Fabian Ulloa

SS DSL Twins

Age 18 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKMIN	124	.343/.444/.457	1	8	72	—	.236/.323/.300
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBMIN	234	.228/.297/.307	2	5	73	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBMIN	67	.232/.303/.320	1	2	78	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBMIN	162	.235/.307/.331	2	4	82	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%99

Whiff%98

K%93

Chase%93

wOBA84

wRC+81

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsHector Osorio (age 18) · Kevyn Castillo (age 19) · Welbyn Francisca (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 104 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .295 / .305

PA104

HR1

K%22

BB%8

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$41M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$19M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	124	105	36	7	1	1	18	14	1	8	3	343	444	457	901	114	389	11	15	407	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	124	110	26	5	1	0	13	17	1	8	3	236	323	300	623	64	267	14	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	124	110	26	5	1	0	13	17	1	8	3	236	323	300	623	64	280	14	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	124	105	36	7	1	1	18	14	1	8	3	343	444	457	901	114	389	11	15	407	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	124	109	26	5	1	0	13	17	1	8	3	239	323	303	625	64	267	14	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	124	109	26	5	1	0	13	17	1	8	3	239	323	303	625	64	267	14	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	234	211	49	8	2	2	19	50	2	5	1	228	297	307	605	79	289	21	8	276	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	196	176	41	7	1	2	16	42	2	5	1	232	303	319	622	87	291	21	8	283	78	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	334	299	70	12	2	4	28	71	4	8	2	235	307	330	637	95	292	21	8	289	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	439	395	93	16	3	6	36	93	5	11	3	237	310	340	650	102	293	21	8	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2031	22	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	513	459	111	19	4	8	43	109	6	13	4	239	312	348	660	108	294	21	8	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	MIN	61%	563	505	122	21	4	10	47	119	6	14	4	241	314	355	669	114	295	21	8	302	90	-7	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.3
2033	24	MLB MLE	MIN	63%	596	534	129	22	4	10	50	126	7	15	4	242	315	358	674	116	296	21	8	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2034	25	MLB MLE	MIN	64%	615	551	134	23	4	11	52	130	7	15	4	243	316	361	676	118	296	21	8	304	92	-6	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	625	561	136	23	4	12	52	132	7	16	5	243	316	362	678	119	296	21	8	305	93	-6	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	626	561	135	23	4	11	53	133	7	16	5	242	315	359	674	117	295	21	8	304	92	-6	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	622	558	134	23	4	11	52	134	7	15	5	240	313	355	668	115	295	22	8	301	90	-7	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	612	550	130	22	4	10	51	133	6	14	5	238	310	349	659	111	294	22	8	298	88	-9	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.0
2039	30	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	602	541	128	22	4	9	50	133	6	14	5	235	307	342	649	106	292	22	8	293	85	-11	+1	-2	+6	+13	0.7
2040	31	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	588	529	124	21	4	9	48	132	6	13	6	231	302	332	634	101	290	22	8	287	81	-14	+0	-3	+6	+13	0.3
2041	32	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	570	514	116	19	3	8	46	131	5	12	8	226	296	320	617	94	286	23	8	280	76	-16	-1	-4	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	67	61	13	2	0	1	5	14	1	2	0	232	303	320	622	88	291	21	7	283	78	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	162	146	34	6	1	2	13	35	2	4	1	235	307	331	637	96	292	22	8	289	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	238	213	51	9	2	3	20	51	3	6	2	237	310	340	650	103	293	21	8	294	85	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	290	261	63	11	2	5	24	62	3	7	2	240	312	348	661	109	294	21	8	298	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	MIN	61%	343	307	74	13	2	6	29	73	4	9	2	241	314	355	670	114	295	21	8	302	90	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	MIN	63%	374	336	82	14	3	7	31	79	4	9	3	243	315	359	674	116	296	21	8	304	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2034	25	MLB CTX	MIN	64%	392	352	86	15	3	7	33	83	4	10	3	243	316	361	677	118	296	21	8	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2035	26	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	406	364	89	15	3	8	34	86	5	10	3	243	316	362	678	119	296	21	8	305	93	-4	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2036	27	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	407	365	88	15	3	7	34	87	5	10	3	242	315	360	675	118	296	21	8	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.0
2037	28	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	404	363	88	15	3	7	34	87	4	10	3	241	313	355	669	115	295	22	8	301	90	-5	+1	-0	+4	+9	0.9
2038	29	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	398	358	85	14	3	7	33	87	4	9	3	238	310	349	660	111	294	22	8	298	88	-6	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.7
2039	30	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	391	352	82	14	2	6	32	87	4	9	3	235	307	342	649	107	292	22	8	293	85	-7	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.5
2040	31	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	382	344	79	13	2	6	31	86	4	8	4	231	302	333	635	101	290	23	8	288	81	-9	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2041	32	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	370	334	75	12	2	5	30	85	3	8	5	226	296	321	617	94	286	23	8	280	76	-11	-0	-2	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4624	4156	989	168	31	77	383	1002	50	111	37	238	310	349	659	111	294	22	8	297	87	-70	+7	-7	+50	+100	8.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	139	24	4	11	54	141	7	16	5	238	310	349	659	111	294	22	8	297	87	-10	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7729	6937	1651	282	51	122	645	1657	83	191	64	238	310	346	656	108	294	21	8	296	87	-119	+12	-10	+81	+165	13.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	139	24	4	10	54	139	7	16	5	238	310	345	655	106	295	21	8	296	87	-10	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#3Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.1	4,730	76	113	239	308	348	+51	+27	11.6	10.0
/162	664	11	16	+7.1	+3.8	1.6	pk7: 8
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fabian Ulloa (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	226/295/305	78	289	1	2	22%	8%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	44→46	37→40	50→60	55	207/289/284	77	258	3	13	20%	10%	66	-1.1	207/297/275	68	283	3	18	25%	11%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	45→55	36→45	50→45	54	206/294/278	71	267	2	9	22%	10%	67	-1.1	203/252/261	58	256	2	6	21%	5%	46	-2.6	279/319/373	94	320	8	6	15%	4%	96	+0.8
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→55	47	215/290/297	83	299	3	10	27%	8%	69	-0.9	222/312/294	72	300	3	13	24%	11%	77	-0.3	217/314/281	64	302	1	14	25%	12%	73	-0.3
✕Drew Cumberland 2008 · A	19	48	36→45	52→55	46	225/282/290	65	274	3	11	18%	6%	64	-1.3	256/309/342	86	303	5	18	16%	6%	86	+0.3	282/333/387	105	330	7	22	16%	6%	101	+0.7
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0

Fabian Ulloa

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps