Welbyn Francisca

Welbyn FranciscaSS Lake County Captains

Age 20 S/R 5'8" / 148 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION342 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP277

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$59M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Arb-1	$6M	+1.6	$8M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$9M	+1.5	$7M	+$3M
2035	Arb-3	$12M	+1.3	$5M	+$0.6M
Totals		$29M		$44M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	152	48	7	6	3	24	35	3	11	7	316	419	500	919	184	395	20	13	407	161	+13	-1	—	—	+4	1.7
2024	18	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	132	117	38	6	0	1	14	27	1	8	2	325	402	402	803	77	416	20	11	366	134	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	201	174	57	12	2	6	25	25	2	11	1	328	418	523	941	195	357	12	12	416	167	+16	+2	—	—	+4	2.3
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	371	85	14	2	3	51	73	1	45	12	229	324	302	626	73	273	17	12	289	81	-9	+4	—	—	+9	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	161	35	5	4	2	15	50	3	11	7	217	296	335	631	118	306	28	8	281	76	-5	-1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	18	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	132	123	33	5	0	1	8	39	1	8	2	268	318	333	652	65	388	30	6	293	84	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	201	184	48	9	2	5	15	36	2	11	1	261	323	413	736	152	296	18	7	311	97	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	389	73	12	2	2	33	105	1	45	12	188	253	244	497	57	242	25	8	226	39	-31	+4	—	—	+9	-1.8
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	161	35	5	4	2	15	50	3	11	7	217	296	335	631	118	303	28	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	152	48	7	6	3	24	35	3	11	7	316	419	500	919	184	395	20	13	407	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	333	306	81	14	2	6	24	75	3	19	3	265	324	382	707	118	333	23	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	333	291	95	18	2	7	39	52	3	19	3	326	411	474	886	148	379	16	12	396	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	389	73	12	2	2	33	105	1	45	12	188	253	244	497	57	247	25	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	371	85	14	2	3	51	73	1	45	12	229	324	302	626	73	273	17	12	289	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	159	35	5	4	2	15	50	3	11	7	220	296	340	636	119	306	28	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	333	303	81	14	2	6	24	75	3	19	3	267	324	386	710	119	332	23	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	391	73	12	2	2	33	105	1	45	12	187	253	243	496	56	242	25	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	159	35	5	4	2	15	50	3	11	7	220	296	340	636	119	306	28	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	333	303	81	14	2	6	24	75	3	19	3	267	324	386	710	119	332	23	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	391	73	12	2	2	33	105	1	45	12	187	253	243	496	56	242	25	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	CLE	—	342	307	65	10	1	14	30	108	2	16	3	212	286	388	674	176	271	32	9	293	84	-6	+2	+0	+4	+7	0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	CLE	—	37	25	5	0	0	1	11	10	1	3	1	200	459	320	779	120	286	27	30	381	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ RAW	CLE	—	289	253	70	13	1	17	32	64	1	11	2	277	360	538	898	261	303	22	11	388	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	AA RAW	CLE	—	16	15	4	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	267	312	267	579		444	38	6	270	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	CLE	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		277	33	11	283	78	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	CLE	—	351	315	66	10	1	14	31	111	2	16	3	210	284	381	665	171	269	32	9	292	84	-7	+2	-0	+4	+8	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CLE	43%	462	417	93	16	2	13	39	124	3	14	3	223	294	365	659	141	281	27	8	293	84	-9	+2	-1	+5	+10	0.8
2028	22	MLB MLE	CLE	61%	499	450	101	17	2	15	43	129	3	15	3	224	296	371	667	147	282	26	9	303	91	-5	+2	-1	+5	+11	1.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	539	483	111	19	2	17	47	136	4	15	3	230	303	383	686	153	283	25	9	309	95	-3	+2	-1	+6	+12	1.6
2030	24	MLB MLE	CLE	70%	582	522	123	21	2	20	51	144	4	16	4	236	308	398	707	163	284	25	9	314	98	-1	+2	-1	+6	+13	1.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	CLE	70%	629	564	134	23	3	22	56	155	4	17	4	238	311	406	717	168	285	25	9	316	100	+0	+2	-1	+7	+14	2.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	CLE	71%	638	570	135	23	3	22	58	157	5	17	4	237	313	404	716	167	285	25	9	317	101	+1	+2	-1	+7	+14	2.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	CLE	69%	637	569	135	23	3	22	58	157	5	16	4	237	313	404	718	167	284	25	9	317	101	+1	+2	-1	+7	+14	2.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	CLE	69%	631	564	133	22	3	22	58	157	4	15	3	236	312	402	714	167	284	25	9	317	100	+0	+2	-1	+7	+14	2.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	CLE	67%	620	554	129	22	2	21	57	155	4	14	3	233	309	394	702	161	284	25	9	315	99	-1	+2	-2	+7	+13	1.9
2036	30	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	609	543	125	21	2	20	57	154	4	13	3	230	308	387	695	157	283	25	9	312	97	-2	+1	-3	+7	+13	1.7
2037	31	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	595	531	121	20	2	19	55	152	4	11	3	228	305	380	685	153	281	26	9	308	95	-4	+1	-3	+6	+13	1.3
2038	32	MLB MLE	CLE	70%	576	514	116	19	2	18	53	150	4	10	2	226	303	375	678	150	278	26	9	303	91	-6	+1	-4	+6	+12	1.0
2039	33	MLB MLE	CLE	74%	547	489	108	17	2	17	50	145	3	8	2	221	297	368	665	147	274	27	9	296	87	-9	+1	-5	+6	+12	0.5
2040	34	MLB MLE	CLE	70%	499	447	96	15	2	14	46	135	3	6	1	215	292	351	644	136	269	27	9	288	81	-11	+1	-5	+5	+11	0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	CLE	43%	200	180	41	7	1	6	17	54	1	6	1	228	298	378	676	150	280	27	8	288	84	-4	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	CLE	61%	304	273	62	11	1	9	26	79	2	9	2	227	299	374	673	147	282	26	9	297	91	-3	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.7
2029	23	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	367	330	76	13	1	12	32	92	2	10	2	230	302	385	687	155	283	25	9	303	95	-2	+1	-0	+4	+8	1.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	CLE	70%	405	363	86	15	1	14	36	100	3	11	2	237	311	399	710	163	284	25	9	308	98	-1	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	CLE	70%	442	397	94	16	2	15	39	109	3	12	3	237	310	401	710	164	284	25	9	310	100	+0	+1	-0	+5	+10	1.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	CLE	71%	450	403	96	16	2	16	41	111	3	12	3	238	313	407	720	169	284	25	9	311	101	+0	+1	-0	+5	+10	1.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	CLE	69%	442	396	93	16	2	15	40	109	3	11	3	235	310	399	709	164	284	25	9	311	101	+0	+1	-0	+5	+10	1.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	CLE	69%	433	387	90	15	1	15	40	107	3	10	2	233	309	393	702	160	284	25	9	310	100	+0	+1	-1	+5	+9	1.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	CLE	67%	414	370	86	15	1	14	38	104	3	9	2	232	309	392	701	159	283	25	9	309	99	-0	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	401	358	82	14	1	13	37	101	3	8	2	229	307	383	689	154	282	25	9	306	97	-1	+1	-2	+4	+9	1.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	388	346	79	13	1	13	36	99	3	7	2	228	306	384	691	156	280	26	9	303	95	-2	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.9
2038	32	MLB CTX	CLE	70%	406	362	81	13	1	13	38	105	3	7	2	224	303	373	676	149	277	26	9	298	91	-4	+1	-3	+4	+9	0.7
2039	33	MLB CTX	CLE	74%	405	363	79	13	1	12	37	107	2	6	1	218	294	358	652	140	274	26	9	291	87	-6	+1	-4	+4	+9	0.4
2040	34	MLB CTX	CLE	70%	347	310	66	10	1	10	32	94	2	4	1	213	291	348	639	135	268	27	9	283	81	-8	+0	-4	+4	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5404	4838	1111	187	17	177	489	1371	36	122	28	230	305	385	690	155	282	25	9	303	92	-31	+13	-19	+58	+117	14.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	133	22	2	21	59	165	4	15	3	229	304	381	685	153	281	25	9	303	92	-4	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	9012	8081	1850	309	40	272	801	2283	61	262	64	229	303	378	681	149	283	25	9	304	92	-49	+21	-28	+86	+175	20.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	134	22	3	20	58	165	4	19	5	230	304	381	685	151	284	25	9	304	92	-4	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	8.1	5,407	177	124	231	303	389	+55	+4	18.7	15.5
/162	664	22	15	+6.8	+0.4	2.3	pk7: 12
#5Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Welbyn Francisca (OGILVIE)	20	50→54	30→35	55→56	50	213/282/343	130	277	8	13	28%	8%	78	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	54	218/314/294	76	289	3	19	23%	10%	78	-0.3	190/273/272	82	291	5	10	33%	10%	57	-1.8	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
●Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	48→56	38→45	50→55	51	226/307/307	80	281	4	17	20%	9%	78	-0.3	206/295/294	88	268	6	12	23%	10%	71	-0.8	257/357/385	127	281	12	19	12%	12%	112	+2.1
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	45→55	40→45	57→55	45	213/279/311	99	296	6	21	29%	8%	68	-1.0	250/308/354	104	323	7	26	23%	7%	88	+0.4	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	244/293/346	101	299	6	14	20%	5%	80	-0.1	238/292/336	98	305	7	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	255/308/363	108	313	9	21	21%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Durango 2022 · A	19	49	38→30	54→65	43	230/293/302	72	309	5	25	26%	6%	72	-0.7	209/284/263	54	281	2	28	24%	7%	59	-1.6	251/307/296	45	331	0	54	22%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	44→46	41→40	55→60	45	214/280/320	106	278	7	20	25%	7%	70	-0.8	213/281/300	87	282	6	26	25%	7%	66	-1.1	204/276/285	81	269	7	32	25%	8%	59	-1.1
✕Maximo Rivera 2013 · A	20	46	41→45	52→60	43	223/275/312	89	278	9	23	23%	6%	66	-1.1	216/267/290	74	293	5	14	26%	6%	58	-1.7	195/246/249	53	277	2	10	29%	5%	38	-0.7
●Ronny Simon 2021 · A	21	46→56	41→50	52→60	46	218/278/329	112	273	6	13	22%	7%	72	-0.7	210/262/355	145	274	16	19	29%	6%	72	-0.7	266/329/370	104	332	7	30	21%	8%	98	+0.9
✕Roman Quinn 2014 · A	21	43→53	42→45	56→65	41	213/270/315	102	287	10	26	29%	6%	65	-1.2	239/297/338	99	321	8	33	26%	7%	80	-0.1	245/301/378	133	333	11	48	28%	7%	89	+0.2
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→53	38→45	48→50	43	226/277/308	82	281	5	13	21%	5%	66	-1.1	226/284/349	123	286	11	14	24%	6%	79	-0.2	222/294/342	121	256	12	16	18%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
●Desmond Jennings 2007 · A	20	46→56	40→50	56→60	44	220/278/308	88	281	7	24	24%	6%	67	-1.1	254/316/370	116	301	9	29	18%	7%	95	+0.9	243/323/397	154	290	15	28	21%	9%	102	+1.5
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	74	-0.5	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.5	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	118	+1.1
✕Max Moroff 2013 · A	20	50→56	39→45	48→50	52	238/315/322	84	301	6	12	22%	10%	84	+0.1	211/274/296	85	298	5	10	29%	8%	62	-1.4	228/307/343	115	304	11	10	27%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→48	38→40	54→50	42	216/270/292	76	297	5	21	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/266/260	56	283	2	13	26%	7%	51	-2.2	225/293/309	84	295	8	18	25%	8%	70	-0.6
✕Gorge Munoz 2016 · A	20	48	38→40	50→55	48	225/295/308	83	273	5	19	19%	7%	74	-0.6	203/254/284	81	275	6	13	27%	5%	53	-2.1	183/226/255	73	252	6	13	29%	3%	34	-1.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	50	40→45	51→50	44	234/303/337	103	302	5	13	23%	6%	83	+0.1	213/264/311	98	288	6	9	27%	5%	62	-1.4	195/238/286	91	273	8	8	31%	4%	44	-0.9
✕Adrian Cardenas 2008 · A	20	51→59	41→40	50	44	246/290/344	98	299	8	12	20%	6%	79	-0.2	259/306/352	93	311	6	10	18%	6%	86	+0.3	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps