José Mejía

3B Hillsboro Hops
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP40OGV rank#352ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Orioles B…178.300/.410/.41322852—.191/.287/.261
202519ROKBAL158.274/.423/.4112674—.216/.327/.328
202620A+/AARI484.251/.368/.37371875—.216/.307/.311
2027PROJMLE21MLBARI1.227/.315/.33200800.0
2028PROJ35% MLB22MLBARI152.232/.320/.35023870.2
2029PROJ49% MLB23MLBARI239.236/.323/.36245910.4
Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$2M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Whiff%93
Z-Con%84
K%81
Speed61
BB%59
Chase%59
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 12, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 80%
CompsNacho Alvarez Jr. (age 21) · Dyan Jorge (age 21) · Henry Henry (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .315 / .332
PA1
HR0
K%22
BB%10
BABIP288
ISO103
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.40.50.60.60.60.50.30.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2034Arb-1$2M+0.5$1M+$0.0M
2035Arb-2$3M+0.3$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-3$3M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $5M $7M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 3426 9100 632 72 346500385885 38391 918 417 80 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 178150 45912 24164 286 300410413823 113326 913 376 52 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Orioles — 158124 34912 26166 65 274423411834 137296 1016 378 74 — — — — — —
202620 A+Hillsboro Hops — 348292 681514 44633 144 233336332668 99278 1813 303 59 — — — — — —
202620 AVisalia Rawhide — 136107 32723 27212 41 299449486935 187349 1520 418 117 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 3428 7100 442 72 250382286668 36252 1212 287 80 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 178157 30611 17204 286 191287261548 70208 1110 245 52 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 158134 29712 16246 65 216327328655 112229 1510 277 74 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 348307 621313 32853 144 202284280564 78256 249 256 59 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 136115 29622 19292 41 252368391759 139319 2114 341 117 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 3428 7100 442 72 250382286668 36292 1212 287 80 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Black — 3426 9100 632 72 346500385885 38391 918 417 80 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 178157 30611 17204 286 191287261548 70213 1110 245 52 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Black — 178150 45912 24164 286 300410413823 113326 913 376 52 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 158134 29712 16246 65 216327328655 112245 1510 277 74 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Orioles — 158124 34912 26166 65 274423411834 137296 1016 378 74 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLE2 teams — 484422 921936 511135 185 218310320630 102279 2311 280 76 — — — — — —
202620 A+ RAW2 teams — 484399 1002237 71845 185 251368373742 123297 1715 336 76 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 3428 7100 442 72 250382286668 36252 1212 287 80 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 178155 30611 17204 286 194287265551 71208 1110 245 52 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 158135 29712 16246 65 215327326653 111229 1510 277 74 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLE2 teams — 484425 921936 511135 185 216310318627 101274 2311 280 76 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 178155 30611 17204 286 194287265551 71208 1110 245 52 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 158135 29712 16246 65 215327326653 111229 1510 277 74 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLE2 teams — 484425 921936 511135 185 216310318627 101274 2311 280 76 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEARI 0% 553485 1072237 571246 124 219308318627 99278 2210 287 80 -13 +1 +0 +2 +12 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202721 MLB CTXARI 0% 11 0000 000 00 227315332647 105288 00 295 80 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEARI 35% 441388 871827 45975 103 225314337651 112279 2210 296 87 -7 +1 +0 +2 +10 0.5
202923 MLB MLEARI 49% 493434 992039 511075 103 229317350667 121281 2210 302 91 -6 +1 +0 +2 +11 0.8
203024 MLB MLEARI 53% 527463 10722310 541135 113 232319358677 126282 2110 306 93 -4 +1 +0 +2 +11 1.0
203125 MLB MLEARI 55% 546479 11223311 561176 113 233320362682 129283 2110 308 94 -4 +1 +0 +2 +12 1.1
203226 MLB MLEARI 56% 556488 11523312 571206 113 233320364684 131283 2210 308 95 -3 +1 +0 +2 +12 1.2
203327 MLB MLEARI 55% 555487 11323311 571206 103 232319361680 129282 2210 307 94 -4 +1 +0 +2 +12 1.1
203428 MLB MLEARI 55% 548482 11122311 561205 93 230317356673 126281 2210 304 92 -5 +1 -1 +2 +12 0.9
203529 MLB MLEARI 53% 536472 10822310 541195 83 228314350664 122280 2210 301 90 -7 +0 -1 +2 +12 0.6
203630 MLB MLEARI 53% 523460 10421210 531185 73 224310342652 117278 2310 296 86 -8 +0 -2 +2 +11 0.3
203731 MLB MLEARI 56% 506447 992029 501164 54 220305332637 111275 2310 290 82 -11 -1 -3 +2 +11 -0.1
202822 MLB CTXARI 35% 152133 31712 16332 31 232320350670 118290 2211 304 87 -2 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.2
202923 MLB CTXARI 49% 239210 501124 25522 51 236323362685 126291 2210 309 91 -3 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.4
203024 MLB CTXARI 53% 278244 581325 29603 62 238325370695 131293 2210 313 93 -2 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.5
203125 MLB CTXARI 55% 299263 631426 31643 62 240326374700 134293 2110 315 94 -2 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.6
203226 MLB CTXARI 56% 310272 651426 32673 62 240326375701 135293 2210 315 95 -2 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.6
203327 MLB CTXARI 55% 305268 641426 31663 62 239325373697 134293 2210 314 94 -2 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.6
203428 MLB CTXARI 55% 300263 631426 31663 52 237323368690 131291 2210 311 92 -3 +0 -0 +1 +6 0.5
203529 MLB CTXARI 53% 286252 591325 29633 42 234320361681 127290 2210 307 90 -4 +0 -1 +1 +6 0.3
203630 MLB CTXARI 53% 275242 561225 28623 42 231316353669 122288 2310 302 86 -4 +0 -1 +1 +6 0.1
203731 MLB CTXARI 56% 286252 581315 29653 32 226311342653 116284 2310 296 82 -6 -0 -2 +1 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 27302399 5671251850 28159828 4818 236323366689 130293 2210 309 87 -30 +2 -4 +10 +59 3.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 13530412 671427 114 236324366690 130293 2210 309 87 -7 +1 -1 +2 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 62955525 125325533112 643135571 15650 227315346661 119279 2210 297 87 -64 +7 -7 +19 +118 7.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 12926312 661407 165 226314346659 119277 2210 297 87 -8 +1 -1 +2 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Hillsboro Hops · 348 PAwOBA .300 → .256 (−44)K% 18.1% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.10%÷1.000×1.350——24.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.64%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0279.22%
HBP% /PA0.86%—×0.810—×1.0270.72%
Singles /BIP20.96%÷1.000×0.910×1.011×1.02719.80%
Doubles /BIP6.55%÷1.000×0.830×1.011×1.0275.64%
Triples /BIP0.44%÷1.000×0.820×1.011×1.0270.37%
Home runs /BIP1.75%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0271.49%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .300 → .256; ISO .099 → .085; BABIP .278 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AVisalia Rawhide · 136 PAwOBA .408 → .341 (−68)K% 15.4% → 21.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.44%÷1.000×1.360——21.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.85%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01513.90%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.780—×1.0151.16%
Singles /BIP23.26%÷1.000×0.920×1.009×1.01521.91%
Doubles /BIP8.14%÷1.000×0.830×1.009×1.0156.92%
Triples /BIP2.33%÷1.000×0.910×1.009×1.0152.17%
Home runs /BIP3.49%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0152.83%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .408 → .341; ISO .187 → .160; BABIP .349 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Orioles · 158 PAwOBA .374 → .277 (−97)K% 10.1% → 14.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.13%÷0.980×1.440——14.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.46%÷1.020×0.620—×0.9959.95%
HBP% /PA3.80%—×0.720—×0.9952.72%
Singles /BIP20.37%÷0.997×0.820×0.996×0.99516.60%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.033×0.720×0.996×0.9955.76%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷1.150×0.720×0.996×0.9950.57%
Home runs /BIP1.85%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9951.44%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .374 → .277; ISO .137 → .104; BABIP .296 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 178 PAwOBA .367 → .245 (−122)K% 9.0% → 11.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.99%÷0.977×1.220——11.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.48%÷0.964×0.700—×0.9959.74%
HBP% /PA2.25%—×0.700—×0.9951.57%
Singles /BIP24.63%÷1.067×0.680×1.027×0.99516.05%
Doubles /BIP6.72%÷0.988×0.600×1.027×0.9954.17%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷1.000×0.600×1.027×0.9950.46%
Home runs /BIP1.49%÷0.988×0.470—×0.9950.71%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 113, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .367 → .245; ISO .113 → .066; BABIP .326 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 34 PAwOBA .408 → .287 (−121)K% 8.8% → 10.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.82%÷1.040×1.220——10.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.65%÷0.964×0.700—×1.00812.91%
HBP% /PA5.88%—×0.700—×1.0084.15%
Singles /BIP34.78%÷1.044×0.680—×1.00822.84%
Doubles /BIP4.35%÷1.096×0.600—×1.0082.40%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.054×0.600—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.875×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 111, K 108, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .408 → .287; ISO .038 → .023; BABIP .391 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).