Francisco Urbaez

Francisco Urbaez2B Louisville Bats

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 195 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION275 act + 183 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG.265 / .325 / .367

PA183

HR2

K%16

BB%7

BABIP310

ISO102

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	4 teams	—	526	471	114	24	3	5	39	105	12	5	3	242	316	338	654	96	302	20	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	4 teams	—	526	452	133	23	2	4	58	75	12	5	3	294	389	381	769	86	346	14	11	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	187	171	40	8	1	3	14	39	1	2	1	234	296	345	641	111	285	21	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	187	164	46	11	1	3	21	31	1	2	1	280	366	415	780	134	328	17	11	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	347	313	73	11	1	5	25	90	4	5	3	233	298	323	621	89	305	26	7	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	347	297	75	12	1	6	41	68	4	5	3	253	351	360	711	108	303	20	12	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	3 teams	—	443	394	98	15	2	8	32	82	8	8	6	249	318	358	676	109	289	19	7	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	3 teams	—	443	377	101	19	2	9	48	67	8	8	6	268	362	401	762	133	299	15	11	339	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	456	416	112	31	7	5	28	56	6	6	4	269	324	413	738	144	296	12	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	456	400	125	32	5	4	42	42	6	6	4	312	384	448	832	135	336	9	9	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	CIN	—	275	248	65	13	1	2	21	43	3	1	1	262	327	347	674	85	306	16	8	298	86	-4	-0	+0	+1	+8	0.4
YTD	28	AAA	CIN	—	275	237	69	15	1	2	31	36	3	1	1	291	379	388	767	97	332	13	11	346	123	+7	-0	+0	+1	+8	1.6
ROS	28	AAA	CIN	10%	183	166	44	9	1	2	13	30	2	2	1	265	325	367	692	102	310	16	7	314	98	-0	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.6
ROS	28	MLB	CIN	10%	18	17	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	235	278	294	572	59	313	17	6	308	94	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	28	AAA	CIN	—	293	265	69	14	1	2	22	46	3	1	1	260	324	343	668	83	305	16	8	299	87	-4	-0	+0	+1	+8	0.5
TOT	28	AAA	CIN	—	458	414	109	22	2	4	34	73	5	3	2	263	326	355	681	92	308	16	7	304	91	-5	-0	+0	+2	+13	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	CIN	36%	323	292	77	16	2	4	24	56	4	3	2	264	328	373	701	110	309	17	7	313	98	-1	-0	-1	+1	+9	0.8
2028	30	MLB	CIN	51%	343	310	80	17	2	4	26	61	4	2	2	258	324	365	688	106	307	18	8	311	96	-1	-0	-2	+1	+10	0.7
2027	29	MLB	CIN	36%	116	105	28	6	1	1	9	20	1	1	1	267	330	371	702	105	312	17	8	308	94	-1	-0	-1	+0	+3	0.2
2028	30	MLB	CIN	51%	174	157	41	9	1	2	13	31	2	1	1	261	326	369	695	108	310	18	7	306	92	-2	-0	-1	+1	+5	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	308	279	73	16	2	3	23	54	3	2	2	262	325	366	690	104	312	18	7	307	93	-2	-0	-2	+1	+9	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	154	34	4	6	49	114	6	4	4	261	325	363	688	102	313	18	8	307	93	-5	-1	-3	+2	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	2808	2533	638	131	19	36	201	519	41	33	22	252	317	361	678	109	301	18	7	298	87	-43	-2	-3	+10	+80	4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	147	30	4	8	47	120	9	8	5	251	316	357	673	106	300	18	7	298	87	-10	-0	-1	+2	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	55	52	12	4	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	231	273	308	580	77	273	15	5	263	60	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2021	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	48	40	8	2	1	0	6	5	2	0	0	200	333	300	633	100	229	10	12	299	87	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	285	246	82	16	1	4	32	44	6	3	1	333	423	455	878	122	394	15	11	394	160	+19	+0	—	—	+8	2.8
2021	23	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	138	114	31	1	0	0	17	18	4	2	2	272	385	281	666	9	323	13	12	313	98	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	187	164	46	11	1	3	21	31	1	2	1	280	366	415	780	134	328	17	11	350	126	+5	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	38	34	9	1	1	0	4	7	0	0	0	265	342	353	695	88	333	18	11	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	293	250	66	11	0	6	35	55	4	4	3	264	363	380	743	116	311	19	12	336	115	+5	-0	—	—	+8	1.3
2023	25	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	16	13	0	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	0		133		133			38	12	87	-75	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2024	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	100	85	26	7	0	2	12	19	0	4	0	306	392	459	851	153	369	19	12	369	141	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	315	270	71	12	2	7	31	42	7	4	6	263	353	400	753	137	282	13	10	334	114	+5	-2	—	—	+9	1.2
2024	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	28	22	4	0	0	0	5	6	1	0	0	182	357	182	539		250	21	18	280	73	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	411	360	113	32	5	4	38	40	5	5	4	314	385	464	849	150	339	10	9	372	143	+20	-1	—	—	+12	3.2
2025	27	INTL	Toros del Este	—	45	40	12	0	0	0	4	2	1	1	0	300	378	300	678		316	4	9	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Fontenotlast yr '12 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,581 PA	6	1,581	27	17	265	332	402	+7	+7	7.0	7.0
	/162	664	11	7	265	332	402	+3.1	+3.0	2.9	pk7: 7
#2Brent Maynelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,762 PA	5	1,762	18	7	261	330	343	+5	+16	4.9	4.9
	/162	664	7	3	261	330	343	+1.8	+6.0	1.9	pk7: 5
#3Albert Almora Jr.last yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,571 PA	6	1,571	33	7	261	301	387	+2	+18	4.8	4.8
	/162	664	14	3	261	301	387	+1.0	+7.8	2.0	pk7: 5
#4Dan Wilsonlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,801 PA	5	1,801	27	5	259	301	360	+6	+13	3.4	3.4
#4Dan Wilsonlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,801 PA	/162	664	10	2	259	301	360	+2.1	+4.7	1.3	pk7: 3
#5Jose Vizcainolast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,971 PA	7	1,971	15	15	269	315	355	+3	+2	2.8	2.8
	/162	664	5	5	269	315	355	+0.9	+0.6	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	5	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	13	0	248	314	368	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	315	4	2	262	322	373	+1	+1	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	8	5	262	322	373	+2.4	+2.1	1.7	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Urbaez (OGILVIE)	28	60	45	45	45	263/326/355	92	308	4	3	16%	7%	91	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brendan Harris 2009 · MLB	28	55→58	45→50	46→45	49	265/326/401	136	316	11	4	19%	8%	107	+2.2	231/285/338	107	275	9	3	19%	6%	73	-0.1	221/306/334	113	260	11	1	18%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Elias Díaz 2020 · MLB	29	53→56	42→50	44→45	48	257/307/362	105	297	10	3	17%	6%	89	+0.9	227/286/357	130	259	15	3	18%	7%	79	+0.3	242/293/380	138	290	16	0	22%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Eric Campbell 2015 · MLB	28	54→57	43→45	49→50	51	258/333/376	117	322	10	11	22%	9%	104	+2.0	240/327/350	110	299	10	13	21%	10%	95	+1.4	243/339/350	107	298	9	12	20%	11%	97	+1.0
✕Jordy Mercer 2014 · MLB	27	52→59	47→50	43→45	46	257/309/399	141	302	13	8	19%	6%	99	+1.7	253/307/373	120	293	11	5	17%	7%	92	+1.2	254/324/387	133	291	12	1	16%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Luis Martinez 2013 · MLB	28	52→62	39→40	49→40	47	245/305/338	94	316	5	5	23%	7%	82	+0.5	223/277/316	93	289	5	4	23%	6%	64	-0.8	210/265/286	76	274	3	1	23%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Johnny Giavotella 2014 · MLB	27	54→61	41→45	48→50	48	257/308/360	103	298	8	10	16%	6%	89	+0.9	253/297/361	108	282	8	11	13%	6%	84	+0.6	265/310/377	112	292	8	5	12%	6%	92	+0.8
✕Phil Gosselin 2017 · MLB	28	56→62	41→45	50→45	45	270/314/378	108	324	8	9	19%	6%	95	+1.4	222/272/318	96	282	8	5	23%	6%	63	-0.9	257/321/384	127	317	13	4	22%	8%	98	+0.8
✕T.J. Rivera 2017 · MLB	28	57→67	42→45	42→45	42	277/311/381	104	320	9	4	16%	4%	95	+1.4	256/296/375	119	298	11	6	18%	4%	87	+0.8	256/296/394	138	298	15	2	19%	4%	92	+0.6
✕Yuniesky Betancourt 2010 · MLB	28	54→60	42→50	43→50	47	258/286/372	114	270	8	5	8%	4%	82	+0.5	254/283/395	141	265	15	4	11%	4%	87	+0.8	253/280/402	149	262	16	3	11%	3%	85	+0.5
✕Gerald Laird 2009 · MLB	29	51→47	45→50	42→50	46	248/303/377	129	294	12	6	20%	6%	91	+1.1	227/295/337	110	264	9	7	17%	7%	78	+0.2	268/338/369	101	310	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.4
✕Grant Green 2015 · MLB	27	55→61	44→45	43→45	41	266/301/389	123	324	11	8	22%	4%	93	+1.3	253/282/358	105	323	8	5	23%	4%	76	+0.1	250/279/343	93	323	6	2	24%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Jose Iglesias 2018 · MLB	28	56→65	41→45	44→50	48	267/309/375	108	292	8	10	12%	5%	92	+1.2	277/314/403	126	304	10	11	12%	4%	102	+1.9	289/324/415	126	316	10	11	12%	4%	106	+1.4
✕Jason Donald 2013 · MLB	28	51→55	41→50	49→50	43	243/303/347	104	316	8	13	25%	6%	83	+0.6	213/257/310	97	303	7	9	31%	5%	54	-1.4	193/229/276	83	287	5	6	33%	4%	30	-1.3
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2016 · MLB	28	49→45	42→55	46→30	49	236/304/342	106	291	10	4	22%	8%	82	+0.5	227/291/334	107	289	10	3	24%	7%	76	+0.0	231/300/392	161	282	20	0	25%	7%	90	+0.4
●James McCann 2016 · MLB	26	53→56	44→50	46→45	40	258/294/379	122	316	11	5	22%	4%	87	+0.8	243/294/382	139	304	17	3	25%	6%	89	+0.9	252/308/402	150	319	18	2	26%	6%	98	+1.2
✕Joel Galarraga 2010 · AAA	28	58→61	40	45→50	52	274/338/380	106	309	6	10	13%	8%	106	+2.2	239/298/321	82	289	5	9	18%	7%	74	-0.1	269/319/353	84	303	6	10	13%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Angel Berroa 2006 · MLB	29	54→56	44→55	49→50	43	265/307/387	121	302	11	11	16%	4%	95	+1.4	244/286/354	110	280	11	6	17%	4%	78	+0.2	254/297/421	167	303	20	5	23%	4%	99	+1.0
✕Harold Castro 2022 · MLB	28	58→61	41→45	43→55	42	280/313/379	99	347	9	5	22%	5%	95	+1.4	257/289/356	99	316	8	4	21%	4%	79	+0.3	247/281/372	125	296	14	4	21%	4%	77	+0.1
✕Jose Morales 2011 · MLB	28	54→61	39→40	40→30	48	257/314/350	93	319	6	3	21%	8%	88	+0.9	236/301/325	89	301	6	5	22%	8%	76	+0.1	238/304/297	59	306	2	0	21%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Gabriel Gutierrez 2012 · AAA	28	54	44→45	48→45	49	261/329/383	122	288	10	6	14%	6%	104	+2.0	242/315/350	108	275	8	6	15%	5%	90	+1.0	287/345/413	126	318	12	6	13%	6%	114	+1.1