Francisco Urbaez

Francisco Urbaez2B Louisville Bats

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 195 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION456 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP287

ISO112

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	55	52	12	4	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	231	273	308	580	77	273	15	5	263	64	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	48	40	8	2	1	0	6	5	2	0	0	200	333	300	633	100	229	10	12	299	89	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	285	246	82	16	1	4	32	44	6	3	1	333	423	455	878	122	394	15	11	394	153	+18	+0	—	—	+6	2.5
2021	23	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	138	114	31	1	0	0	17	18	4	2	2	272	385	281	666	9	323	13	12	313	98	-0	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	187	164	46	11	1	3	21	31	1	2	1	280	366	415	780	134	328	17	11	350	123	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	38	34	9	1	1	0	4	7	0	0	0	265	342	353	695	88	333	18	11	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	293	250	66	11	0	6	35	55	4	4	3	264	363	380	743	116	311	19	12	336	113	+5	-0	—	—	+6	1.1
2023	25	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	16	13	0	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	0		133		133			38	12	87	-55	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	100	85	26	7	0	2	12	19	0	4	0	306	392	459	851	153	369	19	12	369	136	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	315	270	71	12	2	7	31	42	7	4	6	263	353	400	753	137	282	13	10	334	112	+5	-2	—	—	+7	1.0
2024	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	28	22	4	0	0	0	5	6	1	0	0	182	357	182	539		250	21	18	280	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	411	360	113	32	5	4	38	40	5	5	4	314	385	464	849	150	339	10	9	372	138	+18	-1	—	—	+9	2.7
2025	27	INTL	Toros del Este	—	45	40	12	0	0	0	4	2	1	1	0	300	378	300	678		316	4	9	320	102	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	55	53	12	4	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	226	255	302	556	75	257	18	4	224	38	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	48	42	8	2	1	0	4	6	2	0	0	190	292	286	577	95	204	12	8	250	55	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	285	255	69	13	1	3	23	60	6	3	1	271	345	365	710	94	337	21	8	311	97	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2022	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	187	171	41	9	1	2	14	37	1	2	1	240	301	339	640	99	290	20	7	285	79	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2023	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	38	35	8	1	1	0	3	8	0	0	0	229	289	314	604	86	307	21	8	266	66	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	293	262	62	10	0	5	23	70	4	4	3	237	308	332	640	95	290	24	8	280	76	-8	-0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2024	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	100	89	24	6	0	1	8	23	0	4	0	270	330	371	701	101	342	23	8	316	100	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	315	281	66	9	2	5	21	51	7	4	6	235	304	335	639	100	255	16	7	284	78	-8	-2	—	—	+7	-0.3
2025	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	411	375	102	28	5	3	25	49	5	5	4	272	326	397	723	125	294	12	6	316	100	+0	-1	—	—	+9	0.8
2021	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	526	471	119	24	3	5	39	103	12	5	3	253	326	348	674	96	314	20	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	526	452	133	23	2	4	58	75	12	5	3	294	389	381	769	86	346	14	11	351	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	187	171	41	9	1	2	14	37	1	2	1	240	301	339	640	99	293	20	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	187	164	46	11	1	3	21	31	1	2	1	280	366	415	780	134	328	17	11	350	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	347	311	73	11	1	5	27	82	4	5	3	235	304	325	629	90	297	24	8	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	347	297	75	12	1	6	41	68	4	5	3	253	351	360	711	108	303	20	12	322	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	443	395	97	16	2	7	31	79	8	8	6	246	313	349	663	104	285	18	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	3 teams	—	443	377	101	19	2	9	48	67	8	8	6	268	362	401	762	133	299	15	11	339	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	456	416	114	31	6	4	28	55	6	6	4	274	329	406	735	132	303	12	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	456	400	125	32	5	4	42	42	6	6	4	312	384	448	832	135	336	9	9	367	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	526	470	119	24	3	5	39	103	12	5	3	253	326	349	675	96	309	20	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	187	170	41	9	1	2	14	37	1	2	1	241	301	341	642	100	290	20	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	347	313	73	11	1	5	27	82	4	5	3	233	304	323	627	89	292	24	8	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	443	401	97	16	2	7	31	79	8	8	6	242	313	344	658	102	276	18	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	456	419	114	31	6	4	28	55	6	6	4	272	329	403	732	131	294	12	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	347	313	73	11	1	5	27	82	4	5	3	233	304	323	627	89	292	24	8	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	443	401	97	16	2	7	31	79	8	8	6	242	313	344	658	102	276	18	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	456	419	114	31	6	4	28	55	6	6	4	272	329	403	732	131	294	12	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	CIN	—	456	418	94	21	1	4	29	74	5	3	1	225	283	309	592	84	262	16	6	265	65	-19	+0	+0	+2	+10	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA RAW	CIN	—	456	404	104	25	1	6	42	62	5	3	1	257	334	369	703	111	288	14	9	317	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	28	AAA MLE	CIN	10%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		284	20	10	290	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	28	MLB CTX	CIN	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						287	0	0	285	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	CIN	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	285	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	28	AAA MLE	CIN	—	466	427	96	21	1	4	30	76	5	3	1	225	284	307	590	82	262	16	6	266	66	-19	+0	+0	+2	+10	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	33%	323	295	72	16	1	4	22	56	3	2	1	244	303	346	649	102	285	17	7	293	84	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	CIN	46%	343	312	75	17	1	4	24	61	4	2	1	240	303	340	643	99	285	18	7	292	84	-7	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	33%	106	97	23	5	0	1	7	18	1	1	0	237	295	320	615	82	288	17	7	289	84	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	CIN	46%	157	143	36	8	1	2	11	28	2	1	1	252	314	364	678	112	288	18	7	289	84	-3	-0	-1	+1	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	264	241	59	13	1	3	18	46	3	2	1	245	305	344	650	100	289	17	7	289	85	-5	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	144	32	2	7	44	113	7	5	2	243	302	339	641	96	287	17	7	289	85	-12	+0	-3	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2635	2380	593	124	15	31	186	475	38	30	19	249	314	353	667	104	296	18	7	294	85	-13	+0	-3	+2	+15	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	147	31	4	8	46	117	9	7	5	250	315	358	672	107	297	18	7	294	85	-12	+0	-3	+2	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	2.3	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
/162	664	13	0	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	2.3	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
/162	664	14	0	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	288	4	2	246	303	351	+1	+1	0.3	0.3
/162	664	8	5	+2.4	+2.3	0.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Urbaez (OGILVIE)	28	60	45	45	45	242/300/338	96	284	3	2	16%	7%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Elias Díaz 2020 · MLB	29	53→57	42→50	44→45	48	255/305/361	106	294	10	3	17%	6%	89	+0.5	238/296/379	141	270	16	3	18%	7%	91	+0.6	234/291/379	145	271	17	0	20%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Martinez 2013 · MLB	28	51→59	39→40	49→40	47	242/302/331	90	312	5	5	23%	7%	81	-0.1	221/277/310	89	284	5	4	23%	6%	67	-1.1	208/265/280	72	266	3	1	22%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Brendan Harris 2009 · MLB	28	55→58	45→50	46→45	49	265/325/399	135	316	11	4	19%	8%	105	+1.7	232/286/336	104	276	9	3	19%	6%	76	-0.4	229/311/345	116	266	10	1	17%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Phil Gosselin 2017 · MLB	28	56→63	41→45	50→45	45	271/315/378	107	324	8	9	19%	6%	96	+1.0	224/274/315	91	286	7	5	23%	6%	66	-1.1	256/319/372	116	319	11	4	22%	8%	95	+0.5
✕Jason Donald 2013 · MLB	28	52→55	41→45	50	44	246/306/352	106	318	8	13	24%	6%	87	+0.4	213/260/310	97	301	7	9	30%	5%	60	-1.6	192/230/273	81	283	5	6	33%	4%	38	-1.4
✕Jordy Mercer 2014 · MLB	27	52→59	46→50	43→45	46	256/307/392	136	299	12	8	19%	6%	97	+1.1	254/308/375	121	293	11	5	17%	7%	93	+0.8	255/325/392	137	290	13	1	16%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Yonathan Daza 2022 · MLB	28	53→61	39→45	47→50	46	255/303/343	88	307	6	8	19%	6%	83	+0.1	259/309/344	85	309	5	6	17%	6%	86	+0.3	268/317/343	75	317	3	4	16%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Yuniesky Betancourt 2010 · MLB	28	54→60	42→50	43→50	47	258/286/372	114	270	8	5	8%	4%	84	+0.1	252/280/390	138	263	14	4	11%	4%	86	+0.3	250/277/395	145	259	16	3	11%	3%	84	+0.1
✕Grant Green 2016 · MLB	28	53→58	42→45	42→45	40	256/289/371	115	322	8	5	23%	4%	84	+0.2	244/276/340	96	313	7	5	23%	4%	72	-0.7	247/277/329	82	315	6	2	23%	4%	68	-0.6
✕Tucker Barnhart 2019 · MLB	28	52→55	44→45	40	55	250/326/373	123	291	11	3	18%	10%	99	+1.3	236/319/373	137	289	15	3	22%	10%	97	+1.1	229/314/361	132	289	15	1	24%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Eric Campbell 2015 · MLB	28	55→57	43→45	49→50	52	264/339/382	118	326	10	11	21%	9%	107	+1.8	245/331/359	114	303	10	13	21%	10%	99	+1.2	246/340/353	108	302	9	12	20%	10%	99	+0.8
✕Alberto Carreon 2016 · AAA	28	51→57	42→45	47→50	44	244/299/354	110	298	9	8	21%	5%	85	+0.2	246/291/338	92	302	6	10	20%	5%	78	-0.3	250/296/325	76	304	4	9	18%	4%	75	-0.4
✕Harold Castro 2022 · MLB	28	58→60	41→45	43→55	42	276/310/371	95	342	8	5	22%	5%	92	+0.7	259/292/357	98	319	8	4	21%	4%	82	+0.0	252/285/369	117	306	12	4	21%	4%	80	-0.1
✕Chris Nelson 2013 · MLB	27	53→57	46→50	46→50	44	259/303/394	135	314	13	7	22%	6%	96	+1.0	239/289/352	113	303	10	6	23%	6%	80	-0.1	227/277/324	97	287	8	5	23%	6%	67	-0.6
✕Gerald Laird 2009 · MLB	29	51→47	45→50	42→50	46	248/303/377	129	294	12	6	20%	6%	92	+0.7	226/294/335	109	263	9	7	17%	7%	80	-0.2	266/336/367	100	308	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.3
✕Johnny Giavotella 2014 · MLB	27	53→60	41→45	48→50	49	255/308/359	103	294	8	10	16%	7%	89	+0.5	254/300/360	106	283	8	11	13%	6%	86	+0.3	262/307/368	106	291	7	5	12%	6%	90	+0.4
✕Iván De Jesús Jr. 2015 · MLB	28	54→64	39→40	47→50	44	255/303/347	92	330	5	6	23%	6%	84	+0.2	255/310/348	93	332	6	5	23%	7%	87	+0.4	263/320/354	91	340	5	4	23%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Taylor Davis 2018 · AAA	28	52→54	42→45	40	50	251/301/358	108	282	8	3	14%	7%	86	+0.3	231/287/320	89	274	8	3	18%	7%	73	-0.6	218/284/276	58	259	6	0	18%	8%	60	-0.5
✕Ivan Cervantes 2008 · AAA	28	56→58	38→40	43→45	46	267/307/347	80	301	6	5	13%	5%	86	+0.3	253/289/341	88	286	8	4	14%	4%	78	-0.3	253/289/331	78	288	7	1	14%	4%	72	-0.4
✕Jose Iglesias 2018 · MLB	28	55→64	41→45	44→50	48	263/305/367	105	287	7	10	12%	5%	90	+0.6	275/313/399	124	302	10	11	12%	4%	100	+1.3	288/324/413	124	316	10	11	12%	4%	104	+1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps