Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD
—
ROKMLE
TEX
—
222
186
35
5
1
6
18
46
13
3
0
188
304
323
627
134
209
21
8
274
72
-8
+1
+0
-4
+5
-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD
—
ROKRAW
TEX
—
222
175
44
7
1
8
29
32
13
3
0
251
396
440
836
189
257
14
13
371
72
—
—
—
—
—
—
ROS
—
ROKMLE
TEX
0%
27
24
5
1
0
1
2
7
1
0
0
208
296
375
671
167
261
26
7
288
81
-1
+0
+0
-0
+1
-0.1
TOT
—
ROKMLE
TEX
—
249
210
40
6
1
7
20
53
14
3
0
190
303
329
632
138
213
21
8
276
73
-8
+1
+0
-4
+5
-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027
25
MLBMLE
TEX
0%
343
303
64
10
2
8
28
84
9
5
1
211
297
337
634
125
262
24
8
289
82
-7
+1
+0
-6
+7
-0.6
2028
25
MLBMLE
TEX
0%
426
377
80
13
2
11
35
104
11
6
2
212
298
345
643
133
264
24
8
292
84
-8
+0
+0
-8
+9
-0.6
2029
25
MLBMLE
TEX
0%
482
427
92
15
3
12
40
117
12
7
2
215
301
349
650
133
265
24
8
294
85
-9
+1
+0
-9
+10
-0.6
2030
25
MLBMLE
TEX
0%
521
460
100
17
3
13
43
126
13
8
2
217
302
352
654
135
266
24
8
295
86
-9
+1
+0
-9
+11
-0.6
2031
25
MLBMLE
TEX
0%
548
485
105
18
3
14
45
133
13
9
2
216
300
353
653
136
265
24
8
295
86
-9
+1
+0
-10
+12
-0.6
2032
25
MLBMLE
TEX
0%
568
502
109
18
3
15
47
138
14
9
2
217
302
355
657
137
265
24
8
295
86
-10
+1
+0
-10
+12
-0.7
2033
25
MLBMLE
TEX
0%
582
515
112
19
3
15
48
141
14
9
2
217
302
353
655
136
265
24
8
295
86
-10
+1
+0
-10
+13
-0.7
2034
25
MLBMLE
TEX
0%
593
525
113
19
3
15
49
144
14
10
2
215
299
349
648
133
264
24
8
295
86
-10
+1
+0
-11
+13
-0.7
2027
25
MLBCTX
TEX
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
264
—
—
275
82
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2028
25
MLBCTX
TEX
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
266
—
—
279
84
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2029
25
MLBCTX
TEX
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
267
—
—
281
85
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2030
25
MLBCTX
TEX
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
268
—
—
282
86
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2031
25
MLBCTX
TEX
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
268
—
—
282
86
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2032
25
MLBCTX
TEX
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
267
—
—
282
86
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2033
25
MLBCTX
TEX
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
267
—
—
282
86
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2034
25
MLBCTX
TEX
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
267
—
—
282
86
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
▸ Career Totals
Career
—
MLE
—
4090
3618
780
130
22
104
337
994
101
63
15
216
300
350
650
134
266
24
8
294
85
-72
+7
+0
-73
+89
-5.1
/ 162G
—
MLE
—
650
575
124
21
3
17
54
158
16
10
2
216
301
351
652
136
266
24
8
294
85
-11
+1
+0
-12
+14
-0.8
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 493 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
6.6
4,383
110
67
217
298
351
-49
+0
0.5
0.6
/162
664
17
10
-7.5
+0.0
0.1
pk7: 1
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection