José Mejía — OGILVIE

José Mejía2B Hillsboro Hops

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION312 act + 208 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .311 / .333

PA208

HR3

SB6

K%24

BB%10

BABIP290

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$8M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$7M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$48M	+$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	28	7	1	0	0	4	4	2	7	2	250	382	286	668	36	292	12	12	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	26	9	1	0	0	6	3	2	7	2	346	500	385	885	38	391	9	18	417	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	158	35	7	1	2	16	24	4	28	6	222	309	316	625	95	250	13	9	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	150	45	9	1	2	24	16	4	28	6	300	410	413	823	113	326	9	13	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	158	135	28	6	1	2	15	24	6	6	5	207	314	311	625	104	234	15	9	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	158	124	34	9	1	2	26	16	6	6	5	274	423	411	834	137	296	10	16	378	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A+	ARI	—	312	274	59	13	2	4	32	76	4	12	5	215	306	321	628	106	281	24	10	279	72	-10	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.0
YTD	20	A+	ARI	—	312	256	68	16	3	4	47	55	4	12	5	266	384	398	782	133	322	18	15	353	128	+10	+0	+0	+1	+9	2.1
ROS	20	A+	ARI	0%	208	183	41	9	1	3	20	50	3	6	2	224	311	333	644	109	284	24	10	286	77	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
ROS	20	MLB	ARI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						287	0	0	279	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	20	A+	ARI	—	313	275	59	13	2	4	32	76	4	12	5	215	305	320	625	105	279	24	10	279	72	-10	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.0
TOT	20	A+	ARI	—	520	457	100	22	3	7	52	126	7	18	7	219	308	326	634	107	284	24	10	282	74	-15	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	ARI	35%	559	493	111	23	3	9	54	130	7	12	4	225	310	339	649	114	286	23	10	295	84	-10	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.9
2028	22	MLB	ARI	49%	574	507	117	24	3	11	55	131	7	12	4	231	315	355	670	124	288	23	10	303	90	-7	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.3
2029	23	MLB	ARI	54%	579	511	120	25	3	12	56	131	7	12	4	235	319	366	685	131	289	23	10	307	93	-4	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.5
2030	24	MLB	ARI	55%	578	510	120	25	3	12	56	129	7	11	4	235	319	367	686	131	290	22	10	310	96	-3	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.7
2031	25	MLB	ARI	56%	573	505	118	24	3	12	56	128	7	11	4	234	319	364	683	131	290	22	10	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.7
2032	26	MLB	ARI	56%	566	498	117	24	3	12	56	126	7	11	4	235	321	367	688	133	289	22	10	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.7
2033	27	MLB	ARI	55%	557	490	116	24	3	12	55	124	7	11	4	237	322	371	694	135	289	22	10	313	97	-2	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.7
2034	28	MLB	ARI	55%	548	481	113	23	3	12	55	123	7	10	4	235	322	370	692	135	289	22	10	311	97	-2	+0	-1	+2	+16	1.5
2035	29	MLB	ARI	53%	538	472	110	22	3	11	54	122	7	10	3	233	321	362	683	129	288	23	10	310	95	-3	+1	-1	+2	+15	1.4
2036	30	MLB	ARI	57%	528	464	108	22	3	11	53	121	6	9	3	233	319	364	684	131	287	23	10	307	93	-4	+1	-2	+2	+15	1.1
2037	31	MLB	ARI	60%	518	455	104	21	3	10	52	120	6	8	3	229	316	354	670	125	284	23	10	303	90	-6	+0	-3	+2	+15	0.8
2038	32	MLB	ARI	61%	508	446	100	20	2	10	51	120	6	8	3	224	312	345	657	121	281	24	10	297	85	-8	+0	-4	+2	+14	0.5
2039	33	MLB	ARI	62%	456	402	87	17	2	8	46	110	5	6	2	216	305	328	633	112	276	24	10	290	80	-10	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.1
2040	34	MLB	ARI	58%	410	361	76	14	2	7	41	102	5	5	2	211	300	319	618	108	270	25	10	281	74	-12	+0	-5	+1	+12	-0.4
2027	21	MLB	ARI	35%	193	170	38	8	1	3	19	45	2	4	1	224	309	335	644	112	289	23	10	288	79	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2028	22	MLB	ARI	49%	279	247	57	12	2	5	27	64	3	6	2	231	314	356	670	126	290	23	10	296	85	-5	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2029	23	MLB	ARI	54%	314	277	67	14	2	7	30	71	4	6	2	242	325	383	707	141	291	23	10	301	88	-4	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.6
2030	24	MLB	ARI	55%	320	282	68	14	2	7	31	72	4	6	2	241	325	379	704	138	292	22	10	304	91	-3	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.7
2031	25	MLB	ARI	56%	321	283	68	14	2	7	31	72	4	6	2	240	324	378	702	138	292	22	10	305	92	-3	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.8
2032	26	MLB	ARI	56%	318	280	67	14	2	7	31	71	4	6	2	239	324	379	702	139	292	22	10	306	92	-3	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.8
2033	27	MLB	ARI	55%	308	270	65	13	2	7	31	69	4	6	2	241	328	381	709	141	292	22	10	306	92	-3	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.8
2034	28	MLB	ARI	55%	300	263	63	13	2	7	30	67	4	6	2	240	327	384	711	144	291	22	10	305	91	-3	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.7
2035	29	MLB	ARI	53%	287	252	59	12	2	6	29	65	4	5	2	234	323	369	692	135	290	23	10	303	90	-3	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.5
2036	30	MLB	ARI	57%	301	264	62	13	2	6	30	69	4	5	2	235	322	367	690	133	289	23	10	300	88	-4	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2037	31	MLB	ARI	60%	309	271	63	13	2	6	31	72	4	5	2	232	320	362	682	129	287	23	10	296	85	-5	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.3
2038	32	MLB	ARI	61%	311	273	61	12	1	6	31	74	4	5	2	223	312	341	652	117	283	24	10	291	81	-7	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.1
2039	33	MLB	ARI	62%	285	251	55	11	1	5	29	69	3	4	1	219	307	331	638	112	279	24	10	284	75	-8	+0	-3	+1	+8	-0.1
2040	34	MLB	ARI	58%	238	209	44	8	1	4	24	59	3	3	1	211	301	316	617	105	273	25	10	275	69	-8	+0	-3	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4085	3593	837	171	24	83	404	939	51	73	25	233	319	363	682	130	291	23	10	298	86	-64	+5	-12	+15	+116	6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	133	27	4	13	64	149	8	12	4	233	318	362	680	129	290	23	10	298	86	-10	+1	-2	+2	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	8070	7099	1628	331	42	156	795	1819	106	183	63	229	316	354	670	124	285	23	10	303	90	-94	+11	-20	+29	+229	15.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	132	27	3	13	64	147	9	15	5	231	318	357	674	126	287	23	10	303	90	-8	+1	-2	+2	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	26	9	1	0	0	6	3	2	7	2	346	500	385	885	38	391	9	18	417	177	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	150	45	9	1	2	24	16	4	28	6	300	410	413	823	113	326	9	13	376	146	+9	+3	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	158	124	34	9	1	2	26	16	6	6	5	274	423	411	834	137	296	10	16	378	148	+9	-1	—	—	+4	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,086	82	73	231	314	359	+15	+8	8.7	7.5
	/162	664	13	12	231	314	359	+2.4	+1.3	1.4	pk7: 6
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Mejía (OGILVIE)	20	50	30	50	60	219/308/326	107	284	7	18	24%	10%	74	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	53	39→40	48→60	52	250/330/338	87	313	5	15	20%	9%	92	+1.2	245/315/330	85	282	6	20	14%	7%	84	+0.6	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	243/318/320	77	276	7	9	14%	6%	83	+0.6	216/283/305	89	263	6	7	19%	7%	64	-0.8	192/256/280	88	238	6	6	21%	6%	45	-0.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→55	38→45	48→50	49	218/288/307	89	289	3	11	24%	9%	66	-0.6	244/304/360	116	301	9	13	21%	7%	87	+0.8	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Luis Perez 2011 · A	20	49	36→30	48→50	54	228/311/303	75	269	3	10	15%	9%	76	+0.0	224/279/332	108	274	8	9	20%	6%	69	-0.4	222/260/358	136	278	10	6	24%	4%	64	-0.2
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	50	40→45	51→50	44	234/303/337	103	302	5	13	23%	6%	81	+0.4	213/264/311	98	289	7	9	27%	5%	57	-1.2	192/236/285	92	270	8	8	31%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Dyan Jorge 2023 · A	20	47→46	39→30	45→55	47	225/285/311	86	278	6	12	20%	7%	66	-0.6	225/275/290	65	305	3	18	26%	6%	56	-1.3	215/265/265	50	298	2	22	27%	6%	42	-1.6
✕Edgar Munoz 2012 · A	20	55	37→30	47→55	51	258/328/330	72	294	4	18	13%	7%	89	+1.0	217/276/281	64	262	4	17	18%	6%	54	-1.4	213/265/284	71	260	7	19	20%	6%	46	-0.6
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	226/308/322	96	306	7	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	223/295/301	78	305	5	6	26%	7%	69	-0.4	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕Yohander Martinez 2022 · A	20	50	36→30	46→50	52	231/318/288	58	305	4	11	24%	10%	76	+0.0	207/311/271	64	286	5	7	27%	10%	69	-0.4	174/303/220	46	249	4	6	28%	11%	54	-0.4
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	71	-0.3	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	88	+0.9	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	120	+1.3
✕Gorge Munoz 2016 · A	20	48	38→40	50→55	48	225/295/308	83	273	5	19	19%	7%	70	-0.3	202/254/283	81	275	6	13	27%	5%	46	-2.0	181/225/253	72	250	6	13	29%	3%	25	-1.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→46	39→45	48→45	52	231/310/318	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	79	+0.3	214/286/318	104	281	8	6	25%	9%	69	-0.4	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1	200/266/306	106	300	10	11	34%	7%	57	-1.2	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	54	40→45	51→50	51	257/326/355	98	290	6	10	14%	7%	95	+1.4	225/291/314	89	282	7	8	22%	6%	70	-0.3	207/265/333	126	274	15	8	29%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Andy Paz 2013 · A	20	49	36→40	44→45	51	228/300/296	67	288	2	6	20%	8%	69	-0.4	194/255/265	71	271	5	5	28%	7%	42	-2.3	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Yeison Santana 2021 · A	20	47	39→30	46→55	46	222/291/308	86	309	5	7	28%	8%	68	-0.5	208/276/270	62	316	3	14	32%	8%	52	-1.6	200/275/242	43	301	2	19	31%	8%	41	-1.0
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1