Demetrio Crisantes

SS Reno Aces
Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 178 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP50OGV rank#46ETA2028MLB%14%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419A/ROKARI439.341/.434/.492730105—.274/.346/.382
202520A+ARI151.252/.370/.4154688—.233/.322/.388
202621AAA/AA/A+/INTL2 orgs448.293/.375/.472106107—.263/.329/.409
2027PROJ14% MLB22MLBARI29.261/.329/.412101020.1
2028PROJ54% MLB23MLBARI202.265/.333/.424531070.8
2029PROJ68% MLB24MLBARI287.267/.335/.431741091.2
Next 3 projected WAR 2.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$5M2032Arb-2$7M2033Arb-3$10M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Whiff%88
K%84
Z-Con%80
Chase%48
Speed41
BB%32
Career WAR1.2 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 30, comp-based) · star 10% · didn't stick 55%
CompsAlejandro Kirk (age 22) · Luis Urías (age 23) · Jordan Diaz (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†102
AVG/OBP/SLG.261 / .329 / .412
PA29
HR1
K%21
BB%7
BABIP310
ISO185
MLB%14%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +0.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
0.01.02.00.10.81.21.41.51.41.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$37M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.2$8M+$8M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.4$9M+$8M
2031Arb-1$5M+1.5$9M+$6M
2032Arb-2$7M+1.4$8M+$3M
2033Arb-3$10M+1.3$7M+$1M
Totals $24M $43M +$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ROKACL D-backs Black — 115101 35711 11212 22 347421465886 119425 1810 394 75 — — — — — —
202419 AVisalia Rawhide — 295249 831616 38475 202 333430478908 145389 1613 404 114 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL D-backs — 144121 43751 17222 101 355443521964 165412 1512 414 86 — — — — — —
202520 A+Hillsboro Hops — 151123 31804 21192 61 252370415784 163257 1314 344 88 — — — — — —
202621 AAAReno Aces — 209187 521223 18321 01 278345412756 134320 159 334 83 — — — — — —
202621 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 160135 431225 19294 02 319418548966 230369 1812 418 130 — — — — — —
202621 A+Hillsboro Hops — 1613 4002 350 00 3084387691.207 462333 3119 504 136 — — — — — —
202621 INTLSalt River Rafters — 6357 16610 690 60 281349421770 140333 1410 344 119 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 ROK MLEACL D-backs Black — 115105 26511 7292 22 248307343650 95324 256 279 75 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 295262 751414 26635 202 286362393755 107356 219 337 114 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 144128 32531 10332 101 250314359674 109305 237 295 86 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 151129 30804 15262 61 233322388710 155228 1710 299 88 — — — — — —
202621 AAA MLEReno Aces — 209192 481022 13381 01 250301354655 104301 186 291 83 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 160140 401124 14354 02 286367479846 193339 229 361 130 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 1614 3001 270 00 214312429741 214291 4412 369 136 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL D-backs Black — 115105 26511 7292 22 248307343650 95329 256 279 75 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWACL D-backs Black — 115101 35711 11212 22 347421465886 119425 1810 394 75 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 439390 1071945 36967 303 274346382728 108346 228 323 105 — — — — — —
202419 A RAW2 teams — 439370 1262367 55697 303 341434492926 151397 1613 407 105 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 151129 30804 15262 61 233322388710 155250 1710 299 88 — — — — — —
202520 A+ RAWHillsboro Hops — 151123 31804 21192 61 252370415784 163257 1314 344 88 — — — — — —
202621 AAA MLE4 teams — 448404 1072459 34945 63 265330416745 151322 218 323 105 — — — — — —
202621 AAA RAW4 teams — 448392 11530510 46755 63 293375472847 179339 1710 372 105 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL D-backs Black — 115105 26511 7292 22 248307343650 95324 256 279 75 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 439393 1071945 36967 303 272346379726 107339 228 323 105 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 151133 30804 15262 61 226322376698 150228 1710 299 88 — — — — — —
202621 AAA MLE4 teams — 448406 1072459 34945 63 264330414743 150316 218 323 105 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLE2 teams — 439393 1071945 36967 303 272346379726 107339 228 323 105 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 151133 30804 15262 61 226322376698 150228 1710 299 88 — — — — — —
202621 AAA MLE4 teams — 448406 1072459 34945 63 264330414743 150316 218 323 105 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEARI 14% 495447 11325410 39966 53 253321396716 143298 198 319 102 +1 -0 -2 +5 +11 0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXARI 14% 2927 7201 260 00 261329412740 150310 217 328 102 +0 +0 -0 +0 +1 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEARI 54% 374337 871939 30714 53 256325409734 152298 198 326 107 +3 -0 -1 +4 +8 1.4
202924 MLB MLEARI 68% 425383 9821311 34815 64 258328416744 158299 198 330 109 +5 -0 -1 +5 +9 1.8
203025 MLB MLEARI 74% 448403 10422312 37865 74 258328419747 160299 198 331 110 +5 -0 -1 +5 +10 1.9
203126 MLB MLEARI 77% 460414 10623312 38895 74 258328418746 160298 198 331 110 +5 -0 -1 +5 +10 2.0
203227 MLB MLEARI 76% 462416 10522312 38905 75 256327415742 159298 198 329 109 +5 -1 -1 +5 +10 1.9
203328 MLB MLEARI 76% 458412 10422312 38915 65 255325411736 156297 208 327 107 +4 -1 -1 +5 +10 1.7
203429 MLB MLEARI 74% 447402 10121311 37905 55 252322405727 152296 208 323 105 +3 -1 -2 +5 +10 1.4
203530 MLB MLEARI 73% 436392 9921311 36895 45 250319397716 148295 208 319 102 +1 -1 -3 +5 +9 1.1
203631 MLB MLEARI 73% 418377 9420310 34874 39 246314388702 142292 218 313 98 -1 -3 -4 +4 +9 0.6
203732 MLB MLEARI 72% 396358 861829 31844 229 240308376684 135289 218 306 93 -3 -11 -4 +4 +9 -0.6
202823 MLB CTXARI 54% 202182 481125 16392 32 265333424756 159311 198 335 107 +2 -0 -1 +2 +4 0.8
202924 MLB CTXARI 68% 287259 691637 23553 42 267335431766 164311 198 338 109 +3 +0 -0 +3 +6 1.2
203025 MLB CTXARI 74% 331297 781838 27634 53 267336433769 166311 198 340 110 +4 -0 -1 +4 +7 1.4
203126 MLB CTXARI 77% 353317 841939 29684 53 266335432767 166310 198 339 110 +4 -0 -1 +4 +8 1.5
203227 MLB CTXARI 76% 353317 831939 29694 54 264334429763 165309 208 337 109 +4 -1 -1 +4 +8 1.4
203328 MLB CTXARI 76% 349313 831939 29694 54 262332424756 162309 208 335 107 +3 -1 -1 +4 +8 1.3
203429 MLB CTXARI 74% 332298 781838 27674 44 260329418748 158308 208 331 105 +2 -1 -2 +4 +7 1.0
203530 MLB CTXARI 73% 320288 741737 26653 34 257326411737 153306 208 327 102 +1 -1 -2 +3 +7 0.8
203631 MLB CTXARI 73% 304274 691627 24633 26 253321401723 148304 218 321 98 -1 -2 -3 +3 +7 0.5
203732 MLB CTXARI 72% 286258 641526 23613 121 248315388704 141300 218 313 93 -2 -8 -3 +3 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 31172803 7301682775 25361934 3753 260329420749 159308 208 332 104 +19 -14 -13 +33 +68 9.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 15335616 531297 811 262331424755 162309 208 332 104 +4 -3 -3 +7 +14 2.0
Career— MLE — 56875111 130227641132 461114466 9883 255324402727 148302 208 322 104 +27 -19 -19 +49 +98 13.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 14932515 531318 119 255326404730 149303 208 322 104 +4 -3 -3 +7 +14 2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAReno Aces · 209 PAwOBA .327 → .291 (−36)K% 15.3% → 18.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.31%÷1.000×1.200——18.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.61%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0506.24%
HBP% /PA0.48%—×0.940—×1.0500.47%
Singles /BIP22.58%÷1.000×0.930×0.991×1.05021.85%
Doubles /BIP7.74%÷1.000×0.830×0.991×1.0506.69%
Triples /BIP1.29%÷1.000×0.970×0.991×1.0501.30%
Home runs /BIP1.94%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0501.42%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .327 → .291; ISO .134 → .114; BABIP .320 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 160 PAwOBA .413 → .361 (−51)K% 18.1% → 22.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.12%÷1.000×1.220——22.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.88%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0428.66%
HBP% /PA2.50%—×0.870—×1.0422.27%
Singles /BIP22.64%÷1.000×0.920×0.992×1.04221.52%
Doubles /BIP11.32%÷1.000×0.840×0.992×1.0429.83%
Triples /BIP1.89%÷1.000×0.940×0.992×1.0421.83%
Home runs /BIP4.72%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0423.93%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .413 → .361; ISO .230 → .201; BABIP .369 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Hillsboro Hops · 16 PAwOBA .490 → .369 (−120)K% 31.2% → 42.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.25%÷1.000×1.350——42.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.75%÷1.000×0.710—×1.01213.47%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.01223.02%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0120.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.820—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.01221.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .490 → .369; ISO .462 → .344; BABIP .333 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hillsboro Hops · 151 PAwOBA .347 → .299 (−48)K% 12.6% → 16.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.58%÷1.002×1.350——16.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.91%÷1.044×0.710—×1.0279.72%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.810—×1.0271.10%
Singles /BIP18.27%÷1.012×0.910×0.959×1.02716.18%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.908×0.830×0.959×1.0276.93%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820×0.959×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷0.968×0.830—×1.0273.39%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .347 → .299; ISO .163 → .152; BABIP .257 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AVisalia Rawhide · 295 PAwOBA .394 → .337 (−57)K% 15.9% → 21.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.93%÷1.009×1.360——21.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.20%÷0.980×0.690—×1.0308.85%
HBP% /PA1.69%—×0.780—×1.0301.36%
Singles /BIP29.70%÷1.010×0.920×0.994×1.03027.72%
Doubles /BIP7.92%÷0.964×0.830×0.994×1.0306.99%
Triples /BIP0.50%÷0.965×0.910×0.994×1.0300.48%
Home runs /BIP2.97%÷1.102×0.800—×1.0302.22%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 93, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .394 → .337; ISO .145 → .118; BABIP .389 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL D-backs · 144 PAwOBA .415 → .295 (−120)K% 15.3% → 22.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.28%÷0.965×1.440——22.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.81%÷1.069×0.620—×0.9956.81%
HBP% /PA1.39%—×0.720—×0.9950.99%
Singles /BIP30.30%÷1.009×0.820×0.950×0.99523.28%
Doubles /BIP7.07%÷1.031×0.720×0.950×0.9954.67%
Triples /BIP5.05%÷0.984×0.720×0.950×0.9953.49%
Home runs /BIP1.01%÷0.875×0.780—×0.9950.90%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 97, K 93, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .415 → .295; ISO .165 → .118; BABIP .412 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL D-backs Black · 115 PAwOBA .388 → .279 (−109)K% 18.3% → 25.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.26%÷1.030×1.440——25.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.57%÷1.001×0.620—×1.0085.97%
HBP% /PA1.74%—×0.720—×1.0081.26%
Singles /BIP32.50%÷1.073×0.820×1.000×1.00825.02%
Doubles /BIP8.75%÷0.966×0.720×1.000×1.0086.57%
Triples /BIP1.25%÷0.950×0.720×1.000×1.0080.95%
Home runs /BIP1.25%÷1.038×0.780—×1.0080.95%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 115, 2B 93, 3B 90, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .388 → .279; ISO .119 → .087; BABIP .425 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .