Gabriel TeranC DSL Padres Brown
Age 18 R/R 5'8" / 160 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION114 act + 76 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†91
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .355 / .302
PA76
HR1
K%22
BB%13
BABIP289
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -0.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-0BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.01.53.00.91.62.22.72.82.92.93.03.02.82.7+$189M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.9$15M+$14M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.9$14M+$13M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3.0$13M+$13M
2035Arb-1$6M+3.0$12M+$10M
2036Arb-2$9M+2.8$10M+$7M
2037Arb-3$13M+2.7$9M+$5M
Totals $31M $73M +$63M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 1714 3000 230 11 214312214527 273 1812 250 50 — — — — — —
202517 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 1713 4000 320 11 308438308745 364 1218 336 115 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKSD — 11482 17201 23229 30 207430268698 61271 1920 320 103 +0 +1 +0 +2 +3 0.6
YTD18 ROKSD — 11468 17201 37159 30 250553324876 74308 1332 436 192 +12 +1 +0 +2 +3 1.8
ROS18 ROKSD 0% 7663 14201 10173 10 222355302657 79286 2213 304 91 -1 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.3
ROS18 MLBSD 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 283 —— 275 69 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL18 ROKSD — 11483 17201 23229 30 205430265695 60267 1920 320 103 +0 +1 +0 +2 +3 0.6
TOT18 ROKSD — 190145 31402 333912 40 214400283683 69279 2117 313 98 -0 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBSD 34% 226188 42613 29517 31 223348314662 90285 2313 306 92 -2 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.9
202820 MLBSD 48% 357298 681025 458011 51 228350326676 97287 2213 311 96 -2 +1 +0 +6 +10 1.6
202921 MLBSD 54% 454381 871327 5610114 61 228348328676 100289 2212 315 99 -0 +1 +0 +8 +13 2.2
203022 MLBSD 57% 520436 1001529 6411515 71 229348335682 106290 2212 318 102 +1 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.7
203123 MLBSD 58% 520436 1011529 6411415 71 232350337687 106291 2212 321 103 +2 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.8
203224 MLBSD 57% 520435 10215210 6511415 71 234353347701 113291 2212 323 105 +3 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.9
203325 MLBSD 57% 520435 10215210 6511415 71 234353347701 113292 2212 324 106 +4 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.9
203426 MLBSD 57% 520434 10215210 6511416 71 235355348703 113291 2212 325 107 +4 +1 +0 +9 +15 3.0
203527 MLBSD 55% 520434 10115210 6511416 71 233353346699 113291 2212 325 107 +4 +1 +0 +9 +15 3.0
203628 MLBSD 55% 520434 10115210 6611515 61 233353346699 113291 2213 324 106 +3 +1 -1 +9 +15 2.8
203729 MLBSD 53% 520434 10115210 6611615 61 233353346699 113290 2213 322 104 +3 +1 -1 +9 +15 2.7
203830 MLBSD 53% 520434 10014210 6611715 51 230351341692 111288 2213 319 102 +1 +1 -2 +9 +15 2.4
203931 MLBSD 52% 504420 961429 6411515 51 229351336686 107286 2313 315 99 -1 +1 -3 +9 +14 2.1
204032 MLBSD 52% 489410 911328 6211414 41 222344322666 100283 2313 309 95 -3 +0 -4 +9 +14 1.7
204133 MLBSD 52% 473396 851127 6011214 31 215338306644 91279 2413 303 90 -5 +0 -4 +8 +13 1.3
204234 MLBSD 47% 429360 751016 5410512 20 208331292623 83274 2413 295 84 -8 +0 -5 +8 +12 0.8
204335 MLBSD 43% 366307 62715 469210 10 202325280605 78268 2513 287 78 -9 +0 -6 +7 +10 0.2
202719 MLBSD 34% 7866 14201 10182 10 212333288621 76282 2313 281 73 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202820 MLBSD 48% 173144 32512 22395 20 222345312658 90284 2313 286 77 -5 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.4
202921 MLBSD 54% 246206 47714 31557 31 228348330678 102285 2213 290 80 -6 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.6
203022 MLBSD 57% 294247 56815 36659 41 227346328674 101286 2212 293 83 -6 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.8
203123 MLBSD 58% 299251 57815 37669 41 227347327673 100287 2212 295 84 -5 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.9
203224 MLBSD 57% 296248 56815 37659 41 226347327674 101288 2212 297 86 -5 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.9
203325 MLBSD 57% 295247 57816 37649 41 231352344696 113288 2213 299 87 -4 +0 +0 +5 +8 1.0
203426 MLBSD 57% 294246 57816 37649 41 232353346698 114288 2213 299 87 -4 +0 +0 +5 +8 1.0
203527 MLBSD 55% 289242 56816 36639 41 231352347699 116288 2212 299 87 -4 +0 +0 +5 +8 1.0
203628 MLBSD 55% 286239 54815 36639 41 226349331679 105287 2213 298 87 -4 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.9
203729 MLBSD 53% 278233 53815 35628 31 227348335683 107286 2213 297 85 -5 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.8
203830 MLBSD 53% 274229 51715 35628 31 223346328673 105285 2313 294 83 -5 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.7
203931 MLBSD 52% 263220 50715 33608 20 227349336685 109283 2313 290 80 -6 +0 -1 +5 +7 0.5
204032 MLBSD 52% 254213 46614 32597 20 216337310647 94280 2313 285 76 -7 +0 -2 +5 +7 0.4
204133 MLBSD 52% 245205 44614 31587 10 215337312650 98276 2413 279 72 -8 +0 -2 +4 +7 0.2
204234 MLBSD 47% 202169 35413 25496 10 207330296626 89271 2412 272 66 -8 +0 -2 +4 +6 -0.1
204335 MLBSD 43% 156132 27312 19394 00 205323288610 83265 2512 263 60 -7 +0 -2 +3 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 42223538 7921111673 529951125 4610 224345326671 102284 2313 291 81 -91 +5 -12 +75 +120 9.9
/ 162G— — 650545 12117211 8114619 72 222342321663 99282 2212 291 81 -14 +1 -2 +12 +18 1.5
Career— — 80716749 153322031139 10141823237 9016 227348331679 104289 2313 315 99 -7 +12 -25 +144 +229 36.0
/ 162G— — 650544 12318211 8214719 71 226347327674 101288 2313 315 99 -1 +1 -2 +12 +18 2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 1713 4000 320 11 308438308745 364 1218 336 115 +0 -0 — — +0 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Alex Avilalast yr '21
career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA
133,6381058233348393+65+4626.724.5
/162664191+11.9+8.54.9pk7: 22
#2Jason Castrolast yr '22
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA
123,381976227312387+60+7722.521.6
/162664191+11.9+15.14.4pk7: 21
#3Brian Schneiderlast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,522 PA
123,522664246319367+54+8421.420.8
/162664121+10.3+15.84.0pk7: 20
#4Chris Snyderlast yr '12
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,435 PA
92,435770225329385+43+7319.318.1
/162664210+11.9+19.95.3pk7: 17
#5Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons
104,2907547229345335+71+4019.815.4
/162664127+11.0+6.23.1pk7: 11
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Gabriel Teran (OGILVIE) 18 — — — — 214/400/283 69279 24 21% 17% 98 +0.9 ————————— —————————
●Moisés Ballesteros
2022 · A 		18 45→55 41→50 50→40 52 218/297/315 97275 88 23% 10% 73 -0.1 225/288/361 136282 164 25% 8% 81 +0.4 266/326/40513931116319%8%106+1.6
●Dilson Herrera
2012 · A 		18 46→56 39→50 50 47 218/290/315 98283 413 23% 7% 70 -0.3 228/279/361 133299 1212 27% 6% 77 +0.1 258/308/400143315151323%6%96+1.3
✕Osleivis Basabe
2019 · A 		18 51→61 38→45 49→50 48 238/291/324 86288 312 18% 7% 71 -0.3 236/280/312 76293 312 19% 5% 63 -0.8 270/315/37110232841718%5%90+0.8
●Miguel Vargas
2019 · A 		19 51→53 39→55 52→50 46 239/296/332 93306 58 23% 7% 76 +0.0 248/300/371 123304 118 21% 6% 88 +0.9 221/322/407185244211119%12%106+1.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez
2021 · A 		19 46→55 42→45 49→50 46 224/285/337 113288 99 25% 8% 72 -0.2 235/300/339 104298 612 22% 8% 80 +0.4 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
✕Michael Arroyo
2023 · A 		18 48→42 42→50 44→50 45 227/318/334 107303 87 26% 7% 88 +0.9 214/310/343 129287 128 28% 8% 88 +0.9 219/307/369150281181327%8%90+0.9
●Elvis Andrus
2006 · A 		17 47→57 39→50 47→60 46 226/288/308 82287 69 23% 7% 66 -0.6 232/281/307 75309 422 25% 6% 63 -0.9 277/330/410133307112313%7%107+2.4
✕Juan Fernandez
2017 · A 		18 51→57 38→40 45→50 49 236/314/317 81309 55 24% 8% 81 +0.4 209/269/295 86267 64 23% 6% 56 -1.3 239/301/3329329710922%6%74-0.0
●Andrés Giménez
2017 · A 		18 52→60 40→50 48→55 57 247/331/355 109280 611 14% 10% 98 +1.6 236/297/336 100298 618 22% 6% 78 +0.2 261/326/416155313172521%5%108+2.0
●Jackson Holliday
2023 · A 		19 51→59 41→50 49→50 58 241/333/346 105301 810 21% 12% 96 +1.5 249/334/387 138332 1214 26% 11% 107 +2.2 244/330/384140317131525%11%101+1.8
✕Ramon Mendoza
2019 · A 		18 46→51 41→45 48→45 46 220/292/328 108287 74 25% 7% 74 -0.1 209/280/297 88296 54 29% 7% 61 -1.0 232/306/34711631011327%9%82+0.3
✕Rubén Tejada
2008 · A 		18 50→60 38→40 51→50 50 237/313/315 78287 513 18% 8% 79 +0.3 227/281/295 68275 39 18% 6% 60 -1.0 246/313/343972867115%8%81+0.2
✕Alexander Albertus
2023 · A 		18 50 36→40 55→45 58 230/334/299 69299 29 22% 12% 85 +0.7 231/326/326 95288 810 21% 11% 89 +0.9 220/314/312922799922%11%79+0.1
✕Enmanuel Tejeda
2023 · A 		18 44 38→40 51→60 58 207/313/298 91265 412 22% 12% 76 +0.1 218/305/301 83307 623 28% 10% 73 -0.1 216/305/2927730173228%10%68-0.2
✕Edmundo Sosa
2014 · A 		18 48→49 40→55 47→50 50 227/285/322 95254 79 14% 7% 69 -0.4 218/265/304 86270 68 21% 5% 56 -1.3 252/297/42217030419923%4%99+0.8
✕Victor Heredia
2018 · A 		18 45 38→50 49→30 42 211/275/293 82307 66 31% 7% 57 -1.2 221/268/323 102290 94 26% 5% 62 -0.9 221/264/32610528110125%4%63-0.3
●Starlin Castro
2008 · A 		18 49→59 37→50 53→50 48 229/281/296 67267 411 16% 6% 60 -1.0 252/293/341 89302 413 17% 5% 76 +0.1 293/334/41912633281814%5%108+2.6
✕Edward Duran
2022 · A 		18 49→45 37→40 49→50 46 231/297/312 81291 39 21% 7% 72 -0.2 217/290/287 70281 28 22% 8% 63 -0.9 225/304/305793045825%8%70-0.2
✕Jonathan Galvez
2009 · A 		18 45→46 39→50 51→55 53 209/310/290 81290 79 27% 11% 73 -0.1 209/281/326 117306 1114 33% 8% 69 -0.4 230/282/341111315101529%6%69-0.3
●Iván Herrera
2018 · A 		18 50→56 37→50 44→50 42 233/299/311 78320 35 27% 6% 72 -0.2 230/292/318 88307 74 26% 6% 71 -0.3 276/369/436160338181322%11%130+2.7