Darell Hernaiz
2B Las Vegas Aviators| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AAAOAK | 157 | .331/.383/.493 | 5 | 6 | 114 | — | .303/.344/.428 |
| 2024 | 22 | MLBOakland Athle… | 135 | .192/.265/.242 | 1 | 1 | 45 | -0.6 | |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 487 | .301/.380/.416 | 4 | 12 | 97 | — | .276/.340/.376 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLBOAK | 197 | .231/.300/.306 | 2 | 3 | 65 | 0.4 | |
| 2026 | 24 | AAAOAK | 234 | .279/.385/.376 | 2 | 4 | 96 | — | .262/.342/.335 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBOAK | 157 | .234/.318/.277 | 1 | 3 | 70 | 0.0 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 25 | MLBOAK | 107 | .244/.317/.344 | 1 | 2 | 84 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ59% MLB | 26 | MLBOAK | 251 | .245/.318/.349 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ63% MLB | 27 | MLBOAK | 266 | .244/.317/.346 | 4 | 5 | 85 | 0.0 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Orioles | — | 116 | 99 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 26 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 263 | 371 | 364 | 734 | 101 | 338 | 22 | 15 | 338 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 410 | 372 | 103 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 70 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 277 | 336 | 358 | 693 | 81 | 323 | 17 | 7 | 312 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 59 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 113 | 190 | 189 | 378 | 75 | 135 | 27 | 8 | 178 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 255 | 226 | 69 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 305 | 379 | 456 | 835 | 150 | 356 | 17 | 9 | 370 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 138 | 127 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 283 | 341 | 512 | 852 | 228 | 303 | 16 | 6 | 373 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 253 | 220 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 300 | 379 | 418 | 797 | 118 | 325 | 11 | 9 | 353 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 308 | 278 | 94 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 48 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 338 | 395 | 486 | 880 | 147 | 394 | 16 | 8 | 386 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 135 | 120 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 265 | 242 | 507 | 50 | 234 | 20 | 8 | 234 | 45 | -9 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 157 | 142 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 331 | 383 | 493 | 876 | 162 | 356 | 14 | 8 | 381 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Athletics | — | 197 | 173 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 231 | 300 | 306 | 606 | 75 | 250 | 12 | 9 | 269 | 65 | -8 | -1 | +1 | +7 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 445 | 387 | 118 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 51 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 305 | 386 | 424 | 810 | 119 | 340 | 11 | 10 | 360 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 42 | 38 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 317 | 342 | 659 | 79 | 312 | 17 | 5 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Athletics | — | 157 | 137 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 234 | 318 | 277 | 596 | 44 | 292 | 20 | 10 | 275 | 70 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 234 | 197 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 279 | 385 | 376 | 761 | 96 | 317 | 13 | 13 | 345 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 489 | 430 | 95 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 82 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 221 | 296 | 279 | 575 | 58 | 259 | 17 | 9 | 261 | 63 | -22 | -1 | +1 | +10 | +11 | -0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 116 | 105 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 181 | 259 | 238 | 497 | 57 | 278 | 32 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 410 | 381 | 92 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 93 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 241 | 286 | 304 | 591 | 63 | 296 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 59 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 111 | 172 | 185 | 358 | 74 | 139 | 34 | 7 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 255 | 234 | 61 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 57 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 261 | 316 | 385 | 701 | 124 | 316 | 22 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 138 | 129 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 233 | 283 | 388 | 670 | 155 | 266 | 20 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 253 | 228 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 289 | 347 | 382 | 728 | 92 | 315 | 13 | 6 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 308 | 286 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 60 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 301 | 342 | 423 | 765 | 122 | 364 | 19 | 6 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 135 | 120 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 265 | 242 | 507 | 50 | 234 | 20 | 8 | 235 | 45 | -9 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 157 | 145 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 303 | 344 | 428 | 772 | 124 | 335 | 17 | 6 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | Athletics | — | 197 | 173 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 225 | 295 | 295 | 590 | 69 | 250 | 12 | 9 | 264 | 65 | -8 | -1 | +1 | +7 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 445 | 399 | 110 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 60 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 276 | 340 | 376 | 716 | 100 | 310 | 13 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Athletics | — | 157 | 137 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 234 | 318 | 277 | 596 | 44 | 292 | 20 | 10 | 271 | 70 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 234 | 206 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 262 | 342 | 335 | 677 | 73 | 309 | 15 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 116 | 105 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 181 | 259 | 238 | 497 | 57 | 269 | 32 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Orioles | — | 116 | 99 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 26 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 263 | 371 | 364 | 734 | 101 | 338 | 22 | 15 | 338 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 410 | 381 | 92 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 93 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 241 | 286 | 304 | 591 | 63 | 303 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 410 | 372 | 103 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 70 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 277 | 336 | 358 | 693 | 81 | 323 | 17 | 7 | 312 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 452 | 418 | 96 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 105 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 230 | 283 | 354 | 637 | 124 | 283 | 23 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 452 | 406 | 111 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 35 | 81 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 273 | 343 | 438 | 781 | 165 | 313 | 18 | 8 | 346 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 561 | 513 | 152 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 92 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 296 | 346 | 405 | 751 | 109 | 348 | 16 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 561 | 498 | 160 | 32 | 4 | 9 | 50 | 75 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 321 | 388 | 456 | 844 | 135 | 362 | 13 | 9 | 371 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 292 | 265 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 53 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 253 | 308 | 343 | 651 | 91 | 292 | 18 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 292 | 262 | 70 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 49 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 267 | 329 | 378 | 707 | 111 | 302 | 17 | 8 | 313 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 684 | 608 | 159 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 55 | 89 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 262 | 329 | 352 | 681 | 90 | 294 | 13 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 684 | 598 | 168 | 36 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 82 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 281 | 357 | 385 | 742 | 104 | 312 | 12 | 10 | 329 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 391 | 343 | 87 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 67 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 254 | 335 | 324 | 659 | 70 | 304 | 17 | 10 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 391 | 334 | 87 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 47 | 61 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 260 | 358 | 335 | 694 | 75 | 308 | 16 | 12 | 317 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 116 | 104 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 183 | 259 | 240 | 499 | 58 | 278 | 32 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 410 | 383 | 92 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 93 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 240 | 286 | 303 | 589 | 63 | 296 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 452 | 418 | 96 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 105 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 230 | 283 | 354 | 637 | 124 | 278 | 23 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 561 | 517 | 152 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 92 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 294 | 346 | 402 | 748 | 108 | 342 | 16 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 292 | 269 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 53 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 249 | 308 | 338 | 646 | 89 | 288 | 18 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 684 | 618 | 159 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 55 | 89 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 257 | 329 | 346 | 675 | 89 | 292 | 13 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 391 | 346 | 87 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 67 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 251 | 335 | 321 | 656 | 69 | 302 | 17 | 10 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 292 | 269 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 53 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 249 | 308 | 338 | 646 | 89 | 288 | 18 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 684 | 618 | 159 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 55 | 89 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 257 | 329 | 346 | 675 | 89 | 292 | 13 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 391 | 346 | 87 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 67 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 251 | 335 | 321 | 656 | 69 | 302 | 17 | 10 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | OAK | 45% | 501 | 449 | 107 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 91 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 238 | 311 | 333 | 644 | 95 | 281 | 18 | 9 | 293 | 84 | -9 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | OAK | 45% | 107 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 317 | 344 | 661 | 100 | 290 | 18 | 8 | 299 | 84 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | OAK | 59% | 427 | 383 | 92 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 77 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 239 | 312 | 338 | 650 | 99 | 281 | 18 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -7 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 63% | 421 | 377 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 77 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 237 | 311 | 335 | 646 | 97 | 281 | 18 | 9 | 293 | 85 | -8 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | OAK | 65% | 411 | 369 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 76 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 236 | 309 | 330 | 639 | 94 | 280 | 18 | 9 | 290 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | OAK | 65% | 396 | 356 | 82 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 74 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 233 | 306 | 323 | 629 | 90 | 278 | 19 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -9 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | OAK | 65% | 381 | 342 | 79 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 73 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 302 | 315 | 617 | 85 | 276 | 19 | 9 | 282 | 77 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | OAK | 59% | 251 | 225 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 45 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 245 | 318 | 349 | 667 | 103 | 290 | 18 | 9 | 301 | 86 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 63% | 266 | 239 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 48 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 244 | 317 | 346 | 663 | 102 | 289 | 18 | 9 | 300 | 85 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | OAK | 65% | 269 | 242 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 50 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 315 | 341 | 655 | 99 | 288 | 19 | 9 | 297 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | OAK | 65% | 257 | 231 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 239 | 312 | 334 | 645 | 95 | 287 | 19 | 9 | 293 | 80 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | OAK | 65% | 246 | 221 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 308 | 325 | 633 | 89 | 284 | 19 | 9 | 288 | 77 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1778 | 1588 | 375 | 62 | 6 | 22 | 155 | 320 | 12 | 26 | 10 | 236 | 309 | 324 | 633 | 88 | 280 | 18 | 9 | 286 | 83 | -49 | +1 | -12 | +14 | +39 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 581 | 137 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 57 | 117 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 236 | 309 | 324 | 632 | 88 | 280 | 18 | 9 | 286 | 83 | -18 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +14 | -0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5180 | 4673 | 1154 | 190 | 23 | 66 | 399 | 956 | 47 | 136 | 30 | 247 | 313 | 340 | 652 | 93 | 295 | 18 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -70 | +3 | -20 | +18 | +60 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 145 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 50 | 120 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 247 | 313 | 340 | 653 | 92 | 296 | 18 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -16 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 234 PAwOBA .340 → .310 (−30)K% 12.8% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.82% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 24.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.87% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .340 → .310; ISO .096 → .085; BABIP .317 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 445 PAwOBA .353 → .313 (−40)K% 11.5% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.46% | ÷1.027 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.70% | ÷1.052 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×1.048 | 22.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.048 | 7.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×1.048 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.183 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.74% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .353 → .313; ISO .119 → .101; BABIP .340 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 157 PAwOBA .378 → .337 (−41)K% 14.0% → 16.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.01% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.64% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.33% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×1.050 | 28.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.050 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.06% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 104, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .378 → .337; ISO .162 → .124; BABIP .356 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAMidland RockHounds · 308 PAwOBA .377 → .333 (−44)K% 15.6% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.58% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.44% | ÷1.031 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.70% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.042 | 27.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.011 | ×0.840 | ×1.008 | ×1.042 | 7.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.008 | ×1.042 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.89% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .377 → .333; ISO .147 → .128; BABIP .394 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 253 PAwOBA .347 → .319 (−28)K% 10.7% → 12.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.49% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.39% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×1.050 | 25.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.050 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.133 | ×0.970 | ×1.036 | ×1.050 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.07% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.53% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .347 → .319; ISO .118 → .096; BABIP .325 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 255 PAwOBA .362 → .302 (−60)K% 16.9% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.86% | ÷0.991 | ×1.310 | — | — | 22.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.24% | ÷0.966 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.23% | ÷0.980 | ×0.870 | ×0.995 | ×1.027 | 23.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷0.955 | ×0.780 | ×0.995 | ×1.027 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.964 | ×0.850 | ×0.995 | ×1.027 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.73% | ÷1.029 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 2.40% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 93, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .362 → .302; ISO .150 → .129; BABIP .356 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 138 PAwOBA .363 → .289 (−73)K% 15.9% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.94% | ÷1.061 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.80% | ÷0.979 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×1.015 | 18.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×1.015 | 5.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | ×1.015 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.128 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 4.11% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 91, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 112, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .363 → .289; ISO .228 → .166; BABIP .303 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABowie Baysox · 59 PAwOBA .176 → .149 (−28)K% 27.1% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.12% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.47% | ÷0.998 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 11.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.055 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.170 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.89% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .176 → .149; ISO .075 → .055; BABIP .135 → .139. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .