	MLB	ARI	455	394	96	17	3	10	52	94	6	6	0	.244	.341	.378	.719	.135	.295	21	11	.327	109	+4	+1	-4	+2	+13	1.6
2040	34	MLB	ARI	409	354	86	15	3	9	47	88	5	6	0	.243	.340	.379	.718	.136	.294	22	11	.321	104	+2	+1	-5	+1	+12	1.1
2041	35	MLB	ARI	355	308	71	12	2	7	40	80	4	5	0	.231	.327	.351	.677	.120	.292	23	11	.313	98	-1	+1	-6	+1	+10	0.6
2042	36	MLB	ARI	296	257	58	10	2	5	33	70	4	5	0	.226	.323	.339	.662	.113	.289	24	11	.304	91	-3	+1	-6	+1	+8	0.1
2043	37	MLB	ARI	233	202	45	7	2	4	26	57	3	4	0	.223	.320	.337	.657	.114	.285	24	11	.295	84	-4	+1	-7	+1	+7	-0.3
2044	38	MLB	ARI	165	144	30	5	1	2	18	42	2	3	0	.208	.305	.299	.603	.090	.281	25	11	.284	76	-5	+1	-8	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8015	6939	1740	310	60	184	897	1557	114	176	28	.251	.346	.392	.738	.142	.297	19	11	.331	112	+105	+24	-46	+29	+227	34.6
/ 162G	—			650	563	141	25	5	15	73	126	9	14	2	.250	.346	.393	.738	.142	.296	19	11	.331	112	+9	+2	-4	+2	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	34	26	9	1	0	0	6	3	2	7	2	.346	.500	.385	.885	.038	.391	9	18	.417	177	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	178	150	45	9	1	2	24	16	4	28	6	.300	.410	.413	.823	.113	.326	9	13	.376	146	+9	+3	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	158	124	34	9	1	2	26	16	6	6	5	.274	.423	.411	.834	.137	.296	10	16	.378	148	+9	-1	—	—	+4	1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Mejía (OGILVIE)	20	50	30	50	60	.233/.312/.348	.115	.287	3	3	21%	9%	89	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Edgar Munoz 2012 · A	20	54	37→30	47→55	51	.255/.324/.328	.073	.292	4	17	14%	7%	88	+0.9	.220/.280/.282	.062	.264	3	18	17%	6%	56	-1.3	.214/.266/.287	.073	.260	7	19	20%	6%	47	-0.6
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	.241/.316/.320	.079	.276	7	9	15%	6%	82	+0.5	.218/.285/.305	.087	.262	7	7	19%	7%	66	-0.6	.189/.251/.275	.086	.232	6	6	21%	6%	42	-0.7
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	51→58	41→45	47→50	51	.245/.310/.342	.096	.296	8	15	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.235/.303/.332	.097	.280	8	11	18%	9%	79	+0.3	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	53	39→40	48→60	51	.247/.325/.335	.088	.311	5	14	21%	9%	90	+1.0	.246/.316/.332	.086	.284	6	20	15%	8%	85	+0.7	.250/.305/.317	.067	.277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→30	47→45	49	.227/.314/.329	.102	.280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.215/.317/.288	.073	.287	4	7	24%	10%	76	+0.1	.207/.331/.267	.060	.268	4	7	21%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	54	40→45	51→50	50	.254/.323/.352	.098	.288	6	10	14%	7%	93	+1.3	.228/.295/.318	.090	.283	7	8	21%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.267/.344	.132	.272	16	8	27%	5%	64	-0.4
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.231/.300/.334	.103	.298	6	13	23%	6%	79	+0.3	.214/.266/.312	.098	.287	6	10	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.236/.286	.092	.269	8	8	30%	4%	36	-0.9
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
✕Ulises Montilla 2012 · A	20	54	38→45	44→50	54	.250/.313/.337	.087	.275	4	9	11%	8%	85	+0.7	.237/.296/.329	.092	.276	4	9	15%	7%	75	-0.0	.230/.290/.330	.099	.271	4	10	15%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Jairo Marquez 2008 · A	20	52	41→40	45	49	.248/.307/.345	.096	.276	8	5	13%	6%	84	+0.6	.225/.278/.317	.092	.252	7	6	14%	6%	65	-0.7	.206/.259/.284	.079	.226	6	6	12%	6%	45	-0.5
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	51	40→45	50	56	.242/.330/.341	.100	.294	6	9	19%	11%	93	+1.3	.219/.290/.298	.079	.284	3	7	22%	8%	65	-0.7	.202/.252/.280	.079	.255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→56	39→45	48→50	49	.219/.288/.312	.093	.287	4	11	24%	8%	68	-0.5	.242/.304/.357	.115	.297	9	13	20%	7%	86	+0.8	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.233/.286/.325	.092	.282	7	15	20%	5%	70	-0.3	.247/.305/.363	.116	.288	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.9	.277/.338/.426	.150	.303	14	17	13%	6%	120	+1.3
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
●Iván Herrera 2021 · A	21	48→57	42→50	46→50	45	.231/.294/.328	.097	.300	10	4	25%	7%	75	-0.0	.220/.302/.349	.129	.288	15	6	27%	9%	85	+0.7	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Jeferson Morales 2019 · A	20	47→46	38→45	50	54	.219/.318/.315	.096	.276	3	14	20%	10%	83	+0.6	.208/.297/.326	.118	.259	9	9	22%	9%	76	+0.1	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)