Carlos Jorge — OGILVIE

Carlos JorgeSS Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 160 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION399 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP303

ISO92

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT43

xAVG

100.199

POWER42

Barrel%

569.1

Avg EV

1078.2

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.3

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$12M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$11M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	188	159	55	8	10	3	24	32	3	27	5	346	441	579	1.019	233	413	17	13	438	183	+18	+3	—	—	+4	2.7
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	154	119	31	7	2	7	25	41	6	27	4	261	413	529	943	269	324	27	16	404	160	+11	+4	—	—	+3	1.8
2023	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	94	88	21	3	1	3	5	30	0	1	2	239	280	398	677	159	321	32	5	296	87	-1	-1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	356	298	88	11	9	9	47	70	7	31	7	295	402	483	885	188	356	20	13	390	150	+21	+3	—	—	+8	3.3
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	402	355	78	20	3	12	31	125	7	28	4	220	292	394	687	175	296	31	8	301	90	-5	+4	—	—	+9	0.8
2025	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	469	406	102	16	4	6	52	87	5	40	7	251	343	355	698	103	305	19	11	316	100	+0	+5	—	—	+10	1.6
2025	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	114	95	21	3	0	2	13	36	4	8	1	221	336	316	652	95	333	32	11	303	91	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	188	168	42	6	7	2	15	46	3	27	5	250	323	405	727	155	320	24	8	312	97	-1	+3	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	154	129	22	5	1	5	15	59	6	27	4	171	287	341	628	171	240	38	10	283	78	-4	+4	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	19	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	94	90	16	2	1	2	3	42	0	1	2	178	204	289	493	111	278	45	3	212	30	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	356	311	71	9	6	7	35	99	7	31	7	228	320	363	683	135	302	28	10	302	91	-4	+3	—	—	+8	0.7
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	367	58	15	2	7	23	168	7	28	4	158	222	267	489	109	251	42	6	216	32	-32	+4	—	—	+9	-2.0
2025	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	469	421	91	14	4	4	37	118	5	40	7	216	287	297	584	81	279	25	8	257	60	-22	+5	—	—	+10	-0.7
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	188	168	42	6	7	2	15	46	3	27	5	250	323	405	727	155	328	24	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	188	159	55	8	10	3	24	32	3	27	5	346	441	579	1.019	233	413	17	13	438	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	154	129	22	5	1	5	15	59	6	27	4	171	287	341	628	171	250	38	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	154	119	31	7	2	7	25	41	6	27	4	261	413	529	943	269	324	27	16	404	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	450	401	86	11	7	9	38	141	7	32	9	214	294	344	638	130	302	31	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	450	386	109	14	10	12	52	100	7	32	9	282	377	464	840	181	349	22	12	370	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	367	58	15	2	7	23	168	7	28	4	158	222	267	489	109	259	42	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	402	355	78	20	3	12	31	125	7	28	4	220	292	394	687	175	296	31	8	301	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	583	522	111	17	4	5	45	146	9	48	8	213	286	289	576	77	284	25	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	583	501	123	19	4	8	65	123	9	48	8	246	342	347	689	102	309	21	11	313	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	188	168	42	6	7	2	15	46	3	27	5	250	323	405	727	155	320	24	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	154	132	22	5	1	5	15	59	6	27	4	167	287	333	620	167	240	38	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	450	402	86	11	7	9	38	141	7	32	9	214	294	343	637	129	297	31	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	369	58	15	2	7	23	168	7	28	4	157	222	266	487	108	251	42	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	583	524	111	17	4	5	45	146	9	48	8	212	286	288	575	76	279	25	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	450	402	86	11	7	9	38	141	7	32	9	214	294	343	637	129	297	31	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	369	58	15	2	7	23	168	7	28	4	157	222	266	487	108	251	42	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	583	524	111	17	4	5	45	146	9	48	8	212	286	288	575	76	279	25	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	CIN	—	399	370	100	8	4	6	23	98	5	34	5	270	322	362	684	92	352	25	6	299	88	-6	+5	+0	+4	+9	1.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	22	MLB RAW	CIN	—	16	16	2	0	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	125	125	125	250		182	31	0	113	88	-0	+0	+0	+4	+0	0.5
YTD	22	AA RAW	CIN	—	259	230	76	4	3	6	25	52	3	23	4	330	403	452	855	122	405	20	10	383	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AAA RAW	CIN	—	124	114	30	5	1	2	8	25	2	10	1	263	323	377	700	114	322	20	6	316	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	MLB RAW	CIN	—	16	16	2	0	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	125	125	125	250		182	31	0	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	CIN	10%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		301	30	10	275	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	22	MLB CTX	CIN	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						303	0	0	270	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	MLB A+C	CIN	—	17	17	2	0	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	118	118	118	235		167	29	0	122	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
TOT	22	AA MLE	CIN	—	409	379	102	8	4	6	24	101	5	35	5	269	321	359	680	90	352	25	6	298	88	-6	+5	+0	+4	+9	1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	38%	507	463	106	12	4	8	33	132	6	29	5	229	289	324	613	95	299	26	7	277	74	-16	+4	+2	+5	+11	0.7
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	547	499	116	14	4	10	37	139	6	31	5	232	293	337	630	104	299	25	7	286	79	-13	+4	+3	+6	+12	1.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	591	538	126	16	4	12	41	148	7	34	5	234	297	346	643	112	299	25	7	290	82	-12	+5	+3	+6	+13	1.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	617	561	132	17	4	13	44	154	7	35	6	235	299	349	648	114	298	25	7	292	84	-12	+5	+3	+7	+13	1.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	612	556	131	17	4	13	44	153	7	35	6	236	300	351	651	115	298	25	7	292	84	-12	+5	+3	+7	+13	1.6
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	604	548	128	16	4	13	44	152	7	33	5	234	299	349	647	115	298	25	7	291	83	-12	+5	+2	+6	+13	1.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	592	536	125	16	4	12	44	150	7	30	5	233	300	345	645	112	297	25	7	290	82	-13	+4	+1	+6	+13	1.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	580	526	121	15	4	11	43	149	6	26	4	230	296	337	632	106	297	26	7	287	80	-14	+4	+1	+6	+13	1.0
2035	31	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	565	512	117	14	4	11	42	146	6	22	4	229	295	336	631	107	295	26	7	283	78	-15	+3	-0	+6	+12	0.6
2036	32	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	546	495	110	13	3	10	40	144	6	18	3	222	288	321	610	99	292	26	7	278	74	-17	+2	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	CIN	38%	195	178	41	5	1	3	13	51	2	11	2	230	290	320	610	90	301	26	7	273	74	-6	+1	+1	+2	+4	0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	263	240	56	7	2	5	18	67	3	15	2	233	295	342	637	108	302	25	7	282	79	-6	+2	+1	+3	+6	0.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	311	282	68	9	2	7	22	78	4	18	3	241	305	362	667	121	301	25	7	287	82	-6	+2	+1	+3	+7	0.8
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	337	306	73	9	2	8	24	84	4	19	3	239	302	359	662	121	301	25	7	289	84	-6	+3	+2	+4	+7	0.9
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	333	302	72	9	2	8	24	83	4	19	3	238	303	361	664	123	301	25	7	289	84	-6	+3	+2	+4	+7	0.9
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	328	297	70	9	2	7	24	83	4	18	3	236	302	350	652	114	301	25	7	288	83	-7	+2	+1	+4	+7	0.8
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	315	285	68	9	2	7	23	80	4	16	3	239	304	358	662	119	300	25	7	286	82	-7	+2	+1	+3	+7	0.6
2034	30	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	304	275	64	8	2	6	23	78	3	14	2	233	299	342	641	109	299	26	8	283	80	-7	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2035	31	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	294	267	62	8	2	6	22	76	3	12	2	232	298	345	643	112	297	26	7	279	78	-8	+2	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2036	32	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	283	257	58	7	2	5	21	74	3	9	1	226	292	327	619	101	295	26	7	274	74	-9	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2964	2690	632	80	19	62	214	754	34	151	24	235	300	348	647	113	302	25	7	284	76	-69	+21	+9	+32	+64	5.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	139	18	4	14	47	165	7	33	5	236	300	351	651	115	301	25	7	284	76	-15	+5	+2	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7548	6830	1533	204	60	141	549	2030	97	456	78	224	291	334	625	109	296	27	7	281	76	-135	+40	+17	+62	+125	11.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	132	18	5	12	47	175	8	39	7	224	290	333	624	109	296	27	7	281	76	-15	+4	+2	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#4Billy Hamiltonlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,202 PA	4.8	3,202	23	295	240	294	328	+11	+78	11.2	11.2
/162	664	5	61	+2.4	+16.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#5Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.5	2,995	59	152	232	293	342	+32	+20	6.3	5.9
/162	664	13	34	+7.1	+4.4	1.4	pk7: 5
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Jorge (OGILVIE)	22	30→43	40→42	60	40	226/285/317	91	301	5	21	26%	6%	72	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	39→45	58→55	46	205/275/296	91	274	6	17	26%	8%	63	-1.3	223/300/306	83	296	5	16	24%	9%	75	-0.5	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→40	55→60	42	185/255/269	84	272	7	25	33%	8%	50	-2.3	206/277/304	98	273	9	30	26%	8%	65	-1.2	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2017 · A	22	43→48	40→50	61→65	39	209/253/306	96	291	6	34	30%	5%	56	-1.9	200/241/317	117	293	8	28	33%	5%	55	-2.0	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	41→45	63→65	42	213/260/314	102	267	8	35	24%	5%	61	-1.5	243/285/345	102	306	7	37	22%	5%	78	-0.3	254/296/351	97	318	7	41	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→45	54→65	45	190/253/296	106	249	8	22	26%	7%	55	-1.9	192/267/308	116	292	10	25	35%	8%	63	-1.3	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Jean Ramirez 2023 · A	22	44→49	41→40	56→65	44	214/277/311	97	290	9	31	28%	7%	68	-1.0	212/271/287	75	309	7	23	31%	7%	59	-1.6	204/265/260	57	302	5	24	32%	7%	48	-1.3
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	35→45	44→45	52→60	39	184/241/293	109	256	12	21	32%	6%	50	-2.3	221/288/352	131	295	12	39	28%	8%	81	-0.1	221/289/349	127	292	11	41	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Rey Fuentes 2013 · AA	22	45→55	38→40	57→60	39	214/264/292	78	301	5	27	30%	6%	57	-1.8	255/305/346	91	336	7	29	24%	6%	85	+0.2	275/323/366	91	351	7	33	22%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	44	204/256/283	80	261	5	21	23%	6%	53	-2.1	242/303/317	75	307	4	31	21%	6%	78	-0.3	242/306/332	90	291	7	29	18%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Adonis Pacheco 2013 · A	22	45	39→50	57→55	45	213/271/312	99	277	4	16	24%	7%	65	-1.2	204/258/296	92	260	5	11	22%	6%	56	-1.9	160/206/240	80	191	3	9	17%	6%	22	-1.2
✕Victor Labrada 2023 · A	23	42→52	41→45	54→60	39	199/264/301	102	310	8	21	36%	7%	60	-1.6	216/283/316	100	307	8	31	30%	7%	71	-0.8	229/311/347	118	299	10	36	25%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Duke Ellis 2022 · A	24	37→47	38→40	55→80	36	182/235/256	75	279	7	24	36%	6%	39	-3.1	211/272/295	84	323	7	43	34%	7%	62	-1.4	232/283/327	96	324	8	91	29%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Zach Cole 2023 · A	22	42→51	41→55	55	39	198/276/295	98	319	8	23	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/277/352	152	346	16	22	43%	8%	78	-0.3	199/278/371	171	344	18	23	44%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Bobby Boyd 2015 · A	22	43→53	38→45	54→60	43	209/260/285	76	280	5	15	27%	6%	55	-2.0	230/275/314	84	317	5	23	27%	6%	66	-1.1	238/283/324	86	324	4	28	27%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Roger Bernadina 2006 · A	22	40→50	44→45	54→60	50	202/283/312	110	254	12	20	25%	9%	71	-0.8	236/296/330	94	314	8	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	261/318/385	124	324	11	31	22%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	38→43	43→45	59→60	43	188/270/295	107	285	11	31	36%	8%	62	-1.4	205/277/320	115	284	11	35	30%	8%	70	-0.9	202/274/318	116	272	11	40	28%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Juan Perez 2014 · A	22	44→51	41→45	53→55	41	214/259/320	106	274	8	18	25%	5%	62	-1.4	210/250/306	96	272	7	16	25%	5%	55	-1.9	223/266/335	112	289	12	24	27%	5%	66	-0.7
✕Kristopher Negrón 2008 · A	22	42→50	37→45	55	43	202/266/271	69	272	4	18	26%	6%	54	-2.0	225/286/321	96	289	7	20	23%	6%	73	-0.6	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps