Willy Bergolla

SS DSL LAD Bautista

Age 18 L/R ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL LAD Bauti…	123	.179/.430/.286	1	11	53	—	.117/.314/.181
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBLAD	233	.223/.322/.313	2	8	84	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLBLAD	84	.222/.321/.314	1	3	88	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLBLAD	203	.225/.324/.326	3	8	92	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%98

K%93

Speed93

Chase%80

Whiff%77

Z-Con%73

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsKevyn Castillo (age 19) · Josue De Paula (age 18) · Eduardo Quintero (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 103 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .319 / .310

PA103

HR1

K%22

BB%11

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$80M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2036	Arb-1	$6M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-2	$9M	+1.4	$5M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$11M	+1.2	$4M	+$0.6M
Totals		$29M		$39M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	84	15	2	2	1	34	14	3	11	2	179	430	286	715	107	200	11	28	348	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	94	11	1	1	1	24	17	3	11	2	117	314	181	495	64	134	14	20	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	94	11	1	1	1	24	17	3	11	2	117	314	181	495	64	130	14	20	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	84	15	2	2	1	34	14	3	11	2	179	430	286	715	107	200	11	28	348	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	95	11	1	1	1	24	17	3	11	2	116	314	179	493	63	134	14	20	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	95	11	1	1	1	24	17	3	11	2	116	314	179	493	63	134	14	20	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	233	201	45	7	3	2	27	51	3	8	1	223	322	313	635	90	287	22	12	293	84	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	LAD	43%	194	167	38	6	2	2	22	42	3	7	1	227	326	325	651	98	289	22	11	299	88	-3	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.5
2029	20	MLB MLE	LAD	61%	333	288	66	10	4	4	37	72	5	13	3	231	329	336	665	106	291	22	11	304	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2030	21	MLB MLE	LAD	68%	438	379	88	14	5	6	49	94	7	17	4	233	331	346	677	112	292	21	11	308	95	-3	+2	+0	+5	+9	1.4
2031	22	MLB MLE	LAD	71%	512	443	105	17	6	8	56	110	8	20	4	236	332	354	686	118	293	21	11	312	97	-2	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.8
2032	23	MLB MLE	LAD	72%	562	488	116	19	6	10	61	121	8	21	5	238	333	361	694	123	294	22	11	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+6	+12	2.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	LAD	72%	595	516	123	20	7	10	65	128	9	23	5	239	334	364	698	125	295	22	11	316	100	+0	+3	+0	+6	+13	2.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	LAD	71%	614	533	127	20	7	11	67	132	9	23	5	239	335	366	701	127	295	21	11	317	101	+1	+3	+0	+7	+13	2.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	LAD	71%	624	542	131	21	7	12	68	134	9	24	5	240	335	368	702	128	295	21	11	318	101	+1	+3	+0	+7	+14	2.4
2036	27	MLB MLE	LAD	70%	625	543	129	21	7	11	68	135	9	24	5	239	334	365	699	127	294	22	11	316	100	+0	+3	+0	+7	+14	2.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	LAD	69%	621	539	128	20	7	11	68	135	9	23	5	237	332	361	692	124	293	22	11	314	98	-1	+3	-1	+7	+13	2.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	LAD	67%	611	531	125	20	7	10	67	135	8	22	5	234	329	355	684	120	292	22	11	310	96	-3	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.8
2039	30	MLB MLE	LAD	66%	601	523	121	19	6	10	65	135	8	21	5	231	326	347	673	115	291	22	11	306	93	-5	+2	-2	+6	+13	1.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	LAD	71%	587	511	116	18	6	9	63	134	8	20	6	227	321	337	658	110	288	23	11	300	89	-7	+2	-3	+6	+13	1.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	LAD	74%	569	497	111	17	6	8	60	132	7	19	6	222	315	325	640	103	285	23	11	293	84	-11	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.6
2042	33	MLB MLE	LAD	77%	539	472	101	15	5	6	56	128	6	17	7	216	308	311	619	95	280	24	10	284	79	-14	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.0
2043	34	MLB MLE	LAD	72%	492	433	91	13	5	5	51	121	5	15	8	209	299	294	594	86	275	25	10	274	72	-17	-0	-5	+5	+11	-0.6
2028	19	MLB CTX	LAD	43%	84	74	16	2	1	1	9	18	1	3	1	222	321	314	636	93	282	21	11	293	88	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	LAD	61%	203	175	40	6	2	3	23	44	3	8	2	225	324	326	650	101	283	22	11	298	92	-2	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.6
2030	21	MLB CTX	LAD	68%	298	258	59	9	3	4	33	64	5	11	2	228	326	336	662	108	284	21	11	303	95	-2	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.9
2031	22	MLB CTX	LAD	71%	364	316	73	11	4	6	40	78	5	14	3	231	328	344	672	114	285	21	11	306	97	-1	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	LAD	72%	406	353	82	13	4	7	44	87	6	15	3	233	328	352	680	119	286	21	11	309	99	-1	+2	+0	+4	+9	1.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	LAD	72%	426	370	86	13	4	8	47	91	6	16	4	234	330	355	685	121	287	21	11	311	100	+0	+2	+0	+5	+9	1.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	LAD	71%	437	380	89	14	4	8	48	94	6	17	4	234	330	358	688	123	287	22	11	312	101	+0	+2	+0	+5	+9	1.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	LAD	71%	443	386	91	14	4	9	48	95	6	17	4	235	330	359	689	125	287	21	11	313	101	+1	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	LAD	70%	435	378	88	14	4	8	48	94	6	16	4	234	329	357	686	123	287	22	11	311	100	+0	+2	+0	+5	+9	1.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	LAD	69%	427	371	86	13	4	8	47	93	6	16	4	232	327	352	679	120	286	22	11	309	98	-1	+2	-0	+5	+9	1.4
2038	29	MLB CTX	LAD	67%	409	355	81	12	4	7	45	90	6	15	4	230	325	346	671	116	285	22	11	305	96	-2	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.2
2039	30	MLB CTX	LAD	66%	396	345	79	12	4	7	43	89	5	14	4	227	321	338	660	112	283	22	11	301	93	-3	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.0
2040	31	MLB CTX	LAD	71%	416	363	81	12	4	6	45	95	5	14	4	223	317	329	645	106	281	23	11	295	89	-5	+1	-2	+4	+9	0.8
2041	32	MLB CTX	LAD	74%	423	370	81	12	4	6	45	98	5	14	5	218	311	317	628	99	277	23	11	288	84	-8	+1	-3	+5	+9	0.4
2042	33	MLB CTX	LAD	77%	414	363	76	11	3	5	43	99	5	13	6	212	304	303	607	91	273	24	10	280	79	-11	+0	-3	+4	+9	-0.0
2043	34	MLB CTX	LAD	72%	356	312	64	9	3	4	37	87	4	11	6	204	295	286	581	82	268	24	10	269	72	-12	-0	-4	+4	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5937	5169	1172	177	56	97	645	1316	80	214	60	227	322	339	661	112	284	22	11	301	93	-47	+19	-14	+64	+129	15.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	128	19	6	11	71	144	9	23	7	226	322	339	662	113	283	22	11	301	93	-5	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	8743	7588	1747	274	95	135	959	1928	122	323	81	230	326	345	671	115	289	22	11	305	93	-69	+31	-20	+92	+187	22.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	129	20	7	10	71	143	9	24	6	229	324	342	666	113	287	22	11	305	93	-5	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Lyn Lary'29-'40 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,424 PA	8.2	5,424	38	162	241*	335*	368*	+54	-2	19.2	20.4
/162	664	5	20	+6.6	-0.2	2.4	pk7: 22
#3Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#4Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	6.5	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
/162	664	13	19	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	9.1	6,039	93	217	233	324	348	+62	+36	20.1	16.4
/162	664	10	24	+6.8	+4.0	2.2	pk7: 13
#5Freddie Patek'68-'81 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,246 PA	9.4	6,246	41	385	242*	311*	356*	+66	-5	14.7	15.3
/162	664	4	41	+7.0	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#6Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Willy Bergolla (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	221/319/310	89	287	1	3	22%	11%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
●Trent Grisham 2016 · A	19	50→49	38→60	56→55	48	231/301/315	84	313	4	19	26%	8%	77	-0.3	201/286/290	89	306	6	16	32%	10%	66	-1.1	244/330/441	197	289	22	14	23%	10%	117	+2.0
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Hector Osorio 2024 · A	19	44	35→45	51→50	62	200/321/262	62	245	2	15	17%	13%	76	-0.4	216/319/308	92	262	8	12	19%	11%	84	+0.1	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	47→55	35→40	53→50	61	215/316/281	66	255	2	19	15%	12%	76	-0.4	225/306/299	74	281	5	14	20%	10%	76	-0.4	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
●Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	51→57	38→50	51→50	45	241/287/329	88	302	4	10	21%	6%	74	-0.6	251/307/379	128	337	10	10	27%	7%	93	+0.8	255/313/401	146	322	13	11	24%	7%	98	+1.0
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	48→58	38→50	47→55	59	223/318/314	92	250	4	11	12%	11%	84	+0.1	240/302/336	96	303	6	18	21%	6%	82	+0.0	260/322/413	154	311	16	25	21%	5%	109	+1.8
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	51→57	37→45	50	49	238/302/314	76	308	3	13	23%	8%	76	-0.4	254/322/351	97	304	8	13	18%	9%	93	+0.8	261/352/384	123	304	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.4

Willy Bergolla

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps