Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career (MLE) + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | — | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 8 | 8 | 20 | 102 | 26 | 21 | 2 | 100% | 2.5 | 17.3% | 25.7% | -8.4% | 2.7% | 7.97 | 6.40 | -0.4 |
| ROS | — | MLB | — | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.1 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | — | MLB | — | — | — | 35 | 162 | 40 | 27 | 4 | — | — | 24.7% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 6.48 | 5.56 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | — | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 8 | 20 | 102 | 18 | 26 | 3 | 100% | 2.5 | 17.3% | 25.7% | -8.4% | 2.7% | 7.97 | 6.40 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 79 | 200 | 1003 | 177 | 256 | 30 | 100% | 2.5 | 17.3% | 25.7% | -8.4% | 2.7% | 7.97 | 6.40 | -2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Player 837858 (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.78 | 20.9% | 13.1% | 225 | +0.60 | 3.18 | 256 | 82 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 72 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 70 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 69 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.64 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 3.1% | .283 | 4.15 | 18.9% | 11.0% | 79 | -0.49 | 3.87 | 247 | 67 |
| Brooks Auger R 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.81 | 26.3% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 138 | 67 |
| Zak Kent R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.86 | 21.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .239 | 4.01 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 121 | +0.15 | 3.23 | 354 | 67 |
| Tristan Beck R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.19 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .375 | 4.22 | 20.3% | 13.1% | 252 | -0.97 | 3.52 | 473 | 66 |
| River Ryan R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.34 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 1.7% | .280 | 2.13 | 23.9% | 18.6% | 36 | -1.21 | 2.13 | 218 | 65 |
| Connor McCullough R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.20 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | .217 | 3.62 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 64 | -1.58 | 3.62 | 222 | 65 |
| Spencer Howard R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.82 | 24.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.90 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 208 | +1.08 | 2.29 | 484 | 65 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 65 |
| Sauryn Lao R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.48 | 21.7% | 7.3% | 2.4% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 182 | 65 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 65 |
| Leonardo Pestana R 2026 · 5.53 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.53 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 4.7% | .324 | 5.35 | 22.6% | 7.3% | 66 | -0.18 | 3.61 | 155 | 65 |
| Riley Thompson R 2027 · 5.29 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.29 | 21.7% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .289 | 5.20 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 189 | -0.09 | 4.52 | 340 | 64 |
| Logan Tabeling R 2025 · 3.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.16 | 24.6% | 11.5% | 1.2% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 113 | 64 |
| James Kaprielian R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.07 | 20.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% | .271 | 4.40 | 20.5% | 11.3% | 253 | +0.33 | 3.03 | 446 | 63 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .286 | 5.51 | 25.3% | 9.1% | 58 | +1.96 | 3.29 | 142 | 63 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 63 |