Welbyn Francisca

Welbyn FranciscaSS Lake County Captains

Age 20 S/R 5'8" / 148 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION144 act + 176 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .282 / .314

PA176

HR3

SB7

K%23

BB%8

BABIP267

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$11M	+$11M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$11M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$11M	+$10M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+2.1	$10M	+$8M
2034	Arb-2	$7M	+2.0	$9M	+$6M
2035	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$23M		$59M	+$49M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	161	37	6	4	2	15	50	3	11	7	230	307	354	661	124	321	28	8	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	152	48	7	6	3	24	35	3	11	7	316	419	500	919	184	395	20	13	407	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	2 teams	—	333	306	80	14	2	6	24	76	3	19	3	261	321	379	700	118	330	23	7	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	2 teams	—	333	291	95	18	2	7	39	52	3	19	3	326	411	474	886	148	379	16	12	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	388	69	13	1	2	34	106	1	45	12	178	246	232	478	54	235	25	8	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	371	85	14	2	3	51	73	1	45	12	229	324	302	626	73	273	17	12	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A+	CLE	—	144	128	25	1	1	5	14	41	1	8	1	195	280	336	616	141	241	28	10	261	58	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
YTD	20	A+	CLE	—	144	121	29	1	1	6	21	30	1	8	1	240	357	413	770	174	267	21	15	346	123	+4	+1	+0	+2	+4	1.1
ROS	20	A+	CLE	0%	176	159	34	5	1	3	14	41	1	7	2	214	282	314	596	101	271	23	8	272	66	-7	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.1
ROS	20	MLB	CLE	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						271	0	0	268	63	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	20	A+	CLE	—	145	129	25	1	1	5	14	41	1	8	1	194	278	333	611	140	238	28	10	261	58	-7	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.0
TOT	20	A+	CLE	—	320	287	59	6	2	8	28	82	2	15	3	206	281	324	605	118	256	26	9	267	63	-14	+2	-0	+3	+9	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CLE	35%	501	451	101	16	3	10	42	114	3	16	4	224	294	339	634	115	273	23	8	284	76	-14	+2	-1	+5	+14	0.7
2028	22	MLB	CLE	49%	559	502	115	19	3	13	48	124	4	17	4	229	301	357	658	127	275	22	9	294	83	-11	+2	-1	+6	+16	1.2
2029	23	MLB	CLE	54%	598	537	124	20	3	15	52	131	4	17	4	231	304	363	667	132	277	22	9	300	87	-9	+2	-1	+6	+17	1.6
2030	24	MLB	CLE	55%	622	558	131	21	4	16	55	134	4	17	4	235	308	373	681	138	278	22	9	304	90	-7	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.9
2031	25	MLB	CLE	56%	631	565	133	22	4	16	56	135	5	17	4	235	310	373	683	138	278	21	9	306	92	-6	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.0
2032	26	MLB	CLE	56%	637	570	135	22	4	17	57	137	5	16	4	237	312	379	691	142	278	22	9	306	93	-5	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.1
2033	27	MLB	CLE	55%	636	568	135	22	4	17	58	137	5	16	4	238	314	380	694	143	278	22	9	307	93	-5	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.1
2034	28	MLB	CLE	55%	631	563	132	21	3	17	58	137	5	15	3	234	312	373	685	139	278	22	9	306	92	-6	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.0
2035	29	MLB	CLE	53%	620	554	129	21	3	16	57	135	4	14	3	233	309	368	677	135	277	22	9	304	91	-6	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.8
2036	30	MLB	CLE	53%	609	544	125	20	3	15	56	135	4	13	3	230	306	360	667	131	276	22	9	301	89	-8	+1	-3	+7	+17	1.5
2037	31	MLB	CLE	52%	595	531	120	19	3	14	55	133	4	11	3	226	303	352	656	126	274	22	9	298	86	-9	+1	-3	+6	+17	1.2
2038	32	MLB	CLE	52%	576	514	115	18	3	13	53	131	4	10	2	224	301	346	648	123	271	23	9	292	82	-12	+1	-4	+6	+16	0.8
2039	33	MLB	CLE	52%	547	489	107	16	3	12	50	128	3	9	2	219	295	337	633	119	268	23	9	286	77	-14	+1	-5	+6	+15	0.3
2040	34	MLB	CLE	47%	499	448	94	14	2	10	45	120	3	7	2	210	286	317	603	107	263	24	9	278	71	-16	+1	-5	+5	+14	-0.2
2041	35	MLB	CLE	43%	443	397	82	11	2	9	40	109	3	6	1	207	284	312	596	106	258	25	9	269	64	-18	+1	-6	+5	+13	-0.6
2027	21	MLB	CLE	35%	173	155	35	6	1	3	15	39	1	6	1	226	298	335	634	110	274	23	9	280	73	-5	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.2
2028	22	MLB	CLE	49%	271	244	56	9	2	6	23	60	2	8	2	230	301	357	658	127	276	22	8	289	79	-6	+1	-0	+3	+8	0.5
2029	23	MLB	CLE	54%	325	292	68	11	2	8	28	71	2	9	2	233	304	366	671	134	277	22	9	295	84	-6	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.7
2030	24	MLB	CLE	55%	345	310	73	12	2	9	30	75	2	9	2	235	307	374	681	139	279	22	9	298	87	-5	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.9
2031	25	MLB	CLE	56%	353	316	74	12	2	9	31	76	3	9	2	234	309	370	679	136	279	22	9	300	88	-5	+1	-0	+4	+10	1.0
2032	26	MLB	CLE	56%	358	320	75	12	2	9	32	77	3	9	2	234	310	369	679	134	279	22	9	301	89	-5	+1	-0	+4	+10	1.0
2033	27	MLB	CLE	55%	352	314	74	12	2	9	32	76	3	9	2	236	312	373	685	137	278	22	9	301	89	-4	+1	-0	+4	+10	1.0
2034	28	MLB	CLE	55%	346	309	73	12	2	9	32	75	2	8	2	236	312	375	687	139	278	22	9	301	88	-5	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.9
2035	29	MLB	CLE	53%	331	295	69	11	2	8	31	72	2	7	2	234	311	366	677	132	278	22	9	299	87	-5	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.8
2036	30	MLB	CLE	53%	320	285	67	11	2	8	30	71	2	7	1	235	312	372	684	137	277	22	9	297	85	-5	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.7
2037	31	MLB	CLE	52%	310	276	64	10	2	8	29	69	2	6	1	232	309	370	679	138	275	22	9	293	82	-6	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.5
2038	32	MLB	CLE	52%	299	268	59	9	1	7	27	68	2	5	1	220	296	340	636	119	272	23	9	288	78	-7	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.3
2039	33	MLB	CLE	52%	283	253	54	8	1	6	26	66	2	4	1	213	292	324	616	111	269	23	9	282	74	-8	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.1
2040	34	MLB	CLE	47%	236	212	45	7	1	5	21	57	1	3	1	212	286	325	612	113	264	24	9	274	68	-9	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.2
2041	35	MLB	CLE	43%	189	169	35	5	1	4	17	47	1	2	1	207	283	320	603	112	258	25	9	265	61	-8	+0	-3	+2	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4492	4019	921	147	25	108	404	999	30	101	23	229	304	359	663	130	277	22	9	293	82	-90	+11	-17	+48	+127	8.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	134	21	4	16	58	145	4	15	3	230	304	363	666	132	278	22	9	293	82	-13	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	9820	8805	1998	320	55	223	869	2213	68	283	71	227	301	352	653	125	277	23	9	293	82	-196	+28	-35	+105	+278	18.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	133	21	4	15	58	146	5	19	5	228	304	355	659	127	278	22	9	293	82	-13	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	152	48	7	6	3	24	35	3	11	7	316	419	500	919	184	395	20	13	407	169	+14	-1	—	—	+5	1.9
2024	18	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	132	117	38	6	0	1	14	27	1	8	2	325	402	402	803	77	416	20	11	366	138	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	201	174	57	12	2	6	25	25	2	11	1	328	418	523	941	195	357	12	12	416	176	+17	+2	—	—	+6	2.5
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	371	85	14	2	3	51	73	1	45	12	229	324	302	626	73	273	17	12	289	79	-10	+4	—	—	+12	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,493	109	103	229	301	360	+45	+3	10.7	9.2
	/162	664	16	15	229	301	360	+6.7	+0.5	1.6	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Welbyn Francisca (OGILVIE)	20	50→54	30→35	55→56	50	206/281/324	118	256	8	15	26%	9%	63	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Francisco Aponte 2011 · A	20	51	34→30	52→60	53	234/311/288	54	289	2	20	18%	9%	72	-0.2	217/282/279	62	272	2	15	19%	8%	56	-1.3	200/241/256	56	246	0	10	18%	5%	30	-1.1
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	46→50	41→40	56→60	46	222/287/330	108	287	6	20	24%	7%	72	-0.2	217/282/308	91	288	7	26	25%	7%	65	-0.7	206/276/294	89	271	8	32	26%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Gorge Munoz 2016 · A	20	48	38→40	50→55	48	225/295/308	83	273	5	19	19%	7%	70	-0.3	202/254/283	81	275	6	13	27%	5%	46	-2.0	181/225/253	72	250	6	13	29%	3%	25	-1.1
✕Cole Miles 2007 · A	20	49→51	37→30	57→55	51	228/306/304	77	292	4	19	22%	9%	74	-0.1	235/283/294	59	292	3	15	19%	6%	59	-1.1	236/280/289	53	293	3	15	19%	5%	53	-1.1
✕Olvy Marte 2014 · A	19	50	36→40	49→55	45	231/293/306	75	296	3	19	22%	6%	68	-0.5	213/273/285	72	296	3	13	27%	7%	54	-1.4	174/240/218	44	253	0	13	29%	7%	22	-0.9
✕Yonny Hernández 2018 · A	20	46→56	34→30	54→60	54	211/290/266	56	248	1	20	15%	9%	57	-1.2	233/312/289	56	299	1	25	20%	9%	72	-0.2	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→47	38→40	54→50	42	216/270/292	76	297	5	21	28%	6%	54	-1.4	200/264/255	55	278	2	13	27%	8%	43	-2.2	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Reegie Corona 2007 · A	20	51→54	38→40	53→55	45	245/287/318	73	285	6	18	16%	5%	68	-0.5	229/287/303	74	284	4	18	19%	7%	65	-0.7	225/288/299	74	277	4	18	19%	8%	61	-0.9
●Emilio Bonifácio 2006 · A	21	51→61	35→40	57→65	46	237/287/297	60	301	2	26	21%	6%	63	-0.9	260/302/339	79	336	4	30	22%	5%	79	+0.3	273/340/354	81	349	3	41	21%	9%	96	+1.1
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A	21	50→57	39→40	57→55	43	237/288/323	86	296	6	21	22%	5%	70	-0.3	250/296/316	66	310	4	22	20%	5%	72	-0.2	271/325/342	72	323	5	22	17%	5%	88	+0.5
●Henry Alejandro Rodriguez 2010 · A	20	50→59	37→45	53→55	46	233/275/308	75	273	3	13	16%	5%	60	-1.0	254/282/362	108	299	10	17	18%	3%	78	+0.2	270/301/382	112	304	12	11	15%	4%	91	+0.7
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
★Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	48→56	38→45	50→55	51	226/304/308	82	280	5	17	20%	8%	74	-0.1	202/292/288	86	269	6	12	25%	10%	64	-0.8	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→55	38→45	48→50	43	226/277/308	82	281	5	13	21%	5%	62	-0.9	225/284/354	129	286	12	14	25%	6%	77	+0.1	229/300/349	120	276	11	15	20%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Rodrigo Orozco 2015 · A	20	46→56	38→40	49→50	51	218/288/296	78	263	4	14	18%	8%	63	-0.8	229/285/313	84	288	5	9	21%	7%	66	-0.6	248/302/327	79	313	3	11	20%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	44	209/274/306	96	292	6	21	29%	8%	60	-1.0	250/307/354	104	326	7	26	24%	7%	86	+0.8	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
✕Ramón Torres 2013 · A	20	46→56	38→40	51→55	47	218/272/300	82	263	5	15	19%	6%	57	-1.2	238/270/324	86	276	6	12	16%	4%	63	-0.9	247/273/333	87	281	6	12	14%	3%	61	-0.7
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	71	-0.3	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	88	+0.9	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	120	+1.3