Carlos Jorge — OGILVIE

Carlos JorgeSS Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 160 lbs AA HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 2.1 · 2030

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .269 / .305

PA320

HR5

SB19

K%30

BB%7

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗43

PWR

40↗42

SPD

60→60

FLD

50↗60

EYE

45↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.8peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.9	$17M	+$16M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$18M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$19M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.0	$19M	+$15M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.7	$17M	+$11M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.4	$14M	+$7M
Totals		$20M		$105M	+$85M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	188	168	42	6	7	2	15	46	3	27	5	.250	.323	.405	.727	.155	.328	24	8	.312	97	-1	+3	+0	+2	+5	1.0
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	154	129	23	5	1	6	15	59	6	27	4	.178	.293	.372	.665	.194	.254	38	10	.283	75	-4	+4	+0	+2	+4	0.6
2023	19	A	2 teams	450	401	87	11	7	9	38	138	7	32	9	.217	.296	.347	.643	.130	.302	31	8	.284	76	-12	+3	+0	+5	+13	0.8
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	402	367	59	16	2	6	23	157	7	28	4	.161	.224	.264	.488	.104	.254	39	6	.220	27	-33	+4	+0	+4	+11	-1.4
2025	21	A+	2 teams	583	522	116	18	5	5	45	138	9	48	8	.222	.295	.305	.600	.082	.291	24	8	.264	60	-26	+6	+0	+6	+17	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	34	30	10	0	1	0	2	9	2	5	0	.333	.412	.400	.812	.067	.476	26	6	.353	128	+1	+1	+0	+0	+1	0.3
ROS	22	MLB	CIN	286	259	55	9	3	4	21	85	4	14	2	.212	.282	.317	.598	.104	.295	30	7	.272	66	-11	+2	+1	+3	+8	0.4
TOT	22	MLB	CIN	320	289	65	9	4	4	23	94	6	19	2	.225	.296	.325	.621	.100	.318	29	7	.280	73	-10	+3	+1	+3	+9	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 12%	CIN	528	475	105	17	5	9	40	149	8	26	4	.221	.293	.335	.627	.114	.298	28	8	.283	74	-15	+4	+3	+6	+15	1.2
2028	24	MLB 27%	CIN	564	506	114	19	5	11	45	155	8	27	4	.225	.299	.348	.647	.123	.298	27	8	.291	81	-12	+4	+3	+6	+16	1.6
2029	25	MLB 44%	CIN	586	525	119	20	5	12	48	159	8	27	4	.227	.301	.352	.654	.126	.298	27	8	.295	84	-10	+4	+3	+6	+17	1.9
2030	26	MLB 59%	CIN	597	533	122	20	5	13	50	161	9	26	4	.229	.306	.358	.664	.129	.299	27	8	.298	86	-9	+4	+3	+6	+17	2.1
2031	27	MLB 77%	CIN	599	534	122	20	5	13	51	162	9	25	3	.228	.306	.358	.664	.129	.299	27	9	.298	86	-9	+4	+3	+6	+17	2.1
2032	28	MLB 84%	CIN	596	531	121	20	5	13	51	162	9	24	3	.228	.306	.358	.664	.130	.298	27	9	.297	85	-10	+4	+2	+6	+17	2.0
2033	29	MLB 91%	CIN	587	523	117	19	5	12	51	162	8	21	2	.224	.302	.348	.650	.124	.298	28	9	.295	84	-11	+3	+1	+6	+17	1.7
2034	30	MLB	CIN	577	514	115	19	5	12	50	161	8	19	2	.224	.302	.350	.653	.126	.296	28	9	.292	81	-12	+3	+1	+6	+16	1.4
2035	31	MLB	CIN	563	501	110	18	4	11	49	159	8	16	1	.220	.299	.337	.637	.118	.295	28	9	.288	78	-14	+3	-0	+6	+16	1.1
2036	32	MLB	CIN	545	486	105	17	4	10	47	157	7	13	0	.216	.294	.329	.624	.113	.293	29	9	.283	75	-15	+3	-1	+6	+15	0.8
2037	33	MLB	CIN	515	459	98	16	4	9	44	152	7	11	0	.214	.292	.325	.617	.111	.292	30	9	.278	71	-17	+2	-2	+6	+15	0.4
2038	34	MLB	CIN	467	418	87	14	4	7	40	142	6	9	0	.208	.287	.311	.598	.103	.290	30	9	.272	66	-18	+2	-3	+5	+13	-0.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8787	7851	1717	284	81	164	723	2504	131	420	59	.219	.295	.338	.634	.119	.297	28	8	.284	76	-241	+60	+14	+94	+249	18.0
/ 162G	—			650	581	127	21	6	12	53	185	10	31	4	.219	.295	.337	.632	.119	.296	28	8	.284	76	-18	+5	+1	+7	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	188	159	55	8	10	3	24	32	3	27	5	.346	.441	.579	1.019	.233	.413	17	13	.438	193	+20	+3	—	—	+5	2.9
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	154	119	31	7	2	7	25	41	6	27	4	.261	.413	.529	.943	.269	.324	27	16	.404	167	+12	+4	—	—	+4	2.0
2023	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	94	88	21	3	1	3	5	30	0	1	2	.239	.280	.398	.677	.159	.321	32	5	.296	85	-2	-1	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	356	298	88	11	9	9	47	70	7	31	7	.295	.402	.483	.885	.188	.356	20	13	.390	156	+23	+3	—	—	+10	3.7
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	402	355	78	20	3	12	31	125	7	28	4	.220	.292	.394	.687	.175	.296	31	8	.301	89	-5	+4	—	—	+11	1.1
2025	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	469	406	102	16	4	6	52	87	5	40	7	.251	.343	.355	.698	.103	.305	19	11	.316	100	+0	+5	—	—	+13	1.9
2025	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	114	95	21	3	0	2	13	36	4	8	1	.221	.336	.316	.652	.095	.333	32	11	.303	90	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Jorge (OGILVIE)	22	30→43	40→42	60	40	.200/.269/.305	.105	.279	5	14	30%	7%	59	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	41→50	39→45	57→55	45	.197/.265/.287	.090	.262	6	17	26%	7%	52	-1.6	.220/.297/.304	.084	.293	6	16	25%	9%	70	-0.3	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Rey Fuentes 2013 · AA	22	44→54	38→40	58→60	39	.210/.260/.288	.078	.299	5	27	30%	5%	49	-1.8	.247/.299/.338	.091	.332	7	29	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.270/.319/.363	.092	.348	8	33	23%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	39→44	39→45	55→60	42	.190/.257/.273	.083	.272	7	25	31%	7%	45	-2.1	.206/.276/.312	.106	.273	10	30	27%	8%	63	-0.8	.207/.278/.306	.099	.269	10	33	26%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Jean Ramirez 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→40	55→65	44	.215/.280/.314	.099	.294	10	29	29%	7%	66	-0.6	.215/.274/.291	.076	.310	7	24	30%	7%	56	-1.3	.205/.267/.261	.056	.301	5	24	31%	7%	42	-1.2
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	45→47	43→45	57→60	53	.214/.313/.328	.115	.295	9	20	28%	11%	84	+0.6	.215/.314/.338	.123	.272	13	32	24%	11%	87	+0.8	.209/.308/.338	.130	.260	14	40	24%	11%	81	+0.5
✕Victor Labrada 2023 · A	23	42→52	41→45	54→60	39	.201/.265/.304	.103	.312	8	21	36%	7%	56	-1.3	.213/.280/.314	.101	.307	8	30	31%	7%	65	-0.7	.227/.304/.334	.106	.305	9	41	26%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39→42	43→45	58→60	44	.194/.275/.303	.109	.285	11	30	34%	8%	61	-1.0	.204/.277/.322	.118	.283	12	35	30%	8%	67	-0.5	.200/.273/.320	.120	.271	12	40	29%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Samad Taylor 2021 · A	23	37→47	41→50	53→65	44	.181/.257/.285	.104	.262	8	23	32%	8%	49	-1.8	.226/.297/.368	.142	.326	16	33	33%	8%	87	+0.8	.236/.312/.377	.141	.324	16	46	30%	9%	94	+0.8
✕Roman Quinn 2014 · A	21	42→52	43→45	56→65	40	.210/.265/.316	.105	.279	11	25	28%	6%	59	-1.1	.236/.295/.337	.101	.319	9	33	27%	6%	77	+0.1	.253/.313/.351	.098	.343	7	42	26%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Zach Cole 2023 · A	22	43→51	41→55	55	39	.201/.277/.300	.099	.322	8	22	37%	7%	62	-0.9	.197/.275/.348	.151	.343	16	22	44%	8%	73	-0.1	.195/.275/.369	.174	.343	19	23	45%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Khalil Lee 2021 · AA	23	44→52	41→45	57→55	42	.207/.282/.306	.099	.324	9	28	36%	8%	65	-0.7	.207/.309/.341	.134	.340	12	16	39%	9%	86	+0.8	.194/.308/.336	.141	.334	13	13	40%	10%	81	+0.3
✕Kyle Isbel 2019 · A	22	47→51	43→50	53→55	41	.229/.276/.346	.117	.306	10	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	.218/.268/.346	.128	.286	13	17	28%	5%	69	-0.4	.226/.284/.366	.140	.280	13	19	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	45→53	43→50	61→55	44	.220/.278/.344	.124	.294	9	27	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.237/.291/.371	.134	.285	13	17	21%	7%	85	+0.7	.244/.299/.375	.131	.283	14	12	19%	6%	86	+0.8
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	.213/.261/.318	.105	.268	9	34	24%	5%	58	-1.2	.245/.287/.352	.107	.309	8	37	22%	5%	77	+0.1	.258/.299/.360	.102	.324	7	41	22%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2022 · AA	23	48→53	41→45	54→60	43	.230/.288/.333	.103	.317	7	22	29%	7%	73	-0.1	.242/.301/.350	.108	.317	8	29	24%	7%	82	+0.5	.248/.310/.350	.103	.323	8	33	24%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→54	44→40	57→65	50	.214/.296/.341	.127	.291	10	19	28%	10%	79	+0.3	.226/.286/.327	.101	.285	8	44	22%	6%	71	-0.3	.219/.283/.310	.090	.276	7	49	22%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2018 · A	22	46	39→45	60	41	.212/.278/.300	.088	.325	5	28	34%	7%	60	-1.0	.185/.244/.280	.095	.311	8	27	40%	6%	41	-2.3	.220/.298/.337	.116	.314	13	41	32%	9%	74	-0.0
●Roger Bernadina 2006 · A	22	39→49	44→45	54→60	49	.200/.275/.314	.114	.247	13	19	24%	8%	64	-0.8	.233/.293/.330	.097	.310	8	25	26%	7%	74	-0.1	.263/.320/.391	.127	.327	12	31	22%	7%	97	+1.4
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	40	40	54→65	40	.192/.269/.282	.090	.299	8	28	36%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.284/.315	.099	.302	7	27	29%	7%	67	-0.5	.225/.290/.320	.095	.304	4	32	25%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	46	.212/.280/.309	.097	.289	6	21	28%	8%	63	-0.8	.250/.309/.355	.105	.324	7	26	23%	7%	87	+0.8	.260/.318/.360	.100	.329	7	29	22%	7%	88	+0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)