Darell Hernaiz — OGILVIE

Darell Hernaiz3B Athletics

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs MLB HR -6%K -4% Svc 1.233 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 2.2 · 2028

wRC+†vL 9788vR 32

AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .313 / .345

PA350

HR5

SB9

K%15

BB%8

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

35→35

SPD

55→55

EYE

48↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.3peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.233 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$11M	+$10M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$16M	+$15M
2028	Arb-1	$5M	+2.2	$19M	+$14M
2029	Arb-2	$8M	+2.2	$19M	+$11M
2030	Arb-3	$11M	+2.0	$18M	+$7M
Totals		$26M		$83M	+$57M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Orioles	116	105	19	1	1	1	11	37	0	5	0	.181	.259	.238	.497	.057	.269	32	9	.233	37	-8	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2021	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	410	382	91	9	0	5	18	91	5	22	6	.238	.281	.301	.583	.063	.297	22	4	.255	53	-22	+2	+0	+4	+12	-0.4
2022	20	A+	3 teams	452	419	96	17	4	10	22	107	8	32	4	.229	.281	.360	.641	.131	.282	24	5	.274	68	-17	+5	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2023	21	AA	2 teams	561	514	143	26	3	8	34	98	4	13	5	.278	.328	.387	.715	.109	.328	17	6	.309	95	-3	+1	+0	+6	+16	2.0
2024	22	AAA	2 teams	292	265	65	9	0	5	20	55	1	7	2	.245	.301	.336	.637	.091	.286	19	7	.280	73	-9	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.0
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	684	609	149	30	3	5	54	94	6	15	4	.245	.312	.328	.641	.084	.277	14	8	.281	73	-21	+1	+1	+7	+19	0.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	MLB	Athletics	25	22	5	0	0	1	3	5	0	2	0	.227	.320	.364	.684	.136	.250	20	12	.308	94	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
ROS	24	MLB	OAK	325	294	73	13	1	4	26	50	2	7	2	.248	.314	.340	.654	.092	.285	15	8	.299	87	-5	+1	+4	+3	+9	1.3
TOT	24	MLB	OAK	350	316	78	13	1	5	29	55	2	9	2	.247	.314	.342	.656	.095	.283	16	8	.300	88	-5	+1	+4	+4	+10	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB	OAK	420	380	96	17	2	6	34	64	3	9	2	.253	.319	.355	.674	.103	.286	15	8	.305	91	-4	+1	+5	+4	+12	1.9
2028	26	MLB	OAK	441	399	100	17	2	7	36	67	3	9	2	.251	.317	.356	.673	.105	.287	15	8	.308	94	-3	+1	+5	+5	+12	2.1
2029	27	MLB	OAK	442	399	100	17	2	7	37	67	3	9	2	.251	.319	.356	.675	.105	.287	15	8	.308	94	-3	+1	+5	+5	+13	2.1
2030	28	MLB	OAK	439	396	100	17	2	7	37	68	3	9	2	.253	.321	.359	.680	.106	.286	15	8	.307	93	-3	+1	+4	+5	+12	2.0
2031	29	MLB	OAK	429	386	98	17	2	7	37	67	3	8	1	.254	.324	.363	.687	.109	.286	16	9	.305	92	-4	+1	+4	+5	+12	1.8
2032	30	MLB	OAK	420	378	94	16	2	6	36	67	3	6	1	.249	.319	.349	.668	.101	.285	16	9	.302	89	-5	+1	+3	+4	+12	1.5
2033	31	MLB	OAK	405	365	89	15	1	6	34	67	3	4	0	.244	.313	.340	.653	.096	.283	17	8	.298	86	-6	+1	+2	+4	+11	1.2
2034	32	MLB	OAK	386	347	83	14	1	5	33	66	3	2	0	.239	.311	.329	.639	.089	.282	17	9	.293	83	-8	+0	+1	+4	+11	0.9
2035	33	MLB	OAK	356	321	76	13	1	4	30	63	2	1	0	.237	.306	.321	.627	.084	.280	18	8	.288	78	-9	+0	-0	+4	+10	0.5
2036	34	MLB	OAK	312	281	65	11	1	3	26	58	2	0	0	.231	.301	.310	.611	.078	.278	19	8	.281	73	-9	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6890	6240	1537	259	28	96	525	1186	54	158	33	.246	.310	.343	.653	.097	.288	17	8	.293	82	-138	+18	+31	+72	+195	18.1
/ 162G	—			650	589	145	24	3	9	50	112	5	15	3	.246	.311	.343	.654	.097	.288	17	8	.293	82	-13	+2	+3	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Orioles	116	99	26	2	1	2	17	26	0	5	0	.263	.371	.364	.734	.101	.338	22	15	.338	117	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2021	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	410	372	103	12	0	6	28	70	5	22	6	.277	.336	.358	.693	.081	.323	17	7	.312	97	-1	+2	—	—	+12	1.3
2022	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	59	53	6	1	0	1	5	16	0	1	1	.113	.190	.189	.378	.075	.135	27	8	.178	-6	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	255	226	69	13	3	5	22	43	5	22	3	.305	.379	.456	.835	.150	.356	17	9	.370	141	+12	+3	—	—	+7	2.3
2022	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	138	127	36	7	2	6	8	22	3	9	0	.283	.341	.512	.852	.228	.303	16	6	.373	144	+7	+2	—	—	+4	1.3
2023	21	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	253	220	66	12	1	4	24	27	4	6	2	.300	.379	.418	.797	.118	.325	11	9	.353	129	+8	+0	—	—	+7	1.6
2023	21	AA	Midland RockHounds	308	278	94	20	3	5	26	48	0	7	3	.338	.395	.486	.880	.147	.394	16	8	.386	153	+19	+0	—	—	+9	2.8
2024	22	MLB	Oakland Athletics	135	120	23	3	0	1	11	27	1	1	1	.192	.265	.242	.507	.050	.234	20	8	.234	37	-10	-0	-1	+1	+4	-0.6
2024	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	157	142	47	8	0	5	12	22	0	6	1	.331	.383	.493	.876	.162	.356	14	8	.381	150	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2025	23	MLB	Athletics	197	173	40	5	1	2	17	24	0	3	4	.231	.300	.306	.606	.075	.250	12	9	.269	64	-8	-1	+1	+7	+6	0.5
2025	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	445	387	118	28	3	4	46	51	5	12	0	.305	.386	.424	.810	.119	.340	11	10	.360	133	+17	+2	—	—	+13	3.2
2025	23	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	42	38	10	3	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	.263	.317	.342	.659	.079	.312	17	5	.293	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			332	293	63	8	1	3	28	51	1	4	5	.215	.286	.280	.566	.065	.244	15	8	.255	53	-18	-1	+0	+8	+9	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darell Hernaiz (OGILVIE)	24	50	35	55	50	.248/.313/.345	.097	.285	5	8	15%	8%	87	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Freeman 2023 · MLB	24	54→56	40	48→55	47	.260/.325/.352	.091	.290	8	10	13%	5%	95	+1.4	.246/.324/.350	.104	.278	9	18	15%	7%	94	+1.3	.238/.325/.337	.099	.270	8	24	14%	7%	89	+0.6
✕Roberto Valenzuela 2019 · AAA	24	49→57	41→40	47→45	50	.237/.292/.338	.101	.261	9	8	13%	6%	76	+0.1	.260/.306/.366	.106	.297	11	9	16%	5%	89	+0.9	.276/.322/.372	.096	.314	10	8	15%	5%	92	+1.0
✕Nicky Lopez 2019 · AAA	24	53→61	39→40	52→55	51	.253/.307/.339	.087	.282	6	14	13%	7%	82	+0.5	.251/.307/.336	.085	.286	5	12	13%	7%	81	+0.4	.256/.317/.334	.078	.294	4	14	13%	8%	82	+0.4
✕Johnny Giavotella 2012 · MLB	25	55→59	41→45	49→50	48	.262/.308/.368	.106	.300	7	12	16%	6%	90	+1.0	.259/.308/.363	.104	.297	8	11	15%	6%	89	+0.9	.254/.307/.354	.100	.287	8	12	14%	6%	85	+0.6
✕Valentin Gamez 2007 · AAA	24	52	40	49→40	51	.248/.305/.336	.088	.275	8	18	13%	7%	81	+0.4	.243/.285/.307	.064	.277	4	12	13%	5%	64	-0.8	.272/.319/.343	.071	.308	3	3	12%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Jesus Fabela 2019 · AAA	24	49→59	43→40	51→50	47	.239/.303/.347	.108	.279	10	13	18%	6%	83	+0.6	.265/.324/.366	.101	.323	9	10	20%	5%	97	+1.5	.284/.343/.369	.085	.351	8	9	20%	5%	104	+1.8
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2014 · MLB	24	54→61	41→45	50→60	46	.258/.298/.356	.098	.296	8	15	16%	5%	82	+0.5	.244/.286/.321	.077	.287	5	11	16%	5%	69	-0.4	.248/.288/.306	.058	.289	2	9	14%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Lou Marson 2011 · MLB	25	48→54	40	50	52	.229/.305/.324	.095	.283	7	10	21%	9%	79	+0.3	.216/.299/.301	.085	.278	5	11	22%	10%	70	-0.3	.224/.319/.289	.065	.297	1	9	22%	12%	72	-0.1
✕Greg Garcia 2014 · AAA	24	51→53	40	51→50	50	.242/.319/.339	.097	.304	6	12	21%	8%	89	+0.9	.240/.315/.330	.090	.311	6	12	23%	8%	84	+0.6	.241/.350/.334	.093	.308	6	3	21%	13%	99	+0.8
✕Otto Lopez 2023 · AAA	24	55→59	40→45	55	45	.262/.315/.363	.101	.327	6	18	21%	6%	92	+1.2	.255/.303/.357	.102	.307	8	19	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.266/.318/.393	.127	.299	13	20	16%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Brent Abernathy 2002 · MLB	24	53	44→40	49→50	55	.256/.317/.379	.123	.275	11	13	12%	8%	97	+1.5	.236/.287/.324	.088	.256	6	12	10%	6%	70	-0.3	.251/.299/.323	.072	.278	6	15	12%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Nick Madrigal 2022 · MLB	25	57	39→40	49→50	51	.269/.317/.357	.088	.281	5	16	7%	5%	91	+1.1	.258/.311/.340	.082	.286	4	10	11%	5%	84	+0.6	.263/.318/.341	.077	.292	3	12	10%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Joe Sclafani 2015 · AAA	25	52→47	39→40	51→50	51	.246/.312/.339	.093	.292	6	13	17%	8%	85	+0.7	.251/.310/.325	.074	.309	4	11	19%	7%	80	+0.4	.273/.334/.308	.035	.343	0	8	19%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Jose Aguilar 2014 · AAA	24	57→60	40→45	50→55	47	.272/.325/.361	.088	.313	7	16	15%	5%	95	+1.4	.269/.323/.372	.103	.307	8	16	14%	6%	98	+1.6	.265/.324/.366	.101	.300	8	19	14%	6%	94	+0.8
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2018 · MLB	24	53→59	44→45	49→50	44	.260/.294/.385	.125	.295	11	8	16%	5%	89	+0.9	.256/.295/.374	.118	.297	12	5	18%	5%	86	+0.8	.238/.279/.350	.112	.272	12	3	17%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2020 · MLB	25	50→57	39→40	48→55	47	.239/.296/.328	.089	.286	6	11	18%	6%	75	-0.0	.257/.309/.348	.091	.298	7	16	16%	6%	85	+0.7	.268/.316/.348	.080	.304	6	21	14%	5%	85	+0.5
✕Francisco Urbaez 2022 · AAA	24	51→57	40→45	48→45	48	.240/.306/.337	.097	.297	6	6	21%	7%	82	+0.5	.236/.299/.341	.105	.296	9	7	22%	7%	80	+0.4	.246/.307/.361	.115	.292	9	7	18%	7%	87	+0.5
✕Ricardo Ruiz 2007 · AAA	25	52	40	48→50	47	.248/.300/.345	.097	.282	7	11	15%	5%	82	+0.5	.229/.277/.312	.083	.278	6	9	19%	5%	63	-0.9	.225/.273/.264	.040	.282	0	4	19%	4%	46	-0.5
✕L.J. Hoes 2014 · MLB	24	58→62	39→40	48→50	50	.273/.332/.365	.092	.325	5	14	17%	8%	99	+1.7	.249/.311/.338	.089	.305	6	16	19%	8%	84	+0.6	.233/.295/.314	.081	.283	7	17	19%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Boog Powell 2017 · AAA	24	55→58	38→40	48→50	50	.260/.319/.343	.083	.318	5	16	19%	8%	88	+0.9	.247/.310/.344	.097	.312	8	15	22%	8%	85	+0.7	.238/.312/.332	.095	.312	9	16	25%	10%	80	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)