Darell Hernaiz — OGILVIE

Darell Hernaiz3B Athletics

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 1.233 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION244 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9577vR 30

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .322 / .343

PA162

HR2

K%17

BB%9

BABIP289

ISO96

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

906.3%

xwOBA

300.285

POWER35

Barrel%

101.9

Avg EV

1085.4

Bat Spd

2468.5

EYE50

Chase%

9022.3%

SPEED55

Sprint

5527.7

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 332 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

107

225

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

312

227

◀◀L

ISO

088

054

◀◀L

BABIP

294

218

◀◀L

13.1%

16.4%

◀◀L

BB%

10.3%

7.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.233 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.3	$1M	+$1.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.6	$19M	+$19M
2028	Arb-1	$5M	+2.8	$19M	+$15M
2029	Arb-2	$8M	+2.7	$17M	+$11M
2030	Arb-3	$12M	+2.5	$15M	+$7M
Totals		$27M		$72M	+$52M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	116	105	19	1	1	1	11	37	0	5	0	181	259	238	497	57	269	32	9	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	116	99	26	2	1	2	17	26	0	5	0	263	371	364	734	101	338	22	15	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	410	382	91	8	0	4	18	90	5	22	6	238	281	291	572	52	298	22	4	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	410	372	103	12	0	6	28	70	5	22	6	277	336	358	693	81	323	17	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	3 teams	—	452	417	99	18	4	9	24	108	8	32	4	237	292	365	656	127	297	24	5	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	3 teams	—	452	406	111	21	5	12	35	81	8	32	4	273	343	438	781	165	313	18	8	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	561	516	143	25	3	8	32	98	4	13	5	277	324	384	708	107	327	17	6	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	561	498	160	32	4	9	50	75	4	13	5	321	388	456	844	135	362	13	9	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	2 teams	—	292	265	65	9	0	5	20	54	1	7	2	245	301	336	637	91	284	18	7	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	2 teams	—	292	262	70	11	0	6	23	49	1	7	2	267	329	378	707	111	302	17	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	—	684	608	148	31	4	5	55	92	6	15	4	243	312	332	645	89	275	13	8	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	—	684	598	168	36	4	6	65	82	6	15	4	281	357	385	742	104	312	12	10	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	MLB	OAK	—	244	213	52	6	1	2	26	41	1	5	0	244	329	310	639	66	291	17	11	283	75	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
YTD	24	MLB	OAK	—	244	208	52	6	1	2	31	37	1	5	0	250	350	317	667	67	292	15	13	306	93	-2	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.7
ROS	24	MLB	OAK	100%	162	145	36	6	1	2	15	27	1	3	1	247	322	343	665	96	286	17	9	298	86	-2	+0	+1	+2	+5	0.6
ROS	24	MLB	OAK	100%	163	146	36	6	1	2	15	27	1	3	1	247	321	342	663	96	284	17	9	291	81	-3	+0	+1	+2	+5	0.5
FULL	24	MLB	OAK	—	407	359	88	12	2	4	41	68	2	8	1	245	326	323	649	78	290	17	10	286	77	-10	+1	+2	+3	+12	0.7
TOT	24	MLB	OAK	—	406	358	88	12	2	4	41	68	2	8	1	245	326	323	650	78	290	17	10	289	79	-9	+1	+2	+3	+12	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	OAK	82%	660	591	146	23	3	9	60	109	4	14	2	247	321	342	662	95	285	17	9	300	88	-9	+2	+6	+7	+19	2.5
2028	26	MLB	OAK	82%	651	582	144	22	3	10	60	107	4	13	2	247	322	347	669	100	286	16	9	303	90	-7	+2	+6	+7	+18	2.6
2029	27	MLB	OAK	82%	638	569	141	22	3	10	60	106	4	13	2	248	324	350	674	102	285	17	9	303	90	-7	+2	+6	+7	+18	2.6
2030	28	MLB	OAK	82%	625	557	136	21	2	9	59	104	4	12	2	244	321	338	658	93	285	17	9	302	89	-8	+2	+5	+7	+18	2.4
2031	29	MLB	OAK	82%	612	545	133	21	2	9	58	103	4	11	2	244	321	339	661	95	284	17	9	300	88	-8	+1	+4	+7	+17	2.1
2032	30	MLB	OAK	82%	600	534	129	20	2	8	57	103	4	10	2	242	319	331	651	90	283	17	10	297	86	-10	+1	+3	+6	+17	1.9
2033	31	MLB	OAK	82%	588	523	125	19	2	8	56	103	4	8	1	239	317	329	646	90	280	18	10	293	82	-12	+1	+3	+6	+17	1.5
2034	32	MLB	OAK	82%	576	513	121	18	2	7	55	103	3	7	1	236	313	320	633	84	277	18	10	287	78	-15	+1	+2	+6	+16	1.1
2035	33	MLB	OAK	82%	497	444	100	14	1	5	47	91	3	5	1	225	304	295	599	70	273	18	9	280	72	-16	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
2027	25	MLB	OAK	82%	541	482	117	18	2	7	50	89	4	11	2	243	319	332	651	89	283	16	9	293	82	-11	+1	+5	+6	+15	1.7
2028	26	MLB	OAK	82%	534	476	117	18	2	8	49	88	4	11	2	246	321	342	664	97	283	16	9	296	85	-9	+1	+5	+6	+15	1.8
2029	27	MLB	OAK	82%	523	466	115	18	2	8	49	87	3	11	2	247	322	345	668	99	283	17	9	296	85	-9	+1	+5	+6	+15	1.8
2030	28	MLB	OAK	82%	512	456	111	17	2	7	48	86	3	10	2	243	320	336	655	92	283	17	9	295	84	-9	+1	+4	+5	+15	1.6
2031	29	MLB	OAK	82%	502	446	109	17	2	7	48	85	3	9	1	244	322	339	660	94	282	17	10	293	83	-10	+1	+3	+5	+14	1.5
2032	30	MLB	OAK	82%	492	439	106	16	2	7	47	84	3	8	1	241	319	335	654	93	281	17	10	290	80	-11	+1	+3	+5	+14	1.3
2033	31	MLB	OAK	82%	482	430	102	15	2	6	46	84	3	7	1	237	315	323	638	86	278	17	10	286	77	-12	+1	+2	+5	+14	1.0
2034	32	MLB	OAK	82%	472	421	97	14	1	6	45	84	3	6	1	230	309	311	620	81	275	18	10	281	73	-14	+1	+1	+5	+13	0.6
2035	33	MLB	OAK	82%	408	365	82	12	1	4	38	75	2	4	1	225	301	296	597	71	271	18	9	274	68	-15	+0	+0	+4	+12	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4961	4420	1055	159	18	65	463	840	30	84	19	239	315	327	642	88	279	17	9	288	78	-122	+9	+30	+58	+141	11.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	139	21	2	9	61	110	4	11	2	240	317	330	647	90	280	17	9	288	78	-16	+1	+4	+8	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	8124	7296	1776	278	33	109	687	1435	59	190	37	243	314	335	649	92	287	18	8	292	81	-170	+23	+37	+85	+230	20.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	142	22	3	9	55	115	5	15	3	243	314	337	651	94	287	18	8	292	81	-14	+2	+3	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	116	99	26	2	1	2	17	26	0	5	0	263	371	364	734	101	338	22	15	338	117	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2021	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	410	372	103	12	0	6	28	70	5	22	6	277	336	358	693	81	323	17	7	312	97	-1	+2	—	—	+12	1.3
2022	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	59	53	6	1	0	1	5	16	0	1	1	113	190	189	378	75	135	27	8	178	-6	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	255	226	69	13	3	5	22	43	5	22	3	305	379	456	835	150	356	17	9	370	141	+12	+3	—	—	+7	2.3
2022	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	138	127	36	7	2	6	8	22	3	9	0	283	341	512	852	228	303	16	6	373	144	+7	+2	—	—	+4	1.3
2023	21	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	253	220	66	12	1	4	24	27	4	6	2	300	379	418	797	118	325	11	9	353	129	+8	+0	—	—	+7	1.6
2023	21	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	308	278	94	20	3	5	26	48	0	7	3	338	395	486	880	147	394	16	8	386	153	+19	+0	—	—	+9	2.8
2024	22	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	135	120	23	3	0	1	11	27	1	1	1	192	265	242	507	50	234	20	8	234	37	-10	-0	-1	+1	+4	-0.6
2024	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	157	142	47	8	0	5	12	22	0	6	1	331	383	493	876	162	356	14	8	381	150	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2025	23	MLB	Athletics	—	197	173	40	5	1	2	17	24	0	3	4	231	300	306	606	75	250	12	9	269	64	-8	-1	+1	+7	+6	0.5
2025	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	445	387	118	28	3	4	46	51	5	12	0	305	386	424	810	119	340	11	10	360	133	+17	+2	—	—	+13	3.2
2025	23	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	42	38	10	3	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	263	317	342	659	79	312	17	5	293	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	332	293	63	8	1	3	28	51	1	4	5	215	286	280	566	65	244	15	8	255	53	-18	-1	+0	+8	+9	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Alex Coralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,756 PA	12	3,756	35	47	245	312	341	+8	+29	7.8	8.1
#6Alex Coralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,756 PA	/162	664	6	8	245	312	341	+1.4	+5.2	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,188	69	89	241	313	331	+24	+7	7.3	7.2
	/162	664	9	11	241	313	331	+3.0	+0.9	0.9	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darell Hernaiz (OGILVIE)	24	50	35	55	50	245/326/323	78	290	4	8	17%	10%	79	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2014 · MLB	24	53→61	41→45	50→60	45	253/295/353	100	294	8	14	17%	5%	80	+0.4	242/284/318	76	284	5	11	16%	5%	66	-0.6	245/286/302	57	285	3	9	14%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Lou Marson 2011 · MLB	25	47→54	40	51→50	52	224/299/323	99	276	7	11	21%	9%	76	+0.0	218/303/304	86	282	5	11	22%	10%	72	-0.2	224/319/287	63	297	1	9	22%	12%	73	-0.1
✕Luis Rivas 2004 · MLB	24	53→55	43→50	55	49	254/305/375	121	284	9	19	14%	6%	91	+1.1	239/278/364	125	266	11	16	14%	5%	76	+0.1	223/278/325	101	251	9	11	15%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Tyler Freeman 2023 · MLB	24	56→60	40	48→55	48	268/335/356	88	297	8	10	13%	5%	99	+1.7	246/325/348	102	278	9	19	15%	7%	94	+1.3	235/322/331	96	266	8	24	14%	7%	86	+0.5
✕Ronny Cedeno 2007 · MLB	24	52→57	42→45	47→50	42	255/287/358	103	297	9	11	18%	4%	79	+0.3	254/297/375	121	300	13	10	19%	5%	88	+0.9	249/298/373	124	292	14	9	19%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Jesus Fabela 2019 · AAA	24	48→57	43→40	50	48	236/299/344	108	273	11	13	18%	6%	81	+0.4	252/311/347	95	321	9	10	23%	5%	86	+0.8	265/325/341	77	343	7	9	23%	5%	89	+0.8
✕L.J. Hoes 2014 · MLB	24	58→63	39→40	48→50	50	275/334/370	94	329	5	14	17%	8%	102	+1.8	249/310/341	92	305	7	16	19%	8%	85	+0.7	235/296/323	88	282	8	17	19%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Francisco Urbaez 2022 · AAA	24	49→56	40→45	48→45	48	235/302/331	96	291	6	6	21%	7%	79	+0.3	234/297/336	102	294	9	7	22%	7%	78	+0.2	254/315/364	110	294	7	6	15%	7%	91	+0.7
✕Ozzie Martínez 2012 · MLB	24	51→59	38→40	49→50	45	244/290/327	83	288	5	12	17%	5%	72	-0.2	206/246/273	67	250	4	9	19%	5%	39	-2.5	215/247/273	57	256	5	9	18%	4%	36	-1.6
✕Greg Garcia 2014 · AAA	24	52→54	39→40	51→50	50	244/319/339	96	306	6	12	21%	8%	89	+0.9	239/314/329	90	310	6	12	23%	8%	83	+0.6	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2020 · MLB	25	50→56	39→40	49→55	47	239/298/332	93	287	6	11	19%	6%	77	+0.1	256/308/346	90	296	7	17	15%	6%	85	+0.7	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Brent Abernathy 2002 · MLB	24	53	44→40	49→50	55	258/318/379	121	276	11	13	12%	8%	97	+1.5	233/284/322	89	253	6	12	10%	6%	68	-0.5	251/299/323	72	278	6	15	12%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Shane Robinson 2009 · AAA	24	52→59	40→45	51→55	44	249/289/341	92	288	7	17	16%	5%	75	-0.0	235/283/340	105	266	9	17	15%	5%	72	-0.2	262/331/377	115	291	10	16	13%	9%	98	+0.6
✕Gilberto Celestino 2023 · MLB	24	48→53	40→45	48→55	48	228/297/323	94	294	8	8	24%	8%	75	-0.0	235/307/327	92	305	8	12	24%	9%	80	+0.4	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
●Nicky Lopez 2019 · AAA	24	53→63	39→40	52→55	50	252/305/339	87	281	6	14	13%	7%	81	+0.4	256/311/345	89	293	5	12	14%	7%	85	+0.7	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Steve Lombardozzi Jr. 2013 · MLB	24	56→59	40→45	53→50	46	267/309/368	101	304	7	14	14%	5%	90	+1.0	249/281/320	71	284	4	12	13%	4%	66	-0.6	243/273/291	48	278	1	12	13%	3%	52	-0.9
✕Johnny Giavotella 2012 · MLB	25	57→61	41→45	49→50	46	271/313/375	104	314	7	12	16%	6%	94	+1.3	260/308/365	105	299	8	11	15%	6%	89	+1.0	265/310/377	112	292	8	5	12%	6%	92	+0.8
✕Valentin Gamez 2007 · AAA	24	53	39→40	49→40	51	251/308/333	83	276	7	18	12%	7%	81	+0.4	242/284/305	63	276	4	11	13%	5%	63	-0.8	265/312/334	70	302	3	3	13%	6%	81	+0.2
●Kevin Newman 2018 · AAA	24	52→62	38→45	50	46	247/289/334	86	279	5	10	14%	5%	72	-0.2	264/307/361	97	298	7	16	14%	5%	88	+0.9	275/321/371	96	307	7	18	13%	6%	92	+0.9
✕Christian Herrera 2006 · AAA	24	49	43→40	50→45	49	235/302/352	117	295	9	11	23%	8%	84	+0.6	247/302/346	99	325	7	10	24%	7%	82	+0.5	245/298/324	79	319	5	7	23%	6%	71	-0.1