Welbyn Francisca

Welbyn FranciscaSS Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 20 S/R 5'8" / 148 lbs A K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.7 · 2032

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .287 / .319

PA320

HR5

SB11

K%24

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50↗54

PWR

30↗35

SPD

55↗56

FLD

45↗51

EYE

48↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.8peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.6	$24M	+$23M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.7	$26M	+$25M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.7	$27M	+$26M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.5	$25M	+$20M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+2.3	$24M	+$16M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+2.0	$22M	+$11M
Totals		$26M		$147M	+$121M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	179	161	36	5	4	2	15	50	3	11	7	.224	.302	.342	.643	.118	.312	28	8	.283	75	-5	-1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2024	18	ROK	2 teams	333	306	80	13	2	6	24	76	3	19	3	.261	.321	.376	.697	.114	.330	23	7	.304	91	-4	+3	+0	+4	+9	1.2
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	428	389	73	12	2	2	33	105	1	45	12	.188	.253	.244	.497	.057	.247	25	8	.227	32	-33	+4	+0	+5	+12	-1.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	CLE	320	290	65	11	2	5	25	78	2	11	3	.224	.290	.328	.618	.103	.285	24	8	.277	70	-11	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	CLE	501	451	104	18	3	9	42	118	3	17	4	.231	.300	.344	.644	.113	.287	24	8	.289	79	-12	+2	-1	+5	+14	0.9
2028	22	MLB 28%	CLE	559	501	117	20	3	12	49	127	4	18	5	.234	.307	.357	.664	.124	.288	23	9	.300	88	-8	+2	-1	+6	+16	1.5
2029	23	MLB 48%	CLE	598	533	128	22	4	14	55	133	5	18	5	.240	.317	.375	.692	.135	.289	22	9	.307	93	-5	+2	-1	+6	+17	2.0
2030	24	MLB 62%	CLE	623	554	133	23	4	15	59	137	5	18	4	.240	.319	.377	.696	.137	.289	22	9	.311	96	-3	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.4
2031	25	MLB 80%	CLE	637	566	137	24	4	16	61	139	5	17	4	.242	.321	.383	.705	.141	.290	22	10	.314	99	-1	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.6
2032	26	MLB 94%	CLE	643	570	138	24	4	16	63	140	5	17	4	.242	.323	.382	.705	.140	.291	22	10	.316	100	+0	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.7
2033	27	MLB	CLE	642	568	138	24	4	16	64	140	5	16	4	.243	.325	.384	.709	.141	.291	22	10	.316	100	+0	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.7
2034	28	MLB	CLE	636	562	136	23	4	16	64	140	5	15	3	.242	.325	.383	.707	.141	.290	22	10	.315	99	-0	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.5
2035	29	MLB	CLE	626	553	132	23	3	15	63	140	5	14	3	.239	.322	.373	.695	.134	.290	22	10	.313	98	-1	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.3
2036	30	MLB	CLE	615	543	129	22	3	15	62	140	5	13	2	.238	.321	.372	.693	.134	.289	23	10	.310	96	-3	+2	-3	+7	+17	2.0
2037	31	MLB	CLE	601	532	124	21	3	14	60	139	4	11	1	.233	.315	.363	.678	.130	.288	23	10	.307	93	-5	+2	-3	+6	+17	1.7
2038	32	MLB	CLE	582	515	119	20	3	13	58	138	4	9	0	.231	.314	.357	.671	.126	.286	24	10	.302	89	-7	+2	-4	+6	+16	1.4
2039	33	MLB	CLE	553	489	111	18	3	12	55	134	4	8	0	.227	.310	.350	.660	.123	.285	24	10	.297	85	-9	+2	-5	+6	+16	0.9
2040	34	MLB	CLE	505	447	99	16	2	10	50	127	3	8	0	.221	.304	.333	.637	.112	.284	25	10	.291	81	-11	+2	-5	+5	+14	0.5
2041	35	MLB	CLE	448	398	86	14	2	8	44	117	3	7	0	.216	.299	.322	.620	.106	.282	26	10	.283	75	-13	+1	-6	+5	+13	0.0
2042	36	MLB	CLE	387	345	72	11	2	6	37	105	2	6	0	.209	.289	.304	.593	.096	.280	27	10	.275	69	-14	+1	-7	+4	+11	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10416	9273	2157	364	61	222	983	2423	76	298	64	.233	.311	.357	.668	.124	.290	23	9	.300	88	-143	+34	-42	+112	+295	26.1
/ 162G	—			650	579	135	23	4	14	61	151	5	19	4	.233	.312	.359	.671	.126	.290	23	9	.300	88	-9	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	179	152	48	7	6	3	24	35	3	11	7	.316	.419	.500	.919	.184	.395	20	13	.407	169	+14	-1	—	—	+5	1.9
2024	18	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	132	117	38	6	0	1	14	27	1	8	2	.325	.402	.402	.803	.077	.416	20	11	.366	138	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	201	174	57	12	2	6	25	25	2	11	1	.328	.418	.523	.941	.195	.357	12	12	.416	176	+17	+2	—	—	+6	2.5
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	428	371	85	14	2	3	51	73	1	45	12	.229	.324	.302	.626	.073	.273	17	12	.289	79	-10	+4	—	—	+12	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Welbyn Francisca (OGILVIE)	20	50→54	30→35	55→56	50	.221/.287/.319	.099	.285	5	11	24%	8%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	55→65	53	.217/.311/.293	.076	.288	3	19	24%	10%	74	-0.1	.194/.278/.275	.081	.289	5	10	31%	10%	55	-1.4	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
★Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	49→56	38→45	51→55	52	.228/.309/.308	.080	.281	4	17	19%	9%	76	+0.1	.205/.295/.293	.088	.269	6	12	24%	10%	67	-0.5	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	46	.212/.280/.309	.097	.289	6	21	28%	8%	63	-0.8	.250/.309/.355	.105	.324	7	26	23%	7%	87	+0.8	.260/.318/.360	.100	.329	7	29	22%	7%	88	+0.8
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
●Luis Rengifo 2018 · A	21	45→55	41→50	53→55	43	.219/.269/.323	.104	.273	8	21	23%	6%	62	-0.9	.234/.301/.352	.118	.290	9	19	21%	8%	84	+0.6	.267/.318/.414	.147	.301	17	16	17%	6%	105	+1.6
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A	21	49→59	39→40	57→55	43	.236/.287/.322	.086	.295	6	20	22%	5%	69	-0.4	.251/.298/.318	.067	.312	4	23	20%	5%	72	-0.2	.276/.331/.345	.070	.330	4	22	17%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Gorge Munoz 2016 · A	20	48	38→40	50→55	47	.225/.294/.308	.084	.274	5	18	19%	7%	70	-0.3	.205/.257/.285	.080	.273	6	14	26%	5%	47	-1.9	.185/.228/.258	.073	.252	6	13	28%	3%	27	-1.0
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.231/.300/.334	.103	.298	6	13	23%	6%	79	+0.3	.214/.266/.312	.098	.287	6	10	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.236/.286	.092	.269	8	8	30%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Pedro Martinez 2021 · A	20	49	39→40	54→55	45	.232/.286/.319	.087	.303	6	19	24%	7%	69	-0.4	.192/.249/.272	.080	.316	7	17	39%	6%	41	-2.3	.176/.236/.255	.079	.291	9	19	40%	6%	28	-1.6
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.233/.286/.325	.092	.282	7	15	20%	5%	70	-0.3	.247/.305/.363	.116	.288	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.9	.277/.338/.426	.150	.303	14	17	13%	6%	120	+1.3
✕Cole Miles 2007 · A	20	48→51	37→30	56→55	51	.227/.304/.305	.078	.292	4	18	22%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.280/.291	.059	.287	3	15	19%	6%	58	-1.2	.232/.275/.283	.052	.286	3	15	19%	5%	50	-1.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2022 · A	20	46→56	43→45	55→60	44	.226/.284/.332	.106	.300	11	24	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.237/.288/.345	.108	.317	11	33	27%	7%	76	+0.1	.245/.290/.348	.103	.312	10	39	24%	6%	74	-0.1
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	47→40	40	56→55	43	.223/.279/.318	.095	.302	7	17	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.211/.272/.306	.095	.291	7	22	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.209/.274/.312	.103	.279	7	30	26%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Adrian Cardenas 2008 · A	20	49→57	41→40	50	44	.239/.281/.337	.098	.287	8	13	20%	5%	70	-0.3	.254/.300/.347	.093	.306	6	10	18%	6%	81	+0.4	.269/.318/.358	.090	.312	5	8	15%	6%	90	+0.9
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→54	40→45	52→50	43	.245/.292/.345	.100	.300	6	13	20%	5%	77	+0.1	.238/.292/.337	.099	.303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.0	.254/.303/.357	.103	.316	9	18	21%	6%	83	+0.4
●Alexi Amarista 2009 · A	20	53→60	39→45	50→55	50	.250/.302/.341	.091	.281	6	17	14%	6%	80	+0.4	.259/.304/.359	.100	.300	4	18	14%	5%	85	+0.7	.260/.301/.361	.101	.302	4	19	15%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Rodrigo Orozco 2015 · A	20	46→56	38→40	49→50	51	.218/.287/.297	.080	.263	5	13	19%	8%	64	-0.8	.229/.287/.314	.085	.285	5	9	20%	7%	67	-0.5	.252/.307/.331	.080	.313	3	11	19%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Manuel Guzman 2015 · A	20	48	35→45	50→55	51	.225/.291/.290	.064	.271	2	18	17%	8%	63	-0.9	.224/.290/.287	.063	.278	3	16	19%	8%	62	-0.9	.238/.306/.305	.068	.287	4	15	17%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)