Carlos Jorge — OGILVIE

Carlos JorgeSS Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 160 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION307 act + 204 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .286 / .321

PA204

HR3

SB13

K%28

BB%7

BABIP305

ISO96

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$9M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$11M	+$10M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$11M	+$8M
2031	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$10M	+$6M
2032	Arb-3	$8M	+1.7	$9M	+$4M
Totals		$21M		$53M	+$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	188	167	42	6	7	2	16	47	3	27	5	251	328	407	735	156	333	25	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	188	159	55	8	10	3	24	32	3	27	5	346	441	579	1.019	233	413	17	13	438	193	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	154	129	23	5	1	6	15	58	6	27	4	178	293	372	665	194	250	38	10	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	154	119	31	7	2	7	25	41	6	27	4	261	413	529	943	269	324	27	16	404	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	450	401	84	10	7	9	38	141	7	32	9	209	289	337	626	127	294	31	8	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	450	386	109	14	10	12	52	100	7	32	9	282	377	464	840	181	349	22	12	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	402	367	58	17	2	6	23	167	7	28	4	158	222	264	486	106	261	42	6	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	402	355	78	20	3	12	31	125	7	28	4	220	292	394	687	175	296	31	8	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	583	522	115	19	5	5	45	146	9	48	8	220	293	305	598	84	295	25	8	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	583	501	123	19	4	8	65	123	9	48	8	246	342	347	689	102	309	21	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	CIN	—	307	283	77	5	3	6	19	85	4	27	4	272	327	375	701	102	368	28	6	307	93	-2	+4	+0	+3	+9	1.4
YTD	22	AA	CIN	—	307	274	84	6	3	7	28	67	4	27	4	307	379	427	806	120	383	22	9	362	135	+12	+4	+0	+3	+9	2.9
ROS	22	AA	CIN	2%	204	186	42	5	2	3	14	57	2	13	2	225	286	321	608	96	299	28	7	272	66	-8	+2	+1	+2	+6	0.3
ROS	22	MLB	CIN	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		301	25	0	265	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	AA	CIN	—	311	287	78	5	3	6	19	86	4	27	4	272	326	373	699	101	367	28	6	307	93	-2	+4	+0	+3	+9	1.4
TOT	22	AA	CIN	—	511	469	119	10	5	9	33	142	6	40	6	253	311	353	664	100	343	28	6	293	83	-10	+6	+1	+5	+14	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CIN	35%	528	480	108	13	4	9	37	146	6	29	5	225	289	325	614	100	298	28	7	276	69	-18	+4	+3	+6	+15	0.9
2028	24	MLB	CIN	47%	564	512	117	15	4	11	41	152	6	31	5	229	293	338	631	109	299	27	7	284	76	-16	+4	+3	+6	+16	1.4
2029	25	MLB	CIN	52%	586	531	122	16	4	12	43	156	7	33	5	230	296	343	639	113	298	27	7	288	79	-14	+5	+3	+6	+17	1.7
2030	26	MLB	CIN	54%	597	540	124	16	4	13	45	158	7	33	5	230	297	346	644	117	298	26	8	291	81	-13	+5	+3	+6	+17	1.8
2031	27	MLB	CIN	54%	599	542	124	16	4	13	45	159	7	33	5	229	296	345	641	116	298	27	8	291	81	-13	+5	+3	+6	+17	1.8
2032	28	MLB	CIN	54%	596	538	124	16	4	13	46	159	7	32	5	230	299	348	647	117	298	27	8	290	80	-14	+4	+2	+6	+17	1.7
2033	29	MLB	CIN	53%	587	530	121	16	4	12	45	157	7	29	5	228	297	342	639	113	297	27	8	288	79	-14	+4	+1	+6	+17	1.4
2034	30	MLB	CIN	57%	577	521	118	15	4	12	45	156	6	26	4	226	295	340	635	113	296	27	8	285	77	-15	+4	+1	+6	+16	1.2
2035	31	MLB	CIN	59%	563	509	114	14	4	11	43	154	6	22	4	224	292	332	624	108	294	27	8	282	74	-17	+3	-0	+6	+16	0.8
2036	32	MLB	CIN	61%	545	492	107	13	3	10	42	151	6	17	3	217	287	317	604	100	292	28	8	276	70	-19	+2	-1	+6	+15	0.4
2037	33	MLB	CIN	62%	515	466	100	12	3	9	39	146	5	13	2	215	282	311	594	97	288	28	8	270	65	-20	+2	-2	+6	+15	-0.0
2027	23	MLB	CIN	35%	186	169	38	5	1	3	13	51	2	10	2	225	288	320	608	95	300	27	7	270	65	-7	+1	+1	+2	+5	0.2
2028	24	MLB	CIN	47%	262	238	55	7	2	5	19	71	3	15	2	231	296	340	636	109	301	27	7	278	71	-9	+2	+1	+3	+7	0.5
2029	25	MLB	CIN	52%	304	276	64	8	2	7	22	81	3	17	3	232	296	351	647	120	301	27	7	283	74	-9	+2	+1	+3	+9	0.7
2030	26	MLB	CIN	54%	324	293	68	9	2	7	24	86	4	18	3	232	299	348	647	116	301	27	7	285	76	-9	+2	+2	+3	+9	0.8
2031	27	MLB	CIN	54%	325	293	68	9	2	7	25	86	4	18	3	232	301	348	649	116	301	26	8	285	76	-9	+2	+2	+3	+9	0.8
2032	28	MLB	CIN	54%	324	292	68	9	2	7	25	86	4	17	3	233	302	349	651	116	300	27	8	284	75	-9	+2	+1	+3	+9	0.7
2033	29	MLB	CIN	53%	312	281	65	8	2	7	24	84	4	15	3	231	301	349	650	117	300	27	8	282	74	-9	+2	+1	+3	+9	0.6
2034	30	MLB	CIN	57%	328	296	68	9	2	7	25	89	4	15	2	230	298	345	643	115	299	27	8	280	72	-10	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2035	31	MLB	CIN	59%	335	302	69	9	2	7	26	92	4	13	2	228	298	341	639	113	297	27	8	276	69	-12	+2	-0	+4	+9	0.3
2036	32	MLB	CIN	61%	333	300	66	8	2	6	26	93	4	11	2	220	291	320	611	100	294	28	8	271	65	-13	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.1
2037	33	MLB	CIN	62%	321	290	64	8	2	6	25	91	3	8	1	221	289	324	613	103	290	28	8	265	61	-14	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3358	3034	694	89	21	69	254	911	39	157	26	229	297	340	637	111	301	27	8	278	71	-110	+21	+7	+36	+95	5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	134	17	4	13	49	176	8	30	5	228	297	337	634	109	301	27	8	278	71	-21	+4	+1	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	8238	7433	1643	224	66	156	622	2310	104	473	80	221	290	332	622	111	296	28	8	279	72	-265	+63	+16	+88	+233	13.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	129	18	5	12	49	182	8	37	6	220	289	329	618	109	295	28	8	279	72	-21	+5	+1	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	188	159	55	8	10	3	24	32	3	27	5	346	441	579	1.019	233	413	17	13	438	193	+20	+3	—	—	+5	2.9
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	154	119	31	7	2	7	25	41	6	27	4	261	413	529	943	269	324	27	16	404	167	+12	+4	—	—	+4	2.0
2023	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	94	88	21	3	1	3	5	30	0	1	2	239	280	398	677	159	321	32	5	296	85	-2	-1	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	356	298	88	11	9	9	47	70	7	31	7	295	402	483	885	188	356	20	13	390	156	+23	+3	—	—	+10	3.7
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	402	355	78	20	3	12	31	125	7	28	4	220	292	394	687	175	296	31	8	301	89	-5	+4	—	—	+11	1.1
2025	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	469	406	102	16	4	6	52	87	5	40	7	251	343	355	698	103	305	19	11	316	100	+0	+5	—	—	+13	1.9
2025	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	114	95	21	3	0	2	13	36	4	8	1	221	336	316	652	95	333	32	11	303	90	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,360	67	157	227	291	337	+36	+24	5.3	5.1
	/162	664	13	31	227	291	337	+7.1	+4.7	1.1	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Jorge (OGILVIE)	22	30→43	40→42	60	40	253/311/353	100	343	9	40	28%	6%	83	+1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	37→44	39→45	55→60	42	180/250/266	86	268	7	25	34%	8%	40	-2.4	205/275/310	105	272	10	30	27%	8%	62	-0.9	206/277/305	99	268	10	33	25%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	210/257/316	106	264	9	35	24%	5%	56	-1.3	242/284/347	105	305	8	37	22%	5%	74	-0.1	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Jean Ramirez 2023 · A	22	42→49	41→40	56→65	43	206/268/297	91	286	8	31	30%	7%	56	-1.3	209/269/280	71	310	6	23	32%	7%	51	-1.7	201/265/253	52	304	5	24	33%	8%	39	-1.3
●Rey Fuentes 2013 · AA	22	44→54	38→40	57→60	38	209/257/290	81	300	5	27	31%	5%	49	-1.8	254/302/349	95	339	8	29	26%	6%	82	+0.5	274/321/368	94	353	8	33	23%	5%	91	+0.8
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	43	204/254/284	80	263	5	21	24%	6%	46	-2.0	243/304/321	78	311	4	31	21%	7%	76	+0.1	252/314/329	77	319	3	36	20%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	41	181/235/274	93	246	8	11	29%	6%	36	-2.7	225/291/315	90	302	7	9	26%	8%	70	-0.3	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Juan Perez 2014 · A	22	43→51	41→45	53→55	41	212/256/316	104	271	8	18	25%	5%	55	-1.4	209/248/303	94	274	7	16	25%	5%	48	-1.9	227/271/349	122	293	14	24	27%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→50	54→65	45	186/250/288	102	245	7	22	27%	7%	46	-2.0	187/263/301	114	290	10	25	36%	8%	56	-1.3	239/314/383	144	329	16	46	30%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	40	40→45	55→65	40	189/270/275	87	300	7	31	37%	8%	53	-1.5	224/290/323	99	311	6	26	28%	7%	72	-0.2	245/309/346	101	327	3	32	24%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2017 · A	22	43→46	41→50	61→65	38	207/250/308	100	288	7	34	30%	5%	50	-1.8	196/238/316	120	289	9	28	34%	5%	47	-1.9	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Adonis Pacheco 2013 · A	22	45	39→50	57→55	45	213/271/312	99	277	4	16	24%	7%	60	-1.0	204/258/296	92	260	5	11	22%	6%	50	-1.7	160/206/240	80	191	3	9	17%	6%	11	-1.2
●Derek Hill 2018 · A	22	42→51	37→50	61→60	39	196/251/276	80	297	4	28	34%	6%	42	-2.3	194/244/272	78	313	6	24	38%	5%	38	-2.6	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Raynel Delgado 2023 · AA	23	40→50	39→40	49→60	43	195/265/283	88	276	7	15	30%	7%	51	-1.7	229/292/326	97	319	8	23	29%	7%	73	-0.1	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Bobby Boyd 2015 · A	22	43→52	38→45	54→60	43	209/260/285	76	279	5	15	26%	6%	48	-1.9	228/273/311	83	320	4	23	28%	6%	59	-1.1	236/281/319	83	327	4	28	28%	5%	62	-0.7
●Victor Labrada 2023 · A	23	41→51	41→45	54→60	39	197/261/298	101	307	8	21	36%	7%	53	-1.5	218/285/326	108	307	9	31	30%	7%	71	-0.3	234/316/361	128	305	11	38	25%	9%	90	+0.8
✕Duke Ellis 2022 · A	24	37→47	39→45	55→80	35	181/233/256	76	281	7	24	37%	5%	30	-3.1	211/271/296	85	332	8	43	36%	7%	56	-1.3	227/278/331	104	316	10	91	30%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Wilmer Difo 2014 · A	22	43→53	39→45	53→55	49	207/273/291	84	260	6	18	22%	8%	56	-1.3	246/284/355	109	296	9	24	19%	4%	76	+0.1	251/289/354	103	300	8	28	19%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Darin Mastroianni 2009 · A	23	42→52	38→40	60	41	201/253/277	76	278	5	22	29%	6%	43	-2.2	244/309/320	76	313	3	35	21%	8%	78	+0.2	252/319/328	76	317	2	38	19%	8%	81	+0.4